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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    IMO, this is a gray area. A rule cannot be broken. You literally cannot have a salary over x in the NFL. If you go over, you need to cut someone or get someone to take a pay cut. To me, that is a firm rule. Baseball is more, IF you do X, then you pay Y. They are following those rules. They are paying Y.
  2. tobi0040
    I feel like this is MLB's issue though. Instead of an actual salary cap, they have a tax, you lose a draft pick if you sign too many guys, you can't sign anyone for two years if you go way over your allotment. The issue is certain teams are either not going to care (about the tax), or going to make calculated decisions like the Yankees seem to be doing. Calling it cheating seems a bit tough to me, because they are calculated decisions where the negative outcome is gauged and a team makes a decision to move ahead anyway. It kind of reminds of a guy that lived on the St. Croix river. His view was blocked by a bunch of trees. The city had a law that you can't cut them down. He found out the fine for cutting down the trees was about half the amount an appraiser said his house would go up if he cut them down. So he cut them down and paid the fine. Clearly, in this situation the city, like MLB did not have a big enough penalty in place if their goal was to have pretty trees on their scenic river. The reality is you have some teams that are worth $2 billion and others worth $500 million. You have some teams that can pay taxes and to a certain extent, lose draft picks because it doesn't really matter to them (they can just sign more guys). The only thing that fixes this is a cap.
  3. tobi0040
    Yeah, some combination of a larger tax, 5-10 year penalty instead of two, or how about an actual draft with slotting? Conceptually it makes no sense to me why we have different sets of rules for US and foreign born players. It makes less sense to me that the rules actually favor foreign players over US born players. Had Stephen Strasburg been from Europe, he could have signed with any team with no cap on his bonus.
  4. tobi0040
    They are rules, but my guess is when they were set in place MLB did not anticipate how teams can navigate them to their advantage.
  5. tobi0040
    I am guessing the Yankees thought this class was much better than the next two will be and this was their strategy going in. It kind of reminds me of the loophole they exploited in the off-season when they signed CC, Teixera, and Burnett. All would have separately yielded a first round pick but because they signed all three in the same off-season they only had to give up a first, second, and third rounder instead. If you are the Yankees and your bonus pool is not very large, the "penalty" for going 10-15% over and the penalty for going $30M over are the same. So that is why you see them in on all the top guys and my guess is they land the #1 guy as well. Just another loophole they have found.
  6. tobi0040
    Definitely a competitive balance issue in baseball and the only thing that will fix that is a hard cap, like hockey or football. I think the two biggest issues in the game of baseball over the last 10-15 years are the lack of a cap and PED's. The union should get the lions share for the blame on both issues. Not all the blame, but they were the biggest reason why a cap does not exist and why it took so long for drug testing to be a reality.
  7. tobi0040
    I am sure the Nats would have been happy about letting Giolito go for Harrell. After the one good year, which I assume is when this discussion happened, Harrell has put up these numbers: 2013 - 5.86 ERA in 153 IP. One more K (89) than BB (88) 2014 - 9.49 ERA in 12 IP. 9-9 K to BB Giolito has 10 K per 9 and a 2.30 ERA in high A.
  8. tobi0040
    It is rare to even see an 18 year old high school prospect that is consistent. Most of the time they only have a feel for 1-2 pitches, rarely a change up. Mechanics are not always repeatable, etc. If they are 18 and have 3 plus pitches they are a top 3 draft pick and get paid $4-7M. Extreme example alert....Brady Aiken was rated in the 20-30 range a year before going #1 overall (17 years old at the time). I am guessing he had some incosistency or questions about a pitch or two. This kid is 16 and has good size. 94 mph sounds good, 91 mph cutter sounds good. He will likely add velocity. They think he can have a change that is an out pitch. I really like this move. To many of the points made, maybe he does not make it out of A ball, but you add a guy like this every year and you will likely be rewarded at some point. Heck, Homer Bailey's numbers look like a #2 or #3 starter and he received $100M. You can sign 125 guys like this for $100M. My guess is that is a better long term investment.
  9. tobi0040
    Here is some video, although you can't see the ball to the plate. Looks like a nice sign with upside. He looks big for a 16 year old, 94 mph heater. 90-91 cutter, splitter, and a good change. 17th rated among international free agents. http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article/min/twins-lock-up-pitching-prospect-huascar-ynoa?ymd=20140702&content_id=82154470&vkey=news_min BA has him as the 14th rated guy. flashes of brilliance and at times puzzling inconsistencies. Potential frontline starter. You take that in a 16 year old for $800K http://blogs.twincities.com/twins/2014/07/01/twinsights-twins-still-linked-to-dominican-rhp-huascar-ynoa/
  10. tobi0040
    Not to mention, most teams #15-#20th rated guy would probably be our #30th rated guy.
  11. tobi0040
    I do agree to an extent. Plouffe when healthy is maybe slightly better than mediocre, but definitely goes in stretches of mediocre. However, the depth at this position is scary thin around the league.
  12. tobi0040
    I pretty much agree with that. I think someone offers something for him. He could serve as a DH to an AL team that has a hole or platoons at DH and needs a righty. He could be a valuable bench guy on a deep team, or play LF for a team not so concerned about defense. I wish the Phillies were in the hunt (Delmon Young joke)
  13. tobi0040
    It is usually a good strategy to ask for something you likely won't get, then "settle" for something that you want. However, as you point out, when the guy hangs up on you and thinks you are wasting his time then you may lose credibility and not get to that second offer.
  14. tobi0040
    Interesting article, thank you for posting. I would be surprised by a move like this. Teams seem to irrationally think that it is a bad idea to trade with a division rival. I think the GM's get nervous about the trade back-firing and this would have risks on both sides (Plouffe is a good-steady 3B for the next 8-10 years or the prospect we get ends up being very good).
  15. tobi0040
    The Bundy thing, and Boagarts thing was pretty funny. I wonder if Terry is calling teams and making crazy demands for Kevin Correia. Corriea for Tavares?
  16. tobi0040
    So the long term focus should be tryouts for the likes of Colabello, Parmelee, and Pino so we can sell them to an Asian team? Over promoting internal talent?
  17. tobi0040
    Extreme Angst? [h=2]angst[/h] noun \ˈäŋ(k)st, ˈaŋ(k)st\ : a strong feeling of being worried or nervous : a feeling of anxiety about your life or situation By suggesting I would prefer a 24 year old prospect with a future here over a 30 year old without, am I really displaying angst, let along extreme angst?
  18. tobi0040
    I get the logic that Nolan Ryan was going to be Nolan Ryan if he was called up two months later. Yohan Pino has next to no shot at being with this team in 2015, let alone 2016 and beyond. So what is the point? His numbers are slightly better than May's with a ridiculous, not a snowballs chance at sustaining a .222 BABIP and strand rate of 92%. To me, logic and a good thought process matter. Getting a guy an extra 4-8 starts matters to his development. And I certainly would rather see that be the focus over an exhibition game.
  19. tobi0040
    I don't know many people who wanted May up here last year and very few wanted him here out of spring training. The BB's were the biggest concern and what he needed to show. His BB/9 has gone from 4.7, to 4, to now 3.5 over the last three years. His K to BB has gone from 1.94, 2.37, then 2.61 this year. What else do we need to see out of this 24 year old? What is left to prove?
  20. tobi0040
    No.
  21. tobi0040
    Since I saw the comment on the first page, I thought it was made before May was announced on the DL. As my grandma used to say, I stand corrected.
  22. tobi0040
    I was hoping for a little context to the Johnson piece. Are you factoring age or wait into that? Outside of ERA, the k's, FIP, BB, and WHIP favor May.
  23. tobi0040
    I think the obsession is with potential. Most on these boards think we are not winning the world series this year. A 30 year old that throws 87 mph and has never broken through? I assumed Pino would have been a pre-super 2 call up, so it was frustrating to see him come up. To Jokin's point, look at Kyle Gibson last year. He had a terrible 100 IP, but the jitters are out and he is getting out hitters now. Let's get that first go round out of the way with guys that will be with the Twins next year, not in Korea or Japan.
  24. tobi0040
    Can move quickly was said about Bullock, Gutieriez, etc. I think too often guys that throw hard are given this label. It is way too early to tell if Burdi will move up quick or not, I didn't like the pick at the time either, but I agree this outing is not that important.
  25. tobi0040
    I think having guys like Pino around for spot starts or in the event of a rash of injuries is fine. But I would rather see your guys with similar numbers, more highly touted, better stuff, and 5-6 years younger get the first crack.
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