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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. 1. Great win. 2. Man, Nebraska has really taken a huge fall. 3. That Illinois loss really stings right now. 4. I can't see them winning in WI, but 2 wins this month works for me. 5. I think KSTP radio had it right today......there is a hump that Mason reached, that Kill is approaching/at. The key is, can Kill get them over that hump?
  2. Yikes.....that's 50%. I'd think that the league has a higher percent than that....which is of course why they should sign run preventers right now.
  3. i'd say Meyer is more MLB ready, last year, then Rosario is right now....that wasn't obvious in my statement? Which do you think is more MLB ready, Meyer last year, or Rosario right now? that was clearly the post, wasn't it?
  4. I'd be ok with him in LF to start, if they think he's close. I have no issue with him learning here, I fondly recall the Twins youngsters learning in the mid-80s......
  5. I think it is interesting that he is close, but Meyer was not last year.....which would you rather have, Meyer last year, or Rosario right now?
  6. That run differential is a lot different, thanks for the reminder.....it is a stat that does bother me some though, because of the outliers. What I really want to know is: how many times did they score 5 or more runs in a game last year (or whatever the number is that gets you in the 60-70% chance you win a game).
  7. I'm not suggesting I'd change allegiance over 1 data point........but this isn't one data point. It is a trend. It is also, if true, an awful indictment of the new manager imo.
  8. he should DH someplace, I think he's better at that than a lot of current options. In a pinch, he could play OF too......but not as a starting OF. Really, really, really re-thinking my fandom of this club right now. At some point, how they do business has to matter.
  9. I'm not worried about those 4 players......they aren't going anywhere unless traded.
  10. Then I'm disappointed they hired Molitor. If "chemistry" matters more than talent, this team has a big problem. Hunter cannot play defense at all, not a lick. If you were were a FA pitcher, would you come to play in front of this OF? I would not, especially if I was trying for a 1 year deal to enhance my value.
  11. Well, this is exactly what happened each of the last 4 years.....so unless substantive changes are made, not sure why we'd expect something different next year. The have no MLB average LF or CF even on the 40 man roster......hard to feel they'll definitely be better at this point. I do think they will be, but I didn't really find any of your arguments compelling. It's pretty easy to cherry pick stats for pitchers. The bullpen is fungible, except for some reason the Twins don't treat it that way much. Someone else already pointed out the fallacy in your catcher expectations, and your Dozier expectations (and I agree with them on that). Until they have a LF and CF and RP, and a 5th starter, it's pretty hard to argue that they must be better, given that's what they've been for 4 years now. At least it is for me.
  12. Not for me, on the last question. He hasn't been here for a REALLY long time....... that said, one data point does not a trend make, this would add data to the belief of many that they just are not comfortable with new ideas. I don't think that in this case, but I can see where some would. As for the general trend......most executives hire someone they previously knew. Of course, most executives eventually lose their job.....
  13. How does it work now? If they later have to remove someone, and they sign a FA.....what is the status of the person that is now off the 40 man?
  14. Reasonable. I would not sign a FA RP......but that's because I don't think this team should be spending money on RP, when: a: RP are generally unpredictable; b: the Twins won't spend a crazy amount of money, so they should spend it where it really matters; c: they have options, they should test them out in another year not in the playoffs; d: they have lots of questions at SP, so they'll need to potentially send arms to AAA for rest (from the pen) and call up other arms. You can't do that if you have a bunch of veterans w/o options left. Other than that, it's an ok offseason, but about what I see happening.
  15. Klaw said in his chat today that scouts say he is not an 80 million dollar player.
  16. I was a bit surprised by that......but if he thinks Eddie is a year away, and Byron is a year away, then there is a logjam (just not at the MLB level, unfortunately).
  17. Here is what KLAW said about him today: JG (MN) Any rise in Eddie Rosario's stock after the AFL? Better chance he plays in MN or gets traded? Klaw (1:21 PM) No rise - hard for a player to really change his stock in the AFL unless he was hurt beforehand (e.g., Tyrell Jenkins, who looked as good as ever and is clearly healthy again). I think he gets traded because of their CF logjam. Can really hit and run.
  18. thoughts from Fangraphs' scouts on Rosario: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/standout-prospects-from-the-afl-title-game/ Not glowing....but not bad....
  19. They didn't have any corner OF because they signed Kubel instead of an actual OF.......it's a self fulfilling prophecy. That was the point, they take up roster space.
  20. Not a fan of this decision, frankly. A rare blunder by Beane that actually costs money.
  21. But, we can't go back in time. Given what people knew at the time......those stats had data that indicated performance. It's not as good as the data we have now, though.
  22. Trust their eye, but not multiple eyes watching every play, writing down information about that play, and accumulating data? You trust your eye, more than you trust WAR? I'm genuinely curious about that.
  23. Ok with me, don't use it if you don't want. But you still haven't answered the question.....what should people do that is better for understanding defense and base running?
  24. Well, they'd have no 3rd basemen for 2 months, so no.* *unless you got something worth way more than him.....like overwhelming
  25. So, every time someone argues about something, they have to post everything about it? Do those that love scouting post about it's limitations when arguing it is a good idea? What would you propose people do, to take into account running and defense, when talking about player value? And, both sites talk about what they do to reduce the effect of observer bias. It is right in the quotes I posted....they use regression, and they use multiple years of data. In lieu of what they do, what should be done? Nothing?
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