Rodney 9:06 How long do you think I can keep my job! Jeff Sullivan 9:07 My hunch is that Rodney keeps the job all season, with maybe a week or two spent "figuring it out" in a low-leverage role. To Rodney's credit, he still throws super hard, and although he's wild he's never been easy to hit I hate the experience of watching Fernando Rodney close, but the results aren't so bad from a distance! Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 3/2/18 powered by JotCast Jeff Sullivan 9:04 Hello friends 9:05 Welcome to Friday baseball chat Dan 9:05 Do you see new signee Danny Valencia getting playing time in Baltimore? Jeff Sullivan 9:05 Surprisingly yes. Wouldn't be shocked to see him open as a platoon partner for Colby Rasmus In the outfield In the major leagues F. Rodney 9:06 How long do you think I can keep my job! Jeff Sullivan 9:07 My hunch is that Rodney keeps the job all season, with maybe a week or two spent "figuring it out" in a low-leverage role. To Rodney's credit, he still throws super hard, and although he's wild he's never been easy to hit I hate the experience of watching Fernando Rodney close, but the results aren't so bad from a distance! Jimmy 9:08 How about those Blue Jays? Jeff Sullivan 9:08 Is this a reference to spring training standings Is this a reference to spring training standings after seven games A big dumb idiot 9:08 Like you, I was a curious how the horrible AL Central would impact the Twins projection. So, using depth charts projections and accounting for strength of schedule (weighted records of all opponents) here are the projected win totals for AL WC contenders: Jays: 86.2 Twins: 83.8 Angels: 82.2 Jeff Sullivan 9:09 Feels about right. As soon as we launch our 2018 playoff-odds page, I'll have a post up that uses our own schedule-adjustment math GP 9:11 On EW the other day you mentioned that Byron Buxton had started to figure things out over the second half but didn't seem that impressed with Jorge Polanco. Looking at his splits, he had virtually the same wRC+ (1st half, 2nd half and overall) as Buxton but with better plate discipline. He was also batting third pretty consistently in the second half. Should we be talking about Polanco more as a breakout candidate, at least offensively? Jeff Sullivan 9:12 Sorry for that delay. Allow me to share with you an incredible split 9:13 Polanco, first three months: .280 wOBA Polanco, last three months: .339 wOBA Polanco, first three months: .276 expected wOBA Polanco, last three months: .279 expected wOBA 9:14 I don't mean to suggest we should always get all tied up in xwOBA over all else, but I don't actually see meaningful evidence of improvement in here 9:15 For the sake of comparison, over the same time spans, Byron Buxton went from .254 to .300