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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    I don't think TR is interested in trading Perkins. Perkins signed his contract with a hometown discount based on staying in Minnesota. I think there is an under the table agreement there that they wouldn't trade him based on that deal. Maybe if the right deal came around and TR got the OK from Glenn they would do a deal but I don't see the honor bound TR trading him. Granted they did it to Span but I think there is something different about Perkins since he grew up and lives in Minnesota. I would be very surprised if they traded him.
  2. Dman
    Thanks for understanding my mindset but I can see now that I am somewhat off base in my assumptions.
  3. Dman
    I am sure you are correct that he isn't adverse to strikeout pitchers and I probably overstated or incorrectly assumed some things. The general idea behind my poorly worded post is that it seems we always have number 4 or 5 starters that can pitch, but it seemed that we rarely drafted power arms due to the high risk reward involved. I think that for the most part we got guys that have good control but don't necessarily strike out a lot of people. Again it appears to me that recently the Twins have been more like other organizations in looking for more power arms. At least that is my perception.
  4. Dman
    I was thinking the Dodgers. Yeah the Angels are unlikely to have what it takes to get him. I wonder what they are waiting for as their pitching stunk last year for the most part. They have to be desperate for an arm or two.
  5. Dman
    I still think LA might get him. They need one more really good pitcher if they want to make it to the world series and I think Tanaka gives them that. He might not be an ace but should be a 2 or 3 for sure. I don't think the mid market teams will compete but then again I did n't see Seattle getting Cano either. I think the Yankees lose this one but we will see.
  6. Dman
    I think TR is finally coming around to the theory that strike outs from a pitcher do matter and that it adds a tremendous amount of value. I agree with several posters who have said most teams already have or can easily find a Hendricks on their roster so his value is low. That doesn't mean that some team couldn't turn him around and make him better but odds are he is what he is.
  7. Dman
    I am surprised by this move as well but maybe I shouldn't be. As far as pitchers go Diamond and Worley had shown something at the MLB level. Even slow pitch Albers had some good games in September so I guess you throw the guy (Hendricks) who never really put it together on the big stage under the bus and see if someone else likes him. I guess it makes sense. It just seems like the Twins typically give the younger guys every possible chance to succeed and this move doesn't seem to follow that trend. The Twins really must not be believers in his potential.
  8. Dman
    i think that makes more sense. Then the player can get more of the money the money the player gets will count against payroll like any other contract. Yankees, dodgers etc will still have the upper hand but a mid market team could still take a shot if they felt it was a fairly sure thing and the player could choose to take less money if he wanted to play some particular place.
  9. Dman
    I like any decent or potentially decent pitcher on a two year deal for the Twins. If he does well and the team stinks then we can trade him for prospects. If he stinks its a bummer but doesn't hurt us financially down the road. In many ways it is a win, win considering the pitching we currently have.
  10. Dman
    This deal makes sense for the Twins he was one of top pitchers available so we can breath easier now. I doubt that the Twins go for Garza as he is likely to start a bidding war and the Twins never get involved in those. My guess is they go for Arroyo or Pelfrey maybe Kazmir. At least the Twins can negotiate from a position of strength now because they got one of the decent pitchers so anything beyond this will be icing on the cake and they don't have to be desperate. I hope they continue to surprise me.
  11. Dman
    Mark my words they are gonna get a big fish this year. TR doesn't really have much choice but to get a good pitcher and spend some money because his boss is on record as saying spend away. Also the organization cannot take the PR hit of only using half of their available payroll with the All-Star game coming to town. They would have to deal with tons of media questions about getting a publicly funded stadium and then not using those resources to build a winning team. TR is finally backed into a corner where he has to spend. He needs a big signing to help the team and the perception that the Twins owner doesn't care about the team but only the money the team generates. I personally think he is being prudent waiting until the winter meetings because who knows what might be proposed. He could walk into a great deal. Best to leave the options open and see what comes their way. Just don't wait too long as everyone can be gone in the blink of an eye once the dominoes start falling.
  12. Dman
    That is very interesting. I really liked Escobar last year as he was hot with the bat early in the season and then got very, very cold. Then I really liked Florimon and he tailed off as well. I really do like Florimons defense though and I think he likely starts next year so when or where would Escobar get his chance to prove he might improve like Dozier? I think it might take an injury or extremely poor play from Florimon at this point. I like the analysis though as it gives me hope that the middle infield is set for a while.
  13. Dman
    I reread several articles and most say they do not think he is better than Darvish so I stand corrected on that point. The Stats in Japan, however, paint Tanaka as having performed better than Darvish but most scouts feel his fastball is not MLB quality and they paint Tanaka as number 2 or 3 pitcher. So far no article I have found paints him as a number 1. Truth be told no one really knows if he will succeed or not so that makes him a much greater risk. The big boys can and usually do take those risks with varying degree's of success. Risk is likely too great for Twins to take. I just want a guy who can come in and be an ace sooo bad seemed like Tanaka might be the one.
  14. Dman
    I think it depends on the risk you are talking about. Is the risk that the Twins would go all in on Tanaka and not spend on an older second tier ace or two this season or is there a greater risk that the Twins do nothing with the money they have under their budget? The money for the bid doesn't count against the cap and the contract although large would not be terribly out of line for any other ace or second tier ace. To me the greater risk is that they do little to nothing to correct the pitching problem. Your analysis does point out the risk of signing players from NPB but unfortunately there is risk with every pitcher you might sign. Even if the Twins only got two good years of pitching out of him that would be better than the status quo and again the move wouldn't hamper their payroll other than this year. Again I say the risk of NOT trying for Tanaka is greater than the risk of trying to get him in my opinion.
  15. Dman
    When you look at the stats and compare the players it seems hard for me to understand how Darvish was in another tier. You can google Tanaka vs Darvish and the supposed experts seem to think they are very comparable with a slight edge to Tanaka in most cases. http://www.dallasnews.com/sports/texas-rangers/headlines/20131020-scout-says-next-japanese-sensation-masahiro-tanaka-is-better-than-texas-rangers-pitcher-yu-darvish.ece I agree though that the Twins will not be players in the bidding game. Ryan doesn't work that way and our owner doesn't meddle in baseball decisions. Tanaka would be way, way out of the Twins comfort zone and a huge risk. Personally unless they got Garza if I were them I would go Tanaka but that is just my rookie opinion.
  16. Dman
    I will say I don't know much about Tanaka and I understand the great risk involved in getting him but if you can get past the bid money he is young and affordable for our team for several years after that. Maybe he gets to MLB and is a bust, but it sounds like no one has pitched much better than he has in that league and Darvish has done well for Texas. If his arm holds I think he is a pretty safe bet. The Twins never do anything with the extra money they don;t spend year to year. It would be nice to see the Pohlads show there commitment to the fans and use a few million out the billions they have to try and get this team going. They would have room next year for another big pickup and with any luck our prospects will be starting to kick in as well. We could be a strong team for the next decade. Reality is that it will not happen as the FO just doesn't think like that. They don't take those kinds of risks so it is pretty pointless to go there. As others have pointed out there are other ways to go and they might even work out better but I for one would have liked to see them go for Tanaka. I think he is worth the risk.
  17. Dman
    I really think TR is going to do something this year. There is just too much pressure not to. The potential public relations nightmare of all that money sitting there unspent and a crappy team would be too much for JP and the front office to survive unscathed. It would be talked about the entire year to the exclusion of most everything else. I can see the headline now, Greedy owner doesn't care about team or fans or Public trust abused by greedy owner etc. He will get somebody fairly big this year but my guess is only one free agent signing. I think part of the reason TR is waiting is he might want to see if he can work a trade at the winter meetings. If he can then that might change his FA strategy. Also Agents and players typically want to wait before signing to set the market and as supply dwindles there is a greater chance to get the money they want. If they wait too long then obviously the opposite happens as they find out nobody really wants them that bad. It is a game and we will have to wait and see what happens. This is the year Ryan finally gets somebody but don't cheer too loudly as he will be back to his old ways soon enough.
  18. Dman
    If ever there was a time for the Twins to go after the high risk high reward pitcher this is it. As long as they can keep the contract to four years or fewer go after the strike out pitchers. Even if the guy gets hurt the first day on the job you have tons of pitch to contact pitchers in AAA. For once things line up to go after a real pitcher there really are no good excuses here. Swing for the fences Terry don't get caught in double play.
  19. Dman
    That is very interesting. Kinda shows what we already know. You can't necessarily buy wins. Your team has to come together regardless of payroll to win.
  20. Dman
    Unless Dozier regresses or gets hurt I don't see Rozario at 2nd base anymore. I think he ends up back in the outfield after things shake out. I know Beresford doesn't hit the long ball but I like his defense better at second and I think he will be a good hitter as well. Santana I don;t know what to think. I really think Bartlet is a long shot but why not give him a shot? If he hangs out in Rochester anyway and has some baseball left in him maybe he makes our team or maybe if does well in AAA we can trade him who knows.
  21. Dman
    I really enjoyed your top 50 list and couldn't wait as you parceled them out sooo slowly. I enjoy the unique perspective you bring, with the knowledge you have of so many players. Looking at the top 25 you have to feel pretty good about getting some great players to the majors. Even 50 to 25 looks pretty good. Let's hope these guys take the Twins to the playoffs in the near future.
  22. Dman
    Good point on the 40 man spot. I wasn't thinking clearly there. You are right it is either July 2014 or 2015 depending on how things play out. I certainly agree with you that he is good enough to play in 2014 but I think a bit more seasoning and spreading out Sano\Hick\Rosario\Buxton as much as we can needs to be thought about as well. I realize if they all as good as we think they will be we won;t be able to hang onto all of them forever but I definitely want them to be truly ready before we bring them up and start using their MLB service time.
  23. Dman
    The article fits with what we know about the Twins. Loyalty above all else. When they sign someone they totally stand behind them and give them every opportunity to succeed. They don't easily give up on players or coaches as they believe in the people they have. It is an admirable trait but when so few play that way it makes it harder compete and harder to change with the times. Nice article and nice to know doing the right thing can pay off once in awhile.
  24. Dman
    Granted I haven't seen Buxton in person but I just don't see him being with the big club in July. I think the Twins will give him a cup of coffee as a September call up next year and based on that performance he we will either make the team out of Spring training or by July 2015. He is so young and we need to make sure we get the best out of him before LA or NY snap him up after his arb years. We shouldn't waste his talent or MLB service time with the 2014 team. Just my two cents.
  25. Dman
    I like Turner a lot and I think if he hits and can keep from getting injured he will be a perennial All-Star. As much as the Twins need a Shortstop they need pitching far worse. Pitchers fail at higher rate and their careers are typically shorter so we need a lot of them if we plan on getting better for the long haul. I think the Twins will go pitcher in the first two rounds for sure and they should even though they will miss out on the dreamy shortstop prospect.
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