I'm the crazy person that read most of the comments on this thread. 🤪 With that being said, I have a few points to make that I haven't seen as of yet or haven't been fully fleshed out.
1. The Phillies: I'm not sure how many teams were still involved in the Duran sweepstakes. It sounds like the Mets walked away and went to go sign Helsley. Falvey seemed paranoid on trading Duran to another AL team. If that is true, then Falvey had already cut his potential suitors by half and may have got the best deal that he thought he could get with the parameters he set for himself.
2. The money: Agree with the previous commenter that the Paddack trade seemed like a smart trade, expiring contract that will save some money. This one seems like a potential salary dump. Let's assume that Duran would have commanded $8-$10M next year. I personally believe they could have received a similar package in the offseason and still dumped said potential payroll.
3. Perception: Idk if this was a Falvey or Pohlad thing, but it seems one of them got sucked up in the national media attention that a Duran trade had to happen. Almost like a self-fulfilling prophecy. Maybe they got into the mindset that there was this huge market for Duran, got into it and realized that it wasn't as hot as was advertised, then couldn't get out as they were fielding too many calls. This is where Falvey needed to be firm and be willing to walk away ala Mason Miller of the A's.
4. The Team Sale: I don't know where the negotiations are at with the sale of the team, but this trade could give some clues about this as well. This may be a sign they are very close as Falvey is trading everyone that has a contract of any value to save the Pohlads money on the way out. If that is the case, the Pohlads could do one last kindness to the Twins and fire Baldelli. They basically have created a rebuilding team and Baldelli can't manage a quasi-pretender much less a clear, rebuilding team. This is the decision I wished that a new ownership would have been to make much less try to negotiate through the pieces that are left from the current one.