Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

cmathewson

Provisional Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,290

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by cmathewson

  1. cmathewson
    It doesn't even take a play. A guy could wake up with glaucoma, for instance.
  2. cmathewson
    I could see a platoon to get Rosario used to the majors. Dozier is a beast against lefties.
  3. cmathewson
    Why would they trade Doumit? He's good, versatile and cheap.
  4. cmathewson
    I agree with Seth, If he's naming specific players he is looking to deal publicly, it does no one any good, except the team we deal him to. This was one of the things that bugged me about BS: Naming Span as a player he was shopping. Also, the delta between Correia's ERA and FIP is small enough, it is not predictive.
  5. cmathewson
    That's because the entire rotation last year got hurt before June and they had to use a bunch of AAAA pitchers to patch it. This year, they at least have some stability in the rotation.
  6. cmathewson
    Terry makes plenty of mistakes. Fewer than Smith and most of the other GMs in the game, sure. But he has made plenty, especially in the bargain-basement free agent area. Here's a sampling of the signings he's subjected us to: Jose Offerman, Pat Borders, Corky Miller, Brett Boone, Rondell White (twice), Tony Batista, Phil Nevin, Ruben Sierra, Jeff Cirillo And that's just position players from the 00s.
  7. cmathewson
    On that curve: I saw the vids from the all-star games and I thought it was a decent pitch for a 19 year old. It didn't have huge break. But it had sharp late break. I saw three clips of him getting ks looking on the pitch, as the hitters gave up on it and it broke over the plate. I especially liked his delivery: Straight over the top, which made the curve a 12-6 offering.
  8. cmathewson
    He was pretty horrible the last year plus of his time with the Twins. I don't think anybody was too sad to see him go, outside of a few who focused more on his minor league and early major league stats. Much of this was injury-related, sure. But it's a huge surprise that he is doing this well considering his three-team journey the last two years.
  9. cmathewson
    The Dodgers and Angels say Hi. Point is, you can't draw a line of causation between spending and product. There are plenty of correlations. But it doesn't make sense to spend money just because you have it. I think most Twins fans get this. Besides Sanchez, there weren't a lot of free agents who A. we should have signed and B. would take our money. Though we should have signed Sanchez, he preferred to stay with a winner. So we had to make do. Not everyone here agrees with this, but the burden of proof is on them on the ways we should and could have spent the surplus. Free agency is not like going to Target and spending your budget. It's more like an auction system where 30 teams bid on the rarest commodities. The difference is, unlike an auction, the commodities themselves can choose to take less money to play for a winner. The FO doesn't have control over that. The real reason the product has lagged the last three years is a lack of good home-grown talent. With few exceptions, the team simply did not draft good quality pitchers between 2005 and 2009. We are seeing what happens when you fail to do that. Since 2009, that trend has reversed. So the future looks a good deal brighter than the present.
  10. cmathewson
    Law is the only one who questions him with any strength. And for Law, he might as well be the devil incarnate. Methinks he dost protesteth too much.
  11. cmathewson
    I actually like him better than Eades, whom we took in the second round.
  12. cmathewson
    Is that what's in your pipe Papa Smurf?
  13. cmathewson
    Ryan spent the money from 2002 to the end of 2007. Smith spent the money in 2008-09 and went over the soft cap in 2010 and 2011. When Smith went over the cap (e.g., signing Hudson and Thome), he got explicit sign off from Jim to do it. Ryan took over and has been under the soft cap since. I don't think the philosophical difference was about spending money. You can count this as a trend or a short-term adjustment. i count it as the latter, and I believe there are good reasons for it, which I have hashed and rehashed ad nauseum. If not about money, what was the philosophical difference. Well, to use TR's words "I will be very similar to Bill. I might be a little more patient, but otherwise, we will work in similar ways." Smith did things we would never see Ryan do: e.g. trade Ramos for Capps. Ryan focuses on the long term, and we have certainly seen that since he tool over. That's the philosophical difference.
  14. cmathewson
    I'm tired of this story. It happened when Old Man Potter ran the team. Since Jim has been primary owner, they have spent over 50% of revenue or more in all years except this one and last. It will be difficult to spend all the money they have coming to them next year and stay within the 50%. But I have no reason to believe they have a long-term strategy to spend less than that guideline.
  15. cmathewson
    Right, they're at about 35% of revenue now, according to Forbes. So they have perhaps 20 mil to spend right now if they wanted to. Take Morneau, Willingham, Pelfrey, Correia and Burton out of the payroll, and they'd be at like 20% of revenue. Anywho, payroll should not be a concern at all.
  16. cmathewson
    Oh, OK. Well, then I agree. I kinda figured it wasn't Parker. But I wasn't sure.
  17. cmathewson
    Shame on you for talking about Parker that way. Next to Nick, he's the most credible source in this town.
  18. cmathewson
    Just in case this is not a joke, you can scan the Strib archives and find that the Twins have organizational meetings between the draft and the trade deadline every year. Trades are not the only things they discuss, but they are on the agenda.
  19. cmathewson
    The Twins keep things like strategy close to the vest. There is no benefit to publicizing it, and there's a lot of risk. Competitors are listening. If I had to guess, they are trying to have a competitive team until the young guys are ready. They don't think the young guys are ready yet. Some of us disagree in certain cases (e.g. Gibson). But that doesn't invalidate the strategy.
  20. cmathewson
    I doubt they trade both players this year. i could see Willignham, though his trade value is at a low ebb with his recent struggles. But if he gets hot before the All-Star break, he would be the top candidate among Twins veterans to get traded. Both Ryan and Antony have said they want to keep Morneau and would need to be offered a lot to let him go before his FA period. The most likely veterans on the trading block are Correia, Pelfrey and Burton. In any event, I wouldn't expect anything to happen trade-wise until the deadline. Ryan will try to get as much out of these guys as he can and his leverage increases the closer he gets to the deadline.
  21. cmathewson
    IMHO, Lavelle is overrated. I have read just about everything he's written over the last decade or so, and I recognize several patterns of lazy journalism: 1. Relying on a few "go-to" sources and thereby only getting one side of every story (e.g. Torii's view of Mauer) 2. Repeating the same story over and over when it originated from that self-same source (Mauer is lazy rather than hurt, a story he repeated for almost a year during which he never bothered to interview Mauer) 3. Using the anonymous "twins official" source when he can't get anyone to talk to him (in one case, that was an usher) 4. Doing nothing in the way of background research (e.g. the Mastroianni injury, which was a broken leg and anyone armed with WebMD could have found this out and asked the right questions of Twins management to get the right answers) 5. Favoring "scoops" over the truth To you larger point, I'm surprised this is a story at all. These meetings happen all the time, especially after the draft and before the trade deadline. It's called running a baseball team.
  22. cmathewson
    I'd like to see him go on the DL and give Tonkin a look until Burton is 100%. He has a long injury history. If he continues to pitch through this, he not only could continue to harm the team's chances to win, he could ruin his career.
  23. cmathewson
    Yes you do. 3-6-3 DPs. Cuts from right field. I can think of a dozen plays where having at least a passable arm is necessary.
  24. cmathewson
    Both Ryan and Antony have said that when they call him up, they want it to be for good. I had assumed that meant they did not want to send him down again. Since there's little chance of that (he is the best pitcher the Twins have), perhaps they mean they don't want to call him up for a couple of starts only to shut him down for the year. Perhaps they just want him to pitch out his innings in AAA this year and have a fresh start in the majors next year.
  25. cmathewson
    Antony was quoted by Jesse with that number. Ryan was quoted as saying it more of a guideline than a rule. But the science is pretty clear: Guys who add more than 30% of their innings from one year to the next are extremely susceptible to long periods of dead arm the following year. If they push it too far this year, they are risking a lot of failure next year. See Liriano, Francisco. See Bill James and Rob Neyer for the science. By the Twins count, he threw 70 innings between instructs and the AFL last year. That would make 91 innings this year if you follow the 30% rule. The Twins are using more of a 50% rule this year. This is itself a risk, if you buy the science. They are really pushing it beyond 130.
×
×
  • Create New...