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cmathewson

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Everything posted by cmathewson

  1. cmathewson
    May 2012: ERA 4.87, WHIP 1.45, HR/9 1.3 May 2013: ERA 3.96, WHIP 1.36, HR/9 0.6 If you don't want to count birds on a AA arm, why would you count them on a couple of draft picks?
  2. cmathewson
    Ultimately, the two are related. You can't win if all the players cost too much to keep them. Considering that we won't win this year, it makes sense to keep him in Rochester until June 1 to avoid Super 2 status. That will help us keep the team we are building together when we can win. I don't like it, but it makes sense.
  3. cmathewson
    I don't think you draft based on need. I have no qualms with drafting Buxton last year. Think of how much pitching we were able to acquire with Revere. On a scale of 1-10, Revere is a 6 at best. But that is how desperate teams are to get young center fielders. Buxton is a 9--probably the most talented outfield prospect we've ever had.
  4. cmathewson
    I don't understand the Twins' reluctance. Both Berardino and Neal said after the game last night that the Twins are in no hurry to call up Gibson in place of Hernandez. LENIII mentioned consistency. What a load of bull that is. Herandez has been consistently hittable. I'll take inconsistently great over consistently awful any time. Berardino mentioned the Twins desire to call him up for the next home stand. I don't get that either, unless it's some kind of a service time issue. I just can't watch Hernandez anymore and I can't wait for Gibson.
  5. cmathewson
    How much of the spike in velo is due to fast guns on the Cape? You rarely see a guy have that kind of a short-term spike without at least showing that velo at times afterward. Guys sometimes dial it back in college, but "touch" their former velo when needed. If that's the case now, it represents another level of maturity: don't throw harder than you need to to get guys out. Most of the mocks I've seen have the Rockies taking Manaea. That leaves the Twins with a choice between Bryant, Stewart, Frazier and Meadows. If that's the choice, Bryant is the best fit for this team, imho. It would be great to have this pick become part of the next wave of talent, which should arrive between now and the end of 2015. But Stewart has the highest upside of those four. So if they pick on upside alone, I think they'll take Stewart. The dark horse is Meadows, whom the Twins are known to be high on and might consider a better risk because of Stewart's diabetes. A Hicks, Buxton, Meadows outfield would be sick.
  6. cmathewson
    He's been consistent, with the exception of his last start, when he had a tired arm.
  7. cmathewson
    In the context of how they handle their pitchers, especially their prospects, it was preposterous. They rarely let guys throw more than 100 pitches. Considering he is on a strict innings limit so close to surgery, it is a huge unnecessary risk. They talked about keeping him to six innings a start to stretch him out further into the season before they have to shut him down. This is a huge deviation from that plan. Considering that we have not developed a pitcher of his caliber since Garza, one would think they'd be more careful.
  8. cmathewson
    Who plays center field? Clete Thomas, I hope not. Clete was a middling right fielder when he played for the Twins. Richardson is a lot like Ben Revere out there. Hicks last 7 [TABLE=class: sortable stats_table] [TD=align: right].214 [/TD] [TD=align: right].267 [/TD] [TD=align: right].643[/TD] [TD=align: right].910 [/TD] [/TABLE] Last 14 [TABLE=class: sortable stats_table] [TD=align: right].200[/TD] [TD=align: right].243[/TD] [TD=align: right].429[/TD] [TD=align: right].672 [/TD] [/TABLE] Last 28 [TABLE=class: sortable stats_table] [TD=align: right].221[/TD] [TD=align: right].289[/TD] [TD=align: right].426[/TD] [TD=align: right].716[/TD] [/TABLE]
  9. cmathewson
    I'd send down Ramirez and call up Richardson. If things continue as they are, I'd send down Parmelee and call up Colabello. That second move requires another 40-man move, which I think is Wood going on the 60-day DL. I was shocked Gardy put Parmalee in the number 2 hole. He is struggleing so much to hit the fastball. TK said in the booth, "Again, we all know Parm struggles to hit the number 1. That has been his history throughout the minor leagues. If he can't hit the number 1, he doesn't belong in the majors."
  10. cmathewson
    Here is the latest on Matro: Mastroianni won't return to Twins until July at earliest | StarTribune.com He needs surgery to repair a chip in the bone. This is consistent with my earlier theory: He had an impact fracture at the time of the incident. It was first diagnosed as a bone bruise. After it failed to heal for three weeks or so, it was diagnosed as a stress reaction. As several posters said, that doesn't make sense because a stress reaction is a thinning in the bone that is often the prelude to a stress fracture. This was a fracture not caused by stress but by fouling a ball off a bone near his ankle. We can say definitively that the player was misdiagnosed and allowed to play on a broken leg, which likely got worse in trying to play with it. The player also spent time on the bench when he should have been on the DL. And the Twins were short handed while he was essentially unavailable on the bench. Also, it likely lengthened the time it will take him to get healthy again. The good news is, we finally have resolution. He can be put on the 60-day DL and we can add a player to the 40-man roster. The question is, whom to add? It would be nice to have some CF depth, so Richardson makes some sense (.343/.436/.414/.870, 15 SBs). But the team could use another bat. Colabello would be my choice there (.350/.409/.650/1.059, 11 HR, 15 2B).
  11. cmathewson
    It's never purely about results. It's mostly about whether Ryan's scouts think he's ready to get major league hitters out consistently. Ryan has said, "When they tell me he's ready, I'll bring him up." Obviously, they don't think he's ready. But he can't be that far off.
  12. cmathewson
    I'd like to see them add a replacement for Mastroianni, and my choice would be Richardson. I'd like to see another lefty option if they put Wood on the shelf. Theilbar or Albers.
  13. cmathewson
    My answer exactly. Of the two Berardino is slightly better 'cause he's more of a stats guy. I don't understand the fuss about LENIII. Sloppy and lazy, in my opinion.
  14. cmathewson
    Well, it's good to see Buxton mentioned in the same discussions as Hamilton, Trout, and Harper. I doubt he has any one tool to equal their best tools, except perhaps batting eye. But his combination of tools puts him in an elite class. As to the original question, I'd be surprised if he is not in the majors before age 22. He could jump two levels this year alone. Worst case, he starts his age 20 year in AA.
  15. cmathewson
    I don't care about how guys are rated. But it is odd that you say Upton had 80 power as a 19 year old and Buxton only has 70 speed. The only 80 power guy I've seen in the last few years is Sano, and Upton did not have Sano's power when he was 19. Meanwhile, if any player has 80 speed, it's Buxton. Several scouts have said he's the fastest player they've ever seen.
  16. cmathewson
    I don't think they'd be rushing him. He's 25. He's paid his dues. Not all decisions are based on minor league numbers. If you think he'll get people out consistently up here, and benefit from major league coaching, bring him up. I happen to think he will. But it doesn't bother me if they waste his innings in AAA this year as long as he's ready next year. I have a different philosophy than most about the minors. I believe guys learn how to play in the majors in the majors. As long as they can hold their own up here, it is usually better for them to be up here than in the minors.
  17. cmathewson
    Trying to resist doing an analysis here. Kirby was a great player. But Mauer is a superstar. We also had a kid named Knoblauch, and another guy named Hunter. As a Twins fan, you'd think the guy would appreciate the talent we have developed over the years.
  18. cmathewson
    Um, 2010 says Hi.
  19. cmathewson
    Why would you do this? Albers has no future with Twins. Gibson is a big part of the future. Let's see that future now, before he runs out of innings. Whatever he does up here will be a learning experience for next year, when he will be in the rotation.
  20. cmathewson
    I agree that 100 should not be a rigid threshold. But I actually disagree about the way you calculate how much stress is on a pitcher per inning. I agree that 20+ pitch innings should be weighted higher. But I also think the number of innings should be factored in. How many warm-up pitches does a guy throw per inning? Now, warm-up pitches are low-stress. They're like the pitches you throw between starts. But guys have rigid pitch limits in bullpens for a reason. Think of weight lifting. The difference between 12 and 20 reps is huge. If he wasn't 1.5 years from surgery and on a hard innings limit for the year, I could see it. But not with Gibson, not to save an extra inning on the collection of AAAA pitchers out there.
  21. cmathewson
    It's not binary. The question is whether he's more ready than Hernandez. The answer is emphatically yes. One bad outing doesn't compare with four bad outings and three so so outings.
  22. cmathewson
    So they'll take a risk with their top pitching prospect and give him more work than he's had in years just to save a AAA bullpen? That is insane. Chief, I understand it's correlation and not causation. But you just don't take these kinds of risks with your top pitching prospect, not in AAA. It's plausible at least that Gibson's arm was less than 100%. They did move him back a day because he reported soreness. in his bullpen session prior to the start.
  23. cmathewson
  24. cmathewson
    Why on earth did they let their top pitching prospect throw 114 pitches 18 months after TJ surgery? His bad outing is directly related to that. It's almost as though they intentionally gave him a dead arm so they can delay his promotion to the majors.
  25. cmathewson
    Sure. So you can talk about whether they had a good process or not. Problem is, much of that is proprietary to the Twins. So from an outsiders' perspective, it might seem like a bad process. But that doesn't mean it is.
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