Physics Guy
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Everything posted by Physics Guy
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Agree completely. I honestly would be fine with either, just hope they try to add a pitcher to the rotation that is better than what they have.
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My preference is to go after one of the pitchers from Washington or Cincinnatti. I think that means Gio Gonzalez or Matt Latos. Of those two, I would prefer Gonzalez. His salary structure would fit well with the Twins, but I suspect he would cost us a bunch of prospects. Would a package of Polanco, Rosario and Gonsalves be enough? Would you be willing to give that up. I would still rather they go after Lester/Scherzer/Shields in FA than give up prospects. I'm not sure Ryan is willing to pay what it take to get one of those three. The three years Gio has left would be more palatable financially, but would cost a handful of prospects.
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Iwakuma has a $7M option that the Mariners would be crazy not to pick up.
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While I can't see any possibility of this happening, Stanton is absolutely the kind of player you trade a ton of prospects for. Sano, Arcia, and a couple of guys in the 10-20 range for prospects would be fine by me. You are trading two POTENTIAL 30+ HR guys for Stanton, but Stanton IS a 35+ HR guy who plays good defense. I wouldn't want to trade Meyer, but with the shoulder problems he has been having I'm not sure it would be a deal-breaker for me.
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Sorry guys, but teams with deep pockets don't trade guys who are top 10 OPS guys at their position. Kemp was #7 for all MLB OF's who qualified for the batting title. Crawford and Ethier on the other hand could probably be had for cheap.
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Kennedy had a grand total of about 60 IP for the Yankees. He established himself in AZ.
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Can't blame him, but the exclamation points were a bit much. Not good PR with your team. Also wouldn't be hard to see that he wishes he was with the Dodgers since they are in the playoffs.
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Agree completely. I said essentially the same in another thread. Trading Dozier to make room for Rosario or Polanco is akin to trading Span & Revere so Hicks can play OF. How did that work? Make the minor league guys come up and perform before you trade away good players. It especially doesn't make sense while Dozier is cheap. When he starts getting expensive in arbitration the maybe you think about it.
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I would argue that it affected the time it will take to reach his potential as a SS. The sooner he gets there the better. Again, I understand why they did it, but it needs to stop unless they absoultely don't have an option in CF next year. Agree completely with the end of your last sentence.
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Strong defensive results is questionable. I understand the need to play Santana in CF for a good part of the season, just think we should be looking forward in September. Santana is acutally a below average option in CF defensively, he was just the best option for a good chunk of the year. Again I would argue that Hicks/Schaefer in CF (platoon?) along with Santana at SS is equal or better production and leaves us Escobar as utility IF instead of Nunez. Escobar can play 3B, SS and 2B. If you want to throw Santana out in the OF to give Escobar a start at SS on occasion I would be fine with that.
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I saw this headline and felt my head about to explode: http://www.startribune.com/sports/twins/277295971.html I'm really surprised nobody commented on this. I just don't understand why you would waste a kid who has a chance to at least be average defensively at SS, potentially above average. I'm still mysitfied why he hasn't played more at SS in September. Jordan Schaefer is servicable in CF and Hicks has been better since his recall. We really don't know if Santana can be a full-time SS, but we should have had a better idea after September. Escobar could be an acceptable option, but he really strikes me as more of a Punto type. He would be an excellent utility guy and passable starter for short periods. I still believe in Santan at SS more than Escobar. Santana finished at .828 OPS. Even a regression towards .750 makes him a significant improvement from Escobar. It's probably not fair to Escobar, but I like the upside of a Santana at SS and Hicks/Schaefer in CF vs Escobar SS and Santana CF. I think the upside is greater both offensively and defensively. I also think having Escobar as your utility IF vs Nunez makes the team stronger. The other reason is that Santana playing CF is merely a stopgap (Buxton) and inhibits his development as a SS. As much as Santana has helped stabilize CF this year, I will not be happy if he is out there regularly in 2015.
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While I agree with you for the most part, teams also don't make bobbleheads of players they plan on trading. I've heard of plenty of "X-player Bobblehead Night" wrecked by a trade. The Twins have no business trading one of their best players until they have a clear major league ready player available. Hopefully we learned from trading both Revere and Span when Hicks wasn't ready. Make a player come up and force the issue.
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To clarify, there are situations I wouldn't vote for a player and change my mind later, but it wouldn't be for a guy like Jeter. With the number of highly qualified players that are eligible to get in and the limit on the number of guys you can vote for, I understand the dilemna the voters have now. Something is going to have to change with the voting. Understand that this comes from a guy who has never been a big fan of Jeter's, I just have a hard time disputing his candidacy.
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You are entitled to your opinion, but I feel he either deserves to be in or he doesn't. I just don't get this "undeserving of first ballot" election discussion. Unfortunately, there is a block of voters that hold the same reservation. He is clearly a Hall of Famer, but he will not be a unanimous selection. With the logjam of potential candidates piling up due to PED scandals, I doubt unanimous election will ever happen.
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Sickels on Santana: A Sleeper Who Woke Up
Physics Guy replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
He has found a position in CF merely because Hicks couldn't hit his way out of a paper bag to start the season and the Twins didn't have much choice. He is rough out there and wouldn't be a CF for more than another year (Buxton). Defensive metrics are not terribly kind to Santana in CF. He has the hands, range and arm to be a strong SS. He reminds me a little of Florimon when he first started with the Twins. Florimon could make great plays, but needed to find consistency. I think Santana will do the same if give the opportunity. While his current .830-ish OPS probably isn't sustainable, a .750 OPS at SS would give the Twins a large positional advantage (league avg is .678). -
I would not trade Plouffe until Sano is healthy and has proved he is a 3B. Plouffe will eventually get too expensive to keep around, but that is at least a couple of years down the road. Trading Plouffe because Sano is coming up is akin to trading Span and Revere because we had Hicks. How did that work out?
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Apparently Terry Ryan understands the idea of "sunk cost". From the StarTrib: “I take exception to that statement. If he’s one of the best five starters when we break spring training next year, then he’ll have one” of the spots, Ryan said. “Forget the contract — that has nothing to do with guys getting innings. Guys get innings because of quality.” Whether he follows this is another question. Here's a link to the entire story: http://www.startribune.com/sports/twins/276411371.html
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I've also wondered the same. My guess is he doesn't want to leave with four straight 90 loss seasons. Then again most managers aren't given the option.
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Dozier and Plouffe could show moderate improvement, specifically hitting closer to .270. I agree that Escobar, Suzuki and Schaefer could be due for regression though Escobar is young enough that his improvement could be simply due to experience and playing time. I don't know that Santana will improve, but I would be very happy to get the same production next year. Mauer is clearly a candidate for improvement. I think it's reasonable to expect (hope?) for a return to .800 OPS territory. Vargas and Arcia have showed glimpses of talent and just need to find some consistency (learn how to hit offspeed pitches). I still hold out hope for improvement from Hicks, though that hope is barely flickering. The offense really wasn't the problem this year and there is still room for improvement. Getting the team ERA around 4.00 is where we need to improve.
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Hamels was another I thought of, but his 5 years and $110M might be too rich for the Twins.
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I've been thinking of some possibilities for teams like Cincy who might be looking to unload salary. I'm not sure any of Cincy's options are great for us. I wouldn't want to give up what we would need to in order to get Cueto or Latos for most likely one season and a draft pick (by giving a qualifying offer). If the Twins decide to go the trade route for a SP, how about Gio Gonzalez? He would be our ace, but the Nats may not even have him start in the playoffs (Strasburg, Zimmerman, Roark and Fister). He is owed $35M for the next 3 years, well within the Twins' parameters. What would you be willing to give up? The Nats are not going to want Arcia with Werth and Harper already. Gibson/May and Escobar?
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I agree that Span is a great option, but I don't agree that the Nats won't pick up the option. A CF who plays average or better defensively and has an OPS of .765 isn't a throwaway. I would think they would at least pick it up and then try to trade him. Also, Ryan Zimmerman is no lock to stay healthy, so moving him out doesn't make a ton of sense. I don't see Harper as a full-time CF.
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I would be on board with the Twins signing Span, although I'm not sure he's interested. I guess in the end, money talks. I just would be surprised if the Nats didn't exercise their $9M option. He's had his best season since his second year in MN (.292/.352/.413). I doubt they see Harper as their full-time CF. Even if they want to move Zimmerman to the OF, why wouldn't they exercise the option and try to trade him? Zimmerman is most likely a LF or 1B in the future, but the Nats have relatively cheap options ($9M and $12M) for Span and Laroche, two productive players.
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Nationals Claim Twins Middle Infielder
Physics Guy replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Found the info I was looking for: "There is a loophole. However, if a player in the organization is on the DL on August 31 and still on the DL at the end of the regular season, that player may be replaced on the playoff roster by any player that was in the organization as of August 31." So yes, you are correct. The player has to be with the organization by Aug 31. -
Nationals Claim Twins Middle Infielder
Physics Guy replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I'm not sure that is entirely accurate. There are exceptions when there are players on DL, I think. Anybody know for sure?
