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DuluthFan

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Everything posted by DuluthFan

  1. DuluthFan
    If those are the contract numbers being offered, I would say WAIT. Those numbers are inflated. Dozier is still under team control this year and will not make anywhere near $1 million this year. Next year is his first arbitration year. Unless the player is an all star or a league leader in several offensive stats, he isn't worth that much in his first arbitration contract. The smart play is to WAIT until the first arbitration year to make any huge contract offer. If you wait until arbitration figures are exchanged you will then know what kind of money the player is looking for and you can then project what he will be willing to accept in a long term deal.
  2. DuluthFan
    The Twins are attempting to address their pitching needs. He has to be ahead of some of the pitchers currently on the roster and at AAA. I'm glad they are not relying on whoever was left on the roster from last year to improve. Many of the young players, and this includes Meyer, can start at AAA and be brought up later in the season IF they prove themselves capable. Outside signings don't typically occur midseason and usually get the first shot at opening day roster spots. Now will this player prove capable? I don't know, but the Twins can't wait until Meyer or any of the other pitchers get their MLB shot before signing him. I just hope they wait until AFTER the Rule 5 draft before officially signing him so another player is not exposed to the draft. Although the player will be exposed to waivers after the draft, hopefully most teams will have already settled their 40 man rosters and will pass on the waived player.
  3. DuluthFan
    The Twins need to make moves early in the offseason to stem the loss of season ticket holders. They need to sign two impact starting pitchers to generate interest in next year's team. Not middle of the rotation signings but top of the rotation players. Of course this will mean the unproven young prospects will need to work harder to break into the rotation, but at this point the Twins can't afford to wait to see if they might be able to play at the major league level. There must be visible proof that the team is trying to improve. A couple of corner outfield sigings would help as well. One for left and one to back up Arcia for when he goes into one of his many frustrating slumps. While he has played OK at times, there is still room for a more consistent player.
  4. DuluthFan
    I think it's time to stop thinking of Santana as a shortstop and start thinking of him as the starting center fielder for the Twins. He has earned/won the position. The same can be said for Escobar at shortstop. He has also earned/won the position. You cannot play two starters in one position (shortstop). You would then open up center field again while forcing Escobar into a utility role again. Why? You have two positions filled with capable starters. So what about Buxton? What about him? He is not on the team yet. He may never be on the team. He is a highly rated prospect, but he is still just a prospect. Some prospects never pan out. All the talk on Buxton is that he will eventually make the team and play really well. Eventually. Some day. But he still has a ways to go. His 2014 season was pretty much a wasted year and he will have to replay his season at AA. He has not faced any higher level talent yet. He will be at least a year or two away. As for some of the other fringe players on the major league roster, Hicks appears to be headed as a 4th outfielder, Parmalee's position appears to be taken by Vargas, Nunez looks like the utility player, Shafer could be in the mix for an outfield spot.
  5. DuluthFan
    Another catcher will need to be added to the 40 man roster this offseason. Fryer is on his last option year and would need to be kept on the 25 man roster. His value this year (and last) was to provide a serviceable major league backup while playing the majority of the season at AAA. There are two catchers at AA that are rule 5 eligible and another catcher at AAA that could serve in this role. They don't have to be notable, just able to fill in if there is an injury at the major league level. Hermann has not been playing catcher at the major league level this year, and while he could be safe, there may be other players that can take his place on the roster. Bernier had a decent year this year. He could realistically be rule 5 selected or signed as a free agent to be a utility infielder for a team looking for a major league ready player. Not all rule 5 picks need to be young prospects, they could be players that fill a need on a major league roster. He seems to be ready and could easily stick on a major league roster for an entire year. Also if Escobar sticks as the starting shortstop, there will be a need for a utility infielder (assuming Santana plays outfield or is sent back to AAA).
  6. DuluthFan
    Chris Hermann has not played catcher at the major league level this year (zero plate appearances as a catcher). You have to consider him an outfielder at this point, catching in an emergency only. While he still has one option year remaining, his spot at AAA may be taken by younger players who are promoted from AA. It would be doubtful that he could win a 25 man roster spot out of spring next year. This may be his last chance. Colabello's spot may have been taken by Vargas next season. Florimon has used his last option year this year. He is currently behind Escobar and Santana at the ML level and Bernier at the AAA level. Bernier has 2 options left and could have been a minor league free agent after the season. He would also have been eligible for the rule 5 draft if he is resigned without adding him to the 40 man. Hicks may be playing for the 4th outfielder position, not just for center field. He needs to out perform Schafer, Parmalee, Santana, Arcia, Nunez and Hermann. Plus he needs to beat out whatever outfielders the Twins sign in the off season (and they will need to sign at least one). And don't forget the unlikely situation that many (not I) have been pushing for, moving Plouffe to the outfield.
  7. DuluthFan
    Point taken. You also have to take into account whether he has been DFA'd before. Two DFA's allow the player to choose to become a free agent. Considering the Twins signed him as a minor league free agent, it is likely that he has already been DFA'd before. Why potentially expose a player to waivers who may not get looked at otherwise? He is a player that would most likely be taken off the 40 man roster after the season. He could be exposed twice this offseason. Once for the waiver and again for the rule 5 draft.
  8. DuluthFan
    Bringing Eric Farris up from AAA this late in the season would not make much sense unless you plan on keeping him on the major league team next year as well. He has already used up 2 of his option years while with Milwaukee (total of 10 PA over 14 games). If you wanted to keep Farris as a 4th outfielder next year, it would be nice to be able to option him if he struggles. It is also easier to trade a player like this if he can be stashed at AAA without taking a 40 man roster spot.
  9. DuluthFan
    Adding Buxton to the 40 man roster this year, after missing a lot of development time due to injury, would be a bad case of roster management. He does not need to be added this year. Since the Twins now have one of the better stocked minor league systems, they will need all of the extra roster spots to protect players who will become Rule 5 eligible this offseason. The Twins system will be under extra scutiny this offseason as other organizations look to plunder it via the draft.
  10. DuluthFan
    To find out who needs to be added to the 40 man roster this offseason, check out the new organizational link on the home page. You can sort by year they become eligible for the rule 5 draft. Don't for get to include the already eligible players (some may have improved their standing compared to last year). Also noteworthy is the players that would become minor league free agents if they are not added to the 40 man roster. While there are many calls to call up Mays & Myer this year, it would be in the Twins best interests to give extended playing time to the other AAA pitchers on the 40 man roster first. The Twins need to know if they should keep them or DFA them this offseason. There are a couple of other pitchers that will need to be added this offseason or be exposed to the Rule 5 draft (Gilmartin). There is no doubt that Mays & Myer will be around next year, it is not so clear cut for some of the other young pitchers.
  11. DuluthFan
    Prorated salary for the time on the major league roster, otherwise minor league wages. I believe the major league minimum in now $500K.
  12. DuluthFan
    I think your math might be off. Try running some numbers for his arbitration years before throwing numbers out there. 2015 Under team control next year. $550k est. 2016 1st year arbitration. $2-3 million (Plouffe got $2M+) 2017 2nd year arbitration. ? 2018 3rd year arbitration. ? 2019 1st Year Free Agent ?? Now to come up with the rest of your $40M contract, 2017-1019 he is going to average $12M per year? If he goes to his 2nd year of arbitration, what will he get? Maybe $6-8M? The last two years of that contract will be one ugly mess. This is the kind of contract that could cripple a team on a budget if he regresses or gets injured. If you argue that it is only an average $8M per year, look at how much you are overpaying in the first year. When your attendance revenue is still down. When you could use that extra $7M towards another player. When you could possibly pay him significantly less over that same period by going year to year with no risk of losing him until the final year when he will be 31. I would recommend waiting to offer a long term contract until after arbitration numbers are exchanged, preferably during the second year of his eligibility. At that point you will have a feeling for what he will be looking for long term because he will have submitted an offer of what he wants. You will also have seen him play 3-4 years at the major league level.
  13. DuluthFan
    Oh and beating the Tigers next week should help.
  14. DuluthFan
    It has less to do with how a team is actually playing and more with how the team is perceived by the sports writers that vote. If you have never watched the rankings week to week before, they tend to focus on the upper positions. Unless you are horribly bad they tend to not take as much time choosing the mid to lower positions. The Twins will need to do something extraordinary to get the writers to pay attention. I too think they should be ranked higher based on their current play, but the writers wont pay attention until it becomes obvious. There was one instance where I commented on their site on the placement of a Minnesota team before and it seemed like they took notice. I don't know if it was coincidence or not. But I would suggest a few well worded comments when the next list is posted on Tuesday could make the writers take a second look for the following week's list. As long as the team does it's thing and continues to play .500 ball, it is conceivable to see them ranked in the higher the following week.
  15. DuluthFan
    Way too early to discuss a contract like this. Has he even played a game at AA yet? You need to at least wait until he steps foot on the major league field. Kubel was injured in the fall league and lost roughly 2 seasons of playing time. And while he eventually produced on the major league level, he was never at the levels he was originally projected at. If you want to discuss these contract terms you should wait until he reaches arbitration. At that point you will have a good sense of his long term potential.
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