Gallup has had problematic polling for years. The Dems lead by nearly 9% on the generic ballot. (I really thought I saw a poll today that had them up by 12, but I couldn't track it down). My common sense (which isn't much) doesn't buy that somehow the GOP is getting more popular, I think they are taking significant water from the Kavanaugh "hearings" and Trumps general malaise. I see it among my coworkers too, many whom consider themselves moderate and while philosophically conservative, have given up on the GOP. I know many of us counted on such in 2016 to only end up with Trump, but I think the dynamic is clearly different. Two years of Trump and no Clinton on the ticket will go a long way to Blue wave. I too question the adeptness of the Democratic party, but if there has been a "play" on Kavanaugh, it's worked pretty well (if by means I would never prefer or endorse); I certainly hope the DNC etc. has learned their lessons, but I think we all define what that learning might be differently. I do worry the Democrats may not be up to the task, but I think there's a real cultural shift that their incompetence won't matter, and they'll be in power in spite of it.