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PseudoSABR

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Everything posted by PseudoSABR

  1. I think that's wishful thinking. It makes far more sense for the Dodgers to hold onto Urias and forego Kohl Stewart or whoever would sweeten the pot. Maybe the Twins can get Urias, but it will because of Dozier's value not because they sweetened the pot.
  2. Beyond robbing of the soul of the game, it would universalize a strike zone, depriving an element of strategy in there being no need for game-to-game (umpire-to-umpire) adjustment. The drama of whether its a ball or a strike, both to the fan and the hitter, would become moot, as it wouldn't take long for the hitters (and the fans) to learn with certitude the dimensions of that automated strike zone. (The result would probably be more walks at first, followed by a lot more offense as the pitchers are further forced to pitch in a concrete zone). I think this would also have collateral effects on the diverse means to successfully getting a strike call, further standardizing a pitcher's skillset/repetiore/technique and a catcher's ability to effect the game. Thus making the game boring and the players copies of each other.
  3. Others probably can speak better to the issue than I can, but I believe the acceptance of pitcher framing has come a long way in that time. Whether Castro's talents in "pitcher framing" prove more real than Suzuki's defense, I don't know--but I do believe there's more of statistical case for Castro.
  4. It's an asset that fits within the budget. In a year (or two), he might be tradeable in the same we are talking about Ervin Santana this offseason. We know there were at least two other suitors who had offered three year contracts. A mistake that too many rebuilding teams make is not acquiring major league assets to artificially keep the payroll low.
  5. I'm not sure it's fair or correct to compare Castro to Hughes and Nolasco. Change in front-office leadership, and the initial Hughes contract was a good one.
  6. You want them to fix the pitching, but don't want them to fix the catching? Look pass the batting average, Dave.
  7. The arbitration system is broken. It's stupid that every team but the Twins can pay Plouffe less money*. The forced pay increases within the system far too often force teams to non-tender their home-grown talent when they have an off-year (or injury) in the final years of arbitration. The previous salary should have no bearing on an arbitration number--perhaps time-served should or previous production (but not salary itself); if a player has a career year in his year of arbitration, but gets hurt or regresses back to the mean, non-tendering is far too often the outcome. The system deemphasizes teams retaining their own talent in such situations, when it should do the opposite. This is the right move. But Plouffe probably would have had a place on this team (or have been a tradeable asset) at a (much) lower cost. *I suppose Plouffe could have accepted a pay cut, but I doubt that outcome happens very rarely if at all.
  8. Proud of you guys for taking the risk of naming your price. I know there's been periods in my life where even the low cost would have kept me from purchasing. Hopefully students and others take advantage, and those of who can afford to can help make up the difference.
  9. We expect a summary by the end of the day.
  10. Some hopeful news from Buster Olney @Buster_ESPN
  11. Derek Falvey, who Passan tweeted was finalist yesterday, is also similarly young at 33. (Looks like I'm too old for the job. Oh well. Resume withdrawn.)
  12. Ken Rosenthal Sources: #Rays vice president of baseball operations Chaim Bloom among candidates for #Twins’ leadership position. More info on Bloom from mlbtraderumors
  13. Darren Wolfson, on his podcast, asserted that Rob Antony will not get the job (right around 2:30 mark); in the same podcast he presented an interview Antony (this might be the same TV interview). He also said the Cherington is very, very much in the mix...
  14. But I'm the prettiest. And clearly, I won't be going with you. Pfft.
  15. I wouldn't frame Paul Molitor quite that way. He's not Joe Vavra. I specifically mentioned loyalty as problem, but the hiring of the next coach is far more complex than that.
  16. Who knows what you inferred. Do you think it's problem of poor decision making or an organizational flaw? And what is that flaw, do you think it's risk aversion (as I said) or do you think it's problem with scouting. And if it's poor decision making was it TR's alone or others too? And how does an organization safe guard against that? Just stop acting like there is no nuance to the job the next GM inherits. The actual, systemic issues are NOT obvious; they are embedded and take effort to root out.
  17. MAKE SURE TO CHECK HIS MEMBERSHIP CARD. Come on. That doesn't give much if any guidance, beyond devaluing loyalty.
  18. Yup, I didn't just identify the problem, I attempted to assess why those problems occur. There's a meaningful difference between the two lists, as I've explained. Signing mid-rotation starters to long term contracts did happen three times in two years, but the systemic problem is that which underlies such decisions, which far harder to root out and assess than merely point them out...
  19. I'll also add that I think hiring a Consulting Firm might do more than simply help in getting the next GM. I hope, and I imagine, that there's an internal audit, where they are doing gap-assessment analysis (i.e. figuring out organizationally where the gaps are in what they should be doing/what their competitors are doing). It's easy identify the problem, it's far more complicated to assess why that problem occurred...was it the result of organizational and procedural flaws, or was it the result of poor decision-making, and what kinds of protocol can be put in place to safeguard such risk to poor decision-making...
  20. Is that even the GMs call? And I was taking the list as a whole; simply telling the next GM to fire the coach without adding what you hope to accomplish other than devaluing loyalty isn't useful at all. FIRE THE BAD PEOPLE! is no advice at all.
  21. You don't understand the difference between anecdotal and systemic problems? He wasn't looking for examples--WE ALL KNOW THE EXAMPLES. He's looking for specific suggestions about changes in approaches, operations, and philosophy. Suggesting that we do what the Giants/Cards are doing is like saying; JUST GET BETTER. Suggesting that they shouldn't sign number 5 starters long term is like saying: JUST DON'T BE STUPID. The point is to offer forward-looking advice, not hind-sight criticism. I'll offer a few. * The organization was too risk-adverse. We needed to take more risks on bigger contracts, even if they didn't pan out, rather than playing it safe with mid-rotation starters (who may only hurt slightly less if they don't work out). * Cut bait, loyalty only goes so far. This is why trading Meyers perhaps shows a change in philosophy. * Sell high on players on short term contracts. This is why trading Nunez can be seen as an asset. * Bring in outside organizational people, no matter who is the GM. * Figure out what happened at Spring Training this year, where the team wasn't ready to play. If that means gutting the minor league coaches, and some major league one's so be it. (And just to be clear, I'm a proponent of hiring someone from outside; but I'm not going to ignore what Anthony has done that's different from TR has done.)
  22. These are mostly criticism of TR, and anecdotal rather than systemic problems that can be said to be the result of organizational flaws. I certainly hope Jack doesn't respond to something so heavy-handed.
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