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snepp

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Everything posted by snepp

  1. snepp
    It seems to me that this has more to do with the players hitting in front of him than it does with him hitting for more power. If the guys in front of him aren't very good, all hitting 3rd is going to accomplish is to give more plate appearances to poor hitters. If you have these two options, which one makes more sense? 1. Lousy Hitter 2. Putrid Hitter 3. Mauer 4-9 other guys or 1. Lousy Hitter 2. Mauer 3-8 other guys 2. Putrid Hitter You've got the same guys leading up to Mauer in both instances, with option two giving a bad hitter 150 fewer plate appearances in the process. He isn't going to magically get more players on base if he hits 3rd instead of 2nd unless the players hitting in front of him get better in the process.
  2. snepp
    No Duensing, no deal.
  3. snepp
    So if Mauer starts showing more power you want to give him fewer plate appearances?
  4. snepp
    How about 2010 when he was better with Mauer behind the plate than he was with Butera?
  5. snepp
    Would this be an opportune time to use the, "if everyone else does their job *insert player* doesn't have to," bit from BYTO?
  6. snepp
    Here's the problem I have with this, he's going to be hitting behind the same couple of guys regardless of if he hits 2nd, or 3rd. You can either move him, along with the rest of the good hitters up in the order, giving them all additional plate appearances, or you can leave him where he is and have two weak players at the top of the lineup instead of just one.
  7. snepp
    How about a couple extra walks? How about a little bit of power in the hits that do come? How about the opportunity cost of flushing a roster spot down the toilet that could be used on a potentially useful player? The complete lack of versatility given his inability to a viable pinch hitter, or even be used as a pinch runner? But you've got the answer, 6 hits is all there is to it, nothing more.
  8. snepp
    Did you just cite sample size as a problem with the analysis, then immediately turn around and use a sample size of 30 events to support yours?
  9. snepp
    Right. Drew isn't just another of your typical bad-bat, good-field players, their places on a roster are usually justifiable. He's among history's all-time worst offensive performers. The collective putridity of the players on that list is truly a thing of wonder.
  10. snepp
    Not nearly enough prowess to overcome this.... http://img72.imageshack.us/img72/7646/buterahistoricallyawful.jpg
  11. snepp
    They could have taken a shot on Saunders and Marcum if they hadn't prematurely blown their load on Correia.
  12. snepp
    Didn't Morneau have some kind of utterly ridiculous .300 OPS against lefties through his first 80 or 90 plate appearances against them?
  13. snepp
    Gomez nearly slugged as high as Butera's OPS, stole 40 bases, and posted a ~3 WAR season. There's no excusing Butera's place on a major league roster, while Gomez had a quality season and is being rewarded for it.
  14. snepp
    Pelfrey isn't healthy yet and is on a one year contract. Meyer and May? No here yet. Gibson hasn't thrown a major league inning. Hendriks hasn't thrown a quality major league inning. Take your "not "save" them this season" strawman elsewhere. He wouldn't be blocking anybody, he would be, at worst, pushing a still-injured pitcher coming off serious elbow surgery out of the rotation.
  15. snepp
    No, you don't sign him in case of injury, you sign him because with a couple of exceptions he's better than that entire list.
  16. snepp
    Doesn't everybody?
  17. snepp
    Right, include the current rankings in each individual poll thread. It's just a convenience for anybody that hasn't been following along closely (or that has a lousy memory *cough, me*).
  18. snepp
    nurse has become the victim yet again, this thread is now complete.
  19. snepp
    Uh, what? They were in the $95-100 million area.
  20. snepp
    I approve of this message.
  21. snepp
    I think he's right about one thing, including the rankings-thus-far in the opening post would be good.
  22. snepp
    Psuedo-hard?
  23. snepp
    The team fighting for an extra 100k isn't what's troubling, it's that the opportunity to fight is even there in the first place. He should have been released and offered a minor league contract with a spring training invite long ago. That they continue to allow him to eat up a 40-man spot and draw a guaranteed major league salary is baffling.
  24. snepp
    Doc Gooden was dominant in the 80's, Roger Clemens was dominant, or Bret Saberhagen. Hell, Dave Stieb has a better claim to being "dominant" in the 80's. Morris was really good, but it's nothing more than coincidence that he had a career where the 80's overlapped his prime years perfectly. The "pitcher of the 80's" stuff may make for a fun narrative, but it makes for a lousy justification for a hall vote.
  25. snepp
    The $5 million per WAR comes from what teams spend on free agents as a whole compared to those players' WAR values as a whole. Anywho, a replacement level team is considered to be 45-50 wins, that would be the starting floor in your example, not zero. Teams obviously obtain considerable value from their pre-arb/pre-FA players making a fraction of their open market value, so the overall value per win at the team level isn't $5 million because not all players come out of free agency. Theoretically, if a team did build itself entirely out of free agents, with no indentured servants, they would end up paying in the neighborhood of that $5 million per win to go above those 45-50.
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