There was a lot of hand-wringing last year about what the Twins did and did not do in the free agent market, most of which was based upon analysis of previous statistics and predictions based on them for the coming season. As I'm always reminded when I invest in a mutual fund, past results are no guarantee of future performance. Any idiot with a computer can make FA decisions based merely on past results. The truly effective GMs, the ones who stand the test of time, are those who, while consulting historical numbers, are able to look beyond them and correctly anticipate future results, both positive and negative, and make decisions based on those anticipated results. I agree it's still too early to call this year a success (or a failure). But so far TR is looking smarter than his competitors.