Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

jokin

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,852

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    8

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by jokin

  1. jokin
    How about the other Latin Lover? A week ago I predicted Go-Go would have a big series v. the Twins... but wow, talk about focused, look at those eyes when he's got a bat in his hands, he's like a baseball Singletary up there at the plate.
  2. jokin
    The guy is what his career indicated he would be. Initial struggles (although took that to apocalyptic levels in April), streaks of both greatness and ineptitudal setbacks, followed by a reasonable level of performance- varying from demonstrable professional competence to potentially much more (the HR and catch tonight) when all is finally said and done in year 2.
  3. jokin
    Just be wary of early-onset puberty if your kids share the computer...
  4. jokin
    Has the Andrew Albers promotion juggernaut been sidelined for the short-term? 4.1IP/ 7Hits/5ER/3BB/3K/.538OBA
  5. jokin
    No, he's been anything but bad. I think he's performed at a level that was about the best that any realistic fan could hope for. It's just that it seems for certain fans, if any Twin exceeds expectations particularly based on the SSS, they go completely to the extreme- to characterizations that include references to "the best" at the position.
  6. jokin
    Thanks for the supporting defensive stats. They certainly confirm the eye test. Rather than thinking about placing him amongst the defensive elite at SS, how about we just see if he can sustain anything close to his May numbers for a longer period, or it may be he's just another in a long list of Latin teases at SS for the Twins.
  7. jokin
    At least you backed off of the previous bombast that characterized and claimed every critic of Butera was actually blaming him for all of the Twins woes. This would have made a better substitute first post in response to the topic.
  8. jokin
    FWIW, I was down in CR last weekend. Buck didn't do much, but he still conducted himself and played in a manner at the plate far beyond his years- maybe chased a couple of balls in PAs where the pitchers were giving him nothing to swing at. Defensively, I thought he looked major league ready.
  9. jokin
    Wow. I think this kid is really going to be something when a May performance slash of .272/.367/.456/.823 can be classified as "really struggling." I would posit that May results were inevitable league adjustments, followed by a June where Buxton makes adjustments to the adjustments. Remember the guy is 19 in a league where virtually all of the top pitchers and position players are anywhere from 22-25 years of age.
  10. jokin
    Dang it. The Twins apologists have already "convinced" me to realistically change my time-frame expectations of competitiveness to 2018. Time for more expectation-back-re-calibration you say?
  11. jokin
    How about an order ending with Hicks, Escobar, Diamond, and give Florimon a try at the 2-spot, if Gardy is so dead-set on returning Mauer to #3? Florimon .696 OPS vs Dozier .508 OPS
  12. jokin
    So when exactly, did Lennon and McCartney visit Haight-Ashbury? Are you still collecting royalties?
  13. jokin
    Extraordinarily well-stated. But why use cogent examples and factually-based analysis when, especially since you're not a doctor or baseball GM,....... bombastic hyperbole and reductio ad absurdum in place of logical points suffices for such on TD?
  14. jokin
    To be fair, that $10M value is highly inflated on the position-related premium applied to the WAR calculation for catchers. The big problem with the Mauer contract is the Twins lack of understanding that with Mauer healthy and signed long-term, they need to quickly re-build around him, and not pull back and cut back.... and then surreptitiously blame the contract for their unwillingness to double down and spend more while you have a player of his caliber to build around.
  15. jokin
    I agree with your sentiments on this point and have gone back and forth on the Buxton/Gausman debate. You can go the other way and go against your argument by using Mark Prior and Joe Mauer as an illustration. Of course, with Gausman, the Twins would never have fast-tracked him at the rate the Orioles are comfortable doing. I particularly think you undersold your estimtion of Buxton's career path. Barring injury, he's a virtual certainty to be in the majors, by as early as 2015, perhaps even, late 2014. How far he goes up the major league food chain will be up to him, but he certainly has a far higher ceiling than your minimalist dismissal of his chances suggest. Still, if these 2 were essentially equal in the BPA rankings in 2012 (it was probably a close call), it would seem the Twins had to go with Gausman, given the glaring need and the draft apparently being their only viable route to re-building the rotation.
  16. jokin
    And will be again in 2014....
  17. jokin
    How about question 1A? Why is Dozier batting in the 2-hole again?
  18. jokin
    Irony...thy name is Parmelee?
  19. jokin
    LOL. Great point of irony, indeed! Still, look at 1-5 in their order...name one guy you wouldn't want in place of the current Twin counterpart. Irony...thy name is Betancourt...
  20. jokin
    OK then, they may as well not play 2 teams with a .275 record, just schedule all of those games with the Rangers, Cardinals and Yankees. Yes, the Twins were slightly under .500 in 10 and 11, they didn't have NL .275 teams on their schedule (however, they did clean up on NL teams, as a rule, more often during the 00s), but the AL as a whole has a larger sample size of superiority and this has held over 10 years- indicative that their should be an aggregate improvement in W-L per AL team over NL counterparts adding 6 Astro games to the Twins schedule and playing more weaker NL teams should only enhance the possibility of increasing on that trend and skewing the Twins final W-L record up. I would think that the Twins 9-9 in interleague play in 2012 is demonstrative of the advantage of playing the NL when you draw the weaker teams of the league- given how weak the Twins were. Now you add 6 more games with the Astros, according to your theory that now should add another win, "not adjusting for opponent strength". I would think that adjusting for opponentsLACK OF STRENGTH enhances my argument even further, perhaps yet another win or two. And that confirms what I was saying originally. Going over to the NFL in closing, in their search for "competitive balance", is their approach of granting the easiest schedules to the previous year's weaker teams a complete fools errand under your scenario?
  21. jokin
    Their .417 winning percentage puts the team to a projected 67.5 wins, so your characterization of "slightly better" is ironically apt. The coming sell mode assures that the weaker lineup gives them little hope of being appreciably better than last year. Going back to the schedule, does anyone dispute that the Twins good W-L records in the 00s was largely dependent on playing large numbers of games against bad Tiger, Royal and Indian teams? As far as this year goes, the Twins picked up 6 extra games with a .288 team and 4 with a .255 team, plus drawing 10 more NL games from teams in the .380 range like Milwaukee and NY. Can anyone argue that they don't have a better chance in those games than playing more games with .500 teams or especially if they had drawn teams more closely resembling the Cardinals, Yankees and Rangers?
  22. jokin
    How did Neyer's study go with the differences of playing 6 games and 4 games against 2 true .275 teams?
  23. jokin
    Except you don't take into account the MN Twins specifically, and the American League in general, recent dominance of NL teams, this has been ongoing since 2002. And playing many of the NL dregs this season only intensifies the likelihood of the continuation of that trend. The sample I am using for this year is more than 6 games, this year there are 6 additional games added to an already-established trend of NL vs. Twins outcomes.
  24. jokin
    Easily one of the best paragraphs ever posted on TD by a staffer.
  25. jokin
    I didn't say what you said I did. Using an absurdist extreme to make your point- simply doesn't make your point I did say that their schedule is demonstrably easier this year, playing 6 games with the Astros, plus drawing some of the weakest NL teams on their schedule. That makes it pretty easy to show that their W-L record will likely be skewed and conclusions about the team should reflect as such.
×
×
  • Create New...