Lots of thought provoking assertions from Posnanski, as always. A few things that caught my eye: ..[P]erhaps the most significant point of Moneyball II -- the A's do not take anything for .granted. They do not go into the season believing that ANYBODY will get 600 plate appearances or make 35 starts or will have as good a year as last year. Billy Beane makes it clear: They will not make decisions based on what they hope will happen. Optimism is not a strategy. Over the last few years, it seems as though this has been one of the Twins' biggest flaws, e.g. going into the last 2 seasons without true plans for CF. Yes, there were injuries and yes, we all hoped Aaron Hicks would thrive but it really does seem like it was based on optimism. Same thing with the rotation before this off-season .... really seemed to be built on a wing and a prayer. Everybody around baseball knows that players peak from ages 25 to 31 or so. The A's live by the rule. The A's are giving 86 percent of their plate appearances to players in that age group Contrast that with what the Twins did this off-season in adding Kubel, Suzuki and Bartlett. Admittedly, it worked with Suzuki but it is also a position of more scarcity (and we really don't know what would happen with Pinto getting a larger percentage of PT). It makes the Kubel and Bartlett decisions seem even more bizarre. I have much less problem with the Twins giving chances to players who haven't yet reached 25 because it means that they may be better able to take advantage of their peak seasons in a year or two. Zaidi talks about how manager Bob Melvin is the best in the business at using the entire roster while managing to keep the team together mentally and emotionally. That is trickier than it sounds. When we talk about Josmil Pinto languishing on the bench, I wonder about Gardenhire's roster use but I do think that in the past keeping the team running on all cylinders was one of Gardenhire's strengths. I'm just not sure he's as willing/able to do that when he has a number of relative unknowns on the team. The stadium crumbles in real time, attendance is bottom five as usual, and there's little to no money to spend on salaries. Status quo. I also wonder if Oakland gets a new stadium and bigger budget (a la Target Field) if they will lose their way temporarily. (Same question I have about Tampa). I have always felt that part of the Twins' problem was that they took their eye of the ball as they approached the opening of TF. Their corporate focus seemed to be much more on the fan experience than on the product on the field. Part of that was probably Bill Smith but a bigger part of it was probably group think.