I can't remember the exact number, but in order for stealing to pay off over the course of a season, a base stealer has to be successful something like 75% of the time, or else the expected run value is hurt to the point that staying at first is the better move. Stealing third is even of less advantage; my recollection is that it has to be successful over 80% of the time to pay off over the course of a season. Bunting is almost always dumb move from the EV standpoint--giving up an out for a base is not the right statistical play unless the hitter's average is something like .160 (again, working from memory), which won't be the case too often with the DH (but this could be adjusted for a lefty against lefty where the hitter can't handle southpaws, I presume). Giving up an out for two bases--moving runners from 1st and 2nd to 2nd and 3rd-- with no outs IS a proper play to get at least one run. If a big inning is needed, then probably not too wise to give up an out for two bases. Hit and run isn't so easy to quantify--or if it is, I've missed the articles analyzing it. Sending Kepler on a hit and run with Arraez at the plate is probably OK. Sending Sano when 2020 Garver is up--not so much. But, I like to end on agreement, and hitting them where the fielders aren't strikes me as just common sense. I heard a major leaguer explain that it's hard enough to try to hit a 97 MPH fastball or a 85 MPH slider without trying to aim it, and I understand that; not all hitters can do it. But it's something to work on, maybe. JcS