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Dodecahedron

Twins Daily Jail
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  1. Rosario was the better player in 2020, so in the "what have you done for me lately?" department, Rosario's $8M salary is much nicer than Lindor's $22M. I can only guess as to how a player needs to perform in order to earn $22M, but I would assume Lindor would have to return to his 2018 form in order to be worth it. Rosario, on the other hand, just needs to keep doing what he's doing. I would call this a pretty good replacement, if you want to call it that. Of course. Lindor plays a much more valuable position in the field
  2. Robinhood is a "free" app, but you are giving them data. This data is used by their parent company, which also owns the hedge fund that lost a bunch of cash for shorting Gamestop. The narrative in the news is Robinhood suspended the ability to buy Gamestop because they ran out of cash. Of course that's false. Their parent company was losing billions. Wall Street truly got beaten at their own game.
  3. The problem with this theory is one of the few players who can actually hit those and get on base.
  4. Dobnak rocketed through the minors and he can toss a sinker. I think he profiles nicely for the division and he might give a team like the Yankees trouble in the playoffs. Not saying Dobnak is a star, but there is a lot to like.
  5. I'm in the camp that this rotation is good enough. It's time to finish the bullpen. Any more FA starter signings would just bump one of these guys to the minors, which seems like a bad plan since any FA available isn't much better than what the Twins have already. If the Twins want more depth, trade for some AAA pitchers who they can use if the team needs a fresh arm.
  6. I'm not sure about the 1-year deal. The Twins do not appear to be "all-in" this year, so a longer deal would have made more sense.
  7. I wonder how Iowa fared. The stormed seemed to sit over Iowa for a very long time.
  8. I don't want Marwin either. I agree, the final number will probably be around $100M. Payroll will definitely be higher if they bring back Cruz.
  9. I agree that the roster posted is pretty close to final. I disagree that they will pursue another starting pitcher, I think they got the Odorizzi replacement they wanted to get. Pencil in Marwin as the utility guy and add a couple of relievers and I think they are done. I think the only question is whether Cruz comes back. The fewer moves the Twins make in the meantime, the less likely he will. The bottom $ looks like ~$96M. I suspect this is already much higher than the Twins want to be paying this year by roughly one Josh Donaldson.
  10. What Kris Bryant would bring to the Twins: Joe Mauer contract 2.0 and an excuse not to spend money.
  11. We didn't get hand, foot, and mouth disease in my day. We got real men's diseases, like dysentery.
  12. I'm sure the number of baseball players who thought last year was fun is pretty low. If Bryant ends up going to the AL Central, the most likely landing spot is to the other team in Chicago. Of the teams that would feel comfortable paying his salary, the Sox would be the most "fun." If the Twins got rid of Rosario, who would have been owed about half as much money and whose ability is about half of a Bryant -- yes including striking out about half as often as Bryant -- do not expect the Twins to be looking at Bryant. We have to look at players who are less valuable than Rosario to get a good gauge as to what the Twins are looking for. Expect a couple of $5M-$7M deals for lottery tickets or replacement-level material.
  13. This seems like a typical 21st century Twins signing. I'm more worried about the lost bats this offseason than the pitching. The Twins starting pitchers already have the potential to carry the team. Maybe the Twins agree, and this is just an "insurance" or "depth" move. I don't care about the money spent, nor should any Twins fan. I'm sure the Twins will work on the offense soon.
  14. When I saw the headline on this piece, I figured it was Gonzalez. Didn't we read over the past two off-seasons some very strong opinions that Gonzalez's "Super Utility" ability was going to be the key to championships? Didn't we read that it didn't matter that he was "only-OK" at many things and the master of nothing? I guess his incredible failures down the stretch last year silenced even the loudest of his cheerleaders. But enough of that. To put a positive spin on things, assuming there's a good chance he will be back: 1. It is unlikely his bat will be as bad as it was in 2020. 2. Let's face it, his defense was never elite, it was versatile. He still has that. 3. Last year was a small sample size and should be ignored. Not just for Gonzalez. 4. His G.I. Joe beard is very impressive. It's basically the opposite of Keanu Reeves's beard, which is more like "Upper G.I." Joe, if you catch my meaning.
  15. If the top guys are getting around $10M/yr, Odorizzi isn't going to get what he is expecting. Hopefully the Twins have spoken to him about the market and given him an appropriate offer.
  16. I don't know that I have seen much in the Twins fanbase in the way of being upset about not getting reliever X or reliever Y. Apart from overreacting to Nathan's injury* and Ryan's teardowns, the Twins do a surprising job of getting a lot of out their relievers. I've learned to not question the team when it comes to building the bullpen, as the results often surprise me. *Who can blame them? I would have overreacted too.
  17. What sank Sox teams in the past is their defense. How does the defense stack up?
  18. Some of the responses here seem a little sour-grapey. The truth is, Hendriks was good within a year after leaving the Twins organization. He has been good, barring a couple of slumps, for five years. He was good in the minors, so his performance in the MLB should not be a surprise to anybody. We all know how the Twins team was in disarray when he was with the club, lacking both starting pitching and an outfield defense to give the pitchers a chance to succeed. We all saw the games where opposing teams would tee off hit after hit into the outfield, with far to many balls hitting the turf than should have.
  19. The Bruno trade came out of nowhere. We were all scratching our heads at the time. A couple of years later, of course, we were all equally surprised that Bruno's seemed to not be quite as good as we thought. We wondered aloud how the Twins knew. I never thought of this as a "bad trade" -- just a very strange, unexpected trade. This was about getting rid of Bruno and his salary, not anything else, and we will probably never know all the details as to why it happened or how the Twins' crystal ball was so correct.
  20. Hard to say how I feel about this -- I'm "surprised not surprised" I suppose, which is an odd thing to say. I would not count Cleveland out just yet. The Twins had a lot of turnover in the 00s, but kept things rolling due to a good culture. Cleveland could continue to be good. We also don't yet know what the Twins will do before 2021. They may make similar moves.
  21. Of course owners "took a loss" -- meaning they made less money than they expected. Sure, crocodile tears on that, but you have to understand that making less money -- probably a lot less money -- is a big deal to these guys and is seen as a "loss." When it comes to the Twins, who always pretend they are so poor they only managed to get running water after Target Field was built, and even since then they still only have intermittent hot water, you can bet they are keenly aware of every dollar they did not make last year. When it comes to the pandemic, sure we are told we will all be vaccinated by May. If you believe this to be true (I expect it will be more like June-August), the baseball season would normally already be in full swing by then, which includes a couple of months of preseason activities. Delaying the season makes sense. You can bet the players and owners want to play as many games as possible and be as "back to normal" as possible. Thankfully, they are being realists about the situation and planning properly.
  22. We are still in the era of playoff failures. I agree that it is difficult to imagine this front office signing someone like Batista or sticking with players like Brendan Harris or even Nick Punto for as many years as the last group stuck with them. Instead, we are debating whether getting rid of someone like Rosario is a good idea. This is a completely different league of thought. As for being analytically-driven, even the traditional stats were not big on those guys in the Ryan era. Ryan was believing his own press -- that he could grab an old, past-his-prime player, turn him back into a swan, and save cash along the way. This worked often enough in the 00s, no doubt because there was a good core in place and the front office was just working the margins. When he took over the team a second time, this approach was embarrassing.
  23. The Twins have never signed a top tier player of this stature (or at this price point, if you want to be more honest). I don't know why we waste our time thinking about this sort of thing.
  24. This isn't too far off -- this article describes how Woodbury was not too long ago.
  25. I understand Knoblauch's frustration at the time. Many players since have shared the same sentiments, including Johan Santana. When Knoblauch came to the Twins, he was among a group of players playing at the top of their games. Himself included. When he left, he was the last elite player left, with not much hope for change. In fact, the owner was in private negotiations to fold the club and, in retrospect, it looked like the GM was privy to this information and was doing the bare minimum to field a team. As good as this tree looks, it was not until 4 years after this trade where the players started to make a collective positive impact to the club. On the other hand, the Yankees went to the World Series every year Knoblauch was in a Yankees uniform, winning three of them in decisive fashion. The 98 team is considered one of the best teams in MLB history. We know now how Knoblauch is broken as a human being, even ending his career with a severe case of the yips, but I'm not sure that's something to use as a feather in our caps. Nevermind that the way this trade worked out for the Twins was probably accidental!
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