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Greglw3

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Everything posted by Greglw3

  1. Greglw3
    Good point!
  2. Greglw3
    I watched the video earlier tonight. If Oakland comes calling with the type of prospects described for Nelson Cruz, I’d be underwhelmed. He may easily be able to play another season for whoever acquires him. This may not make good baseball sense but I’d hate to part with Cruz. It would hurt. He’s been a blessing for the organization, classy and one of the best hitters in Twins history pro-rated. I also feel he;’s lent a measure of prestige to the Twins, who don’t often acquire a hitter of his stature in free agency. Before this season went off the rails, I really wanted him to retire a Twin - after the 2022 season. If a team wants an impact bat of that magnitude, they need to pay a top 8-10 pitching prospect. I’m very leary of them fishing in the A+ arena for Cruz. No. We need guys like Winder, Balazovic, maybe a healthy Canterino. The sooner the starting pitcher rebuild for 2022 starts the better, especially as sluggish as Falvey and Levine get in the offseason. If they could add a couple good near ready, pitching equivalents of Kirilloff and Larnach now, and then get the job done on an impact starter in the early to mid offseason, either trade or free agent - then the Twins might have a fighting chance.
  3. Greglw3
    I'm all for it. We’re going nowhere with Happ and possibly Pineda. I think you’re right in that we can’t know who the pitching equivalents of Larnach and Kirilloff are unless we give them a chance. Some really intriguing relievers too!
  4. Greglw3
    Here’s what I posted on Twitter yesterday and it’s relevant to the FO decision making.
  5. Greglw3
    While researching this, I was flabbergasted to see Winder’s ERA all the way up to 3.5 with apparently only 2 IP. After some digging-- mostly in very recent articles on TD and a post on Twitter, I was mostly reassured that he escaped largely unscathed!
  6. Greglw3
    Bailey Ober has come up and made a pretty good impression. Still the Twins need more help. With Larnach and Kirilloff looking like franchise players, who will be the next pitching prospect capable of coming to the Twins and helping?
  7. Greglw3
    I think last night gave him a nicely improved "numbers argument". I took a look at his numbers in Baseball Reference and he is slashing .209/.304/.441/.745 OPS with a 0.6 WAR after the two homer night (3 homers in 2 games?). The league average for the AL is .244/.316/.410 and a .725 OPS. The WAR seems low although I’m not a Sabrmetrics guy. I think the two homers are maybe a sign he’s ready to make the uphill climb. To anybody that puts much credence in the Sabrmetrics stats, this may not make sense but I think that a .745 OPS or OPS+ is not the same when the OBP part of it is reached more by walks than hits, which is the case for Kepler. With a .209 BA, he has to elevate 107 points to get to the league average OPS. Quite simply, on the whole, a hit is much more valuable than a walk. I also agree with Dodecahedron that Kepler gave the Twins 3 months of far substandard production for a RF (thus chipping in his fair share with the complex web of reasons why the Twins record is so bad). I just read that with OPS+ it adjusts for the park but not for the position. Especially prior to this recent outburst, I find it hard to believe that he would have been over 100 compared to all AL right fielders with his .199 BA and .680ish SLG. Let’s hope he can keep it up!
  8. Greglw3
    I see players on other teams hitting to the vacant spot at second base a lot but not as much on the Twins. That shift, had it been employed against Rod Carew would have lasted no more than one game!
  9. Greglw3
    Agree, it is sad. Max seems like a good guy. Does he have as much talent as Larnach or Kirilloff? I thought so but it appears not. He needs some good coaching and a willingness to change his approach. It may be time to cut ties.
  10. Greglw3
    I think his biggest problem is he can’t or won’t use the whole field like Larnach and Kirilloff. My theory is that he became pull happy after the 36 home runs and wants to beat the shift by hitting over it. Now, disturbingly he’s striking out a lot too. I agree, he should almost never bat against a lefty. So many times he could have an easy single if he would just bunt to the left side with the extreme shifts leaving half the left side of the infield open. .199 or just over .200 just won’t cut it.
  11. Greglw3
    I feel frustrated that Baldelli left Griffin Jax in way too long - well after he showed he was tiring. I’d say 5 or 6 hitters too long. He’s been doing this for 3 years. And it costs games. Shoemaker left in for 9 runs in the first, Martin Perez left in and beaten up for 8 runs early in a game in 2019. The list is very long. It pains me to say it but he just seems out of touch with in game pitcher management.
  12. Greglw3
    No. You trade Donaldson to get a top 10-12 prospect, a pitcher, and dump salary that can be used to acquire a free agent pitcher like Marcus Stroman. Then you have a strong player to slide in with Miranda plus two new quality pitchers.
  13. Greglw3
    Who do you think is the best left fielder in Twins history? Although I didn’t add anybody based on their listing, credit to Twinstrivia.com for their top 10 list.
  14. Greglw3
    Gladden had batting averages in the upper .240s and OPS of .673 and .662 for 1987 and 1991 respectively. I was comparing that to Lyman Bostock w .323 and .336 in ’76 and ’77. However, despite the substandard offense, Gladden was a very strong defensive player, a gritty player and like you mentioned, he did win 2 WS. So, I agree, he deserves to be in the conversation for those reasons.
  15. Greglw3
    I think this sums it up: 5 starters. 3 starters with ERAs of #1: 5.56, #4: 5.83 and #5: 7.18. Even the 1977 Twins with Carew’s .388, Bostock’s .336 and Glenn Addams .338 plus Hisle’s .302 with 119 RBIs couldn’t win with three heavy innings starters with those ERAs.
  16. Greglw3
    I think Miranda is at the lowest, the #4 prospect and highest #1. Considering that Kirilloff and Larnach are becoming established, I’d argue that Miranda is #1, hitting .360 w 16 HR.
  17. Greglw3
    I thought the same thing with Miranda possibly putting him in position for a Donaldson trade. I would re-sign Berrios and add Winder. The price of the two of them averaged would be a bargain as a 2 for 1.
  18. Greglw3
    The key to having a competitive team next year and the next two or three years there after is going to be keeping our only real front line starting pitcher, Berrios, and the one difference maker in the field, Buxton, and then build around them. You’re right on with this assessment.
  19. Greglw3
    I think right now, as much as I still like Celestino’s future, that Whitefield’s speed and bat would better serve the Twins now. At least they should try it but have apparently decided not to.
  20. Greglw3
    I don’t know Hassell but is he really in Buxton’s class or just a lot healthier? Sano’s -21.8 really skews the analysis I think. I wouldn’t do this trade from the Twins end but re-sign Berrios, Buxton and Rogers, trade Donaldson with included cash (15M?) and trade Simmons. Interesting proposal, though, if only for making me learn more about Abrams and Gore and Hassell.
  21. Greglw3
    How about Jose Miranda to replace Donaldson. He’s having a monster year!!!
  22. Greglw3
    I think it’s a bit of a no-brainer vote this week! What an incredible season Jose Miranda is having. I’m wondering about the possibility of trading Donaldson and installing Miranda.
  23. Greglw3
    I'm not sure either! He was one of the more intriguing prospects along the way. It’s fun for me just to talk about him. I think I saw him in Toledo, my birthplace and home until 1990. That’s when Twins were still parent club, I think I was with my Grandpa from Orlando, FL (see the connection?!) in Toledo when Funderburk hit a titanic blast! y Grandpa said, "There it goes," but the old Mud Hens stadium was the place where fly balls go to die so as massive a blast as it was, I think it was caught.
  24. Greglw3
    I remember Larry Calton always saying "Man oh man oh man" to those long home runs
  25. Greglw3
    It was weird when the Twins finally gave him a little chance in 1985 that he had an .880 OPS after hitting 34 HR in AA. One would think this indicated he was ready for success but two years later his MLB career was over.
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