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Dantes929

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Everything posted by Dantes929

  1. Dantes929
    They were shaking their heads at his curve ball in 2015 because it was a better curve ball in bite, variety and plane than in 2016. It was more effective because his command of his fastball was so much better in 2015 than he was in 2016, IMO. The results were that he pitched like Blyleven in 2015 and not in 2016. If he had the same command and quality of pitches this year as he had last year he would not be succeeding in the pen either Comparisons with May are not apt because May has had back issues that came into play. There are pitchers in the past that have switched roles effectively but I don't care to see Duffey flip flopping either. I like the idea of a high leverage two or three inning guy. I wish there were more of those.
  2. Dantes929
    I think he was a little messed up and major league hitters are better but they are not that much better. What I saw watching Berrios on tv last year there was no way those performances would translate into success in the minors. He was over throwing and was all over the place. You don't go from a 3.83 so/bb in the minors to 1.4 in the majors throwing the same way. Same thing happened recently with May. As for Buxton. The pitchers are better in the majors but you don't go from a .302 minor league average to .084 major league average doing the same things. The fastballs he is missing right now he would not miss in the minors.
  3. Dantes929
    I also look at his control as a benchmark more than anything else since we believe he has good stuff. I would rather he give up 3 homers with no walks than no runs with 6 walks. He probably was ready last year but started bad and then pressed and then listened to 8 different guys telling him what he was doing wrong. I think getting into a groove in the minors is a good and hopefully short lived thing. They are not robots. i remember a couple times Liriano and Crain were just a mess in the majors and went down to figure it out.
  4. Dantes929
    Forget Gibson. He will get at least 5 starts and probably at least 8. Meija is the guy Berrios would replace but I am not hoping for him to fail. My hope is for the rotation to do so great there is no room for Berrios. My fear is for the guys in the rotation to do just well enough to not justify demotion. Berrios was Hitter of the Day? That would add flexibility if he were called up. He's probably fast and can pitch run also. Ok, I know it was a mistake above but there is another draft prospect we are considering that can pitch and hit. I've never understood why those kinds of talent can't be developed together. It always seemed like a huge waste that Babe Ruth didn't keep pitching. If golf were a 3 man team game I could easily see someone saying "Hey, Spieth, stop working on your driver and irons. We need you to putt and you can't do all three"
  5. Dantes929
    I don't believe the league figured out Duffey or that he can't be an effective starter because of his pitch mix. I think he threw poorly last year with little command of his pitches and that no one would have liked him as a reliever the way he was throwing either. I am fine with him being a reliever now but have no concerns about him starting. I have always liked Breslow but he seems like the obvious choice. We do have a long stretch of games and you do need mop up guys. If we are still complaining about our relievers not being used enough to justify having 13 pitchers I will be pretty happy because it will mean our rotation is doing a good job. I fear the opposite. If our outfielders would just start to hit we wouldn't need a deep bench.
  6. Dantes929
    Whoops. Got it off ESPN and misread it. They were 13th rather than 18th in the major leagues which puts them barely in the upper half. I still think the high strike out rate was related to discipline and recognition rather than just missing balls in the zone but I could be wrong.
  7. Dantes929
    What a difference the automatic intentional walk and shortened replays makes. Our team full of millenials has a shorter attention span so this makes all the difference in maintaining focus.
  8. Dantes929
    Every thing about that post shocks me. The excellent May was fueled more by better pitching that month but your stats are correct. Then again, in 2016 we walked more than 2016 and we scored more so the correlation between walks and runs still holds. We were still in the lower half for walks taken and struck out a lot also which means there is room for improvement. It seems realistic to score 40 more runs than last year and to give up 100 fewer. Combine that with a good pythagorian as opposed to a lousy one and it can make a big difference. Certainly we are off to a good start in that regard.
  9. Dantes929
    Certainly a factor which is why I said we can't expect the same thing forward. On the other hand I don't think the only reason it took us 11 games last year to score 21 runs was because the opponents were throwing strikes. Give this year's team credit for having quality at bats so far. Sano in particular.
  10. Dantes929
    I don't think that was as true last year. They struck out the 6th most and were in the lower half for walks taken. I agree with Halsey that they were pressing last year and I think Buxton still has that going on now but as you pointed out some of these guys are young and relatively inexperienced and should just get better with more reps.
  11. Dantes929
    Of course we won't walk this much going forward but the willingness to take a walk is important. If the scouting report is "except for Mauer and Grossman these guys will swing at anything" the pitchers will continue to nibble at edges and expand the strike zone until the Twins prove differently. If the report is "these guys walk a lot and don;t chase much" then the Twins will get better pitches to hit.
  12. Dantes929
    The nickname was inspired by the sculpture "the thinker" which was depicting scene one of the Divine Comedy. I have a talent for looking like I am deep in thought while I am usually just replaying my last round of golf in my head.
  13. Dantes929
    Couldn't tell if you got Dan Santana mixed up with Ervin. If you did then I certainly hope you are not right. Santana pitches like an ace fairly often. If you did mean you think yesterday was Danny Santana's best game of the year then that is kind of funny since he did not play but kind of mean also.
  14. Dantes929
    I recognize and accept that you were probably being sarcastic in your first sentence but it was the word goat that I objected to. If you look up goat and sports on google you will not find an instance of a goat on the winning side. If a 3 point specialist went 1-5 from beyond the arc no one would say he had a great game but if they won by 1 or 2 you would still say he made a contribution that was key in winning the game. No, Mauer and Dozier didn't do all that much either but they did enough.
  15. Dantes929
    I'll just disagree with you. Grossman and Kepler executing bunts because they are supposed to is like saying Sano shouldn't get credit for his home run swing because he is supposed to hit home runs. Its to their credit that they did execute it. Castro only got a chance to deliver because of what Kepler and Grossman did. No goats in a win because you never know what play turns things. For example if Kepler's first bunt attempt had been just fair instead of just foul there is a double play and the whole game is changed. Then you can talk about him being a goat but instead he executed a great bunt which believe me is no gimme in the big leagues as you imply. Buxton making two great plays also could have changed the game dramatically if they had not been made. Not saying these guys played great but they all certainly contributed to the win.
  16. Dantes929
    Two hours and 47 minutes. Did not miss the 4 pitches to intentionally walk Dozier at all. Also liked the quicker review. Very good pace of play today.
  17. Dantes929
    Huh? Buxton played great D and Grossman had a key walk. Kepler had a game changing bunt single. People here undervalue bunt singles but teams just do not defend bunts very well and it seems to rattle teams and pitchers way more than solid singles do. No goats here.
  18. Dantes929
    Of course you need 30+ days getting warmed up and ST stats are pretty meaningless. I don't know why you equate 0-9 opening season stats with ST performance. Last year the Twins were 19-11 and I think they won 8 of their last 10 before the season started. One of those stats truly were meaningless and one was not. Angels were 19-8, Arizona was 24-8. Cubs were 11-19 and the Giants, Red Sox and Dodgers were just as bad. I think they should have kept Park up but if spring stats meant as much as regular season then Luke Hughes, Kevin Slowey and Brian Buscher would be all stars and Justin Morneau would have been off the roster.
  19. Dantes929
    Aaron Hicks had a nice power surge one ST which isn't too much different than doing it in September so lets not assume Buxton is the next Mantle or Trout. Even if he does hit 20 homers that is still only once every 8 games or so. Contrary to popular belief Puckett still bunted a lot even after he found power and to great advantage because he could bunt well. I am guessing it added quite a few points to his career BA. If Buxton gets good at it he can put the ball in play more often than not and I am guessing can hit way over .300 when he does put it in play. That's a great weapon. Plus it drives other teams and pitchers nuts. If he can do it well he should be attempting the bunt for base hit every other game at least.
  20. Dantes929
    It looks a little friendlier than some years. Never cared for facing Detroit in the first series back when they had the top rotation. Hopefully miss Verlander first time around. Going to cheer them on in the opener. Hopefully get off to a good start. Can't win em all if you don't win the first one.
  21. Dantes929
    No facts to back this up but it seemed that in 2015 Sano got tougher in clutch situations and that in 2016, when the game was on the line his at bats just weren't all that competitive. I agree with whoever says we don't need 600 foot home runs. Fun to watch but 410 usually does the trick and generally down the line 360 is good. It is telling to me that batters that over swing usually do it in an effort to pull the ball and pulling the ball over the fence actually requires less distance.
  22. Dantes929
    I know I was very wordy but I acknowledged in the middle that it won't take long for match ups to become more random. Odds are not certainty but if we treat as such then going by traditional prudent set up of the rotation we will start the season 0-5 but if we flip the rotation we maybe go 2-3.
  23. Dantes929
    I would even get May 15th. I kind of get the logic of leaving a guy with upside in the minors to start the season if you think there is a strong likelihood of struggling early. If you think the odds are good that one of Mejia and Hughes will be successful but are not sure which one then it makes sense to start them both to find out which is which. If both pitch well, then great. If both fail then you replace with upside. You don't want the guy with upside that you think will struggle early paired with the wrong guess on Mejia or Hughes. If you think guy with upside is likely to be very good from the start and only one of Mejia or Hughes is likely to be good, but not sure which, then it would be absolutely wrong to start both Mejia and Hughes with upside starting in the minors. This would all be easier to demonstrate with flow charts and probably by identifying minor league guy with upside as Berrios but either way April 15th is way too early to make assessments on performance and August 15th would be way too late.
  24. Dantes929
    I just don't want to be out of the race after 9 games like last year. Interesting that so much analytics goes into this game in terms of the different stats and metrics such that on most sites there is at least one additional tab and sometimes more for advanced metrics. So much made of left/right pitching match ups and just recently there was a post with a lot of input about the preferred batting order. There are a ton of posts about who should be in the pitching rotation but in this day of trying to get statistical edges there is very little consideration of the order of the rotation. We have now had 6 years of being at a disadvantage at every spot in the rotation using traditional orders to start the season. I know the variety of reasons that within a couple weeks team's rotations won't match up but wouldn't it make sense to start the season differently? Rather than have a disadvantage in every spot in the rotation wouldn't it make sense to arrange it so there are a few spots where we have the advantage? Wouldn't it make more sense for Hughes or Mejia facing Verlander the 2nd time through the rotation and have Santana facing a Pelfrey type pitcher? Not that Hughes or Mejia facing Verlander is a gimme but the odds say Verlander is going to win regardless. Wouldn't it make more sense to flip our rotation around? Seems like it might be an advantage of a couple wins throughout the season. A couple wins isn't a huge difference but we sure talk a lot more about stuff that maybe has less impact.
  25. Dantes929
    No two situations are ever exactly alike. 2011 and 2012 Twins promoted a whole lot of guys that were as bad or worse statistically than Puckett's minor league numbers. Also, I wonder if we had two full seasons of Viola with worse than a 5.21 ERA few on here without the benefit of hindsight would be saying "hey, lets make him the opening day starter." I have noticed fans on here do not have a whole lot of patience and those on the Trib board a lot less so. I think we have a decent mix of veteran and young guys in the rotation with more young guys nearly ready. Would have been much better with May. I do get the points above though and have often wondered how long it would take for Bert Blyleven to make it to the majors nowadays given that he had a great rookie season at age 19.
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