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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    It boils down to strategy. I think Arcia's struggles are worrisome but the reality of the situation is that he has well over a season of MLB PAs and is a slightly above league average hitter. He's still just 24 years old. If I ran the Twins, I'd look into moving Hicks, Rosario, or Kepler this offseason in an attempt to shore up the SS or C position. Whoever brings the best return gets traded. If a trade doesn't happen, the reason I'd replace Hunter with Arcia is because he's not as good a prospect as Kepler. The Twins should be less concerned with Arcia's development than they are Kepler... Which is why Max should play every day in Rochester if need be and why Oswaldo can ride the pine with the Minnesota squad.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins have officially entered The Gauntlet. A ten game road trip that will probably dictate whether they have a shot at the postseason. Win 59. Game #: 2015: 117 2014: 133 2013: 135 2012: 141 2011: 143
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree that it's a bad idea but only because of Arcia. The rest of those guys don't play OF and/or should play every day. The Twins shouldn't - and probably won't - call up Max Kepler so he can get 200 sporadic PAs in 2016. If a guy gets injured, then you call up Max and let him play everyday. The fourth OF role shouldn't be handed to a guy with his upside.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I find that frustrating as well but I'm pretty sure they've openly said at the latest, May will be in the rotation by 2016. That tempers my frustration a bit.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    It depends on what they planned to do with Hunter. If they sign him and hand him a starter role, that's facepalm-worthy. If they sign him and give him the fourth OF spot so he can work with Buxton next season, I can live with that. I'm not sure I'd like it but I could live with it. The thing about "there's no such thing as a bad one-year deal" is that it implies sanity from the signing team. Yes, it's possible to sign a bad one-year deal. For example, giving Barry Bonds $50m and putting him at SS. That's a bad deal because it's completely insane. But a normal one-year deal? Nah, those aren't bad because the signing team shouldn't hesitate to jettison the player if things go wrong.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Stauffer's contract was bad because it let Ryan off the hook to go find another reliever. Tim Stauffer pitched 15.0 innings for the 2015 Twins. Had Ryan picked up another reliever who wasn't Blaine Boyer, Stauffer would have been a footnote on the season. Pitched a few innings, was released and we all forget he was ever on the team. Teams shouldn't hesitate to waive a one-year player, which is why a one-year deal shouldn't ever hurt a team to the extent we complain about it.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins played that game two seasons in a row to devastatingly bad results. In April of 2015, Torii was the only Twins OF who was guaranteed at least replacement level play over a full season (Arcia couldn't and can't stay on the field). Signing a one year player as a bridge to Rosario, Hicks, Arcia, and Buxton wasn't only the prudent move, Ryan should have been run out of town if he started 2015 with an incomplete outfield for the third consecutive season.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think he has been a huge help but he has done his job. Remember the OF situation going into this season: Hicks Arcia Robinson Rosario Number of legit full MLB seasons between all those players? Zero. Hunter did exactly what was asked of him. It's not Torii's fault the front office refuses to start moving on in the second half of the season once the young players started taking their rightful place as every day regulars. The MLB season is fluid. What the Twins needed in April is not necessarily what they need in August. Signing Torii in December looks like the right move. Keeping Torii as a starter in August does not look like the right move.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Say it with me, everyone: There's no such thing as a bad one year contract. The Twins could have given Hunter $20m this season and I wouldn't have cared. Overpaying stopgap players is a non-issue. The entire point of signing a stopgap player is that you WANT them to go away after a season or two. If it costs a couple extra million to sign that player so you don't have to deal with the back 1-2 years of a Nolasco-esque contract, that's a GOOD thing. Hunter helped the Twins this season. Yay! The Twins no longer need OF help for 2016 so Hunter leaves. Yay!
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I was down on Hicks but never gave up on him. He's a good reminder why you NEVER give up on a guy with his level of talent and why you don't throw away a prospect just because he stumbles a few times along the way or because he's "too old" to be a prospect anymore.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins never had the worst farm system in baseball. I can't remember them ever dropping below #25, actually. Mistakes were made and the Twins didn't draft very well but coming off a decade of success, it shouldn't have been a surprise the Twins spend a period of time scuffling in the bottom third of farm systems. IIRC, they picked in the top 15 just once from 2002-2011. edit: I just glanced through old farm system rankings and didn't see anyone rank the Twins below #22 from 2008-2010. Most were in the high teens, it seems (and some were actually top ten, gah...).
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I was hoping you'd chime in, thanks. I just checked last year's splits and his K/9 between the first and second half of the season were basically identical... But he only pitched 28 innings in the second half. That's... troublesome.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    You're hanging your hat on a literal 0.03% yearly growth number over a 30 year period, Willihammer. I'm not the one arriving at non-sensical conclusions. 1% growth over a 30 year period is, for all intents and purposes, zero growth. Again, 0.03% growth. One-thirtieth of a percentage point. Let's say Brian Dozier OPSes .839 this season. In 2016, he OPSes .842. Using your argument, that'd be explosive growth of a magnitude many times larger than what you're arguing here.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I lived in Southern California for 17 years. I'm fully aware not all immigrants are from Mexico. It was meant to illustrate a point and it's a valid one. The fact that America is better than Mexico or (fill in name of random country here) does not mean we can't be better than we are today.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    1% growth is not actual growth. You're kinda grasping at straws there, Willihammer. As for 29% jobs, well... The more people work, the more they need services and those "jobs" are often at the bottom of the scale. We eat out more because we don't have time to cook. We hire more maids because we don't have time to clean. We consume more gasoline, forcing more gas stations to be built and manned, because more people need to drive to work. Continue ad nauseum. Again, it all loops back to the fact that we're working more, not making more money, and creating an artificial sense of accomplishment through driving down those below us with ****ty jobs to support our ****ty lifestyles. The middle class feels like it's thriving because we've exported jobs (cheaper products!) and beat down the lower end of labor (cheaper services!). We haven't actually grown as a country... Well, the vasty majority of us haven't, anyway.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    "Mexico is a truly terrible place to live and that in no way supports an argument that America is fantastic" is a good place to start.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, this. I'll reserve judgment until something actually goes wrong. I'm not going to predict massive failure when the Twins are already 5+ games better than any of us expected going into the season.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Nobody - and I literally mean nobody - is trying to emulate Greece. Germany, on the other hand... Or even Australia... Or maybe even the UK...
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    This is pretty much all you need to know about "income growth" in America: http://cdn.theatlantic.com/assets/media/img/posts/Screen%20Shot%202013-09-30%20at%202.17.56%20PM.png http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/10/how-americas-marriage-crisis-makes-income-inequality-so-much-worse/280056/ Prepare to wince at the most cringe-inducing line of the article: The middle class has been duped into thinking it's doing better but in reality, it's really only working more. Look at the first 1/3rd of that graph and then the following 2/3rds... If that doesn't depress you, I don't know what will.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed. This entire situation is bizarre and more than a little inexplicable, which is the reason why I require more information to draw a conclusion.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I just can't get behind that... If taxes are levied, I believe they should be use taxes as often as possible. I don't believe in punting people to government assistance as a first course of action. I'm not sure why you feel raising the minimum wage is going to destroy jobs... There are plenty of countries - most countries you'd feel are strong economically - that have a considerably higher minimum wage than America and seem to do just fine. I think the $15/hr minimum wage movement is borderline laughable... But pushing the minimum wage more toward a living - albeit meager living - wage around $12/hr is a goal we should all get behind. If someone is working, the tax base should not need to assist them with basic necessities (barring special circumstances). Right now, that is all too frequently the case.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I also disagree with several of the moves that have been made, particularly in the past twelve months. But you're calling for Ryan's head using a bad argument. It's unfair to point out the successes of other general managers while refusing to give Ryan the same amount of time to fully enact his plan. It doesn't mean you can't criticize Ryan for individual moves but it does mean calling for his head - or the rebuilding of the franchise itself - terribly premature. What happens if the Twins win 89-91 games next season and make the postseason? Will you recant your position?
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Have those teams actually done a better job than the Twins? Given they all had 4+ years to enact a plan and see it to fruition, we can't answer that question definitively. This offseason will see the four year mark pass. Right now, the Twins are a fringe contender. Hopefully, they hit the four year mark running next season. Do I wish some things had been done differently? Of course... But you're the one placing expectations on the team that follow an unrealistic timeline, not me. I just listed four of the most successful rebuilds of the past decade and none of them took less than four years to see results. On top of that, most of those teams were mediocre to terrible well before the rebuild was enacted. It's a lot easier to rebuild a team quickly if you have high draft picks for 2-3 years before a formal rebuild even starts. The Twins were a 94 win team in 2010. They didn't receive their first high draft pick until June of 2012.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    During that time, the one income household basically went the way of the dodo. It's hard to call it a "win" in the face of that happening. Two incomes are now the standard, yet we see a minimal increase in household income for the majority of people.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Today's America doesn't offer the upward mobility it offered 50 years ago. Yet 50 years ago, income inequality wasn't as severe, taxes on upper income brackets were higher, and the minimum wage was 30% higher. Was that America of 50 years ago economically inferior, less free? I don't see how your argument stands in the face of our own recent history. The middle class became stagnant the moment we started cutting taxes on the rich under Reagan. The rich profited massively from this economic shift and the gap continues to widen. Income mobility continues to decline. The writing on the wall is pretty clear to me. As for the "colony or a feudal country" bit, I'm not talking about open revolution or rioting on the streets (though obviously, that's the worst case scenario). If the majority starts to feel the pressure, the majority may (will) react viciously and overcompensate. That means the election of more radical governments, who enact bad and long-lasting policy. Hence, we all lose. The more a government polarizes for or against a group of its citizens, the worse we end up. It seems a pretty reasonable compromise to avoid that kind of nonsense by pursuing a target in the middle... Which America stopped trying to do 35 years ago. It's time for the pendulum to swing back toward the middle of the country. Corporations and the rich have been on a non-stop winning streak since Ronald Reagan was elected President. It's time to end that winning streak and return to something resembling normalcy.
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