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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    It's guaranteed to be paid unless the player opts out of the deal by retiring but there's no guarantee it will be paid by the Twins. Another team can pick up the contract through multiple avenues. Teams unload albatross contracts on a regular basis. Most are done through trade but occasionally, you'll get an odd Alex Rios type situation where the White Sox just picked up the contract and let the Jays off the hook. If the Twins really want to unload the Nolasco deal, they can do it. Again, I hate to keep hammering away at semantics but a sunk cost cannot be undone under any circumstances. Therefore, the remaining terms on the Nolasco contract are not (yet) sunk costs. All I'm asking is for people to use correct terminology and stop hammering away with pejorative pet phrases that aren't even accurate. I long ago lost count how many times I've read someone on this board say "this front office doesn't understand sunk costs" and the poster is misusing the phrase. It's more than a little ironical to see someone misuse a phrase while calling out another party as inept or clueless.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed the roster spot is more important than the money. Much of my frustration around "sunk cost" is that it's used as a curt answer to a complex problem on top of the fact it's continually used incorrectly. It has become an annoying pet phrase on this forum, which is bad enough... But when users can't even bother to use the correct phrase, it really grates on me.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Except they're not considered sunk costs. A sunk cost is money spent. A fixed cost is money owed through contractual obligation. 2004-2014 Mauer money is sunk. 2016-??? Mauer money is fixed. As long as there is a possible path - however unlikely - out of paying that money, it is not sunk because it hasn't actually transferred hands. I'm sure that in May of 2015, Jays fans were hemming and hawing over the "sunk cost" of Jose Reyes. How'd that turn out for them?
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Derp derp derp. For some reason, I was thinking Kepler is in Rochester. Obviously, that's not the case. Yeah, let him play in the Southern League playoffs.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see any reason not to call up Kepler on 9/1. He's on the 40 man. Even if he doesn't play, there's no reason not to put him on the roster. Let him get a feel for MLB. He's not going to be doing anything else anyway.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Good points. In no way am I suggesting BA should be eliminated; it's a valuable statistic. It's merely incomplete and when displayed alongside OBP/SLG, it tells a pretty solid story about a player.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I haven't read any La Guin books, much to my wife's chagrin. I should remedy that fact.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I also would have called Berrios up to make May's start a week or two ago. But that didn't happen so now I'd probably just let Jose finish the season in Rochester. I don't see big gains to be found in calling him up today. The bullpen now looks relatively stable so putting Jose in the pen isn't a pressing matter, especially since he hasn't pitched an inning of relief in several years. But if the Twins called him up, I certainly wouldn't complain about it. Next season, I'd keep Jose down for at least three weeks simply for service time considerations. He'll be 22 years old; you want the seventh year of control over a guy like that.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, this. I care less about the "when" than the "how". Whoever turns out to be the better player was the right choice. Given how controlled years are fixed, I don't really care if those years come in 2015 or 2018, only that those years are quality.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I read The Martian earlier this year. I cannot recommend this book highly enough. Don't let the phrase "hard sci-fi" scare anyone away. Weir weaves hard science into the book in such an approachable way you don't even realize you're learning some really cool **** half the time. Fantastic novel and I can't wait for the movie. In other news, all I've been reading lately are Star Wars novels because I've been incapable of handling anything more meaty than that for whatever reason.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think that's the case. The Twins haven't shut down Berrios and he's at 150 innings for the season. Let's say they let him pitch to 160 innings and shut him down. The typical MLB starter will go somewhere around 190 innings in a season, give or take. +30 innings isn't a big leap for a guy coming off 160 innings the previous season.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    To commemorate Windows 95 day, I present Windows Really Good Edition: http://windowsreallygoodedition.com/
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    If the Twins make the Wild Card game, they will have to beat the Blue Jays or Yankees on the road to advance to the ALDS. I find all of that so unlikely that I don't really care too much if Berrios is on the roster or not. He's surely approaching his innings limit for the season so it might be best to just shut him down for the season and let him prepare for 2016 and a trip to Minnesota in mid April.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    It will be moved at some point but that time isn't right now.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I fully endorse the use of the phrase "stunk costs" and have changed the title of this thread to reflect that point.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    People keep using the term "advanced stats" but that's not what most of us are arguing to use... OPS is not an advanced stat. SLG is not an advanced stat. They're such basic stats most front offices no longer use them to evaluate a player. To an extent, the same thing applies to platoon splits. They're not advanced, they're basic stats that are winnowed down to tell a more accurate story. And Errors are just a joke. As are Wins. This argument is less about "advanced stats" than it is "stop using really bad stats".
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    No contract is unmovable. The Jays demonstrated that with the Tulo trade. Yes, it's unlikely the Twins will be able to move the Nolasco contract but it's not impossible and until that money is spent, the cost is not sunk. It's fixed.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I understand and appreciate that, but everybody else in the bullpen seems to do fine without having a dedicated role. I don't see why the closer would be any different. I wouldn't use the "closer" in any inning before the eighth on a regular basis but the closer role should be more flexible than it is today. Sometimes, that eighth inning is more crucial than the ninth and the best guy should be out there to handle that situation.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    It'd be better if Molitor had the gumption to remove the closer title from the bullpen entirely and use the pitcher best suited to get a guy out at a crucial time, no matter the inning.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    This is a really good point. I've thought a lot about this and how important it is... You don't want to bombard the audience with numbers but in many cases, platoon splits are more useful than the full numbers. Of course, people ALSO want to see the full numbers so I don't know if there's a good answer to this.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Okay, so this has been driving me nuts for a long time. The ~$26m owed to Ricky Nolasco is not a sunk cost. Nor is the Ervin Santana or Joe Mauer money. Why? Because the money has not been spent. It has been committed but not spent. Unspent - but committed - money can sometimes be offloaded, thereby removing the burden. A sunk cost cannot be recovered or refunded. Period. Full stop. https://www.boundless.com/finance/textbooks/boundless-finance-textbook/capital-budgeting-11/cash-flow-analysis-and-other-factors-95/sunk-costs-415-7248/ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunk_costs The Twins have fixed costs, not sunk costs. Please stop using this phrase. It's maddening. Thank you all for your time.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    1. Sano is not going to win the RotY unless Correa falls in front of a rolling bus. 2. I don't care if Sano wins the RotY. What's important is that he keeps hitting and helps the team win ballgames.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    A good reliever pitches 70 innings. A good starter pitches 210 innings. That's why starters have more inherent value. They spend more time on the field. If May's ceiling was middle of the rotation starter - and let's not diminish that role, it's really valuable to a team - I'd have fewer issues moving him to the pen... but May has looked better than that this season. He could be a fringe #2, very good #3 for several years. A good #2/3 is going to bring 2-4 wins to the team per season... Only a handful of relievers can match that in 70 innings and Trevor May isn't one of them.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see a lot to get excited about with Polanco. He's questionable defensively at short and doesn't hit enough to play second. Yeah, it's possible he can turn into a nice player but he's not the type of prospect I get too excited about... Moderately high ceiling with a relatively low floor. But he's only 21 years old. There's some room for him to grow into being a better hitter.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    BTW, I love the use of the word "geek" in this thread. It's quite telling about the age and mentality of the poster who uses it. Guess what hasn't been an insult since the year 2000? The word "geek". Yeah, I'm a geek. I'm relatively intelligent, can figure stuff out, and know how to do stuff like build computers or websites. OoohoooohhOooohhhh. Sick burn, bro.
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