Peavy suffered multiple injuries. Ubaldo peaked and was traded on the decline. There were concerns about him well before the trade and they proved accurate. Sabathia was a beast during his run with the Brewers... an absolute monster. He wasn't that pitcher before and he hasn't been it since, though he's still very good. Crazy-good half seasons happen all the time. AJ Burnett is a freakin' headcase. Josh Beckett. Yeah, he saw a drop. A drop that he's slowly recovered (mostly) over the past two years. Cliff Lee has only seen a 1% bump. Either way, those drops do not equal "pitch to contact guy". Sanchez is a good pitcher. Not elite, but good. Even if he sees a drop in his Swing Strike (which he surely will), it doesn't magically make him a 5 K/9 guy. He'll probably end up somewhere around 6.5-7 K/9, which is just shy of Scott Baker territory (and not far from one of your examples, Josh Beckett)... Not exactly "pitch to contact". A middle-of-the-road guy. Not a ton of Ks but not a ton of contact, either. But you didn't say that... You called him a "pitch to contact player", which he definitely is not.