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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Many would. Most of the board is thrilled about the trades. Had Ryan made anything more than token offers on the free agency market, I think the board's attitude would be generally positive. Most of us realize that we're in a bridge year to the future. Only delusional people expecting the Twins to make a run at Greinke.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    You're an idiot. Now go sit in the corner and play with your toys.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Ugh. I can't even think about this offseason without getting angry anymore. There's. Just. No. Reason. For. This. To. Happen. Marcum or Saunders and a middle(ing) infielder and we're all happy as clams. Instead, we want to spend April drinking ourselves to death.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    He's referring to this entirely hilarious routine. Very NSFW, by the way. Louis CK is the best. One of those rare comedians that is hilarious, socially conscious, and smart as hell.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Definitely. I'd have a hard time judging a player's ability with RISP until he's well past his peak, preferably retired. At that point, he should have accumulated enough ABs with RISP to declare something meaningful about his ability. Before that, not so much. It takes many years to get even one season worth of ABs with RISP (say, 600 PAs) and players fluctuate considerably from season to season so even 600 PAs can be feeding you bad information. Right now, Mauer has about 1300 PAs with RISP. Enough to draw a conclusion? Probably not.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I think you need to take off the rose-colored glasses and clearly remember the inanity of BYTO offseasons gone by. Every offseason turned into a petty pissing contest because there was nothing else to talk about. When baseball starts being played again, focus will turn back to the game.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Specifically a lefthanded one that goes opposite field so often and can seemingly pull the ball at will. I shake my head when people bash Mauer. It's like they're not watching the same game (perhaps they're not). The guy is incredibly intelligent and has bat control above and beyond all but a few of the all-time greats. When he goes out there, he is often doing exactly what he wants to do (or, given baseball's failure rate, he does what he wants at a much higher rate than other players).
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    He could be one of those outlier players. While I haven't seen enough evidence to prove the idea, I don't think it's a coincidence that the players with extraordinary bat control (Gwynn, Molitor) were the "outliers" in that RISP study. It makes sense that the guys who can choose where the ball is hit do better with RISP than the "swing away" type of players. But those guys are an extremely rare breed. Is Mauer on the level of a Molitor and Gwynn? Right now, yes. Whether that stays true as he ages is another matter entirely.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    No worries. Gleeman isn't exactly a traditional baseball RBI guy. The point is the same.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I think it's pretty obvious that high contact, high average, low power guys will benefit the most from hitting behind speedy baserunners.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    When I've seen Mauer's RISP numbers quoted, it's usually a retaliatory statement in response to "herp derp Mauer doesn't drive in enough runners to make $20m herp derp". It's refuting a misconception, not attempting to put weight into RISP numbers. That's my experience, anyway. YMMV.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought this thread was going to link a statement saying they had eliminated the dance-off and I was giddy to click into the thread and read about it. And now I'm disappointed. I should ban you for ruining my day like that.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Well said, Pseudo. Those posters are one of the biggest problems on a large internet forum. They don't violate rules so it's hard to bring a hammer down on them without coming off like an ass. They slowly eat into the forum's attitude and anger what are often level-headed people into starting a flame war. Figuring out what to do with them from a moderation standpoint is extremely difficult. I hate the idea of banning people because I dislike their posting style. It makes me feel like a self-important tyrant and I don't like running sites in that manner. On the other hand, they're a giant pain in the forum's ass and they're usually relentless about it. So, again, if you don't like someone's "stupidity", ignore them. Please. And the moment they clearly violate a forum rule, report it.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Because it's been proven time and time again that a player hits the same with RISP that he does with the bases empty. Any fluctuation above or below that career norm is a temporary blip in an otherwise consistent arc. Give a guy enough ABs with RISP and he'll end up in the same place as his non-RISP numbers. There are a few outliers to that "rule". I think Molitor was one. Maybe Gwynn was another. There were 3-4 guys over the course of 30+ years that didn't revert to career averages with RISP. Such a small fraction of players that it's essentially a given that a player will be the same with or without men on base.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Dave, come on. I know you're frustrated with the negativity around here but that is a direct violation of the forum rules and it brings nothing to the conversation (and usually, only helps fan the flames). I just shook my head when I read that post but there's no reason to tell the guy to leave. It's that kind of posting that sent BYTO's traffic numbers from "extremely strong community" in 2008 to "circling the drain" in 2012. You often state how much you miss BYTO but the general attitude of that site is unsustainable over the long-term and posts like that were a large reason for its slow demise. If you tell enough people to leave because you think they're stupid, guess what happens? They leave and you're left arguing with yourself.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Holy balls, really? The vast majority of the sabr community discounts them entirely.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Both?
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    To be fair to Ryan, he did pretty well last offseason by signing Doumit, Willingham, and to a lesser extent, Carroll. Not that I'm defending this offseason.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I didn't read through the thread until this morning. Ugh. I should have clicked in a few days ago.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Before Diamond came up as a question mark, I thought Gibson's chance of starting the season in the rotation was close to zero. Now with Diamond's health up in the air, I think it's closer to 50/50.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    In that case, I'd go sabr and use WAR. That combines both effectiveness and durability. WAR is far from perfect but at least it tries to combine both sides of the coin. Anyway, I don't really see the point in declaring one stat more important than another when all of them are available to us for every player. I guess this is a hypothetical exercise I don't see the point in playing.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Everyone, tone it down or this thread gets locked and we start handing out temporary bans.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I think it's time we start cracking down on some of this bickering. Thanks for the thread, Glunn. I've been off the forums quite a bit lately (been really busy) but I'll try to start tracking problem posts a little more closely. Be sure to report problem posts, people!
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    That was before Span was traded. It's pretty obvious that once Revere and Span were gone, any chance of trading Willingham was off the table (if it wasn't off the table from the get-go). My point is that if the team isn't going to spend even a moderate amount of money on the FA market, the front office should put everyone on the trade block. I don't even mind that Willingham wasn't traded. My point is that they didn't try. It's very possible that nobody want Willingham right now. That's understandable, given his breakout (and probably career) season in 2012. But unless you're going to make a legitimate attempt to build a decent roster, everybody should be available.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, Dave. I'm a "mouth breather" by stating that the team should either try to win (within reason) by spending some money on the free agent market or they should blow up the roster and liquidate players. It wouldn't have taken much to pick up quality FAs. Skip Correia, pick up Saunders and Marcum instead, then pick up a mediocre middle infielder. All of that would have cost a grand total of $15m. I'm not asking for the world. I'm asking that the team not try to shovel crap down our throats and expect us to appreciate the gesture. And I saw absolutely zero evidence that Willingham was shopped this offseason.
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