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    The Top 5 Twins September Call-Up Options


    Ted Schwerzler

    The Minnesota Twins are trending towards the postseason, and while they currently have a lead in the AL Central, maintaining that down the stretch is a focal point. They’ll be given two extra roster spots on September 1, but who do they call upon?

     

    Image courtesy of Landon Bost/Naples Daily News/USA TODAY Network-Florida / USA TODAY NETWORK

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    Rule changes across Major League Baseball have drastically shifted how teams approach the month of September. While the active roster was expanded to 26 players in recent seasons, September adds just two spots as opposed to the previous 15. With an intention of keeping the game moving, there isn’t an opportunity for managers to mix and match as much throughout a game.

    Rocco Baldelli will look to keep his starters fresh, and supplementing with a key addition or two could make sense. How the Twins manage that with players returning remains to be seen, however. Although Byron Buxton, Alex Kirilloff, Willi Castro, and even Brock Stewart won’t be ready on September 1, they should command the priority for additions as the month goes on.

    Looking solely at the minor leagues, here are the five most likely options for Minnesota:

    5. Ronny Henriquez
    After starting the season behind schedule, Henriquez has not pitched for the Twins this year. Acquired in the Mitch Garver trade with the Texas Rangers, Henriquez is still among the youngest players at Triple-A. Since giving up five runs to the Iowa Cubs in early June, he owns a 3.65 ERA with a .691 OPS against. The command is still an issue with a 5.8 BB/9, but he has strikeout stuff and brings it at a relatively strong velocity. As a right-handed arm, the Twins could take another look at him to cycle in among the Cole Sands, Josh Winder, and Jordan Balazovic bullpen spots.

    4. Chris Williams
    If it seems like Williams made more sense prior to September, it’s because that would be the case. Williams is a catcher that has moved to first base, and he has done nothing but mash for the Saints. An eighth round pick back in 2018, Williams owns a .901 OPS in 2023 for St. Paul. He has hit for substantial power with 19 homers, and he’s done a good job taking walks as well. Batting from the right side, it seemed to make sense that he would be promoted once Alex Kirilloff went down. Not on the 40-man, the Twins would need to make a move, but that shouldn’t be hard to do if they really want to give him a look.

    3. Michael Boyle
    Out of professional baseball since 2019, the Twins signed him as a free agent in 2022. Boyle worked just 11 1/3 innings last year before pitching at Double and Triple-A this year. He’s a lefty that has combined for a 2.53 ERA across 46 1/3 innings for Wichita and St. Paul this season. After posting a 29/9 K/BB at Double-A, he owns a 23/18 K/BB with the Saints. The walks are absolutely a problem and will be the reason he is overlooked, but he doesn’t give up hits and keeps the ball in the yard. Also in need of a 40-man spot, Boyle could give the Twins help from a southpaw not named Caleb Thielbar.

    2. Austin Martin
    It has taken a while for Martin to find his footing with Minnesota, but we finally have appeared to reach that point. The former Blue Jays prospect that was at the center of the Jose Berrios trade, has come on strong for Triple-A St. Paul. He’s not a good infielder, but can play on the dirt. He may be an exceptional outfielder, and looks the part in center. He started slow after rehabbing an arm injury, but has been on fire over his last 23 games. He has posted a .347/.438/.547 slash line in those contests, and brings good speed on the base paths. It seems unlikely the Twins would allow Martin to take WIlli Castro’s spot, but he could probably accomplish the same results with a higher ceiling.

    1. Kody Funderburk
    If not Boyle, then it’s absolutely Funderburk. Drafted in the 15th round back in 2018, Funderburk reached Triple-A for the first time this season. Across 47 1/3 innings he owns a 2.47 ERA along with a 70/19 K/BB. Why he hasn’t been promoted already is anyone’s guess, and it has been to the detriment of Minnesota by not doing so. Sands, Winder, and Balazovic have each been hit around from the right side in their brief time with the Twins. Funderburk would immediately give the Twins another lefty, and possibly emerge as a talent capable of sticking in the pen. He should be rostered in September, and keeping him around for the postseason should results warrant it, makes all the sense in the world.

    Recently Hans Birkeland took a look at many names on the Saints roster with an eye towards September. With some of them unmentioned here, there are a couple of others worth monitoring. Who would you like to see the Twins promote next month?

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    3 hours ago, USAFChief said:

    Batting average is neither outdated nor imprecise.

    It should absolutely be part of the evaluation of hitters. Not the only thing, but part. In fact, I'd say a slash line of BA/OBP/SLG is a better snapshot of a hitter than wOBA, which hides, rather than illuminates hitting ability. And OPS, for example, wildly overrates someone like Gallo. A .300 hitter with Gallo's OPS is a much better offensive player. Much much better.

    And WPA? LOL. Junk.

    Kind of interesting that you mention OPS when I never mentioned it in my comment (I am in agreement that it naturally overrates slugging due to the fact that slugging is almost always a higher number than OBP). wOBA is actually a weighted average, which is why wOBA is much more precise than OPS, as it weighs offensive contributions more fairly. I am curious to hear why you feel wOBA "hides" offensive ability despite the fact that it accounts for XBH, HBP, intentional vs non-intentional BB, and uses PA instead of AB as the denominator. wOBA gives a much better snapshot of total offensive production than a traditional slash line, as 1) it is just one number and is easier to compare, 2) the denominators of the slash line are inconsistent, and 3) slugging disproportionately weighs XBH to offensive production (a triple is not 50% better than a double, on average, nor is a double twice as good as a single). 

    WPA is not a great stat for hitters (as mentioned above, it's basically just RBIs with a college degree), but in my view, it is the best stat for relievers. Giving up 6 ER in one inning does not matter in the top of the 9th of a game your team was already losing 11-1. However, giving up one run in the bottom of the 9th in a tie game is much more damaging, yet ERA would not be able to tell this story. It's the reason why Jhoan Duran's 2022 season (1.86 ERA) is substantially better than Matt Wisler's 2020 season (1.07 ERA). Duran accumulated a WPA of 4.6 (in 67.2 innings), while Wisler's figure was only 0.7 (in 25.1 innings). ERA does not include strand rate, unearned runs (there still is some blame for the pitcher), or leverage. 

    Again, it's the same message from me. Instead of using more accurate numbers that take many factors into account and weigh them properly, you chose to use unweighted and less holistic statistics because you are unhappy with the fact that some nerd is able to make more informed opinions on the game of baseball. 




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