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    MIN 4, KC 2: Comeback Complete


    Tom Froemming

    The Twins have been resilient all year, but they had been making a habit of coming *this* close to mounting comebacks lately. Well, they broke through Thursday night. Entering the ninth down a run, the Twins scored three in the final frame and Matt Belisle locked it down for the save.

    Image courtesy of Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Snapshot (chart via Fangraphs)

    Snapshot97.png

    Jorge Polanco … the team’s No. 3 hitter tonight … the guy who has an OPS over 1.000 since the start of August … was asked to bunt with no outs in the eighth. The Twins would end up not scoring.

    The very next inning, however, Polanco was given a chance to hit and delivered the go-ahead two-run single after Brian Dozier tied things up with a sac fly. All’s well that ends well.

    Kyle Gibson had another strong start, though it was in an unconventional way. He went 7.0 innings and held the Royals to two runs despite not striking out a single batter. Nobody in the bullpen recorded a strikeout, either. The Royals, who are still notorious for their ability to put the ball in play, hit into four double plays.

    It’s easy for late-season hot streaks to go unappreciated. Gibby still has a 5.19 ERA on the year, but coming into tonight he had been among the better starting pitchers in the AL since the All-Star break. It’s true.

    In his previous seven starts, Gibson had a 3.29 ERA, was 10th in FIP (3.11) among all pitchers and 11th in WAR (1.3) among AL pitchers (min. 40 IP). After watching Kyle throw more than 700 innings with the Twins now, I think we can safely say we know who he is, but there’s no denying the guy is on a great hot streak right now. It’s coming at a great time.

    Belisle has also had quite the turnaround, but he had actually given up four earned runs over his previous six innings pitched prior to tonight’s game. Even with the expanded bullpen, he’s such a pivotal guy. It was great to see him turn in a 1-2-3 ninth.

    Joe Mauer was on base five times tonight. He had a double, two singles and a pair of walks. Robbie Grossman hit his ninth homer of the season, Max Kepler stole his sixth base and Trevor Hildenberger picked up his third win.

    Standings

    This victory put the Twins back in the second wild card spot. They lead the Angels, who were off today, by one game. Baltimore is two back after losing to the Yankees and Texas trails by 2.5 games. Cleveland won its 15th-straight game. Wow. They’ve really run away with the division.

    Postgame With Gibson

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/906001299929407491

    Bullpen Usage

    Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:

    Bullpen97.png

    Looking Ahead

    Fri: Twins (Ervin Santana) at Kansas City (Ian Kennedy), 7:15 pm CT

    Sat: Twins (Jose Berrios) at Kansas City (Jake Junis), 6:15 pm CT

    Sun: Twins (Bartolo Colon) at Kansas City (Jason Vargas), 1:15 pm CT

    Looking Back

    Wed: MIN 10, TB 6: Twins Prevail Thanks to Big Error

    Tue: TB 2, MIN 0: Too Little, Too Late

    Mon: TB 11, MIN 4: Bullpen Lets Game Get Out of Hand

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    Gabriel Gonzalez

    St. Paul Saints - AAA, OF/1B
    On Friday night at CHS Field, Gabby went 2-for-3 in both ends of the Saints doubleheader. He played 1B in Game 1 and was in Right Field for the second game.

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    If I did my math correct, since May 28th, Gibson's ERA is 4.29 in 18 starts.

    1 game with 7 runs allowed

    1 game with 6 runs allowed

    1 game with 4 runs allowed

    6 games with 3 runs allowed

    5 games with 2 runs allowed

    3 games with 1 runs allowed

    1 game with 0 runs allowed

     

    I will take that from my 5th starter every year.

    Gibson isn't the 5th starter. He would currently be slotted ahead of Slegers and eventually Mejia.

     

    Two things bother/concern me. Yeah, it's nice that Gibson has been pitching well the last few weeks. Better than him pitching poorly. But the teams he has faced of late are some of the worst offenses in baseball. Of course, he's been known to pitch poorly in those situations too. That he is not is a positive.

     

    The other is consistency. Or the lack thereof. One expects Mejia and Berrios to be inconsistent. That's part of being 23-24 with limited MLB experience. Gibson is neither young or inexperienced. At this point in his career he should be able to consistently hit his spots and have command of his pitches. But he doesn't. I just don't see him worthy of any kind of long term investment based on the results to date. As for 2018, I'll get back to you after the season.

     

    Yeah! This!

     

    No sacrifice bunting to 2B ever (exception: the pitcher is batting and you can't pinch hit for some reason).

     

    Bunt runners to 3B with guy on 2B and no out can be fine with a weak hitter in the early innings and by most hitters in the late innings when you just need 1 run.

    Lets not pretend there is no value to getting a guy to second especially when you don't do it and  the 2nd guy bats into a double play.  Guy on second with 1 out is way different than no one on and two outs.   I mean that is the main reason for doing it.    I agree its not a good percentage play though.  The fact that most pro teams don't field bunts much better than high school teams is offset by the fact that pro hitters are no better than high schoolers at actually getting the bunt down. 

    Lets not pretend there is no value to getting a guy to second especially when you don't do it and the 2nd guy bats into a double play. Guy on second with 1 out is way different than no one on and two outs. I mean that is the main reason for doing it. I agree its not a good percentage play though. The fact that most pro teams don't field bunts much better than high school teams is offset by the fact that pro hitters are no better than high schoolers at actually getting the bunt down.

    1) You don't ask your # 3 hitter to bunt. He's usually your BEST hitter. Right now, I'd say that is definitely what Polanco is.

     

    2) You don't play for a tie on the road. You play for the win.

     

    1) You don't ask your # 3 hitter to bunt. He's usually your BEST hitter. Right now, I'd say that is definitely what Polanco is.

    2) You don't play for a tie on the road. You play for the win.

    Not arguing that particular instance.   Not even arguing for sacrificing a guy to second in general since I did say I agree that it is not a high percentage play.    Just saying there are some advantages to doing it, ie scoring position and staying out of double play, which is why it has been done for a century.   Advanced stats now say don't do it.   I doubt the stats are that lopsided but over time small percentages make a difference.

    Agreed on everything above this but not this. By most accounts, he's kind of a pain. He's difficult for coaches to work with and has rubbed teammates the wrong way in the past. Also, just look at the guy. He looks like someone you wouldn't really like (I know that's terrible, but we all make judgments like that.)

     

    C'mon this is nonsense. The old saying there is someone for everyone holds true. We would all have baseball in common but from the comments it is apparent we have a wide variety of types here that love baseball. Everyone would probably agree that Gibson appears a bit pinched at times but we would all also gain new respect for a guy who gets knocked down hard like he has this year if he bounces back. I'd he does start having fun out there and develops some toughness I'll be on board. This is a fun group and it may just loosen ole Gibby up a little.

     

    Gibson isn't the 5th starter. He would currently be slotted ahead of Slegers and eventually Mejia.

    Two things bother/concern me. Yeah, it's nice that Gibson has been pitching well the last few weeks. Better than him pitching poorly. But the teams he has faced of late are some of the worst offenses in baseball. Of course, he's been known to pitch poorly in those situations too. That he is not is a positive.

    The other is consistency. Or the lack thereof. One expects Mejia and Berrios to be inconsistent. That's part of being 23-24 with limited MLB experience. Gibson is neither young or inexperienced. At this point in his career he should be able to consistently hit his spots and have command of his pitches. But he doesn't. I just don't see him worthy of any kind of long term investment based on the results to date. As for 2018, I'll get back to you after the season.

    I am not sure how Gibson is to blame that the twins only have 2 pitchers better than him.

    Gibson hasn't been pitching well for the last few weeks, he has been pitching well since the end of May (which is the last few months, not weeks)

    I don't think anybody has said invest in him long term, but he is only 30 and right now there aren't too many free agents to be that I want to spend big money on. I wouldn't pencil him in for the 2018 rotation either, but while he is inconsistent at times I rather him in the 5th spot then any one of are minor league prospects at least starting 18.

     

     

    I am not sure how Gibson is to blame that the twins only have 2 pitchers better than him.

    Gibson hasn't been pitching well for the last few weeks, he has been pitching well since the end of May (which is the last few months, not weeks)

    I don't think anybody has said invest in him long term, but he is only 30 and right now there aren't too many free agents to be that I want to spend big money on. I wouldn't pencil him in for the 2018 rotation either, but while he is inconsistent at times I rather him in the 5th spot then any one of are minor league prospects at least starting 18.

     

    I am going to reply to this in the Gibson thread since the post is about him specifically and not the game in general.




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