Article: Twins Draft Preview: Alex Bregman

[drjim]

 

Just to play devil's advocate, if you know this is a weak draft and there's a chance that next year is a great draft, isn't taking the gamble potentially worth the risk?  I don't think this makes sense for the Twins since they're in the 6/7 hole but if you had the #1 pick and you knew that next year was a year with a couple of great prospects (let's say hitting since that's less likely to change) while you weren't excited about anyone this year, it seems like it might be worth a shot.

 

The reputational thing is a good point and the human factor is a great point too.  This is more in the land of make believe but I think it's an interesting idea.

 

The bigger issue is that people can speculate but they have no idea how good or bad a draft will be. And scouts and officials almost always underrate the current draft compared to future drafts.

 

A year ago this draft was thought of as better than it turned out to be. Injuries and poor performance can do that. Take the good prospect why you can. Plus no guarantee you will be around next year to reap the benefits if you choose this course of action.

[drjim]

 

Just to play devil's advocate, if you know this is a weak draft and there's a chance that next year is a great draft, isn't taking the gamble potentially worth the risk?  I don't think this makes sense for the Twins since they're in the 6/7 hole but if you had the #1 pick and you knew that next year was a year with a couple of great prospects (let's say hitting since that's less likely to change) while you weren't excited about anyone this year, it seems like it might be worth a shot.

 

The reputational thing is a good point and the human factor is a great point too.  This is more in the land of make believe but I think it's an interesting idea.

 

But it is an interesting idea, fun to discuss on fan forums, but not happening (intentionally) in the real world.