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Trading Jorge Polanco

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Tom Froemming
Jon Morosi of MLB Network reported that people around the industry believe there’s a very strong chance the Minnesota Twins will trade Jorge Polanco. I discussed what I would target in a trade for Polanco, his trade value and some considerations that might make him more attractive on the market. This is going to be a very interesting offseason.
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Doesn’t really matter what you want to trade Polanco for as an observer…. your video comments seem to be a bit sentimental, understood, but team can’t be built that way………what do we need & what can we get? We can’t trade a broken down (108 games & 80 games last 2 years) 2B straight up for anything but prospects. Mediocre - Bad - Rebuild teams do not want a $10.5M contract……..good teams aren’t trading starting pitching!!!

Don’t need $26M of salary (Buxton/Polanco) available 40-50% of the time. Outside of 1 season Buxton averages 77 games/year over 8 seasons. Can’t make that situation worse with Jorge!! Can’t!

Now, Polanco - Larnach - Miranda in a package ……..maybe Moran or Headrick tossed in for one of the other 3…………this may land good pitching prospect or even a reasonable current starter at end of contract (Corbin Burnes) from 2-3 organizations…….Milwaukee - Pittsburgh - Washington - Miami?

CF is covered internally.

Buxton/Castro/Gordon/Martin…..something there has to work.

NOBODY is trading starting pitching at the level we need - only target staff with enough pitching to consider or I can envision is Seattle & we don’t want to make them better with 2-3 every day guys!!

.235 & .256 last two seasons for Polanco ……..Farmer is better defensively at all 3 positions they may share in ‘24 ……he makes $3-$4M less……..he hit .256 in ‘23 & played 145 games & 120 games last 2 years. Gotta be Julien & Farmer at 2B…….with Farmer being depth at SS & 3B.

Polanco needs to move to maybe Milwaukee - Washington - Miami - Boston along with a couple other guys under control for the receiving team.

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I think the best "potential value" they can receive will be by getting prospects.  As noted his value isn't all that high.  He is a pretty clutch performer and the switch hitting is a nice benefit as well.  The injuries though have sapped his value to some degree.  Packaged with another good player with years of control in the system could net some decent pitching.  It doesn't seem like the Twins are looking for bottom rotation starter though and top of the rotation is tough to get.

They might be able to line up with the Brewers getting one year of Burns.  Polanco and maybe one of the four 2022 pitchers who performed well would possibly get a deal done? Not sure what all it would take to get Burns but Polanco has to be an appealing get for the Brewers.

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Well Tom, If you hate the idea of Polanco being traded for prospects you are likely going to be disappointed.  Teams that want Polanco are not likely to trade away well above average pitching or a good power bat.  The primary benefit of trading Polanco would be redistributing the salary to a free agent starting pitcher.  Obviously, the $10M does not buy a free agent SP but it could provide funding to spend $20M instead of $10M on a free agent SP.

Maybe this will make you feel better.  Go to Fangraphs and look at how the players on any 90+ win team (among teams in the bottom 2/3 of revenue) in the past 20 years and look at how those rosters were built.  Players that were acquired as prospects or players acquired before every producing at the ML level are far and away more important to building a winning team than trading for established players.  It's not even remotely close.  We want established players because we want immediate gain.  However, as we saw with Mahle and Lopez trading for established players is not a certain thing.  The Rays and Gaurdians prove over and over how effective flipping players that profile like Polanco for prospects can be we fans still don't want prospects.  I will gladly take a good prospect and invest the extra $10M in a very good SP or even a very good bat.

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162 x 3.1 = 502

502 is how many PA's you need to qualify for the batting title. 

We had 1 player (Carlos Correa) reach that mark in 2023. 

I surely didn't predict that Donovan Solano would be third in PA's and Willi Castro would be 4th.

 

134 divided by 30 teams = 4.47

There were 134 MLB players total who reached 502 PA's to qualify.  

 

Just counting position players -- The injured list (10 and 60 day) was utilized a total of 23 times. Plus 22 separate times a position player on the 26 man roster was listed as day to day without IL utilization. Once again... that's just position players... not counting pitchers. 

Here are the players who spent time on the injured list. (Just position players) 

Royce Lewis, Joey Gallo and Jorge Polanco 3 times.  

Carlos Correa, Alex Kiriloff, Byron Buxton and Max Kepler 2 times.  

Michael A. Taylor, Willi Castro, Jose Miranda, Trevor Larnach, Nick Gordon and Kyle Farmer once. 

 

Over the course of the 2023 season. 

8 different players played 1B

7 different players played 2B (Including Vazquez twice) 

6 different players played 3B

5 different players played SS

12 different players played OF

 

Yet... Polanco and Julien on the same roster is an issue that must be rectified because every off season... the mythical log jam rears it's head out of Loch Ness.  

 

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1 hour ago, Riverbrian said:

162 x 3.1 = 502

502 is how many PA's you need to qualify for the batting title. 

We had 1 player (Carlos Correa) reach that mark in 2023. 

I surely didn't predict that Donovan Solano would be third in PA's and Willi Castro would be 4th.

 

134 divided by 30 teams = 4.47

There were 134 MLB players total who reached 502 PA's to qualify.  

 

Just counting position players -- The injured list (10 and 60 day) was utilized a total of 23 times. Plus 22 separate times a position player on the 26 man roster was listed as day to day without IL utilization. Once again... that's just position players... not counting pitchers. 

Here are the players who spent time on the injured list. (Just position players) 

Royce Lewis, Joey Gallo and Jorge Polanco 3 times.  

Carlos Correa, Alex Kiriloff, Byron Buxton and Max Kepler 2 times.  

Michael A. Taylor, Willi Castro, Jose Miranda, Trevor Larnach, Nick Gordon and Kyle Farmer once. 

 

Over the course of the 2023 season. 

8 different players played 1B

7 different players played 2B (Including Vazquez twice) 

6 different players played 3B

5 different players played SS

12 different players played OF

 

Yet... Polanco and Julien on the same roster is an issue that must be rectified because every off season... the mythical log jam rears it's head out of Loch Ness.  

 

I don’t think anyone is arguing Polanco would not get ABs.  The argument is that the dollars would be better spent elsewhere given the payroll situation.  In other words, we are looking at a different equation than what you have illustrated.  The equation is Polanco’s replacement + 9,760,000 will provide a better net result than Polanco. 

For example, they are going to sign another SP. I would rather have Castro/Miranda/Severino or Pratt take those PAs IF Julien or Lewis are injured and sign a SP for 21.76M instead of $12M.  If neither or those two are injured I would rather have Julien or Lewis getting as many PAs as possible. 

We also have Brooks Lee at AAA with a reasonable expectation he will be ready half-way through the season.  Do you want to keep him stashed at AAA or invest that playing time in him to make us better for the next several years?  It's also worthy of noting that Polanco has been injury prone himself.

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1 hour ago, Major League Ready said:

I don’t think anyone is arguing Polanco would not get ABs.  The argument is that the dollars would be better spent elsewhere given the payroll situation.  In other words, we are looking at a different equation than what you have illustrated.  The equation is Polanco’s replacement + 9,760,000 will provide a better net result than Polanco. 

For example, they are going to sign another SP. I would rather have Castro/Miranda/Severino or Pratt take those PAs IF Julien or Lewis are injured and sign a SP for 21.76M instead of $12M.  If neither or those two are injured I would rather have Julien or Lewis getting as many PAs as possible. 

We also have Brooks Lee at AAA with a reasonable expectation he will be ready half-way through the season.  Do you want to keep him stashed at AAA or invest that playing time in him to make us better for the next several years?  It's also worthy of noting that Polanco has been injury prone himself.

Budget is the only justification for a trade. If he has to be moved for budget considerations than he will have to be moved for budget considerations. However... if it's budget I recommend Farmer at 6.5... or better yet... both for 18 and let's go bigger still.  

However... I'm not so sure that many of the posters across the many threads on the subject are looking at two 2B and saying that is too many. 

 

 

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1 hour ago, Riverbrian said:

Budget is the only justification for a trade. If he has to be moved for budget considerations than he will have to be moved for budget considerations. However... if it's budget I recommend Farmer at 6.5... or better yet... both for 18 and let's go bigger still.  

However... I'm not so sure that many of the posters across the many threads on the subject are looking at two 2B and saying that is too many. 

 

 

You might be right.  I am of course reading between the lines of the comments.  It seems like most here are very aware of the budget considerations which is why I assumed they were thinking in terms of reallocating the money.  I think the bigger disconnect is that many hope Polanco is traded for high-end established pitching.  That's not going to happening.  At least not where Polanco the headliner.  It would take Polanco plus one of Lee / Jenkins or Julien and another decent prospect. 

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3 hours ago, Major League Ready said:

You might be right.  I am of course reading between the lines of the comments.  It seems like most here are very aware of the budget considerations which is why I assumed they were thinking in terms of reallocating the money.  I think the bigger disconnect is that many hope Polanco is traded for high-end established pitching.  That's not going to happening.  At least not where Polanco the headliner.  It would take Polanco plus one of Lee / Jenkins or Julien and another decent prospect. 

I am using my mind's eye to determine intent as well. 

We may have to free up some dollars to get that SP or OF or 1B. In that case... the departure of Polanco makes sense to me. 

Although myself personally... I go into this off-season thinking that we need Polanco's bat plus another talented bat.

If Polanco has to be traded to get a pitcher... Now we need two bats.  

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