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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    When the front office starts to get frightened of trading prospects for controllable top end MLB players, that's when it's time to replace them. But Mahle was a midseason trade when there were only three options available, there are more options in the offseason. Additionally, midseason trades are far more likely to pay off for the sellers. The less information the other team has on your prospects, the better off your bargaining position is. At midseason the players are that much closer to the majors and the scouts have that much more data on them. Your team's insight into their strengths, weaknesses and makeup is that much more dragged from the shadows. I mean if the Twins make that trade in the offseason instead of midseason, who's headlining that deal? Austin Martin? Trever Larnach? Spencer Steer probably barley crosses the Reds radar.
  2. nicksaviking
    I have no interest in Duvall, but at least I can see why some do. But Lorenzen, and his ungodly 13% K rate? No way, he's just flat out awful. Small sample size hero like Dallas Keuchel. He doesn't make the rotation better in any way.
  3. nicksaviking
    Better than Gray last year? That's a really high bar. And even so, go get someone who's more likely than them to be a front line starter, and then if Ryan/Ober/Paddack turn out to be as well, you're just that much better off. The good teams don't sit on their laurels and hope for the young pitchers to develop, they continually trade for and sign top of the rotation arms pushing the already good arms down the pecking order.
  4. nicksaviking
    I have no interest in rental pitchers. Why would this team even bother with one? Then they'd have to do the exact same thing next year, and the year after and the year after. You'd be wasting way more prospect capital in the long run by chasing your tail like this, and your risk reduction strategy would be shot because you'd have to hit on the trade target every single year as opposed to hitting on it once. And with the expanded playoffs, we've seen the pool of available players shrink significantly midseason. Also if the front office doesn't believe that this team would be a contender with the addition of a #2 pitcher now at the start of the season and has to wait until midseason to decide, than ownership needs to be looking for new people to run the show.
  5. nicksaviking
    I'd love a big bat for the middle of the order, but I don't see any on the free agent market that I like at all. Either they strike out 30% of the time, which is a problem with this club, or they are wildly inconsistent players. Or both.
  6. nicksaviking
    I hope the Twins found a diamond in the rough, but his control was brutal even before he was injured. If it's at all still a question during spring training, I don't think he breaks camp with the team.
  7. nicksaviking
    A mid season trade will cost more. Plus, this team has nailed the offseason trades while blowing the midseason trades (not blaming, I liked them at the time). Get a guy now and have him for 162 games.
  8. nicksaviking
    I agree that it seems to stick out. Maybe the Twins don't like the Marlins pitchers, but maybe those talks haven't been fruitless so they didn't want to spoil the apple by specifically calling that club out.
  9. nicksaviking
    They don't have other needs. The lineup is all but locked, anything else is a luxury. A top of the rotation arm is what they need and they have prospect equity to get it if it's available. And what's the point of putting together a competitive team if they aren't trying to win in the playoffs? Might as well sell all the vets and tank for prospects if losing in the Wild Card round is the goal. Ryan isn't a #2, they clearly didn't trust him or Ober in the playoffs last year. They need someone to slot ahead of those two.
  10. nicksaviking
    Weird he doesn't say the Twins have talked to the Marlins, the one team that has come out to say they are willing to trade top end pitching. And a team the Twins dealt with last year. I mean it's weird unless one supposes that the very secretive Twins noisily leaked their interest in Milwaukee and Chicago pitchers to prod Miami into action.
  11. nicksaviking
    Right, that's the point though. None of us should be satisfied with just winning a sad AL Central. DeSclafani isn't going to win a game in the playoffs, and the Twins need a pitcher to replace Sonny Gray who will. They don't have that guy yet.
  12. nicksaviking
    I don't think Milwaukee is trading Burnes. But I don't associate Wade Miley with teams making deep playoff runs. He seems like a guy a contender signs if they have no money and need to fill a rotation spot, or a bottom feeder signs to pretend they're trying.
  13. nicksaviking
    It would be fun for teams to keep trading DeSclafnai and eating his salary until he's free upon landing at his final destination having a half dozen other clubs paying him.
  14. nicksaviking
  15. nicksaviking
    Depends if they're asking for help paying for stadium renovations or if they're asking for higher paying broadcasting rights. Man, what a weird ride the Angelos' took that team. They were previously owned by some non-Baltimore natives and stunk the half decade they were run by those guys. When Peter Angelos, a local guy, bought the Orioles and they became competitive again and everyone was quick to say it was because he cared about the franchise and the other guys were secretly Yankee or Red Sox fans. Then they hit the end of the 1990's, they stink, and stink for most of the next two decades. I know they blamed the Nationals for eating a huge chunk of their broadcasting map, but they went from being one of the league's top spenders to one of the lowest really quick.
  16. nicksaviking
    I don't want Solar, but if I'm honest, my justification for not wanting him isn't as strong as it is for every other offensive player. It basically boils down to never trusting a contract year bounce back player and why are his strikeout numbers so wildly inconsistent?
  17. nicksaviking
    While going from a 24% K rate to a 31% K rate. I don't know how that's possible with a veteran like him. It's insane and a giant red flag, and anyone who watched the Twins last year knows that more strikeouts is the last thing this team needs. Plus, I think they need to avoid plugging up the DH spot as much as possible.
  18. nicksaviking
    Martinez’s K% skyrocketed to 31% last year too. I’m not sure what changed with him, but it’s not a good fit.
  19. nicksaviking
    Agree, hard for the GM to walk back that pick, but they aren't winning meaningful games with him, and ownership JUST came out and said they expect to do just that. And I think a team trying to cover up a poor passer with archaic run heavy schemes isn't going to fool ownership for long. Zimmer, Belichick, Rivera and Vrable are gone, Tomlin seems like the last of a dying breed, particularly now that defensive minded DeMeco Ryans went into Houston and and let his OC throw the ball all over the field. We'll have to see what Morris, Pierce and Mayo do with the Falcons, Raiders and Patriots. Morris looks like he's going to the air attack approach based on his OC hire, I'd bet Pierce does the same. Mayo may be stuck doing whatever the shot callers in NE want him to do. I'd be happy to have Warren, but I'm pretty sure Pittsburg knows he's their best RB, I can't imagine they'd trade him and keep Harris. I saw one game this year where the Steelers fans booed every time Harris replaced Warren. They know where the talent is at in that committee.
  20. nicksaviking
    Well I'd rather they listen to fans when they say they want lower ticket prices or a functional and affordable TV broadcasting situation. They don't listen to fans when they say they want Ohtani. But they should 'listen to fans' when it's a cheap meaningless has-been who'll waste a roster space? Just to appease them? Makes sense.
  21. nicksaviking
    I don't want any of these kinds of players. I really enjoyed Polanco, but offensively, the unlisted benefit from moving him is the roster flexibility. Yes, Polanco is more likely to be better than Lee or Miranda or Severino or Martin or Prato or Camargo. But he's unlikely to be better than ALL of them. The team basically just has two nebulous offensive spots on the roster, Gordon or Larnach likely gets one, leave the other one open for trial and error with the other optionable players (or better yet, move Gordon and have two such spots). The team will more likely than not find a better player or players among that group than Polanco or any other free agent they'd bring in.
  22. nicksaviking
    I'd love for the Cubs not have have learned from the Jason Heyward faux renaissance.
  23. nicksaviking
    I don't think so. I know others like him, but Blake Snell getting a long term deal sounds like group think. Looking at starting pitchers with a BB% higher than Snell's this century, the biggest names I find are Tyler Chatwood, Michael Kopich, Daniel Cabrera, Kerry Wood and Daisuke Matsuzaka. Either via performance or injury, all were done as starters by the time they were 31. Snell will beat that mark, but anyone banking on him into his mid to late 30s has got a rude awakening coming.
  24. nicksaviking
    Yeah, completely agree that we get amnesia every year about this stuff. But seriously, this year I don't want them spend 10-15M more on any free agent. I don't like any of them that are left. There are other players in the system I'd rather the Twins roster. No Joey Gallos or Christian Vazquezs. No to any other names who other fans are interested in, I am not. Hard pass. And I'm not trying to save the Pohlad's money, it's just that these guys all seem to have too many warts to warrant a guaranteed contract. Might as well roll with the more talented young players with warts, even if it does help ownership's pocketbook. Now trading for someone with a sizable contract, I could be open to that, but don't have anyone of note in mind.
  25. nicksaviking
    Snell no? Unless he's taking a two year deal. Major control issues and injury concerns. I'm not locking up a roster sport for what a guy did yesterday, I want someone I can believe in for the foreseeable future, and it's definitely not him.
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