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Tom Froemming

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  1. *You're going to see a lot of speculation and analysis on potential bullpen additions at the site over the coming weeks. Cody led things off last night with a great overview of 10 potential trade targets. We'll continue to explore the reliever market by running profiles on specific pitchers each day. Kirby Yates, RHP, 32-years-old San Diego Padres (33-33, 4th in NL West) Under team control via arbitration through 2020 2019: 0.96 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 15.4 K/9, 2.6 BB/9 in 28.0 IP 2018: 2.14 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 12.9 K/9, 2.4 BB/9 in 63.0 IP What’s to Like? Well you gotta like the idea of a guy named Kirby joining the Twins, right? He’s also a frontrunner for fireman of the year right now. If you were looking to ride a hot hand, Yates is among the hottest you can find right now. Yates leads all relievers in saves (23), FanGraphs’ WAR (1.9) and WPA (2.59). Out of the 165 relievers with at least 20 innings, Yates is third in ERA (0.96), fourth in xFIP (1.95) and second in K-BB% (37.7). Opposing batters are hitting just .167/.245/.219 (.464 OPS) against him right now. Yates hasn’t given up a run in his last 10 appearances, yielding just two hits and one walk over that stretch. He hasn’t been taken deep in 2019 and has surrendered just five extra-base hits. Plugging in a set closer to the ninth inning would allow Rocco Baldelli to continue using Taylor Rogers in whatever other high-leverage situations he sees fit. Concerns Diversity is something to aim for in the bullpen, and Yates’ pitch mix is similar to a current Twins reliever. Yates’s specialty pitch is his splitter, same as Blake Parker, though Yates goes to that offering nearly twice as often as Parker does (42% vs. 21.8%). https://twitter.com/PitchingNinja/status/1126254140265566209 There’s also some concern that he may be a product of his pitching environment. Yates has posted a 161 ERA+ over 146 2/3 innings with the Padres. He was nowhere near that good with the Rays (73 ERA+ in 56 1/2 innings) or Yankees (83 ERA+ in 41 1/3 innings). What happens if you take him out of San Diego and put him back in the American League? He did develop that splitter while with the Padres, however, so maybe this is for real. The aging curve for relievers can be pretty brutal. Yates is 32 and it’s not like he’s a flame-thrower as it is. His four seamer, which he throws roughly 57% of the time, sits 93 mph. See Also 10 Relievers Minnesota Could Target
  2. You can also check out Seth's Get To Know piece on Hackimer from Feb. '17 and my Prospect Spotlight Series article on him from November of that year. This guy has tremendous strikeout and groundball rates, it seems almost impossible for hitters to really drive the ball against him, but the big question is with his control. Issues a lot of walks, hits a ton of batters. He already has 10 hit batsmen this season, tied for third most among all minor league pitchers. Still, most definitely a guy to keep on your radar.
  3. I believe xFIP is the strongest predictor of pitcher success. Here's how the rotation shakes out right now: 3.43 Gibson 4.14 Berrios 4.26 Odorizzi 4.47 Perez 4.76 Pineda
  4. Just because Gibson may not have followed his regular pre-start game preparation today does not mean he didn't prepare for the game.
  5. I mean, Ryan Eades didn't even get to the ballpark until 15 minutes prior to the first pitch. Pretty savage move for a guy showing up for his first day on the job He seemed to do OK despite the circumstances.
  6. I'm not sure, but I'd suspect that probably had about as much to do with his results as where he ate his breakfast this morning or which one of his shoes he tied first.
  7. Kyle Gibson struggled to finish off the Tigers in the second inning, the Twins’ lineup was uncharacteristically quiet against a Detroit staff maneuvering through a bullpen game and Matt Magill made sure there was no drama in the ninth inning. In between all that, Ryan Eades pitched two scoreless innings in his major league debut.Box Score Gibson: 5.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 8 K, 67.0% strikes (63 of 94 pitches) Bullpen: 3.0 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 5 K Home Runs: Cruz (10) Multi-Hit Games: Cruz (2-for-3, HR, BB) WPA of +0.1: Cruz .102 WPA of -0.1: Gonzalez -.185, Gibson -.294 Download attachment: Win68.png (chart via FanGraphs) The key moment in this game came in the bottom of the second inning. Kyle Gibson retired the first two batters he faced, then got ahead of the next batter 0-2. One more strike and the good guys are back in the dugout. Gibson’s next two pitches weren’t close enough to chase, however, evening the count at 2-2. Gibson manged to get a chase the fifth pitch, but the batter managed to hit a slider down and away into left field for a single to extend the inning. Gibson lost an eight-pitch battle with the next batter, walking him on a two-seamer that was well outside the zone. He then hung a slider on the second pitch he threw to JaCoby Jones, who crushed a three-run homer. That third out has been elusive for Gibson this season. In addition to the three-run homer, Gibson also gave up a two-out RBI single in the fifth inning. Entering today, opposing hitters had a .720 OPS with no outs, .648 OPS with one out and an .809 OPS with two outs against Gibby. Of the 11 home runs Gibson has now surrendered, six have come with two down. That’s a strange trend, not only generally speaking, but also in comparison to Gibson’s career numbers. With both the 2019 league averages and Gibson’s overall career marks, OPS against shrinks the more outs there are. It’s not like Gibson didn’t have good stuff today. He struck out eight batters and got 18 swinging strikes, which is the third-most whiffs he’s gotten in 12 starts this year. Eades Debuts Gibson’s short start created a nice opportunity for the Twins to get Ryan Eades his MLB debut. We’ve been privileged to some pretty special stories so far this season. Ryne Harper finally making his debut as a 30-year-old and cancer survivor/ultimate underdog Devin Smeltzer making it are about as good as it gets. FSN managed to tug at my heartstrings pretty hard today, as they showed Eades’ wife in the stands, baby wearing their infant, crying her eyes out at seeing her husband on a major league mound for the first time. Beautiful moment to be able to witness. Eades retired the first two men he faced, then walked the next two batters. Wes Johnson came out to the mound and probably said something along the lines of “hey, we’re not paying you by the hour,” and Eades retired the next batter to end the inning. Eades came back out for the seventh and gave up a couple of hits. He was helped out by the combination of a bad send at third base and a good relay from Marwin Gonzalez to Miguel Sano to Jason Castro, but Eades ended up throwing two shutout innings. He struck out three batters and topped out at 95.5 mph. Magill Floundering Matt Magill followed Eades and struggled badly, once again. He gave up four runs on five hits. Over his last three appearances, Magill has surrendered 10 earned runs on 10 hits and three walks over just 1 2/3 innings. Bats Struggle vs. Detroit Pen The Tigers went with a bullpen game today and managed to hold the Twins to three runs on just six hits. They combined to strike out nine batters, Miguel Sano accounting for three of those punch outs. The Twins had just two extra-base hits today, Nelson Cruz’s 10th home run and Jorge Polanco’s 18th double of the season. Really, the Twins as a whole just felt like the came out a little flat in this one. Postgame With Baldelli Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Pen68.png Next Game Sun at DET, 12:10 pm CT (Odorizzi-Carpenter) Last Game MIN 6, DET 3: Offense, Bullpen Come Through Late as Twins Take Opener More from Twins Daily Cali Connection Jumps Draft Boards: Q&A with Keoni Cavaco Minnesota Twins 2019 MLB Draft Recap Area Man to Let Bullpen Ruin His Family's Weekend Click here to view the article
  8. Box Score Gibson: 5.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 8 K, 67.0% strikes (63 of 94 pitches) Bullpen: 3.0 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 5 K Home Runs: Cruz (10) Multi-Hit Games: Cruz (2-for-3, HR, BB) WPA of +0.1: Cruz .102 WPA of -0.1: Gonzalez -.185, Gibson -.294 (chart via FanGraphs) The key moment in this game came in the bottom of the second inning. Kyle Gibson retired the first two batters he faced, then got ahead of the next batter 0-2. One more strike and the good guys are back in the dugout. Gibson’s next two pitches weren’t close enough to chase, however, evening the count at 2-2. Gibson manged to get a chase the fifth pitch, but the batter managed to hit a slider down and away into left field for a single to extend the inning. Gibson lost an eight-pitch battle with the next batter, walking him on a two-seamer that was well outside the zone. He then hung a slider on the second pitch he threw to JaCoby Jones, who crushed a three-run homer. That third out has been elusive for Gibson this season. In addition to the three-run homer, Gibson also gave up a two-out RBI single in the fifth inning. Entering today, opposing hitters had a .720 OPS with no outs, .648 OPS with one out and an .809 OPS with two outs against Gibby. Of the 11 home runs Gibson has now surrendered, six have come with two down. That’s a strange trend, not only generally speaking, but also in comparison to Gibson’s career numbers. With both the 2019 league averages and Gibson’s overall career marks, OPS against shrinks the more outs there are. It’s not like Gibson didn’t have good stuff today. He struck out eight batters and got 18 swinging strikes, which is the third-most whiffs he’s gotten in 12 starts this year. Eades Debuts Gibson’s short start created a nice opportunity for the Twins to get Ryan Eades his MLB debut. We’ve been privileged to some pretty special stories so far this season. Ryne Harper finally making his debut as a 30-year-old and cancer survivor/ultimate underdog Devin Smeltzer making it are about as good as it gets. FSN managed to tug at my heartstrings pretty hard today, as they showed Eades’ wife in the stands, baby wearing their infant, crying her eyes out at seeing her husband on a major league mound for the first time. Beautiful moment to be able to witness. Eades retired the first two men he faced, then walked the next two batters. Wes Johnson came out to the mound and probably said something along the lines of “hey, we’re not paying you by the hour,” and Eades retired the next batter to end the inning. Eades came back out for the seventh and gave up a couple of hits. He was helped out by the combination of a bad send at third base and a good relay from Marwin Gonzalez to Miguel Sano to Jason Castro, but Eades ended up throwing two shutout innings. He struck out three batters and topped out at 95.5 mph. Magill Floundering Matt Magill followed Eades and struggled badly, once again. He gave up four runs on five hits. Over his last three appearances, Magill has surrendered 10 earned runs on 10 hits and three walks over just 1 2/3 innings. Bats Struggle vs. Detroit Pen The Tigers went with a bullpen game today and managed to hold the Twins to three runs on just six hits. They combined to strike out nine batters, Miguel Sano accounting for three of those punch outs. The Twins had just two extra-base hits today, Nelson Cruz’s 10th home run and Jorge Polanco’s 18th double of the season. Really, the Twins as a whole just felt like the came out a little flat in this one. Postgame With Baldelli https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1137508466266796032 Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Next Game Sun at DET, 12:10 pm CT (Odorizzi-Carpenter) Last Game MIN 6, DET 3: Offense, Bullpen Come Through Late as Twins Take Opener More from Twins Daily Cali Connection Jumps Draft Boards: Q&A with Keoni Cavaco Minnesota Twins 2019 MLB Draft Recap Area Man to Let Bullpen Ruin His Family's Weekend
  9. Maybe, but if anybody misses significant time, I'd think it'll be Marwin who takes over as the everyday guy and they'd still have Adrianza as the utility IF.
  10. Yes, but those two probably don't have as much trade value as we'd imagine. They've both been very impressive, but as the Twins demonstrated this offseason, first and second base are very easy holes to fill. Those aren't spots I'd be looking to beef up if I was a rebuilding team. No, I don't think that would get them close. If the Nats made Max available, they'd probably be looking for a package headed by a top-30 prospect in all of baseball. I know he's getting up there and makes a ton, but he's showing no signs of regression. Washington just doesn't seem to have much motivation to move him. To me, he's actually one of the main guys to shop. You want to trade away your players who are at the peak of their value, and I feel that describes Arraez right now. It's really easy to find a second baseman. Yes, Schoop is a pending free agent, but Marwin can slot into 2B for next season. As far as his speed, Statcast had Arraez at 26.6 ft./sec. during his time up with the Twins. That's a bit below average, Cron is at 26.2 and Garver is at 26.1. Among 63 second baseman measured, Luis ranks 48th in sprint speed. Arraez also doesn't have much power. I don't really enjoy pointing this stuff out, and I think Luis is on the short list of funnest guys in the system to watch play, but I think now would be a good time to shop him.
  11. Jhoan Duran had another great start, Brent Rooker, Travis Blankenhorn, Lewin Diaz and Jose Miranda all hit home runs, Drew Maggi mashed a pair of taters and the Cedar Rapids bullpen provided seven no-hit innings. Come see what else happened down on the farm Friday night.TRANSACTIONS -LHP Devin Smeltzer was optioned back to Rochester. -C Trevor Casanova joined Fort Myers from extended spring. -OF/1B Trey Cabbage also re-joined Fort Myers from the suspended list. RED WINGS REPORT Game 1: Rochester 19, Pawtucket 4 (7 innings) Box Score Kohl Stewart: 5.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 5 K, 58.5% strikes (55 of 94 pitches) HR: None Multi-hit games: Luis Arraez (3-for-4, 2B, BB), Wilin Rosario (3-for-5, 2B), Nick Gordon (2-for-6, 2B), Zander Wiel (2-for-3, BB, HBP), Jake Cave (2-for-5, 2 2B), Wynston Sawyer (2-for-5, 2B) How do you score 19 runs in a seven-inning game without the benefit of a home run? Well, drawing nine walks helps. So does going 12-for-19 with runners in scoring position. Every single hitter in Rochester’s lineup reached base at least twice. Luis Arraez and Wilin Rosario both tallied three hits. Arraez drove in five runs from the leadoff spot while Rosario had four RBIs. Drew Maggi reached safely in four of his five plate appearances, hitting a double to go with three walks, and score three runs. Zander Wiel also reached base in four of his five plate appearances (two singles, a walk and a hit by pitch). Brent Rooker scored three runs … lots of crooked numbers. Kohl Stewart, the beneficiary of all that run support, improved to 5-3 on the year. Game 2: Rochester 7, Pawtucket 4 (7 innings) Box Score Zack Littell: 2.2 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K, 81.1% strikes (30 of 37 pitches) HR: Drew Maggi 2 (5), Rooker (7) Multi-hit games: Cave (2-for-4, 2B), Maggi (2-for-3, 2 HR) The Wings trailed 4-2 entering the final inning, but Drew Maggi hit a game-tying home run, his second of the game, and Brent Rooker blasted a three-run homer to push Rochester ahead. Duran held Jupiter to one run on six hits over seven innings and struck out four. In his last three starts, Duran’s surrendered just 10 hits and three earned runs over 20 innings. Jose Miranda hit his third homer of the year, drew a walk and scored twice. Trey Cabbage hit a double and drove in a pair of runs in his return to the Miracle. Royce Lewis got a single, stole his 11th base of the season and scored a run. KERNELS NUGGETS Cedar Rapids 5, Peoria 3 Box Score Tyler Palm: 2.0 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K, 61.7% strikes (37 of 60 pitches) HR: None Multi-hit games: Yeltsin Encarnacion (2-for-5), Gabriel Maciel (2-for-4) Cedar Rapids stumbled a bit out of the gates, falling behind 3-0 after the first three innings, but they sure did finish strong. Carlos Suniaga, Jose Martinez and Moises Gomez combined to no-hit Peoria over the final seven innings of this game. Suniaga, the first man out of the bullpen, struck out five batters over his three innings. Martinez also delivered three innings before Gomez came in for the save in the ninth. The bats had a nice rally in the fourth inning to get rolling. With one out, Jared Akins and Chris Williams drew back-to-back walks. Jacob Pearson hit an RBI single before Andrew Bechtold provided a run-scoring ground out. Gabriel Maciel tied the game with an RBI single. Things stayed knotted up until the eighth inning. Gilberto Celestino hit a leadoff double and was driven home on a Williams triple. Celestino also helped provide an insurance run in the ninth, hitting a sacrifice fly. STARS OF THE DAY Twins Daily Minor League Pitcher of the Day: Jhoan Duran, Fort Myers Twins Daily Minor League Hitter of the Day: Drew Maggi, Rochester TOP PROSPECT SUMMARY Here’s a look at how the Twins Daily Top 20 Twins Prospects performed 1. Royce Lewis (FM): 1-for-4, R, SB, K 4. Trevor Larnach (FM): 1-for-4, 2B, R, K 6. Brent Rooker (ROC): 2-for-6, HR (7), 3 BB, 4 R, 5 RBI, K, HBP 7. Jhoan Duran (FM): Jhoan Duran: 7.0 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 4 K, 65.9% strikes (60 of 91 pitches) 11. Nick Gordon (ROC): 3-for-10, 2B, 4 R, 2 RBI, 3 SB 13. Ryan Jeffers (FM): 0-for-2, K 14. Ben Rortvedt (PNS): 0-for-4, K 16. Gilberto Celestino (CR): 1-for-4, 2B, R, RBI 17. Zack Littell (ROC): 2.2 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K, 81.1% strikes (30 of 37 pitches) 18. LaMonte Wade (ROC): 2-for-6, 3 BB 20. Jose Miranda (FM): 1-for-3, HR (3), BB, 2 R, RBI SATURDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Rochester at Pawtucket, 5:15 pm CT (Randy Dobnak) Pensacola at Biloxi, 6:35 pm CT (Charlie Barnes) Fort Myers vs. Jupiter, 5:00 pm CT (Cole Sands) Cedar Rapids at Peoria, 6:35 pm CT (Josh Winder) Please feel free to ask any questions and discuss the games. Click here to view the article
  12. TRANSACTIONS -LHP Devin Smeltzer was optioned back to Rochester. -C Trevor Casanova joined Fort Myers from extended spring. -OF/1B Trey Cabbage also re-joined Fort Myers from the suspended list. RED WINGS REPORT Game 1: Rochester 19, Pawtucket 4 (7 innings) Box Score Kohl Stewart: 5.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 5 K, 58.5% strikes (55 of 94 pitches) HR: None Multi-hit games: Luis Arraez (3-for-4, 2B, BB), Wilin Rosario (3-for-5, 2B), Nick Gordon (2-for-6, 2B), Zander Wiel (2-for-3, BB, HBP), Jake Cave (2-for-5, 2 2B), Wynston Sawyer (2-for-5, 2B) How do you score 19 runs in a seven-inning game without the benefit of a home run? Well, drawing nine walks helps. So does going 12-for-19 with runners in scoring position. Every single hitter in Rochester’s lineup reached base at least twice. Luis Arraez and Wilin Rosario both tallied three hits. Arraez drove in five runs from the leadoff spot while Rosario had four RBIs. Drew Maggi reached safely in four of his five plate appearances, hitting a double to go with three walks, and score three runs. Zander Wiel also reached base in four of his five plate appearances (two singles, a walk and a hit by pitch). Brent Rooker scored three runs … lots of crooked numbers. Kohl Stewart, the beneficiary of all that run support, improved to 5-3 on the year. Game 2: Rochester 7, Pawtucket 4 (7 innings) Box Score Zack Littell: 2.2 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K, 81.1% strikes (30 of 37 pitches) HR: Drew Maggi 2 (5), Rooker (7) Multi-hit games: Cave (2-for-4, 2B), Maggi (2-for-3, 2 HR) The Wings trailed 4-2 entering the final inning, but Drew Maggi hit a game-tying home run, his second of the game, and Brent Rooker blasted a three-run homer to push Rochester ahead. https://twitter.com/TFTwins/status/1137219192120336384 There were a lot of familiar names on the mound in this one. Gabriel Moya actually started this game. He recorded four outs before giving way to Zack Littell. I originally thought this may be an opener situation, but you don’t typically see the starting pitcher (or primary, whatever you want to call it) coming in to the middle of innings. Littell also only pitched 2 2/3 innings, throwing 37 pitches. The only hit Littell gave up was a solo home run. Fernando Romero followed with two innings. He gave up three runs on four hits, including a solo homer. Trevor Hildenberger pitched a perfect bottom of the seventh to pick up his first save for Rochester. BLUE WAHOO BITES Biloxi 9, Pensacola 1 Box Score Bryan Sammons: 3.2 IP, 9 H, 6 ER, 1 BB, 2 K, 65.9% strikes (54 of 82 pitches) HR: Travis Blankenhorn (10) Multi-hit games: None Travis Blankenhorn led off this game with a home run. The Blue Wahoos managed just one more hit the entire rest of the game. Bryan Sammons also had a rough night on the mound, meaning Biloxi had a pretty comfortable evening. Blankenhorn’s homer was his 10th already in just 40 games since being called up to Double-A. The Southern League leader came into today with 14 homers, so Travis is making quite the first impression. Adam Bray was another positive for Pensacola. He pitched 3 1/3 shutout innings of two-hit ball while striking out four batters. MIRACLE MATTERS Fort Myers 6, Jupiter 2 Box Score SP: Jhoan Duran: 7.0 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 4 K, 65.9% strikes (60 of 91 pitches) HR: Lewin Diaz (12), Jose Miranda (3) Multi-hit games: None Another day, another Lewin Diaz home run. That’s 12 home runs over his last 31 games now. Speaking of Blankenhorn, he led the Miracle with 11 homers last year. Jhoan Duran is another guy who’s been rolling for Fort Myers. He was hot, hot, hot tonight. https://twitter.com/JimCrikket/status/1137138222130257920 Duran held Jupiter to one run on six hits over seven innings and struck out four. In his last three starts, Duran’s surrendered just 10 hits and three earned runs over 20 innings. Jose Miranda hit his third homer of the year, drew a walk and scored twice. Trey Cabbage hit a double and drove in a pair of runs in his return to the Miracle. Royce Lewis got a single, stole his 11th base of the season and scored a run. KERNELS NUGGETS Cedar Rapids 5, Peoria 3 Box Score Tyler Palm: 2.0 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K, 61.7% strikes (37 of 60 pitches) HR: None Multi-hit games: Yeltsin Encarnacion (2-for-5), Gabriel Maciel (2-for-4) Cedar Rapids stumbled a bit out of the gates, falling behind 3-0 after the first three innings, but they sure did finish strong. Carlos Suniaga, Jose Martinez and Moises Gomez combined to no-hit Peoria over the final seven innings of this game. Suniaga, the first man out of the bullpen, struck out five batters over his three innings. Martinez also delivered three innings before Gomez came in for the save in the ninth. The bats had a nice rally in the fourth inning to get rolling. With one out, Jared Akins and Chris Williams drew back-to-back walks. Jacob Pearson hit an RBI single before Andrew Bechtold provided a run-scoring ground out. Gabriel Maciel tied the game with an RBI single. Things stayed knotted up until the eighth inning. Gilberto Celestino hit a leadoff double and was driven home on a Williams triple. Celestino also helped provide an insurance run in the ninth, hitting a sacrifice fly. STARS OF THE DAY Twins Daily Minor League Pitcher of the Day: Jhoan Duran, Fort Myers Twins Daily Minor League Hitter of the Day: Drew Maggi, Rochester TOP PROSPECT SUMMARY Here’s a look at how the Twins Daily Top 20 Twins Prospects performed 1. Royce Lewis (FM): 1-for-4, R, SB, K 4. Trevor Larnach (FM): 1-for-4, 2B, R, K 6. Brent Rooker (ROC): 2-for-6, HR (7), 3 BB, 4 R, 5 RBI, K, HBP 7. Jhoan Duran (FM): Jhoan Duran: 7.0 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 4 K, 65.9% strikes (60 of 91 pitches) 11. Nick Gordon (ROC): 3-for-10, 2B, 4 R, 2 RBI, 3 SB 13. Ryan Jeffers (FM): 0-for-2, K 14. Ben Rortvedt (PNS): 0-for-4, K 16. Gilberto Celestino (CR): 1-for-4, 2B, R, RBI 17. Zack Littell (ROC): 2.2 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K, 81.1% strikes (30 of 37 pitches) 18. LaMonte Wade (ROC): 2-for-6, 3 BB 20. Jose Miranda (FM): 1-for-3, HR (3), BB, 2 R, RBI SATURDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Rochester at Pawtucket, 5:15 pm CT (Randy Dobnak) Pensacola at Biloxi, 6:35 pm CT (Charlie Barnes) Fort Myers vs. Jupiter, 5:00 pm CT (Cole Sands) Cedar Rapids at Peoria, 6:35 pm CT (Josh Winder) Please feel free to ask any questions and discuss the games.
  13. That's a good suggestion. I was linking to those in the early goings but stopped and can't remember why. I might run that hot/cold idea by Nick to see if he'd be interested in including that somewhere in his Week in Review. That's a good one. Thanks everybody for the feedback. Happy to hear a lot of you are looking at those win expectancy charts. We'll keep including them, glad I asked.
  14. I've done a ton of experimenting, but to my knowledge those are the only element that have been in every single game recap here. So I am inclined to keep them, but if people just glance right over each time they're not worth the trouble, Glad to hear you find them valuable. We assume readers have had some sort of interaction with the game prior to reading these. Whether it's watching the entire thing, participating in the threads here, following on social media or reading another recap, people more than likely aren't coming here first. And that's OK, but our aim to have those unique, signature elements is always going to need to be there. We have to do things a little differently from everywhere else. I'm just trying to see if there may be a way to lower the degree of difficulty in putting them together without dumbing them down too much. Maybe I'll look elsewhere. Thanks for the feedback. There's an aim to have something for new school and old school in these. It can be tough to try to cast a wide net like that without completely losing one or the other. Those aren't going anywhere, I promise. Neither is the WPA info. If anything, I might want to add another line or two in that top section with the stats.
  15. It's a context-oriented stat. So I suppose the main way his WPA could have been boosted is if Berrios had a worse start. If those were all three go-ahead homers, for example, his WPA would have skyrocketed. One of the fun things about WPA is that at the end of the game, the grand total for the winning team is always 0.500 and the losing team -0.500. So the only way to have a crazy high WPA is if one of your teammates has an awful game. Taking a look back to Eddie Rosario's three-homer game on June 3 last year, his WPA was .547. Wow! His first homer gave the Twins a 1-0 lead, his second homer tied the game 4-4 in the bottom of the seventh and his final homer was a walk off. What a game. Both Ryan Pressly (-.418 WPA) and Addison Reed (-.134 WPA) blew saves in that game. Pressly, what a bum! HA
  16. I'm considering making some changes to these game recaps and would love some feedback if anybody's interested in helping out with some market research -Do you enjoy the win expectancy charts? I think they're cool, but for a lot of games they don't add a whole lot of flavor. I get the sense that most readers just gloss right over them the majority of the time, so I'm thinking about ditching them. -Is there any important information we're missing? I have some ideas for small, simple things to add, but I'm curious if any of you have any ideas. Is there something you're constantly having to look up elsewhere that could easily be included in these? Thanks for reading everybody, and thanks to Andrew and all the new writers for joining in on the fun. Also, Happy Anniversary! Two years ago today, I did my first game recap here. It was ... different
  17. They need to upgrade the bullpen, nobody is going to dispute that. Yes, my main frustration with the bullpen building was over the offseason too. I'm not going to be too upset the Twins won't commit $40+ million to a reliever, but there were a lot of attractive options that signed for two or even one-year deals. Taking a quick look through how those guys are doing, however, you see that a ton of them have been poor investments. Joakim Soria was my favorite bargain bin guy. He has a 5.16 ERA. Kelvin Herrera has a 7.36 ERA, Jeurys Familia has a 6.56 ERA, Joe Kelly a 7.91 ERA, Andrew Miller a 3.98 ERA, David Robertson a 5.40 ERA, Cody Allen a 4.50 ERA. Some of those guys are also hurt. What I'm trying to say is bullpens are stupid Wrap up your victories in the first six innings. Get your starting rotation pitching well and your lineup socking bombas so you don't need to rely too much on the pen.
  18. Of course this would happen. On the day Craig Kimbrel reportedly reached an agreement to sign with the Cubs, the Twins bullpen blows a two-run lead in the seventh inning. This is pretty much the most Minnesota Sports way this day could have possibly gone.Box Score Perez: 4.2 IP, 6 H, 5 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 1 K, 60.9% strikes (56 of 92 pitches) Home Runs: Buxton (7), Cruz (8), Polanco (10) Multi-Hit Games: Polanco (2-for-4, HR) WPA of +0.1: Buxton .191, Polanco .156 WPA of -0.1: Sano -.137, Perez -.218, Parker -.500 Download attachment: Win65.png (chart via FanGraphs) The Twins held a 6-5 lead through six innings, but rain caused this game to be delayed more than an hour and a half. The Twins scratched across an insurance run once play resumed, but Blake Parker was ready to play his role in throwing gasoline on what was already a hot talking point across Twins Territory. I don’t know that you’ll find a Twins fan or baseball analyst who believes the Twins bullpen is fine as it’s currently constructed. So for Kimbrel to sign and Parker to give up three runs to blow the lead within a matter of hours is only going to increase the attention paid to that storyline. Parker gave up a two-run homer to Jordan Luplow and a solo shot to Roberto Perez. Just for good measure, Tyler Duffey gave up a solo homer to Francisco Lindor in the eighth. It’s worth mentioning that the Twins came into tonight 34-2 when holding a lead entering the seventh inning. Things like this haven’t happened all that often this year, it’s just that we’ve all been expecting doom for so long that it feels like they have. Perez Struggles Again Martin Perez entered this start having posted a 5.59 ERA over his previous four outings. His last time out against Tampa Bay was particularly ugly, as he gave up six earned runs in 2 2/3 innings. Perez opened his evening by walking the leadoff man, Francisco Lindor, on four pitches. The Twins lineup was making noise again tonight, creating plenty of breathing room, but Perez wasn’t sharp once again tonight. There were a few bad-luck, seeing-eye singles mixed in, but Perez struggled to find the strike zone. When he did, he didn’t miss many bats. He threw only 60.9 percent of his pitches for strikes and got just four swinging strikes on his 92 pitches. That’s the fewest swings and misses he’s had in an outing this season, which is particularly striking because he had four appearances of fewer than four innings coming into tonight (he started the year in the bullpen, remember?). It was a bit of a sloppy game for the Twins. Perez and Jason Castro had some troubles, accounting for both a wild pitch and a passed ball. Also, Miguel Sano committed his second error of the season. Only two of the five runs Perez gave up were earned. Still, he was given a 5-1 lead at one point and could not seal the deal. Cleveland Pen Battles Through Trying Times This appeared to be a tough matchup for Cleveland from the get-go. Carlos Carrasco was placed in the IL due to a blood condition, resulting in the team being forced to go with a bullpen game. As if that wasn’t a challenge enough, I imagine the rain delay didn’t help things. They used seven pitchers tonight. Momentum isn’t something that can be quantified, but for Cleveland to win this game under these circumstances has to have injected some swagger into that clubhouse. The Good Stuff It wasn’t all bad. The Twins lineup was out there hitting bombas again. Byron Buxton absolutely obliterated an 0-2 pitch for a three-run homer. Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Pen65.png Next Game Thu at CLE, 6:10 pm CT (Berrios-Bauer) Last Game CLE 5, MIN 2: Twins Can’t Figure Out Bieber, Lindor Lifts Cleveland More from Twins Daily Will Minnesota Be a Fit for Craig Kimbrel or Dallas Keuchel? 2019 MLB Draft Day 2 Thread MLB Draft Day 3 Thread Click here to view the article
  19. Box Score Perez: 4.2 IP, 6 H, 5 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 1 K, 60.9% strikes (56 of 92 pitches) Home Runs: Buxton (7), Cruz (8), Polanco (10) Multi-Hit Games: Polanco (2-for-4, HR) WPA of +0.1: Buxton .191, Polanco .156 WPA of -0.1: Sano -.137, Perez -.218, Parker -.500 (chart via FanGraphs) The Twins held a 6-5 lead through six innings, but rain caused this game to be delayed more than an hour and a half. The Twins scratched across an insurance run once play resumed, but Blake Parker was ready to play his role in throwing gasoline on what was already a hot talking point across Twins Territory. I don’t know that you’ll find a Twins fan or baseball analyst who believes the Twins bullpen is fine as it’s currently constructed. So for Kimbrel to sign and Parker to give up three runs to blow the lead within a matter of hours is only going to increase the attention paid to that storyline. Parker gave up a two-run homer to Jordan Luplow and a solo shot to Roberto Perez. Just for good measure, Tyler Duffey gave up a solo homer to Francisco Lindor in the eighth. It’s worth mentioning that the Twins came into tonight 34-2 when holding a lead entering the seventh inning. Things like this haven’t happened all that often this year, it’s just that we’ve all been expecting doom for so long that it feels like they have. Perez Struggles Again Martin Perez entered this start having posted a 5.59 ERA over his previous four outings. His last time out against Tampa Bay was particularly ugly, as he gave up six earned runs in 2 2/3 innings. Perez opened his evening by walking the leadoff man, Francisco Lindor, on four pitches. The Twins lineup was making noise again tonight, creating plenty of breathing room, but Perez wasn’t sharp once again tonight. There were a few bad-luck, seeing-eye singles mixed in, but Perez struggled to find the strike zone. When he did, he didn’t miss many bats. He threw only 60.9 percent of his pitches for strikes and got just four swinging strikes on his 92 pitches. That’s the fewest swings and misses he’s had in an outing this season, which is particularly striking because he had four appearances of fewer than four innings coming into tonight (he started the year in the bullpen, remember?). It was a bit of a sloppy game for the Twins. Perez and Jason Castro had some troubles, accounting for both a wild pitch and a passed ball. Also, Miguel Sano committed his second error of the season. Only two of the five runs Perez gave up were earned. Still, he was given a 5-1 lead at one point and could not seal the deal. Cleveland Pen Battles Through Trying Times This appeared to be a tough matchup for Cleveland from the get-go. Carlos Carrasco was placed in the IL due to a blood condition, resulting in the team being forced to go with a bullpen game. As if that wasn’t a challenge enough, I imagine the rain delay didn’t help things. They used seven pitchers tonight. Momentum isn’t something that can be quantified, but for Cleveland to win this game under these circumstances has to have injected some swagger into that clubhouse. The Good Stuff It wasn’t all bad. The Twins lineup was out there hitting bombas again. Byron Buxton absolutely obliterated an 0-2 pitch for a three-run homer. https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1136418611927474176 The lineup also combined to go 3-for-6 with runners in scoring position and five of the Twins’ run were scored with two outs. Trevor May made things interesting in the sixth, but he got out of it unscathed and struck out a pair of batters. He was averaging 96.1 mph with his four seamer tonight. He had been sitting at 94.8 mph with that pitch coming into this evening. But who am I kidding? You’re a Minnesota sports fan. You’re only here to cry in your beer (or coffee, depending on when you’re reading this) and lament about not being able to have nice things. That’s OK, we’re all here for you, lol. Postgame With Baldelli https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1136496021943357440 Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Next Game Thu at CLE, 6:10 pm CT (Berrios-Bauer) Last Game CLE 5, MIN 2: Twins Can’t Figure Out Bieber, Lindor Lifts Cleveland More from Twins Daily Will Minnesota Be a Fit for Craig Kimbrel or Dallas Keuchel? 2019 MLB Draft Day 2 Thread MLB Draft Day 3 Thread
  20. It's very strange to me that all these Sano takes are coming out now, when the dude has an OPS north of 1.000. When he was signed, you really thought he'd be better than this? Only five guy and a 1.000+ OPS last year. It's a small sample so far and he's striking out a lot, as you mentioned, but it seems to be a really strange time to start questioning his potential. I think everybody has some weird Sota Pop glasses on that are clouding their vision and making them think every hitter in baseball has a .900 OPS this year or something.
  21. THERE'S YOUR PITCHER, HAPPY NOW!?!? Gipson sounds plenty interesting to me. Crankin' 'er up to 95 at the end of the year, big fella, sign me up. #gushing
  22. Yeah, these guys are all very unfamiliar to me, so much more research will need to be done, but I won't be at all surprised if my first prospect list after the draft has Holland above both Steer and Gray.
  23. How many good/great pitchers do you think are even drafted outside of the first round? Not many, but it does happen. Something to keep in mind is that this current bonus pool system has only been around since 2012, and I think teams only really learned how to use it strategically a couple years after that. So it's tough to really try to look back with this short a timeline, but back in 2015, Chris Paddock, one of the best pitchers in baseball right now, was taken in the eighth round.
  24. Gray had a solid performance in the Cape Cod League. Powerful swing, looks pretty athletic based on the few scouting videos I can find and apparently was a pretty good pitcher in high school.
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