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Kirilloff's Poise Fits Baldelli's Mantra
Tom Froemming replied to Nash Walker's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Steele City Swing (he's from Pittsburgh) Alex "The Key" Kirilloff Ice Cold Kirilloff Kirilloff the Charts -
Kenta Maeda led a masterful performance by the pitching staff this afternoon, which was also highlighted by a dazzling inning from Alex Colomé, as the Twins beat Baltimore 1-0. Highlights from that game and more in today’s notebook.Twins 1, Orioles 0 (7 innings) Box Score | Baseball Savant TWINS TAKEAWAYS Stanoud pitcher: Kenta Maeda (3.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K, 41 pitches, 31 strikes) Standout hitter: Miguel Sanó (game-winning RBI double) Fastest pitch: Alex Colomé 95.3 mph Max exit velo: Josh Donaldson 105.9 mph What a performance from the pitching staff. Kenta Maeda was the headliner with his three shutout innings, but Alex Colomé also impressed, as he struck out the only three batters he faced. Taylor Rogers and Tyler Duffey followed with clean innings of their own before Luke Farrell and Brandon Waddell combined to strike out the side in the seventh. Altogether the staff racked up 12 strikeouts in just seven innings of work, surrendered three hits and didn’t issue a single walk. Here are some highlights: Baltimore’s pitching was nearly just as effective, but Jorge Polanco hit a one-out single in the seventh inning and Miguel Sanó plated the game’s only run with a double. Because 2021 Spring Training games are weird, it wasn’t a walk-off. The teams played through the rest of the inning before calling it a day. Tomorrow: at Rays 12:05 pm CT (José Berríos) available on FSN OTHER NOTES MLB.com’s Do-Hyoung Park reported that Andrelton Simmons is expected to make his first appearance sometime soon. Per Rocco Baldelli, the goal is Friday. J.A. Happ could appear in a game “sometime very soon.” Park also passed along a message former Twin Jake Odorizzi had to the fans in Minnesota: SEE ALSO The Twins Have (Already) Found Matt Wisler 2.0 Two Changes That Can Unlock Lewis Thorpe’s Full Potential Twins Rotation Depth Could be Tested Early Click here to view the article
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Twins 1, Orioles 0 (7 innings) Box Score | Baseball Savant TWINS TAKEAWAYS Stanoud pitcher: Kenta Maeda (3.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K, 41 pitches, 31 strikes) Standout hitter: Miguel Sanó (game-winning RBI double) Fastest pitch: Alex Colomé 95.3 mph Max exit velo: Josh Donaldson 105.9 mph What a performance from the pitching staff. Kenta Maeda was the headliner with his three shutout innings, but Alex Colomé also impressed, as he struck out the only three batters he faced. Taylor Rogers and Tyler Duffey followed with clean innings of their own before Luke Farrell and Brandon Waddell combined to strike out the side in the seventh. Altogether the staff racked up 12 strikeouts in just seven innings of work, surrendered three hits and didn’t issue a single walk. Here are some highlights: Baltimore’s pitching was nearly just as effective, but Jorge Polanco hit a one-out single in the seventh inning and Miguel Sanó plated the game’s only run with a double. Because 2021 Spring Training games are weird, it wasn’t a walk-off. The teams played through the rest of the inning before calling it a day. Tomorrow: at Rays 12:05 pm CT (José Berríos) available on FSN OTHER NOTES MLB.com’s Do-Hyoung Park reported that Andrelton Simmons is expected to make his first appearance sometime soon. Per Rocco Baldelli, the goal is Friday. J.A. Happ could appear in a game “sometime very soon.” Park also passed along a message former Twin Jake Odorizzi had to the fans in Minnesota: https://twitter.com/dohyoungpark/status/1369351390410268684 We now have the full details of Odorizzi’s new contract with the Astros, and I’m at a loss as to why he isn’t pitching for the Twins again in 2021. It’s a two-year deal with an option for a third that comes with $23.5 million guaranteed and maxes out at $39.25 million if Odorizzi reaches all the performance incentives included. With the starting pitching market being so thin this offseason, I thought there would be more of a demand for Odorizzi than that. Both Marcus Stroman and Kevin Gausman accepting qualifying offers combined with Masahiro Tanaka going back to Japan seemed to create the perfect opportunity for Odo to cash in, but it just didn’t work out that way. The Twins decided to add J.A. Happ and Matt Shoemaker to the rotation for a combined $10 million instead of pursuing Odorizzi. Let’s hope that works out ... Statcast data isn’t available at all Spring Training ballparks, but Baseball Savant has searchable data for the info it has on file. Here are the fastest pitches thrown by Twins heading into today: And the hardest-hit balls: It was warm enough in Minneapolis for the grounds crew to remove the tarp from Target Field this afternoon. https://twitter.com/Twins/status/1369423198643773447 SEE ALSO The Twins Have (Already) Found Matt Wisler 2.0 Two Changes That Can Unlock Lewis Thorpe’s Full Potential Twins Rotation Depth Could be Tested Early
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Notebook: Man Brings Rain
Tom Froemming replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This seemed like an odd landing spot for Broxton, there are other teams with more OF need that should have been interested in him. It's going to be tough (but not impossible) for him to play his way onto the roster. Maybe this will be a great opportunity to showcase himself to other teams. Either way, it's really nice to have him around, and he appears to be enjoying himself. -
Notebook: Man Brings Rain
Tom Froemming replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Here are some additional highlights from this afternoon's game, which includes video of Thorpe, Canterino and Winder. -
Notebook: King Kenta Returns; Lou Gehrig Day
Tom Froemming replied to David Youngs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Twins were rough around the edges in a lot of ways this afternoon, but here's a look at Jorge Polanco's day at second base. It's a work in progress, of course. -
The Minnesota Twins opened their 2021 Spring Training schedule by defeating the Red Sox 7-6 in seven innings Sunday afternoon. Notes on that game and more in today's Twins Daily Notebook.Twins 7, Red Sox 6 (7 innings) Box Score | Baseball Savant TWINS TAKEAWAYS Standout pitcher: Taylor Rogers (1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K) Standout hitter: Miguel Sanó (two-run double, the team’s only extra-base hit) Fastest pitch: Ian Hamilton 95.4 mph Max exit velo: Mitch Garver 104.9 mph Mitch Garver collected the first Twins hit of spring, a single that came off the bat with an exit velo of 104.9 mph. Jorge Polanco started at second base and walked in both of his plate appearances. Alex Kirilloff was 0-for-2 with a strikeout. Byron Buxton was 0-for-3 with a strikeout and (what sounded like) a nice catch at the wall. Twins 2020 first-round pick Aaron Sabato struckout in his only at-bat. Miguel Sanó delivered the biggest hit of the game for the Twins, a two-run double. SEE ALSO Larnach Focused on Process, Improvements and Winning Getting Geeky Part 3: Sharing the LI Wealth Which Pitch Should Kenta Maeda Add in 2021? Click here to view the article
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Twins 7, Red Sox 6 (7 innings) Box Score | Baseball Savant TWINS TAKEAWAYS Standout pitcher: Taylor Rogers (1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K) Standout hitter: Miguel Sanó (two-run double, the team’s only extra-base hit) Fastest pitch: Ian Hamilton 95.4 mph Max exit velo: Mitch Garver 104.9 mph Mitch Garver collected the first Twins hit of spring, a single that came off the bat with an exit velo of 104.9 mph. Jorge Polanco started at second base and walked in both of his plate appearances. Alex Kirilloff was 0-for-2 with a strikeout. Byron Buxton was 0-for-3 with a strikeout and (what sounded like) a nice catch at the wall. Twins 2020 first-round pick Aaron Sabato struckout in his only at-bat. Miguel Sanó delivered the biggest hit of the game for the Twins, a two-run double. The only hit Twins starter Devin Smeltzer gave up over his two innings was a solo homer. Tyler Duffey gave up a pair of homers himself. New Twins Hansel Robles and Ian Hamilton each delivered a scoreless inning. John's Report from The Fort today focused on fans being back at the ballpark, so make sure to go check that out. A limited number of fans were allowed in the stands — 2,154 to be exact — and Smeltzer soaked it all in. https://twitter.com/alka_SMELTZer/status/1366112962235289604 Tomorrow: Twins at Rays 12:05 pm CT. The first spring TV broadcast will be Wednesday afternoon on FSN. Twins starting pitchers the next four games are expected to be Lewis Thorpe, Charlie Barnes, José Berríos and Kenta Maeda. OTHER NOTES Seven-inning games!?!? Yup. As Phil Miller reported for the Star Tribune, things are going to be a bit looser than usual this spring. In year’s past, teams would have the majority of their minor leaguers around at the complexes, and could pull from that player pool to provide an abundance of depth. Games will all be seven innings at least through this first week, with the bottom of the seventh being played even if the home team is winning (which was the case today). Innings may be abandoned prior to three outs being recorded and players can re-enter games. Basically, early Spring Training games are now informal scrimmages, but it sounds like we’ll see traditional exhibition games later in the month. PSA: If you’re someone lucky enough to attend one of these Spring Training games, please keep in mind we’re counting on you to follow the rules and make a good impression. Police officers had to remove a fan from the stands at the Tigers’ Spring Training stadium, and were rewarded by having him throw a beer at them. Don’t be this guy. Don’t risk ruining this for the rest of us. Here’s the latest on new Twins pitcher J.A. Happ ... https://twitter.com/betsyhelfand/status/1365750341757788160 ... and shortstop Andrelton Simmons: https://twitter.com/betsyhelfand/status/1366139878321356805 After a busier offseason than expected, Kansas City managed to sign Hunter Dozier to an extension. Dozier’s had a 119 wRC+ over the past two seasons, which is a point higher than Max Kepler’s mark over that same span. https://twitter.com/JeffPassan/status/1366052460582723588 SEE ALSO Larnach Focused on Process, Improvements and Winning Getting Geeky Part 3: Sharing the LI Wealth Which Pitch Should Kenta Maeda Add in 2021?
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2021 Sire of Fort Myers Preview
Tom Froemming replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Oh man, how could I have missed this!?!?!? It's all so clear now ... You know, both Jax and Charlie Barnes may get more looks than I'm expecting. They're sorta in that Devin Smeltzer zone where they may actually get opportunities over the prospects higher up on lists because they're a bit older (Jax is 26 and Barnes is 25) and the team is a little less concerned about innings limits/development/etc. If Jax wins "Gryfan" is definitely going to be my new nickname for him -
2021 Sire of Fort Myers Preview
Tom Froemming replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Thank you, fixed. -
Hear ye, hear ye ... 'tis time to size up this year's candidates for Sire of Fort Myers.What is this? The whole idea behind Sire of Fort Myers is to inject some more fun into Spring Training by manufacturing another storyline to follow. That’s it, really. Have fun and don’t overthink it. This honor is bestowed upon the player who performs the best, not necessarily the one most likely to break camp with the big club. It just so happens that the previous two winners — Ryne Harper and Ryan LaMarre — did end up making the Opening Day roster. Download attachment: maxresdefault.jpg Who is eligible? 1. Anybody who’s not on the 40-man roster, regardless of prior MLB experience. OR 2. Anyone who hasn’t made their MLB debut. These rules are dictated by ancient scrolls discovered during the founding of Fort Myers back in 1885. Sorry if you have any complaints, it’s outta my hands. Edwar Colina, Travis Blankenhorn and Alex Kirilloff are all ineligible because they appeared in one game with the Twins last year. Kirilloff’s performance this spring might be the biggest spring storyline as is, so even though there was a possibility to use his postseason debut as a loophole, the committee (myself and five very agreeable Twins bobbleheads) has ruled him to be ineligible. Who are this year’s top contenders? A lot of guys who were mentioned in Nash Walker’s projected St. Paul Saints roster. So, if you’re excited about the Triple-A club being in St. Paul this year, that’s all the more reason to keep an eye on these guys. The player who sticks out to me as the top candidate is outfielder Keon Broxton, who has more than 1,000 MLB plate appearances to his credit. He put together one great season, it just happened to be between two actual seasons. From the second half of 2016 through the first half of 2017, Broxton hit .250/.338/.481 (113 wRC+) with 22 homers and 33 steals in 132 games for the Brewers. I could see Broxton stringing together a hot month in Florida, but it’s worth pointing out frontrunners have not impressed in years past. Last spring it was Jhoulys Chacin, who gave up six earned runs in eight innings pitched before camp was shut down. Utility man Tzu-Wei Lin and catcher Tomás Telis stick out to me as other minor league veteran hitters who could impress. They should both see plenty of playing time. With Royce Lewis out due to a torn ACL, Trevor Larnach is the highest-profile prospect eligible this year. He was building a strong case for the crown last spring, hitting .333/.467/.708 in 30 Grapefruit League plate appearances. I think there’s a lot of incentive to give Gilberto Celestino a lot of looks this spring, so he too could emerge as a candidate. If you’re looking for prospect info, check out our 2021 list. One of the most difficult things to project is who is going to get enough playing time to impress. I don’t suspect any of these guys will log enough innings to build a strong enough resume: Jordan Balazovic, Jhoan Duran, Bailey Ober, Charlie Barnes, Griffin Jax, Matt Canterino, Josh Winder. It’s quite possible I’m way off-base here, we’ll see, I just expect teams to be very careful with their starting pitching prospects this year. I'd love to see Nick Gordon build a strong case. After dealing with injuries and illness the past couple years it would be nice to see him gaining momentum again. MLB.com's Do-Hyoung Park reported the team will be easing Gordon back in, however, so it seems unlikely he'll be a top contender. Dakota Chalmers is another prospect who’s been through a lot. I could see the Twins converting him to the bullpen and giving him a lot of looks this spring. I guess another way to put it is I could see him being this year’s Jorge Alcala. Speaking of which, the bullpen probably represents the biggest area of opportunity for a player to build a Sire of Fort Myers resume. The Twins snuck Ian Hamilton, Ian Gibaut and Brandon Waddell all through waivers this winter. Fellow former major leaguers Glenn Sparkman, Derek Law, Danny Coulombe, Juan Minaya, Andrew Albers and Luke Farrell will also be in the mix (those names are ordered by the MLB innings they have to their credit, by the way). I’m going with Hamilton and Law as the two guys I find most intriguing in that bullpen group, but I wouldn’t bet against any one of them breaking out. This Twins regime has had a lot of success with these types. Chances are pretty good the eventual winner comes out of nowhere. Nobody saw LaMarre or Harper coming. Last year, Caleb Thielbar was shaping up to be a finalist prior to the shut down. For more info on all the non-roster invitees, check out Seth’s article on the Spring Training non-roster invitees. SEE ALSO Timeline for Top Prospects: 2021 Edition A Good Comp for Jhoan Duran and His Splinker Predicting Minnesota’s 4 Potential Breakout Players in 2021 Service Time: Fixing What Is Clearly Broken Click here to view the article
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What is this? The whole idea behind Sire of Fort Myers is to inject some more fun into Spring Training by manufacturing another storyline to follow. That’s it, really. Have fun and don’t overthink it. This honor is bestowed upon the player who performs the best, not necessarily the one most likely to break camp with the big club. It just so happens that the previous two winners — Ryne Harper and Ryan LaMarre — did end up making the Opening Day roster. Who is eligible? 1. Anybody who’s not on the 40-man roster, regardless of prior MLB experience. OR 2. Anyone who hasn’t made their MLB debut. These rules are dictated by ancient scrolls discovered during the founding of Fort Myers back in 1885. Sorry if you have any complaints, it’s outta my hands. Edwar Colina, Travis Blankenhorn and Alex Kirilloff are all ineligible because they appeared in one game with the Twins last year. Kirilloff’s performance this spring might be the biggest spring storyline as is, so even though there was a possibility to use his postseason debut as a loophole, the committee (myself and five very agreeable Twins bobbleheads) has ruled him to be ineligible. Who are this year’s top contenders? A lot of guys who were mentioned in Nash Walker’s projected St. Paul Saints roster. So, if you’re excited about the Triple-A club being in St. Paul this year, that’s all the more reason to keep an eye on these guys. The player who sticks out to me as the top candidate is outfielder Keon Broxton, who has more than 1,000 MLB plate appearances to his credit. He put together one great season, it just happened to be between two actual seasons. From the second half of 2016 through the first half of 2017, Broxton hit .250/.338/.481 (113 wRC+) with 22 homers and 33 steals in 132 games for the Brewers. I could see Broxton stringing together a hot month in Florida, but it’s worth pointing out frontrunners have not impressed in years past. Last spring it was Jhoulys Chacin, who gave up six earned runs in eight innings pitched before camp was shut down. Utility man Tzu-Wei Lin and catcher Tomás Telis stick out to me as other minor league veteran hitters who could impress. They should both see plenty of playing time. With Royce Lewis out due to a torn ACL, Trevor Larnach is the highest-profile prospect eligible this year. He was building a strong case for the crown last spring, hitting .333/.467/.708 in 30 Grapefruit League plate appearances. I think there’s a lot of incentive to give Gilberto Celestino a lot of looks this spring, so he too could emerge as a candidate. If you’re looking for prospect info, check out our 2021 list. One of the most difficult things to project is who is going to get enough playing time to impress. I don’t suspect any of these guys will log enough innings to build a strong enough resume: Jordan Balazovic, Jhoan Duran, Bailey Ober, Charlie Barnes, Griffin Jax, Matt Canterino, Josh Winder. It’s quite possible I’m way off-base here, we’ll see, I just expect teams to be very careful with their starting pitching prospects this year. I'd love to see Nick Gordon build a strong case. After dealing with injuries and illness the past couple years it would be nice to see him gaining momentum again. MLB.com's Do-Hyoung Park reported the team will be easing Gordon back in, however, so it seems unlikely he'll be a top contender. Dakota Chalmers is another prospect who’s been through a lot. I could see the Twins converting him to the bullpen and giving him a lot of looks this spring. I guess another way to put it is I could see him being this year’s Jorge Alcala. Speaking of which, the bullpen probably represents the biggest area of opportunity for a player to build a Sire of Fort Myers resume. The Twins snuck Ian Hamilton, Ian Gibaut and Brandon Waddell all through waivers this winter. Fellow former major leaguers Glenn Sparkman, Derek Law, Danny Coulombe, Juan Minaya, Andrew Albers and Luke Farrell will also be in the mix (those names are ordered by the MLB innings they have to their credit, by the way). I’m going with Hamilton and Law as the two guys I find most intriguing in that bullpen group, but I wouldn’t bet against any one of them breaking out. This Twins regime has had a lot of success with these types. Chances are pretty good the eventual winner comes out of nowhere. Nobody saw LaMarre or Harper coming. Last year, Caleb Thielbar was shaping up to be a finalist prior to the shut down. For more info on all the non-roster invitees, check out Seth’s article on the Spring Training non-roster invitees. SEE ALSO Timeline for Top Prospects: 2021 Edition A Good Comp for Jhoan Duran and His Splinker Predicting Minnesota’s 4 Potential Breakout Players in 2021 Service Time: Fixing What Is Clearly Broken
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The next prospect on our list is an advanced left-handed hitter on the verge of contributing to the Major League club in 2021. How much fun is it that description fits multiple players in this system right now?Position: RF Age: 23 (DOB: 2/26/1997) 2019 Stats (A+/AA): 542 PA, .309/.384/.458, 13 HR, 66 RBI ETA: 2021 2020 Ranking: 3 National Top 100 Rankings BA: 39 | MLB: 80 | ATH: NR | BP: 83 | ESPN: 37 | FG: 36 What’s To Like Plus strike-zone awareness, a barrel path to drool over and an impressive physical frame that produces easy power. Trevor Larnach is the real deal at the plate. Larnach appeared to be off to a blazing start last year, hitting .333/.467/.708 (1.175 OPS) in 13 games with the Twins before Spring Training was shut down. He likely would have opened the year in Double A and may have put himself in a position to make his MLB debut, depending on what opportunities opened up. Back in 2019, Larnach was the Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year after slashing .309/.384/.458 (.842 OPS) in 542 plate appearances, two-thirds of which came in the notoriously pitcher-friendly Florida State League. Here are some highlights from that season: Larnach is a big, strong guy, but his plate discipline tops anyone in the system, and may be as good as anybody in the entire org outside of Luis Arráez. Larnach would be the headline advanced bat in most systems, but he’s been overshadowed by Alex Kirilloff in that regard. Below is a video where I looked at the tale of the tape when it comes to these two stud Twins hitting prospects. What’s Left To Work On Let’s leave this one up to Keith Law of The Athletic, who did not include Larnach in his top 100 prospects list. From Law’s top 20 Twins list: “He’s hit for average in pro ball with moderate power, mostly going the other way, which was a concern some scouts had on him in college as well — that he couldn’t pull pitches inside, and that would be how pitchers would attack him.” This is not a new observation, but it’s one that persists. It’s entirely possible Larnach has made great strides over the past year in his ability to turn on a pitch, we just haven’t had the opportunity to see it. Given the choice, I’d always bet on a hitter who can use the entire field learning how to hunt some pitches inside than a pull-happy hitter learning to take pitches the other way. That’s not to dismiss Law’s concern about Larnach’s swing, I’m just less concerned about that being what caps Larnach’s overall offensive upside. Launch, who turns 24-years-old this Friday, has other deficiencies, but they mostly are what they are at this point. He’s never going to be a huge asset on the bases or in the field, though he does have a strong arm. Staying in shape and working on the finer things will keep him in the grass and prevent a move to first base becoming necessary in the future. What’s Next? Forcing the issue. Larnach will be MLB ready sometime this year, but the Twins have many other corner outfield options and little incentive to add him to the 40-man roster. He’s going to need to create his own opportunity in 2021. Eddie Rosario being non-tendered cleared some immediate space, but the Twins still have multi-year commitments to Max Kepler and Miguel Sanó. While Nelson Cruz is back for 2021, he’s not going to play forever (well … probably not), so there should be room for Larnach in the not-too-distant future even if Kirilloff takes off. Larnach may also be an attractive piece on the trade market later this summer if the Twins are looking for other upgrades. With the staggered start — Triple A is slated to start in April, then every other level in May — it’s difficult to project what level a player may open the season. Larnach is among the non-roster invitees at Spring Training, so he may have an inside track for a spot on the St. Paul Saints, but given his place on the depth chart it wouldn’t surprise me if he stays back in Fort Myers and opens his season in Wichita. Twins Daily 2021 Top 20 Prospects Honorable Mentions 20. Bailey Ober, RHP 19. Jose Miranda, INF 18. Alerick Soularie, OF 17. Ben Rortvedt, C 16. Edwar Colina, RHP 15. Cole Sands, RHP 14. Misael Urbina, OF 13. Matt Wallner, OF 12. Brent Rooker, OF/1B 11. Gilberto Celestino, OF 10. Blayne Enlow, RHP 9. Matt Canterino, RHP 8. Aaron Sabato, 1B 7. Keoni Cavaco, SS 6. Jordan Balazovic, RHP 5. Jhoan Duran, RHP 4. Ryan Jeffers, C 3. Trevor Larnach, RF Stop by tomorrow for prospect #2! MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email Click here to view the article
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Position: RF Age: 23 (DOB: 2/26/1997) 2019 Stats (A+/AA): 542 PA, .309/.384/.458, 13 HR, 66 RBI ETA: 2021 2020 Ranking: 3 National Top 100 Rankings BA: 39 | MLB: 80 | ATH: NR | BP: 83 | ESPN: 37 | FG: 36 What’s To Like Plus strike-zone awareness, a barrel path to drool over and an impressive physical frame that produces easy power. Trevor Larnach is the real deal at the plate. Larnach appeared to be off to a blazing start last year, hitting .333/.467/.708 (1.175 OPS) in 13 games with the Twins before Spring Training was shut down. He likely would have opened the year in Double A and may have put himself in a position to make his MLB debut, depending on what opportunities opened up. Back in 2019, Larnach was the Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year after slashing .309/.384/.458 (.842 OPS) in 542 plate appearances, two-thirds of which came in the notoriously pitcher-friendly Florida State League. Here are some highlights from that season: Larnach is a big, strong guy, but his plate discipline tops anyone in the system, and may be as good as anybody in the entire org outside of Luis Arráez. Larnach would be the headline advanced bat in most systems, but he’s been overshadowed by Alex Kirilloff in that regard. Below is a video where I looked at the tale of the tape when it comes to these two stud Twins hitting prospects. What’s Left To Work On Let’s leave this one up to Keith Law of The Athletic, who did not include Larnach in his top 100 prospects list. From Law’s top 20 Twins list: “He’s hit for average in pro ball with moderate power, mostly going the other way, which was a concern some scouts had on him in college as well — that he couldn’t pull pitches inside, and that would be how pitchers would attack him.” This is not a new observation, but it’s one that persists. It’s entirely possible Larnach has made great strides over the past year in his ability to turn on a pitch, we just haven’t had the opportunity to see it. Given the choice, I’d always bet on a hitter who can use the entire field learning how to hunt some pitches inside than a pull-happy hitter learning to take pitches the other way. That’s not to dismiss Law’s concern about Larnach’s swing, I’m just less concerned about that being what caps Larnach’s overall offensive upside. Launch, who turns 24-years-old this Friday, has other deficiencies, but they mostly are what they are at this point. He’s never going to be a huge asset on the bases or in the field, though he does have a strong arm. Staying in shape and working on the finer things will keep him in the grass and prevent a move to first base becoming necessary in the future. What’s Next? Forcing the issue. Larnach will be MLB ready sometime this year, but the Twins have many other corner outfield options and little incentive to add him to the 40-man roster. He’s going to need to create his own opportunity in 2021. Eddie Rosario being non-tendered cleared some immediate space, but the Twins still have multi-year commitments to Max Kepler and Miguel Sanó. While Nelson Cruz is back for 2021, he’s not going to play forever (well … probably not), so there should be room for Larnach in the not-too-distant future even if Kirilloff takes off. Larnach may also be an attractive piece on the trade market later this summer if the Twins are looking for other upgrades. With the staggered start — Triple A is slated to start in April, then every other level in May — it’s difficult to project what level a player may open the season. Larnach is among the non-roster invitees at Spring Training, so he may have an inside track for a spot on the St. Paul Saints, but given his place on the depth chart it wouldn’t surprise me if he stays back in Fort Myers and opens his season in Wichita. Twins Daily 2021 Top 20 Prospects Honorable Mentions 20. Bailey Ober, RHP 19. Jose Miranda, INF 18. Alerick Soularie, OF 17. Ben Rortvedt, C 16. Edwar Colina, RHP 15. Cole Sands, RHP 14. Misael Urbina, OF 13. Matt Wallner, OF 12. Brent Rooker, OF/1B 11. Gilberto Celestino, OF 10. Blayne Enlow, RHP 9. Matt Canterino, RHP 8. Aaron Sabato, 1B 7. Keoni Cavaco, SS 6. Jordan Balazovic, RHP 5. Jhoan Duran, RHP 4. Ryan Jeffers, C 3. Trevor Larnach, RF Stop by tomorrow for prospect #2! MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email
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Twins Daily 2021 Top Prospects: #7 SS Keoni Cavaco
Tom Froemming replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
For me, prospect lists are about forecasting the future, and if you're doing it well, you don't have guys bobbing all around your rankings year-to-year. Of course if things change, if you see something that causes your evaluation of the player to shift, you make the appropriate change in your rankings. Really from this spot on down through the 15 or so range, there is not a lot differentiates those guys. I'd still keep Cavaco over them maybe because I put more emphasis on future defensive home/profile. But, I want to stress again that he's nowhere even close to the top six for me. There's a big gap between these next guys on our list and Cavaco/etc. -
Yes, we are still high on Keoni Cavaco, our #7 Twins prospect for 2021. Let's take a look at what's to like (a lot), what's to work on (a lot) and what's next for the 19-year-old.Age: 19 (DOB: 6-2-2001) 2019 Stats (GCL): 92 PA, .172/.217/.253, 4 2B, 1 HR, 6 RBI ETA: 2025 2020 Ranking: 8 National Top 100 Rankings BA: NR | MLB: NR | ATH: NR | BP: NR What’s To Like If things go right, Cavaco will be the No. 1 prospect in this system before long. He has real five-tool potential. Keith Law of The Athletic noted that Cavaco has outstanding work ethic and said “the best bet is that he ends up a 20-25 homer guy at third (base) with above-average defense.” He’s a high-variance player, but there’s potential he beats even that optimistic projection. In June of 2019, the Twins selected Cavaco with the 13th-overall pick and gave him $4.05 million dollars. Not much has changed since in concern to his overall future outlook. Cavaco is fast, powerful and has a great arm. It is incredibly difficult to find players with the raw tools to play on the left side of the infield. The current state of the Twins org is a great example of that. Miguel Sanó and Jorge Polanco have been moved off their positions as the Twins have had to look outside the org for better, more athletic defenders at third base and shortstop. Yes, Cavaco had a very poor pro debut. That was discouraging, but it was also only 92 plate appearances. If you want a reason to look beyond that debut performance outside of it being a small sample, Cavaco was hampered by a minor injury, as mentioned in Keanan Lamb’s comments in Baseball Prospectus’ Twins list. A poor pro debut is not a death sentence. Torii Hunter hit .190/.283/.220 in his first 114 plate appearances as a professional back in 1993. Here’s hoping part of Hunter’s role as Special Assistant has been to provide guidance to Cavaco in how to overcome an initial obstacle. Cavaco just lost his age 19 season, which is unfortunate. Keep in mind, however, that Trevor Larnach hit .157/.271/.176 in 59 plate appearances during his age 19 season at Oregon State and Brent Rooker was redshirted his age 19 season at Mississippi State. The hit tool is Cavaco’s biggest question mark right now, but there’s no reason to abandon ship just yet. It’s much easier to get excited about prospects who are more advanced hitters that mash inferior competition, but again, so few players profile as shortstops or third basemen. Cavaco definitely gets a boost for his potential to deliver power at a premium position. What’s Left To Work On If things go wrong, Cavaco is going to struggle to stick in the top 10, even as this system begins to graduate some of its best prospects. There’s a lot going on here. Cavaco was always expected to be a project, so it wasn’t a shock that he didn’t hit the ground running. He never really had a long-term defensive home in high school, starting out at catcher, then moving to third base with some work at short and even a bit on the mound. Cavaco switched to exclusively playing shortstop with the GCL Twins. In addition to that adjustment, the Twins were also working with him to even out his swing and clean up the timing of his stride. It would have been great to see him get out on the field, but there was plenty Cavaco could work on without having to play in competitive games. A lot of progress could be made on these mechanical adjustments at home or at his local training complex. Sooner or later, however, it’s going to need to show up on the field. Even Cavaco’s biggest fans will have a difficult time digesting another performance as poor as his debut. Prospect lists are always about projecting the future but the tools need to show up on the diamond, at the very least in flashes. There’s a lot you can overlook in small sample sizes, but if Cavaco posts a strikeout rate around 38% again he’s not going to give his power and speed much of an opportunity to impress. The Twins are expected to provide Cavaco the opportunity to prove himself as a shortstop. He needs to iron out his footwork and improve his range to have a chance. As his body develops, he may just naturally trend toward third base no matter what. What’s Next? Play. Cavaco had a year to reset and focus on the mechanical adjustments necessary to take the next steps as both a hitter and a shortstop. It’s also been an opportunity to settle into his new frame, as he had a growth spurt late in high school. Now it’s time to put everything into practice. Cavaco participated in fall instructs, so that’s a plus. The nice thing about Cedar Rapids and Fort Myers flip-flopping levels is the first rung in the system is now right at the complex. I believe that will help most players transition, which could be especially difficult now that the lower levels of the minors have been eliminated. We should see Cavaco with the Mighty Mussels (formerly the Miracle) at some point this year, though the minor league schedule has yet to be finalized. A Final Note On Prospect Lists Putting players in order without additional context can lead to things being easy to misinterpret. There’s a gigantic gap between Cavaco and the #6 prospects in the system. Prospect rankings don’t properly illustrate these tiers. One spot difference can represent a razor-thin margin or a massive gap. Twins Daily 2021 Top 20 Prospects Honorable Mentions 20. Bailey Ober, RHP 19. Jose Miranda, INF 18. Alerick Soularie, OF 17. Ben Rortvedt, C 16. Edwar Colina, RHP 15. Cole Sands, RHP 14. Misael Urbina, OF 13. Matt Wallner, OF 12. Brent Rooker, OF/1B 11. Gilberto Celestino, OF 10. Blayne Enlow, RHP 9. Matt Canterino, RHP 8. Aaron Sabato, 1B 7. Keoni Cavaco, SS 6. Coming tomorrow! Click here to view the article
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Age: 19 (DOB: 6-2-2001) 2019 Stats (GCL): 92 PA, .172/.217/.253, 4 2B, 1 HR, 6 RBI ETA: 2025 2020 Ranking: 8 National Top 100 Rankings BA: NR | MLB: NR | ATH: NR | BP: NR What’s To Like If things go right, Cavaco will be the No. 1 prospect in this system before long. He has real five-tool potential. Keith Law of The Athletic noted that Cavaco has outstanding work ethic and said “the best bet is that he ends up a 20-25 homer guy at third (base) with above-average defense.” He’s a high-variance player, but there’s potential he beats even that optimistic projection. In June of 2019, the Twins selected Cavaco with the 13th-overall pick and gave him $4.05 million dollars. Not much has changed since in concern to his overall future outlook. Cavaco is fast, powerful and has a great arm. It is incredibly difficult to find players with the raw tools to play on the left side of the infield. The current state of the Twins org is a great example of that. Miguel Sanó and Jorge Polanco have been moved off their positions as the Twins have had to look outside the org for better, more athletic defenders at third base and shortstop. Yes, Cavaco had a very poor pro debut. That was discouraging, but it was also only 92 plate appearances. If you want a reason to look beyond that debut performance outside of it being a small sample, Cavaco was hampered by a minor injury, as mentioned in Keanan Lamb’s comments in Baseball Prospectus’ Twins list. A poor pro debut is not a death sentence. Torii Hunter hit .190/.283/.220 in his first 114 plate appearances as a professional back in 1993. Here’s hoping part of Hunter’s role as Special Assistant has been to provide guidance to Cavaco in how to overcome an initial obstacle. Cavaco just lost his age 19 season, which is unfortunate. Keep in mind, however, that Trevor Larnach hit .157/.271/.176 in 59 plate appearances during his age 19 season at Oregon State and Brent Rooker was redshirted his age 19 season at Mississippi State. The hit tool is Cavaco’s biggest question mark right now, but there’s no reason to abandon ship just yet. It’s much easier to get excited about prospects who are more advanced hitters that mash inferior competition, but again, so few players profile as shortstops or third basemen. Cavaco definitely gets a boost for his potential to deliver power at a premium position. What’s Left To Work On If things go wrong, Cavaco is going to struggle to stick in the top 10, even as this system begins to graduate some of its best prospects. There’s a lot going on here. Cavaco was always expected to be a project, so it wasn’t a shock that he didn’t hit the ground running. He never really had a long-term defensive home in high school, starting out at catcher, then moving to third base with some work at short and even a bit on the mound. Cavaco switched to exclusively playing shortstop with the GCL Twins. In addition to that adjustment, the Twins were also working with him to even out his swing and clean up the timing of his stride. It would have been great to see him get out on the field, but there was plenty Cavaco could work on without having to play in competitive games. A lot of progress could be made on these mechanical adjustments at home or at his local training complex. Sooner or later, however, it’s going to need to show up on the field. Even Cavaco’s biggest fans will have a difficult time digesting another performance as poor as his debut. Prospect lists are always about projecting the future but the tools need to show up on the diamond, at the very least in flashes. There’s a lot you can overlook in small sample sizes, but if Cavaco posts a strikeout rate around 38% again he’s not going to give his power and speed much of an opportunity to impress. The Twins are expected to provide Cavaco the opportunity to prove himself as a shortstop. He needs to iron out his footwork and improve his range to have a chance. As his body develops, he may just naturally trend toward third base no matter what. What’s Next? Play. Cavaco had a year to reset and focus on the mechanical adjustments necessary to take the next steps as both a hitter and a shortstop. It’s also been an opportunity to settle into his new frame, as he had a growth spurt late in high school. Now it’s time to put everything into practice. Cavaco participated in fall instructs, so that’s a plus. The nice thing about Cedar Rapids and Fort Myers flip-flopping levels is the first rung in the system is now right at the complex. I believe that will help most players transition, which could be especially difficult now that the lower levels of the minors have been eliminated. We should see Cavaco with the Mighty Mussels (formerly the Miracle) at some point this year, though the minor league schedule has yet to be finalized. A Final Note On Prospect Lists Putting players in order without additional context can lead to things being easy to misinterpret. There’s a gigantic gap between Cavaco and the #6 prospects in the system. Prospect rankings don’t properly illustrate these tiers. One spot difference can represent a razor-thin margin or a massive gap. Twins Daily 2021 Top 20 Prospects Honorable Mentions 20. Bailey Ober, RHP 19. Jose Miranda, INF 18. Alerick Soularie, OF 17. Ben Rortvedt, C 16. Edwar Colina, RHP 15. Cole Sands, RHP 14. Misael Urbina, OF 13. Matt Wallner, OF 12. Brent Rooker, OF/1B 11. Gilberto Celestino, OF 10. Blayne Enlow, RHP 9. Matt Canterino, RHP 8. Aaron Sabato, 1B 7. Keoni Cavaco, SS 6. Coming tomorrow!
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Our prospect list opens up with three guys who are already on the 40-man roster, a recent draftee and a player coming off a strong winter ball performance. Here are our Nos. 16-20 Twins prospects for 2021.20. Bailey Ober, RHP Age: 25 (DOB 7/12/1995) 2019 Stats: (Rk/A+/AA): 78.2 IP 0.69 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 33.8 K%, 3.0 BB% 2020 Ranking: NR Ober was among the most impressive pitchers in the entire minor leagues in 2019. Over 78 2/3 innings, Ober allowed just six earned runs and nine walks while striking out 100 batters. He had the lowest ERA among all minor league pitchers with at least 50 innings, the best K:BB ratio among anyone with at least 70 innings and finished third in the voting for Twins Daily Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Year. Ober was selected by the Twins in the 12th round of the 2017 Draft out of the College of Charleston. He missed a year of college ball recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just 14 and 13 starts his first two full seasons in the minor leagues, respectively. I almost got through an entire blurb about Ober without mentioning it, but there’s no getting around the fact that this man’s sheer size is most definitely also noteworthy. He was added to the 40-man roster this offseason, and the Twins now officially list him at 6’9” and 260 pounds. To get to know Ober a little better, check out Seth’s interview with him from earlier this offseason. 19. José Miranda, 3B/2B Age: 22 (DOB 6/29/1998) 2019 Stats (A+/AA): 483 PA, .252/.302/.369 (.671 OPS), 8 HR, 11.2 K%, 5.0 BB% 2020 Ranking: 20 Miranda was one of the high school hitters taken early in the 2016 Draft, the final class under Terry Ryan. His 2019 stat line doesn’t jump off the page, but keep in mind he did post an above-average OPS for the Florida State League and was young for the level. He earned a promotion to Double A and went 3-for-5 in his lone regular season game with Pensacola before hitting .368/.429/.526 (.955 OPS) in five playoff games with the Blue Wahoos. Miranda’s 11.2 K% was the lowest in the system and 28th overall among all minor leaguers with at least 350 plate appearances in 2019. Strikeouts are bad, but so are weak ground balls and infield pop ups. He may benefit from being more selective earlier in counts, then adjusting back to his more natural contact-oriented approach with two strikes. Miranda helped Criollos de Caguas to a Puerto Rican Winter League title by posting .302/.377/.472 (.849 OPS) line and hit a three-run homer in the deciding game of the championship series. He then slumped in the Caribbean Series, but getting competitive games under his belt this winter will hopefully be the catalyst to a breakout 2021 season.
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20. Bailey Ober, RHP Age: 25 (DOB 7/12/1995) 2019 Stats: (Rk/A+/AA): 78.2 IP 0.69 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 33.8 K%, 3.0 BB% 2020 Ranking: NR Ober was among the most impressive pitchers in the entire minor leagues in 2019. Over 78 2/3 innings, Ober allowed just six earned runs and nine walks while striking out 100 batters. He had the lowest ERA among all minor league pitchers with at least 50 innings, the best K:BB ratio among anyone with at least 70 innings and finished third in the voting for Twins Daily Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Year. Ober was selected by the Twins in the 12th round of the 2017 Draft out of the College of Charleston. He missed a year of college ball recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just 14 and 13 starts his first two full seasons in the minor leagues, respectively. I almost got through an entire blurb about Ober without mentioning it, but there’s no getting around the fact that this man’s sheer size is most definitely also noteworthy. He was added to the 40-man roster this offseason, and the Twins now officially list him at 6’9” and 260 pounds. To get to know Ober a little better, check out Seth’s interview with him from earlier this offseason. 19. José Miranda, 3B/2B Age: 22 (DOB 6/29/1998) 2019 Stats (A+/AA): 483 PA, .252/.302/.369 (.671 OPS), 8 HR, 11.2 K%, 5.0 BB% 2020 Ranking: 20 Miranda was one of the high school hitters taken early in the 2016 Draft, the final class under Terry Ryan. His 2019 stat line doesn’t jump off the page, but keep in mind he did post an above-average OPS for the Florida State League and was young for the level. He earned a promotion to Double A and went 3-for-5 in his lone regular season game with Pensacola before hitting .368/.429/.526 (.955 OPS) in five playoff games with the Blue Wahoos. Miranda’s 11.2 K% was the lowest in the system and 28th overall among all minor leaguers with at least 350 plate appearances in 2019. Strikeouts are bad, but so are weak ground balls and infield pop ups. He may benefit from being more selective earlier in counts, then adjusting back to his more natural contact-oriented approach with two strikes. Miranda helped Criollos de Caguas to a Puerto Rican Winter League title by posting .302/.377/.472 (.849 OPS) line and hit a three-run homer in the deciding game of the championship series. He then slumped in the Caribbean Series, but getting competitive games under his belt this winter will hopefully be the catalyst to a breakout 2021 season. https://twitter.com/TFTwins/status/1358077116412276746 18. Alerick Soularie, UTIL Age: 21 (DOB 7/5/1999) 2019 Stats: NA 2020 Ranking: NR Even just a few years ago, Soularie’s lack of a true defensive position may have seriously hindered his draft stock. These days, teams value defensive versatility so much it could be viewed as a plus. He spent most of his time at Tennessee playing outfield but also saw some time at both second and first base. Soularie’s hit tool is what made him the Twins’ second-round pick in the 2020 Draft. In 76 games with the Vols, he posted a .336/.448/.586 (1.034 OPS) line with more walks (49) than strikeouts (47). He hit 16 home runs over that stretch and went 10-for-11 in stolen base attempts. His swing packs a lot of punch for a guy, listed at 6’0” and 175 pounds, he showed excellent awareness of the strike zone and great plate coverage. Taking a look back at his collegiate highlights, you can see him barreling up balls up or down in the zone, pulling pitches and taking others to the opposite field. 17. Ben Rortvedt, C Age: 23 (DOB 9/25/1997) 2019 Stats (A+/AA): 320 PA, .238/.334/.379 (.713 OPS), 7 HR, 20.9 K%, 10.9 BB% 2020 Ranking: NR Rortvedt has garnered praise for his leadership and ability to control the running game, but the past few years his framing ability really took a step in the right direction, as well. Much like Mitch Garver and Ryan Jeffers, he has taken to some unorthodox pre-pitch setups to improve the odds of stealing strikes for his pitchers. At the plate, the left-handed hitting Rortvedt has shown a knack for getting on base, posting an OBP above .330 in both 2018 and ‘19. His 10.9 BB% ranked 12th in the system among hitters with at least 250 plate appearances. The in-game power has yet to flourish but it’s not on the account of lack of strength. This guy is built like a tank. Seems likely a swing adjustment could unlock more of that pop, but that’s easier said than done. Back in 2019, Rortvedt went 30-for-58 in throwing out attempted base stealers (52%) and had a .763 OPS against right-handed pitchers. He was added to the 40-man roster this offseason, and while the Twins are fortunate enough to already have a pair of strong long-term options behind the plate, Rortvedt appears to be on his way to carving out a big league career of his own. 16. Edwar Colina, RHP Age: 23 (DOB 5/3/1997) 2019 Stats (A+/AA/AAA): 97 1/3 IP, 2.96 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 25.4 K%, 8.0 BB% 2020 Ranking: 16 Speaking of guys built like tanks, at 5’11” and 240 pounds Colina is among the beefier pitchers you’ll see. Pitching out of the bullpen, his fastball sits in the high 90s and touches triple digits. He pairs that with a high-spin, mid-80s slider. Colina had a lot of success as a starting pitcher in the minors, so it’s possible the door to him returning to the rotation remains open. He posted a career 2.80 ERA over 324 2/3 innings pitched down on the farm prior to last year. We’ll see. Colina made his MLB debut last season. It did not go well, but it did create an opportunity for him to get some detailed instruction and inspiration from Rich Hil in the dugout. That debut outing was discussed during a Twins Spotlight Seth recorded with Colina, so make sure to check that out. Here are some highlights of Colina pitching for the Twins during Spring Training last year: Twins Daily 2021 Top 20 Prospects Honorable Mentions Stop by tomorrow for prospects 11-15
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Dan Hayes of The Athletic reported that the Twins and Nelson Cruz have revived contract discussions after a period of inactivity. Derek Falvey briefly commented on the situation during TwinsFest.The video below includes a key excerpt from Hayes’ article and video of Falvey addressing a question regarding Cruz during . From the outside looking in, it certainly seems like the Twins are trying to make sure they're not bidding against themselves and the Cruz camp is holding out hope additional suitors may emerge. There still hasn't been any reporting yet on the actual numbers that are being discussed, but as we prepare to turn the calendar to February, it seems likely this comes to a conclusion before too long. Now that Andrelton Simmons and J.A. Happ are officially Twins, the team should have even more cost certainty in regard to the rest of the roster. They have some good internal options at DH as is, but trying to replace both Eddie Rosario and Cruz would be a tall task. Do you anticipate Cruz re-signing with the Twins? SEE ALSO 2021 Winter Meltdown Pint Glasses On Sale Now Free Agent Faceoff: Marcell Ozuna vs. Nelson Cruz Why the Twins Shouldn't Re-Sign Nelson Cruz Click here to view the article
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The video below includes a key excerpt from Hayes’ article and video of Falvey addressing a question regarding Cruz during . From the outside looking in, it certainly seems like the Twins are trying to make sure they're not bidding against themselves and the Cruz camp is holding out hope additional suitors may emerge. There still hasn't been any reporting yet on the actual numbers that are being discussed, but as we prepare to turn the calendar to February, it seems likely this comes to a conclusion before too long. Now that Andrelton Simmons and J.A. Happ are officially Twins, the team should have even more cost certainty in regard to the rest of the roster. They have some good internal options at DH as is, but trying to replace both Eddie Rosario and Cruz would be a tall task. Do you anticipate Cruz re-signing with the Twins? SEE ALSO 2021 Winter Meltdown Pint Glasses On Sale Now Free Agent Faceoff: Marcell Ozuna vs. Nelson Cruz Why the Twins Shouldn't Re-Sign Nelson Cruz
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Twins to Sign Andrelton Simmons
Tom Froemming replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
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