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  1. Win Expectancy & Top 5 Plays Per WPA (via Fangraphs) Trailing by six runs with just a few days to go until the All-Star break, you could understand if maybe the Twins were going to ease up the rest of the night. Instead, they put together maybe their finest inning of the entire season. The fourth frame opened up with Miguel Sano making a diving stop to his left and firing to first for the out. Trevor Hildenberger, who earned his first major league victory tonight, retired the next two batters on strikeouts. In the bottom of that inning, the Twins strung together four-straight singles followed by a Chris Gimenez hit by pitch with the bases loaded. What was remarkable about the inning was how the team grinded out at-bats. When they were down by six runs. In early July. Robbie Grossman, Sano, Kennys Vargas, Eddie Rosario and Chris Gimenez all worked a full count in that inning. Vargas and Rosario each had eight-pitch at bats. But even with all that work, at the end of the inning the Orioles were still leading 6-2. Manny Machado led off the top of the fifth with a single, but Hildenberger induced a 5-4-3 double play. Jorge Polanco made a fielding error on the next batter, but Hildy managed to get him a second chance and Polanco responded by cleanly fielding a Mark Trumbo grounder and throwing to first for the third out. The fourth inning may have been their finest, but the fifth was the most fun. Brian Dozier hit a leadoff triple, Grossman doubled, Sano reached on an error and Kepler singled. Then Vargas, who was just called back up to replace an injured Joe Mauer, delivered a game-tying double. https://twitter.com/BaseballByTom/status/883524941555134467 Big Kennys would come around to score the go-ahead run on a Gimenez single. Two insurance runs were later added in the eighth inning. Byron Buxton managed to score from first base on a ground ball that was hit to the shortstop. https://twitter.com/ParkerHageman/status/883536109610954752 Brandon Kintzler, who was added to the All-Star team earlier in the day, recorded his 24th save of the season. Hildenberger threw 2.1 innings followed by an inning each by Pressly, Belisle, Rogers and Kintzler. They did not surrender a run and only yielded five hits while not issuing a single walk. What a performance it was by the bullpen. Jorge’s Target Field debut didn’t last long. He lasted just 2.2 innings before getting the hook. Jorge is only 23-years-old. He’s made 25 starts at Double A, and hasn’t appeared at Triple A yet. These are important things to keep in mind when trying to evaluate his performance. Jorge gave up six runs on seven hits (three of them homers) and a walk. His ERA jumped to 10.57. Jorge was sent back to Chattanooga at the conclusion of the contest, with Zack Granite being called up from Rochester as his replacement. With the break looming, the Twins won’t need a fifth starter for awhile. Granite, who will be making his major league debut, was hitting .360/.412/.492 (.904 OPS) for the Red Wings. And that wasn’t the only big transaction. The next time the Twins do need a fifth starter, it’s possible big Bartolo Colon will fill that role. The Twins signed the 44-year-old to a minor league deal. He’s heading to Rochester for now. Postgame With Molitor https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/883535826059051008 Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Saturday Twins (Adalberto Mejia) vs. Baltimore (Wade Miley), 1:10 pm CT Miley got rocked in his last start, as the Brewers lit him up for seven runs over 1.2 innings. Over his last six starts, Miley has an 11.69 ERA and hitters have compiled a .387/.468/.604 line (1.072 OPS). Over his last four starts, Mejia has a 2.01 ERA, but his WHIP is 1.39. He’s struggled to keep leadoff hitters off the bases this season, giving up a .443 OBP to the first batter of each inning. But he’s also been excellent at finishing off innings, as opponents have just a .552 OPS with two outs. He’s also been great with runners on, limiting opposing hitters to a .176/.258/.241 line (.499 OPS) with men on and a .173/.270/.231 line (.501 OPS) with runners in scoring position.
  2. Now that the short-season leagues have been underway for a little while we’re starting to see some new names emerge. One of those has been Jovani Moran, who struck out six-straight batters over two perfect innings Friday. And while Hunter Greene was finally signing with the Reds, Royce Lewis was busy hitting a couple of doubles in what was already his ninth professional game. Oh, and there were some significant transactions, too.Find out everything that happened in the Twins minor league system on Friday. TRANSACTIONS Joe Mauer was placed on the DL with an ailing back, leading to Kennys Vargas being called back up from Rochester. Surprisingly, that was the least interesting of the team’s three big transactions on the night. During the Twins game it was announced the team has signed 44-year-old Bartolo Colon to a minor league deal. He’s on his way to Rochester. Last, but certainly not least, was the huge news that Zack Granite was being called up to make his major league debut. With the All-Star break upcoming, the Twins have no need to carry a fifth starter. So Felix Jorge, who started for the Twins Friday night, is being sent back down to Chattanooga to make room for Granite. UPDATE: Edgar Corcino is also getting a promotion up to Rochester. CHATTANOOGA CHATTER Chattanooga 6, Tennessee 1 Box Score At this time last season, Andy Wilkins was playing with the Milwaukee Brewers. Tonight, he had a huge game for the Lookouts, hitting a three-run homer to go with a pair of doubles. Edgar Corcino has had an excellent season, earning a mid-season All-Star nod, but he hasn’t been a big source of power. Well, the Puerto Rican right fielder popped his second homer of the year, a two-run shot, and was 2-for-4, pushing his average to .299. Jonathan Rodriguez also had two hits for the Lookouts. Nick Gordon was not in the lineup for Chattanooga. Randy LeBlanc held the Smokies to one run on three hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out four batters. Randy Rosario threw two scoreless innings. At this time last season, Paul Clemens was playing with the San Diego Padres. Tonight he pitched a scoreless ninth inning of a 6-1 game for the Lookouts. MIRACLE MATTERS Fort Myers 6, Palm Beach 5 Box Score Fort Myers was leading 3-1 before Williams Ramirez gave up four runs in the top of the fifth. It appeared he may have blown the game for the Miracle … for about 10 minutes. Fort Myers stormed back with three runs in the bottom of the inning, putting them up 6-5 for good. Sean Miller and Jermaine Palacios opened the bottom of the fifth with consecutive walks, but the next two batters were retired. With two outs, Palacios stole second and Miller scored on a throwing error. Brandon Lopez plated Palacios with a double, then Kevin Garcia drove in Lopez with a single. Mitchell Kranson hit his first home run with Fort Myers, a two-run shot in the first inning. Miracle starter Brady Anderson gave up one run over four innings. Michael Theofanopoulos picked up his fourth win after tossing two scoreless innings. Alex Muren threw a scoreless eighth and Tom Hackimer registered his second save by pitching a perfect ninth with two strikeouts. KERNELS NUGGETS Cedar Rapids 5, Peoria 2 Box Score Shortstop Gorge Munoz hit a two-out, two-run double in a big fourth inning for the Kernels. That gave Clark Beeker a 5-1 lead, not that he needed that kind of cushion. The Davidson product put together his seventh start in which he went at least five innings and gave up one or no runs. Beeker improved his record to 8-2 after surrendering one run over six innings. He gave up just three hits and a walk. Alex Robinson earned his second save by pitching 1.1 perfect innings with three strikeouts. Aaron Whitefield and Lewin Diaz each had two hits. Munoz also drew a walk and stole a base in this game. E-TWINS E-NOTES Elizabethton 5, Johnson City 0 Box Score Charlie Barnes, the Twins fourth-round pick this year out of Clemson, was excellent. He threw five one-hit innings, striking out seven batters while issuing one walk. He was pulled after 65 pitches, 45 of which were strikes. The crazy thing is that he wasn’t even the most dominant E-Town pitcher Friday night. After Juan Gamez threw two scoreless innings, Jovani Moran came on for the Twins. Here’s how the 20-year-old Puerto Rican lefty’s two innings went: BB, K, K, K, K, K, K. Moran now has 16 strikeouts in 8.2 innings this season. Filthy. Jose Miranda drove in three runs, Mark Contreras had a pair of hits and Brent Rooker had the team’s only extra-base hit, a double. GCL TWINS TAKES GCL Red Sox 10, GCL Twins 5 Box Score Hunter Green finally signed with the Reds today. Meanwhile, Royce Lewis went 2-for-4 with two doubles and a walk in what was his ninth professional game. The Twins No. 1 pick has gotten off to a great start, hitting .324/.419/.58 (.986 OPS). Akil Baddoo drew four walks (!) and scored twice. Catcher Jhon Alvarez was 2-for-3 with a walk and a run scored. Twins starter Petru Balan struggled, giving up four runs over 1.2 innings, and the bullpen didn't do much better, though Zach Featherstone finished things off with a scoreless inning. TWINS DAILY PLAYERS OF THE DAY Twins Daily Minor League Pitcher of the Day: Jovani Moran, Elizabethton (2 IP, 0 hits, 6 Ks) Twins Daily Minor League Hitter of the Day: Andy Wilkins, Chattanooga (3-for-4, HR, 2 doubles, 2 RBI, 2 runs) SATURDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Rochester vs. Syracuse, 6:05 pm CT, Aaron Slegers (4.08 ERA, 1.40 WHIP) Chattanooga va. Tennessee, 6:15 pm CT, TBA Fort Myers vs. Palm Beach, 5:05 pm CT, Cody Stashak (3.84 ERA, 1.12 WHIP) Cedar Rapids vs. Peoria, 6:35 pm CT, Griffin Jax (0.00 ERA, 0.57 WHIP) Elizabethton vs. Johnson City, 5:00 pm CT, Bryan Sammons (1.59 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) GCL Twins vs. GCL Red Sox, 9:00 am CT, TBA Please feel free to ask any questions and discuss Friday's games. Click here to view the article
  3. Find out everything that happened in the Twins minor league system on Friday. TRANSACTIONS Joe Mauer was placed on the DL with an ailing back, leading to Kennys Vargas being called back up from Rochester. Surprisingly, that was the least interesting of the team’s three big transactions on the night. During the Twins game it was announced the team has signed 44-year-old Bartolo Colon to a minor league deal. He’s on his way to Rochester. Last, but certainly not least, was the huge news that Zack Granite was being called up to make his major league debut. With the All-Star break upcoming, the Twins have no need to carry a fifth starter. So Felix Jorge, who started for the Twins Friday night, is being sent back down to Chattanooga to make room for Granite. UPDATE: Edgar Corcino is also getting a promotion up to Rochester. RED WINGS REPORT Rochester 9, Syracuse 3 Box Score Mitch Garver led off the third inning with a single that sparked an offensive outburst. That frame was highlighted by a Niko Goodrum three-run homer … which was immediately followed by a Garver home run. It was an eight-run inning for the Red Wings. Garver, who was playing left field tonight, is now hitting .284/.390/.505 (.895 OPS). He’s been even more impressive against southpaws, posting a .327/.450/.551 line (1.001 OPS). Joining Garver and Goodrum with two hits on the night were Tommy Field, Bengie Gonzalez and Engelb Vielma. David Hurlbut pitched very well with the lead. He gave up two runs over six innings on seven hits and two walks to go with three strikeouts. The lefty lowered his ERA to 3.44 on the season. Alan Busenitz pitched a scoreless inning and was followed by John Curtiss, who gave up a run over two innings of work. Here are the homers from Goodrum and Garver: https://twitter.com/MorrieSilver8/status/883716274496450561 https://twitter.com/MorrieSilver8/status/883713921928093696 CHATTANOOGA CHATTER Chattanooga 6, Tennessee 1 Box Score At this time last season, Andy Wilkins was playing with the Milwaukee Brewers. Tonight, he had a huge game for the Lookouts, hitting a three-run homer to go with a pair of doubles. Edgar Corcino has had an excellent season, earning a mid-season All-Star nod, but he hasn’t been a big source of power. Well, the Puerto Rican right fielder popped his second homer of the year, a two-run shot, and was 2-for-4, pushing his average to .299. Jonathan Rodriguez also had two hits for the Lookouts. Nick Gordon was not in the lineup for Chattanooga. Randy LeBlanc held the Smokies to one run on three hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out four batters. Randy Rosario threw two scoreless innings. At this time last season, Paul Clemens was playing with the San Diego Padres. Tonight he pitched a scoreless ninth inning of a 6-1 game for the Lookouts. MIRACLE MATTERS Fort Myers 6, Palm Beach 5 Box Score Fort Myers was leading 3-1 before Williams Ramirez gave up four runs in the top of the fifth. It appeared he may have blown the game for the Miracle … for about 10 minutes. Fort Myers stormed back with three runs in the bottom of the inning, putting them up 6-5 for good. Sean Miller and Jermaine Palacios opened the bottom of the fifth with consecutive walks, but the next two batters were retired. With two outs, Palacios stole second and Miller scored on a throwing error. Brandon Lopez plated Palacios with a double, then Kevin Garcia drove in Lopez with a single. Mitchell Kranson hit his first home run with Fort Myers, a two-run shot in the first inning. Miracle starter Brady Anderson gave up one run over four innings. Michael Theofanopoulos picked up his fourth win after tossing two scoreless innings. Alex Muren threw a scoreless eighth and Tom Hackimer registered his second save by pitching a perfect ninth with two strikeouts. KERNELS NUGGETS Cedar Rapids 5, Peoria 2 Box Score Shortstop Gorge Munoz hit a two-out, two-run double in a big fourth inning for the Kernels. That gave Clark Beeker a 5-1 lead, not that he needed that kind of cushion. The Davidson product put together his seventh start in which he went at least five innings and gave up one or no runs. Beeker improved his record to 8-2 after surrendering one run over six innings. He gave up just three hits and a walk. Alex Robinson earned his second save by pitching 1.1 perfect innings with three strikeouts. Aaron Whitefield and Lewin Diaz each had two hits. Munoz also drew a walk and stole a base in this game. E-TWINS E-NOTES Elizabethton 5, Johnson City 0 Box Score Charlie Barnes, the Twins fourth-round pick this year out of Clemson, was excellent. He threw five one-hit innings, striking out seven batters while issuing one walk. He was pulled after 65 pitches, 45 of which were strikes. The crazy thing is that he wasn’t even the most dominant E-Town pitcher Friday night. After Juan Gamez threw two scoreless innings, Jovani Moran came on for the Twins. Here’s how the 20-year-old Puerto Rican lefty’s two innings went: BB, K, K, K, K, K, K. Moran now has 16 strikeouts in 8.2 innings this season. Filthy. Jose Miranda drove in three runs, Mark Contreras had a pair of hits and Brent Rooker had the team’s only extra-base hit, a double. GCL TWINS TAKES GCL Red Sox 10, GCL Twins 5 Box Score Hunter Green finally signed with the Reds today. Meanwhile, Royce Lewis went 2-for-4 with two doubles and a walk in what was his ninth professional game. The Twins No. 1 pick has gotten off to a great start, hitting .324/.419/.58 (.986 OPS). Akil Baddoo drew four walks (!) and scored twice. Catcher Jhon Alvarez was 2-for-3 with a walk and a run scored. Twins starter Petru Balan struggled, giving up four runs over 1.2 innings, and the bullpen didn't do much better, though Zach Featherstone finished things off with a scoreless inning. TWINS DAILY PLAYERS OF THE DAY Twins Daily Minor League Pitcher of the Day: Jovani Moran, Elizabethton (2 IP, 0 hits, 6 Ks) Twins Daily Minor League Hitter of the Day: Andy Wilkins, Chattanooga (3-for-4, HR, 2 doubles, 2 RBI, 2 runs) SATURDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Rochester vs. Syracuse, 6:05 pm CT, Aaron Slegers (4.08 ERA, 1.40 WHIP) Chattanooga va. Tennessee, 6:15 pm CT, TBA Fort Myers vs. Palm Beach, 5:05 pm CT, Cody Stashak (3.84 ERA, 1.12 WHIP) Cedar Rapids vs. Peoria, 6:35 pm CT, Griffin Jax (0.00 ERA, 0.57 WHIP) Elizabethton vs. Johnson City, 5:00 pm CT, Bryan Sammons (1.59 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) GCL Twins vs. GCL Red Sox, 9:00 am CT, TBA Please feel free to ask any questions and discuss Friday's games.
  4. Thank you. Garver is 26 years old and Granite is 24. Having him on the bench isn't going to hurt their development. And they'd both better learn how to be bench players because that's more than likely gonna be their future roles. Also, being on the 40-man roster already, they're both burning an option year whether the Twins call them up or not. And in regard to Norris, he has crazy reverse splits this season. RHB have a .680 OPS while he's held LHB to a .408 OPS. That's probably a fluke/small sample issue, but the point is that it's not like he's death to right-handed hitters. Also, it's not like you're only able to pinch hit in the ninth. There were other situations in which it would have made sense to go to the bench late. Escobar led off the eighth against a RHP. His OPS vs. right-handers is just .662 (it's .949 vs. LHP).
  5. Calhoun would've got in a rundown, buying Maybin enough time to score before he was tagged out.
  6. They were needlessly playing shorthanded, carrying nine bullpen guys only five days away from the All-Star break. Why is that necessary? They didn't need to bring a starter up, but they for darn sure didn't need to bring up another reliever, either. As much as I feel like Busenitz didn't deserve to be demoted in the first place, it would've made a ton more sense to call up an extra bat for a couple days. Poor roster management.
  7. Thanks for sharing that. Whatever play was on, if there even was one, it definitely didn't look like everybody was on the same page. This is probably the most important thing. One way or another, the Twins should have been ready for this situation to arise. They certainly did not appear to be. What do you mean? They have nine relievers on the 25-man roster right now. That's a fact. I know it doesn't really matter at this point, it's water under the bridge, but I really wish somebody would've asked Castro and/or Dozier about that play. All I can find are quotes from Molitor from the postgame interview. I've been scrounging around through all the gamers and can't find anything. If anybody else digs anything up from Castro or Dozier, please share.
  8. Y'all are going to have to let me know what you think of that double steal. My initial reaction was that Castro shouldn't have thrown to second. Maybe you pump fake there and try to pick off Maybin at third instead. But, looking at the replay over and over, I do think Dozier could've been more aggressive to the ball and gotten the throw out quicker. Terrible way to lose a game, either way.
  9. Ervin Santana gave up a homer to Kole Calhoun on the third pitch of the game. The rest of the night he was lights out. Ervin pitched his fourth complete game, which is more than any other entire team in baseball. Poor decision making by Jason Castro and the lack of timely hits all around cost the Twins a victory.Win Expectancy & Top 5 Plays Per WPA (via Fangraphs) Download attachment: WinEx75.png Download attachment: TopPlays75.png Santana was brilliant, but the most pivotal throw of the game came from Castro. With runners at the corners and two outs in the sixth inning, Calhoun took off for second base. Castro threw down to second, but when Brian Dozier saw Cameron Maybin break toward the plate, he came in to cut the ball off. Unfortunately, his return throw back to the plate was too late. Castro’s throw would have easily beat Calhoun, but he had put on the brakes and was going to try to get into a run-down in order to buy Maybin time. It was a quick calculation Dozier had to make, but basically as soon as that ball left Castro’s hand the Angels were going to have the lead one way or another. The decision to throw down to second base at all in that situation was inexcusable. Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Pen75.png Thursday Twins (Jose Berrios, 3.44 ERA) vs. Baltimore (Dylan Bundy, 4.02 ERA), 7:10 pm CT Bundy, the No. 4 pick of the 2011 draft, got off to a great start this season but has faded of late. In six starts since the start of June, he has a 6.61 ERA and opposing hitters have tagged him to the tune of a .950 OPS. Baltimore was 15-27 on the road entering today’s games. Berrios has had some hiccups in his past two starts, giving up nine runs over 11.1 innings. In a May 24 start at Baltimore, Berrios gave up homers to J.J. Hardy (who’s currently on the DL), Chris Davis (also on the DL) and Jonathan Schoop. Jose has basically split his time between catchers, but his numbers are dramatically better with Jason Castro. In 34.1 innings with Castro, Berrios has a 2.36 ERA, .463 OPS and hasn’t give up a homer. In 31 innings with Chris Gimenez, his ERA is up to 4.65, opponents are boasting an .809 OPS and he’s surrendered eight home runs. Click here to view the article
  10. Win Expectancy & Top 5 Plays Per WPA (via Fangraphs) Santana was brilliant, but the most pivotal throw of the game came from Castro. With runners at the corners and two outs in the sixth inning, Calhoun took off for second base. Castro threw down to second, but when Brian Dozier saw Cameron Maybin break toward the plate, he came in to cut the ball off. Unfortunately, his return throw back to the plate was too late. Castro’s throw would have easily beat Calhoun, but he had put on the brakes and was going to try to get into a run-down in order to buy Maybin time. It was a quick calculation Dozier had to make, but basically as soon as that ball left Castro’s hand the Angels were going to have the lead one way or another. The decision to throw down to second base at all in that situation was inexcusable. https://twitter.com/FoxSportsWest/status/882777421199548416 Paul Molitor didn’t make a single managerial move in this game. The bottom of the ninth inning started with Castro and his .316 OBP and Byron Buxton, who’s even worse at .279 OBP. Sure is a good thing the Twins have nine relief pitchers on the roster right now (not an exaggeration). It’s not like they could use a pinch hitter off the bench, especially given that Joe Mauer was unavailable due to a bad back. To be fair to Buxton, he had an encouraging night. He was 2-for-4 and did not strike out. In the bottom of the second, he hit an infield single, stole second base and scored on a Brian Dozier double. Another plus offensively was Eddie Rosario, who had another two hits tonight. Also, Max Kepler made a fine diving catch. Parker Bridwell pitched way too good for a guy who nobody had ever heard of. He threw six scoreless innings, holding the Twins to four hits while walking three. Bridwell also somehow managed to strike out Miguel Sano three times. The Angels were small balling all night. They attempted a suicide squeeze in the top of the second. There were two outs, so do you even call that a suicide squeeze, or is that just a plain suicide? It didn’t work, but it sure was close. Santana gave up seven hits, walked two batters and tallied five strikeouts. He threw a season-high 117 pitches, 80 of which were strikes. The 2016 Twins limited opponents to two or fewer runs on 28 occasions. They’ve now accomplished that feat 27 times already this season. Postgame With Molitor https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/882805883050147840 Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Thursday Twins (Jose Berrios, 3.44 ERA) vs. Baltimore (Dylan Bundy, 4.02 ERA), 7:10 pm CT Bundy, the No. 4 pick of the 2011 draft, got off to a great start this season but has faded of late. In six starts since the start of June, he has a 6.61 ERA and opposing hitters have tagged him to the tune of a .950 OPS. Baltimore was 15-27 on the road entering today’s games. Berrios has had some hiccups in his past two starts, giving up nine runs over 11.1 innings. In a May 24 start at Baltimore, Berrios gave up homers to J.J. Hardy (who’s currently on the DL), Chris Davis (also on the DL) and Jonathan Schoop. Jose has basically split his time between catchers, but his numbers are dramatically better with Jason Castro. In 34.1 innings with Castro, Berrios has a 2.36 ERA, .463 OPS and hasn’t give up a homer. In 31 innings with Chris Gimenez, his ERA is up to 4.65, opponents are boasting an .809 OPS and he’s surrendered eight home runs.
  11. There are also issues with service time, no? The sooner you start a guy's "clock" the sooner they're going to get expensive through arbitration and the sooner they'll have the opportunity to leave via free agency. And there's always the risk anytime you put a young pitcher on the 25-man roster that he's going to get hurt, then soak up valuable service time while on the DL. It's not likely to happen, and worrying about stuff like this borders on paranoia, but the Twins would look pretty foolish if they called Jorge back up, he blew out his elbow and accrued a year of MLB service time while rehabbing. Again, that's being incredibly risk-averse, but I'm sure MLB teams take stuff like that into account.
  12. I was hoping to embed the b-ref standings, but you're right, they don't update super quick all the time. Hmmm. Forget elevate and celebrate, I'm trying to automate and celebrate over here!
  13. Thanks, I'm trying to figure out how to paste some code into each recap article that will automatically update the standings. Haven't had much luck, but I'll try taking another look into it today.
  14. ERA through May vs. ERA since June Gibson: 7.85 vs. 3.98 (down 3.87) Mejia: 4.64 vs. 4.14 (down 0.50) Berrios: 2.70 vs. 3.96 (up 1.26) Ervin: 1.75 vs. 6.03 (up 4.28) Santiago: 4.76 vs. 12.38 (up 7.62) Small sample sizes, ERA doesn't tell you everything, blah, blah, blah ... I just thought this was interesting and figured I'd share.
  15. Byron Buxton, the great patriot that he is, was just saving all his hits for the Fourth of July. He had three hits, including a homer, in support of Kyle Gibson, who had a quality start. Things got a little rocky in the ninth inning, but Brandon Kintzler managed to pick up his 22nd save.Win Expectancy & Top 5 Plays (via Fangraphs) Download attachment: WinEx74.png Download attachment: TopPlays74.png Big days at the plate from Buxton have been few and far between, but he provided some Independance Day fireworks. He started things off by making a patented Buxton outstanding catch on the very first play of the game. In the fifth inning, he singled, stole second (his 15th steal) and came around to score on a Robbie Grossman double. He clubbed his fifth homer of the season in his next at bat and added another single in the eighth inning. Gibson has suddenly become, dare I say it, reliable. Gibby now has a 3.91 ERA over his last eight starts. In his longest start of the season, Gibson held the Angels to two runs on five hits over 6.2 innings. He struck out four batters and walked Ben Revere, one of the most difficult hitters to walk in baseball, twice. Kintzler got the save, but things got a little too interesting in the ninth inning. The inning started with a single and a walk. Kintzler induced a groundball, but Ehire Adrianza threw the ball away on the double play attempt. Luckily Kintzler coaxed another grounder out of the next batter and Miguel Sano, Eduardo Escobar and Joe Mauer combined to complete a game-ending twin killing. Here's Buxton's game-opening catch: And here’s his homer: Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Pen74.png Wednesday Twins (Ervin Santana, 3.07 ERA) vs. Angels (Parker Bridwell, 3.95 ERA), 7:10 pm CT Bridwell, a right-hander, will be making his fifth start of the season for Anaheim. His ERA looks solid, but his FIP is 6.44. He’s averaging 10.9 H/9 while only getting 4.6 K/9. The 25-year-old is coming off a start in which he gave up five runs over six innings against Seattle. Santana has looked like anything but an All-Star of late, as he registered a 6.03 ERA in June. His usage of his changeup dropped significantly that month. He deployed that pitch 13.5 percent of the time in April, 15.9 percent of the time in May and just 8.7 percent last month. AL Central Standings Cleveland 44-38 Twins 43-40 (-1.5) Kansas City 43-40 (-1.5) Chicago 37-45 (-7) Detroit 37-46 (-7.5) Click here to view the article
  16. Win Expectancy & Top 5 Plays (via Fangraphs) Big days at the plate from Buxton have been few and far between, but he provided some Independance Day fireworks. He started things off by making a patented Buxton outstanding catch on the very first play of the game. In the fifth inning, he singled, stole second (his 15th steal) and came around to score on a Robbie Grossman double. He clubbed his fifth homer of the season in his next at bat and added another single in the eighth inning. Gibson has suddenly become, dare I say it, reliable. Gibby now has a 3.91 ERA over his last eight starts. In his longest start of the season, Gibson held the Angels to two runs on five hits over 6.2 innings. He struck out four batters and walked Ben Revere, one of the most difficult hitters to walk in baseball, twice. Kintzler got the save, but things got a little too interesting in the ninth inning. The inning started with a single and a walk. Kintzler induced a groundball, but Ehire Adrianza threw the ball away on the double play attempt. Luckily Kintzler coaxed another grounder out of the next batter and Miguel Sano, Eduardo Escobar and Joe Mauer combined to complete a game-ending twin killing. Here's Buxton's game-opening catch: And here’s his homer: https://twitter.com/TheRenderMLB/status/882336318004629504 Postgame With Buxton https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/882357486262431744 Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Wednesday Twins (Ervin Santana, 3.07 ERA) vs. Angels (Parker Bridwell, 3.95 ERA), 7:10 pm CT Bridwell, a right-hander, will be making his fifth start of the season for Anaheim. His ERA looks solid, but his FIP is 6.44. He’s averaging 10.9 H/9 while only getting 4.6 K/9. The 25-year-old is coming off a start in which he gave up five runs over six innings against Seattle. Santana has looked like anything but an All-Star of late, as he registered a 6.03 ERA in June. His usage of his changeup dropped significantly that month. He deployed that pitch 13.5 percent of the time in April, 15.9 percent of the time in May and just 8.7 percent last month. AL Central Standings Cleveland 44-38 Twins 43-40 (-1.5) Kansas City 43-40 (-1.5) Chicago 37-45 (-7) Detroit 37-46 (-7.5)
  17. My hope on Duffey is he just needs a reset, which the All-Star break will provide him. As we saw with Trevor May, pitching out of the bullpen puts a different kind of stress on a pitcher's body. Has to be a big difference mentally, too. Yes, he was a reliever in college, but that was a long time ago now. Speaking of Duffey and May, here's a quick look at how their bullpen numbers compare: May in relief: 4.36 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 3.67 K:BB ratio Duffey in relief: 4.61 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 4.10 K:BB ratio I wonder if Vargas is trying to make something happen when he gets opportunities. His approach has been so different in the majors compared to the minors. With the Twins this year, he has a 28.3 K% and 4.8 BB%. Over 153 games with Rochester, he's at 23.8 K% and 16.7 BB%. MLB pitching is, of course, much better than AAA, but it doesn't seem like there should be an almost 12 percent difference in his walk rate between levels, does it?
  18. I think everybody’s fear heading into this one was that Alex Meyer would make the Twins look silly. Thankfully, that didn’t happen. Adalberto Mejia had one of his best starts, Joe Mauer hit a two-run homer and Max Kepler went 4-for-4 with a homer of his own to lift the Twins to victory.Win Expectancy & Top 5 Plays (via Fangraphs) Download attachment: WinEx73.png Download attachment: TopPlays73.png Mauer and Kepler have been a bit under the radar on a game-by-game basis, but they both had big performances Monday night. Mauer, who hit leadoff with Brian Dozier sitting out, hit a big two-run homer early. Kepler was 4-for-4 with his 10th homer of the season, a double, a walk and three RBIs. As the score would indicate, it was a pretty great game all around for the hitters, as Miguel Sano also contributed three hits and a walk and Escobar had a pair of base knocks. But maybe the most encouraging performance came from Adalberto Mejia. Mejia completed seven innings for just the second time this season. He gave up three runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five. Mejia has been a bit inconsistent, but overall excellent in his last four starts, surrendering just five earned runs over 21.2 innings (2.08 ERA). It’s difficult to remember Mejia just turned 24 late last month, meaning he’s only about six months older than Felix Jorge, who was a surprise call up from Double A. Adalberto has been really solid, and though he may not have front line starter upside, we’re seeing him figure some things out. And it’s very exciting. The only reason this one stayed so close was because Tyler Duffey gave up a couple of runs in his inning of work. That marks the third-straight appearance for the Duff Man in which he’s given up a run. He’s been alarmingly bad of late, giving up 15 earned runs over his last 15.1 innings pitched. As for Meyer, he gave up five runs over five innings. He walked six. The first run he gave up came on a balk. Maybe most shocking was the fact that he managed to walk Eddie Rosario on four pitches. That’s hard to do. Here's the Mauer homer: Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Pen73.png Tuesday Twins (Kyle Gibson, 6.11 ERA) vs. Angels (J.C, Ramriez, 4.60 ERA), 1:10 pm CT Ramirez, a 28-year-old righty, has a 5.81 ERA over his last five starts. He’s been getting crushed by lefties so far this season, surrendering a .287/.348/.610 (.958 OPS) line to southpaws. He’s given up 17 home runs, 13 to lefties. I think we all know who Kyle Gibson is at this point, but it’s worth pointing out that he has a respectable 4.12 ERA over his last seven starts. The peripherals haven’t been great, but he’s keeping the Twins in games. The team is 4-2 over his last six starts. AL Central Standings Cleveland 44-37 Twins 42-40 (-2.5) Kansas City 42-40 (-2.5) Chicago 37-45 (-7.5) Detroit 36-45 (-8) Make sure to also check out today’s Minor League Report. Click here to view the article
  19. Win Expectancy & Top 5 Plays (via Fangraphs) Mauer and Kepler have been a bit under the radar on a game-by-game basis, but they both had big performances Monday night. Mauer, who hit leadoff with Brian Dozier sitting out, hit a big two-run homer early. Kepler was 4-for-4 with his 10th homer of the season, a double, a walk and three RBIs. As the score would indicate, it was a pretty great game all around for the hitters, as Miguel Sano also contributed three hits and a walk and Escobar had a pair of base knocks. But maybe the most encouraging performance came from Adalberto Mejia. Mejia completed seven innings for just the second time this season. He gave up three runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five. Mejia has been a bit inconsistent, but overall excellent in his last four starts, surrendering just five earned runs over 21.2 innings (2.08 ERA). It’s difficult to remember Mejia just turned 24 late last month, meaning he’s only about six months older than Felix Jorge, who was a surprise call up from Double A. Adalberto has been really solid, and though he may not have front line starter upside, we’re seeing him figure some things out. And it’s very exciting. The only reason this one stayed so close was because Tyler Duffey gave up a couple of runs in his inning of work. That marks the third-straight appearance for the Duff Man in which he’s given up a run. He’s been alarmingly bad of late, giving up 15 earned runs over his last 15.1 innings pitched. As for Meyer, he gave up five runs over five innings. He walked six. The first run he gave up came on a balk. Maybe most shocking was the fact that he managed to walk Eddie Rosario on four pitches. That’s hard to do. Here's the Mauer homer: https://twitter.com/twinsbeisbol/status/882041450871050240 And Kepler's dinger, which got out so fast that if you blink you night miss it: https://twitter.com/twinsbeisbol/status/882057623645892609 At the conclusion of the game it was announced Kennys Vargas was being optioned to Rochester to make room for Ehire Adrianza, who was being activated off the DL. Postgame With Mejia https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/882082601288085504 Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Tuesday Twins (Kyle Gibson, 6.11 ERA) vs. Angels (J.C, Ramriez, 4.60 ERA), 1:10 pm CT Ramirez, a 28-year-old righty, has a 5.81 ERA over his last five starts. He’s been getting crushed by lefties so far this season, surrendering a .287/.348/.610 (.958 OPS) line to southpaws. He’s given up 17 home runs, 13 to lefties. I think we all know who Kyle Gibson is at this point, but it’s worth pointing out that he has a respectable 4.12 ERA over his last seven starts. The peripherals haven’t been great, but he’s keeping the Twins in games. The team is 4-2 over his last six starts. AL Central Standings Cleveland 44-37 Twins 42-40 (-2.5) Kansas City 42-40 (-2.5) Chicago 37-45 (-7.5) Detroit 36-45 (-8) Make sure to also check out today’s Minor League Report.
  20. Yeah, I get what you're saying there and I agree. But the information in that bullpen usage report isn't intended to say what is good and what is bad usage, it's just showing what happened. The last thing I want is for that to be deceptive or misleading. It's not saying that if a guys throws 40+ pitches that's a bad thing. My intention with including that data is to provide a snapshot of how the bullpen has been used to give some insight into who may or may not be available for the next game.
  21. I get your point after this, but I'm not sure what you mean by saying the numbers are deceptive. Is it the color coding that is misleading? I chose those thresholds because I don't think you're going to see a guy throw 21+ pitches and be available the next night too often.
  22. Yeah, the only compliments I can muster for him are of the backhanded variety at least for now.
  23. The Twins got their 11-game road trip off to such a great start, sweeping Cleveland to take back first place in the AL Central. After that, it appears the road magic may have been all used up. They dropped three of four at Boston, and after a loss Sunday, three of four at Kansas City to put them in a tie for second place in the division.Royals 6, Twins 2 Box Score Hector Santiago struggled, lasting just 3.1 innings while giving up four runs on four hits and a walk. Phil Hughes, who is likely still acclimating himself to coming out of the bullpen again, looked pretty bad too. He gave up two runs on six hits over 1.2 innings. Those performances didn’t give the Twins much of a chance to win, but it’s not like the bats had a great day, either. The team had eight hits, two each from Miguel Sano and Eduardo Escobar, but all of them were singles. They were 2-for-11 with runners in scoring position and left eight men on base. Santiago pitched in relief in the Twins 15-inning loss to Tampa Bay on May 28 and hasn’t been the same since. In his ten games prior to that appearance, Santiago had a 4.07 ERA and five quality starts. Since then, he’s given up 19 earned runs over 15 innings pitched (11.40 ERA). Santiago was never a guy who overpowered hitters with his velocity, but losing a couple ticks off a fastball isn’t going to help any pitcher. His readings have been steadily declining all season. Download attachment: SantiagoGraph.jpeg Hector didn’t even bother with his four-seam fastball Sunday, instead sticking primarily with his sinker. As a result, he failed to hit even 90 mph on the day. Download attachment: SantiagoVelo.png Looking from the outside in, trying to read between the lines, it looks to me like Santiago should go back on the DL until he gets right. At the very least, he probably could’ve benefitted from a longer rehab stint than one appearance. Trevor Hildenberger was a bright spot. He pitched two scoreless innings and struck out three batters. The 26-year-old has started his major league career with five scoreless innings. After their terrible 7-16 April, the Royals have gone 34-24 to put them a game above .500. Postgame With Molitor Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Pen72.png Monday Twins (Adalberto Mejia) vs. Angels (Alex Meyer), 7:10 pm CT Welp, Alex Meyer has been pretty darn good for the Angels. In 11 starts he’s got a 3.74 ERA and is averaging 10.1 K/9. On the downside, however, his WHIP is 1.41 and he’s issuing 6.0 BB/9. In five starts away from The Big A, Meyer has a 6.75 ERA. Mejia is coming off back-to-back scoreless starts on the road. That’s given the 24-year-old lefty some odd home-road splits. He now has a 2.31 ERA on the road and 6.11 mark at Target Field. Also curious: he’s got reverse platoon splits (.864 OPS vs. LHB, .795 OPS vs. RHB). AL Central Standings Cleveland 44-37 Twins 41-40 (-3) Kansas City 41-40 (-3) Detroit 36-45 (-8) Chicago 35-45 (-8.5) Click here to view the article
  24. Royals 6, Twins 2 Box Score Hector Santiago struggled, lasting just 3.1 innings while giving up four runs on four hits and a walk. Phil Hughes, who is likely still acclimating himself to coming out of the bullpen again, looked pretty bad too. He gave up two runs on six hits over 1.2 innings. Those performances didn’t give the Twins much of a chance to win, but it’s not like the bats had a great day, either. The team had eight hits, two each from Miguel Sano and Eduardo Escobar, but all of them were singles. They were 2-for-11 with runners in scoring position and left eight men on base. Santiago pitched in relief in the Twins 15-inning loss to Tampa Bay on May 28 and hasn’t been the same since. In his ten games prior to that appearance, Santiago had a 4.07 ERA and five quality starts. Since then, he’s given up 19 earned runs over 15 innings pitched (11.40 ERA). Santiago was never a guy who overpowered hitters with his velocity, but losing a couple ticks off a fastball isn’t going to help any pitcher. His readings have been steadily declining all season. Hector didn’t even bother with his four-seam fastball Sunday, instead sticking primarily with his sinker. As a result, he failed to hit even 90 mph on the day. Looking from the outside in, trying to read between the lines, it looks to me like Santiago should go back on the DL until he gets right. At the very least, he probably could’ve benefitted from a longer rehab stint than one appearance. Trevor Hildenberger was a bright spot. He pitched two scoreless innings and struck out three batters. The 26-year-old has started his major league career with five scoreless innings. After their terrible 7-16 April, the Royals have gone 34-24 to put them a game above .500. Postgame With Molitor https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/881632946943270912 Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Monday Twins (Adalberto Mejia) vs. Angels (Alex Meyer), 7:10 pm CT Welp, Alex Meyer has been pretty darn good for the Angels. In 11 starts he’s got a 3.74 ERA and is averaging 10.1 K/9. On the downside, however, his WHIP is 1.41 and he’s issuing 6.0 BB/9. In five starts away from The Big A, Meyer has a 6.75 ERA. Mejia is coming off back-to-back scoreless starts on the road. That’s given the 24-year-old lefty some odd home-road splits. He now has a 2.31 ERA on the road and 6.11 mark at Target Field. Also curious: he’s got reverse platoon splits (.864 OPS vs. LHB, .795 OPS vs. RHB). AL Central Standings Cleveland 44-37 Twins 41-40 (-3) Kansas City 41-40 (-3) Detroit 36-45 (-8) Chicago 35-45 (-8.5)
  25. Jose Berrios had his worst start of the season, but Felix Jorge picked up a win in his major league debut as the Twins split a doubleheader in Kansas City. Miguel Sano, who has been a thorn in the side of the Royals, hit a mammoth homer in each game. Eddie Rosario was 5-for-5 in Game 2.Game 1 Win Expectancy & Top 5 Plays (via Fangraphs) Download attachment: WinEx71G1.png Download attachment: TopPlays71G1.png The Twins blew a lead, made some poor plays in the field and were the victims of some poor umpiring. These things seem to be common themes of late. With the Twins leading 5-4 in the top of the fifth inning, the first two batters of the inning (Byron Buxton and Brian Dozier) were called out on strikes. Here are the locations of those pitches, per Baseball Savant: Download attachment: CalledStrikes.png The Royals tied it up with a homer in the bottom of the fifth and added three runs in the sixth to put the score at 8-6. In the seventh inning, Jorge Polanco made a throwing error on a potential double play and the next batter, Alex Gordon, blasted a three-run homer to put the game out of reach. Jose Berrios gave up five runs for the first time this season, Tyler Duffey surrendered three in his inning of work and Ryan Pressly gave up three (two earned) over two innings. Miguel Sano hit another majestic home run. Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Pen71.png Sunday Twins (Hector Santiago, 5.37 ERA) at Kansas City (Travis Wood, 6.28 ERA), 1:15 pm CT Wood will be making his first start of the season. The lefty has been hit very hard in his first season in the AL, seeing his ERA spike from 2.95 with the Cubs last year to 6.28 in 2017. His longest appearance of the year was three innings and the most pitches he’s thrown is 49, so expect to see a lot of the Royals’ bullpen. You could say the same thing for the Twins. Santiago did not have the opportunity to get any more stretched out in his last start thanks to a rain delay. He threw 57 pitches for Rochester on June 21 and just 49 on Tuesday, so it’s likely he’ll be on a limited pitch count. AL Central Standings Cleveland 43-37 Twins 41-39 (-2) Kansas City 40-40 (-3) Detroit 36-44 (-7) Chicago 35-45 (-8) Click here to view the article
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