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  1. Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Top 3 Twins per WPA: Berrios .281 | Dozier .148 | Castro .084 We’ve seen several Twins break out of slumps around the same time these last couple weeks, I guess it was Berrios’ turn tonight. Jose entered the evening with a 6.18 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over six second-half starts. It’s a baseball cliche to say a player mired in a slump is due, but it certainly felt like Berrios was going to get back on track eventually. And oh boy did he ever get back on track. Berrios gave up just two hits and walked one batter. Here are his seven strikeouts: https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/899115044570615810 Last night it was all about the home runs, tonight the Twins singled the D-Backs to death. They scored all five of their runs in the fourth inning despite not recording a single extra-base hit in that frame. They strung together five singles and had an error and a walk mixed in. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/899115562487488516 Sano, who was the DH tonight, exited the game after he was slow to get down the first base line on a double play that ended that huge fourth inning. Mitch Garver replaced Sano and struckout in his major league debut. Alan Busenitz was perfect over the final two innings, lowering his ERA to 1.93 in his 18.2 innings pitched on the big club this season. Postgame With Molitor https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/899107733986656257 Twins W-L Record Overall: 62-59 (.512) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 12-8 (.600) Last 40: 21-19 (.525) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 68-53 Minnesota 62-59 (-6.0) Kansas City 61-61 (-7.5) AL Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 66-56 WC2: Minnesota 62-59 Angels 63-60 (-0.002 winning percentage) Seattle 63-61 (-0.5) Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Looking Ahead SUN: Twins (Bartolo Colon) vs. Arizona (TBD), 1:10 pm CT MON: Twins (TBD) at White Sox (TBD), 4:10 pm CT MON: Twins (TBD) at White Sox (TBD), Game 2 TUE: Twins (TBD) at White Sox (TBD), 7:10 pm CT *It's not official, but it's sounding like the Twins will roll with Dillon Gee, Tim Melville and Kyle Gibson as the starters in those games at Chicago. Question of the Day Who is the player you’d most like to see enshrined next in the Twins Hall of Fame?
  2. Niko Goodrum had a monster game for the IL Wild Card-leading Red Wings, driving in six runs. Also, the Kernels managed to win 1-0 behind a Travis Blankenhorn homer, Clark Beeker won his FSL debut, Brent Rooker hit yet another homer, Lachlan Wells returned to the mound and much, much more. Find out everything that happened in the Twins minor league system on Saturday.RED WINGS REPORT Rochester 10, Louisville 5 Box Score The Red Wings actually trailed 5-0 after three innings, but the bats went on a tear to make this look like a pretty one-sided affair. Rochester had 17 hits, but nobody shined brighter than Niko Goodrum, who was 3-for 5 with six RBI. Six! Even as late as the eighth inning Rochester held just a one-run lead, but Goodrum delivered a two-run single in the eighth and would later score on a Matt Hague single. And to really drive the nail in the coffin, Niko socked a three-run homer in the ninth. That was Goodrum’s 12th home run of the season, and he also stole his 10th base of the year. It seems like Niko has been around for ages, but he’s still only 25. He was in center field tonight, but has played everywhere on the diamond other than pitcher and catcher this season. Daniel Palka also tallied three hits and Matt Hague, Kennys Vargas, Tommy Field and Leonardo Reginatto all had two hits each. Chris Heston got knocked around over his five innings (10 hits, five earned runs), but the bullpen was excellent. Alex Wimmers threw two perfect innings with three strikeouts. Buddy Boshers got the first two batters out in the eighth, but gave up a double and a walk before being lifted for Jake Reed, who managed to end the threat. Reed walked two batters in the ninth, but he also struck out three, so no worries. It was Reed’s fourth save for Rochester. The win improved the Wings record to 73-53, putting them three games up in the Wild Card race. CHATTANOOGA CHATTER Tennessee 6, Chattanooga 4 Box Score Fernando Romero had a rough night, failing to even last his customary 5.0 innings for the first time in eight starts. The 22-year-old gave up six runs for the second-straight start, surrendering eight hits while walking four batters over 4.1 innings. His ERA as gone from 2.60 to 3.30 over his last two appearances. T.J. White hit his 12th homer of the season and Andy Wilkins had a pair of hits and a stolen base. Levi Michael reached base in two of his four plate appearances, and came in to the game with a .359 OBP on the season for the Lookouts. D.J. Baxendale held the Smokies scoreless over the final 3.2 innings. MIRACLE MATTERS Fort Myers 8, Tampa 3 Box Score Clark Beeker earned a victory in his FSL debut, but he finally gave up some runs. The right-hander had four-straight scoreless starts for Cedar Rapids prior to his promotion, but he gave up three runs for the Miracle. Thanks to the bats, however, he was pitching with the lead all night, and those runs didn’t hurt the team in the least bit. Zander Wiel hit a three-run homer, his 10th of the year, and Brent Rooker added a solo shot of his own. Rooker, who also had three RBI, now has 15 home runs in 53 professional games. Jermaine Palacios had a pair of hits, lifting his FSL average up to an even .300. Brandon Lopez also had two hits and catcher Kevin Garcia had a hit, a walk and scored twice. Michael Theofanopoulos pitched two scoreless innings before Williams Ramirez finished things off with a 1-2-3 ninth inning. KERNELS NUGGETS Cedar Rapids 1, Beloit 0 Box Score Travis Blankenhorn hit a homer in the fourth inning and the Kernels pitching staff managed to make that one-run lead stand, as they held the Snappers to just two hits. Charlie Barnes got the start and gave up one hit and a pair of walks over 5.0 innings pitched. The Twins 2017 fourth-rounder out of Clemson struck out four batters, and lowered his Midwest League ERA to 3.18. Logan Lombana pitched the sixth and seventh, Eduardo Del Rosario had a 1-2-3 eighth before Hector Lujan picked up his league-leading 15th save thanks to a huge game-ending 5-4-3 double play completed by the combination of Jordan Gore, Blankenhorn and Lewin Diaz. The homer was Blankenhorn’s ninth of the season. Christian Cavaness was 2-for-3 with a triple and Shane Carrier had the only other hit for the Kernels, extending his hitting streak to 25 games. E-TWINS E-NOTES Elizabethton 6, Bristol 2 Box Score Down to their last out, the Bristol Pirates got a dramatic game-tying homer to send this on into extras, but the Twins prevailed thanks to a huge 12th inning. Gorge Munoz drove in Matt Albanese to score the go-ahead run, but E-Town would pile on three more runs. Ryley Widell, a seventh-round pick from this year’s draft, gave up just an unearned run over 5.0 innings. He struck out seven, and is now averaging 11.2 K/9 to go with a 2.08 ERA. Moises Gomez gave up that huge game-tying homer, but that was it over his 5.0 innings. Jose Martinez pitched the final 2.0 innings to pick up his fifth win. All the scoring prior to extra innings came from a Jose Miranda two-run homer in the sixth inning, his team-leading ninth home run of the year. Akil Baddoo had two hits, including the team’s only other extra-base knock, a double. T.J. Dixon was 2-for-6 with an RBI and two runs scored. GCL TWINS TAKES Twins 8, Red Sox 2 Box Score A trio of big names appeared on the mound for the GCL Twins: Lachlan Wells, Tyler Jay and Blayne Enlow. But it was Jean Carlos Arias who stole the show, going 4-for-5 with his fourth home run and ninth stolen base of the season. Emmanuel Morel also had a big game, going 3-for-5 while stealing is 10th and 11th bases of the year. Wells, pitching for the first time since June, struck out six batters over 4.0 innings of work. He gave up one run on a pair of hits and did not walk a batter. Jay, making just the second appearance of his rehab assignment, had four K's over 1.2 innings. He gave up a run on two hits and a walk, but it was unearned (due to his own error). Enlow finished up the game with 3.1 perfect innings to pick up his second win. He struck out four batters. So over the first 17.1 innings of his career, Enlow has a 1.04 ERA, 9.3 K/9 and a 0.58 WHIP. All together, that trio of hurlers gave up just one earned run on four hit and one walk while striking out 14 batters. TWINS DAILY PLAYERS OF THE DAY Twins Daily Minor League Pitcher of the Day: Charlie Barnes, Cedar Rapids (5.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 K) Twins Daily Minor League Hitter of the Day: Niko Goodrum, Rochester (3-for-5, HR, 6 RBI, 2 R, SB) SUNDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Rochester at Louisville, 12:00 pm CT, Stephen Gonsalves (2.08 ERA, 0.77 WHIP) Chattanooga at Tennessee, 4:30 pm CT, Lewis Thorpe (making Chattanooga debut) Fort Myers at Tampa, 12:00 pm CT, Brady Anderson (4.19 ERA, 1.45 WHIP) Cedar Rapids vs. Beloit, 2:05 pm CT, Tyler Beardsley (5.48 ERA, 1.35 WHIP) Elizabethton vs. Johnson City, 5:00 pm CT, Christian Broussard (8.10 ERA, 1.80 WHIP) Please feel free to ask any questions and discuss Saturday's games. Click here to view the article
  3. RED WINGS REPORT Rochester 10, Louisville 5 Box Score The Red Wings actually trailed 5-0 after three innings, but the bats went on a tear to make this look like a pretty one-sided affair. Rochester had 17 hits, but nobody shined brighter than Niko Goodrum, who was 3-for 5 with six RBI. Six! Even as late as the eighth inning Rochester held just a one-run lead, but Goodrum delivered a two-run single in the eighth and would later score on a Matt Hague single. And to really drive the nail in the coffin, Niko socked a three-run homer in the ninth. That was Goodrum’s 12th home run of the season, and he also stole his 10th base of the year. It seems like Niko has been around for ages, but he’s still only 25. He was in center field tonight, but has played everywhere on the diamond other than pitcher and catcher this season. Daniel Palka also tallied three hits and Matt Hague, Kennys Vargas, Tommy Field and Leonardo Reginatto all had two hits each. Chris Heston got knocked around over his five innings (10 hits, five earned runs), but the bullpen was excellent. Alex Wimmers threw two perfect innings with three strikeouts. Buddy Boshers got the first two batters out in the eighth, but gave up a double and a walk before being lifted for Jake Reed, who managed to end the threat. Reed walked two batters in the ninth, but he also struck out three, so no worries. It was Reed’s fourth save for Rochester. The win improved the Wings record to 73-53, putting them three games up in the Wild Card race. CHATTANOOGA CHATTER Tennessee 6, Chattanooga 4 Box Score Fernando Romero had a rough night, failing to even last his customary 5.0 innings for the first time in eight starts. The 22-year-old gave up six runs for the second-straight start, surrendering eight hits while walking four batters over 4.1 innings. His ERA as gone from 2.60 to 3.30 over his last two appearances. T.J. White hit his 12th homer of the season and Andy Wilkins had a pair of hits and a stolen base. Levi Michael reached base in two of his four plate appearances, and came in to the game with a .359 OBP on the season for the Lookouts. D.J. Baxendale held the Smokies scoreless over the final 3.2 innings. MIRACLE MATTERS Fort Myers 8, Tampa 3 Box Score Clark Beeker earned a victory in his FSL debut, but he finally gave up some runs. The right-hander had four-straight scoreless starts for Cedar Rapids prior to his promotion, but he gave up three runs for the Miracle. Thanks to the bats, however, he was pitching with the lead all night, and those runs didn’t hurt the team in the least bit. Zander Wiel hit a three-run homer, his 10th of the year, and Brent Rooker added a solo shot of his own. Rooker, who also had three RBI, now has 15 home runs in 53 professional games. Jermaine Palacios had a pair of hits, lifting his FSL average up to an even .300. Brandon Lopez also had two hits and catcher Kevin Garcia had a hit, a walk and scored twice. Michael Theofanopoulos pitched two scoreless innings before Williams Ramirez finished things off with a 1-2-3 ninth inning. KERNELS NUGGETS Cedar Rapids 1, Beloit 0 Box Score Travis Blankenhorn hit a homer in the fourth inning and the Kernels pitching staff managed to make that one-run lead stand, as they held the Snappers to just two hits. Charlie Barnes got the start and gave up one hit and a pair of walks over 5.0 innings pitched. The Twins 2017 fourth-rounder out of Clemson struck out four batters, and lowered his Midwest League ERA to 3.18. Logan Lombana pitched the sixth and seventh, Eduardo Del Rosario had a 1-2-3 eighth before Hector Lujan picked up his league-leading 15th save thanks to a huge game-ending 5-4-3 double play completed by the combination of Jordan Gore, Blankenhorn and Lewin Diaz. The homer was Blankenhorn’s ninth of the season. Christian Cavaness was 2-for-3 with a triple and Shane Carrier had the only other hit for the Kernels, extending his hitting streak to 25 games. E-TWINS E-NOTES Elizabethton 6, Bristol 2 Box Score Down to their last out, the Bristol Pirates got a dramatic game-tying homer to send this on into extras, but the Twins prevailed thanks to a huge 12th inning. Gorge Munoz drove in Matt Albanese to score the go-ahead run, but E-Town would pile on three more runs. Ryley Widell, a seventh-round pick from this year’s draft, gave up just an unearned run over 5.0 innings. He struck out seven, and is now averaging 11.2 K/9 to go with a 2.08 ERA. Moises Gomez gave up that huge game-tying homer, but that was it over his 5.0 innings. Jose Martinez pitched the final 2.0 innings to pick up his fifth win. All the scoring prior to extra innings came from a Jose Miranda two-run homer in the sixth inning, his team-leading ninth home run of the year. Akil Baddoo had two hits, including the team’s only other extra-base knock, a double. T.J. Dixon was 2-for-6 with an RBI and two runs scored. GCL TWINS TAKES Twins 8, Red Sox 2 Box Score A trio of big names appeared on the mound for the GCL Twins: Lachlan Wells, Tyler Jay and Blayne Enlow. But it was Jean Carlos Arias who stole the show, going 4-for-5 with his fourth home run and ninth stolen base of the season. Emmanuel Morel also had a big game, going 3-for-5 while stealing is 10th and 11th bases of the year. Wells, pitching for the first time since June, struck out six batters over 4.0 innings of work. He gave up one run on a pair of hits and did not walk a batter. Jay, making just the second appearance of his rehab assignment, had four K's over 1.2 innings. He gave up a run on two hits and a walk, but it was unearned (due to his own error). Enlow finished up the game with 3.1 perfect innings to pick up his second win. He struck out four batters. So over the first 17.1 innings of his career, Enlow has a 1.04 ERA, 9.3 K/9 and a 0.58 WHIP. All together, that trio of hurlers gave up just one earned run on four hit and one walk while striking out 14 batters. TWINS DAILY PLAYERS OF THE DAY Twins Daily Minor League Pitcher of the Day: Charlie Barnes, Cedar Rapids (5.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 K) Twins Daily Minor League Hitter of the Day: Niko Goodrum, Rochester (3-for-5, HR, 6 RBI, 2 R, SB) SUNDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Rochester at Louisville, 12:00 pm CT, Stephen Gonsalves (2.08 ERA, 0.77 WHIP) Chattanooga at Tennessee, 4:30 pm CT, Lewis Thorpe (making Chattanooga debut) Fort Myers at Tampa, 12:00 pm CT, Brady Anderson (4.19 ERA, 1.45 WHIP) Cedar Rapids vs. Beloit, 2:05 pm CT, Tyler Beardsley (5.48 ERA, 1.35 WHIP) Elizabethton vs. Johnson City, 5:00 pm CT, Christian Broussard (8.10 ERA, 1.80 WHIP) Please feel free to ask any questions and discuss Saturday's games.
  4. Byron Buxton hit an inside-the-park home run and the Twins clubbed five more homers over the fence in a late-inning barrage of offense against the Diamondbacks Friday night. Buxton ended the game a single short of hitting for the cycle. Image courtesy of Harrison Barden-USA TODAY Sports Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Top 5 Twins per WPA: Buxton .302 | Polanco .213 | Hildenberger .198 One of my all-time favorite baseball quotes is this one from Rogers Hornsby: “People ask me what I do in winter when there’s no baseball. I’ll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring.” I’m pretty sure for me this winter it’ll be staring into a screen watching highlights of Buxton running around the bases or tracking down fly balls in the outfield. Buxton was incredible tonight, as he hit a triple in the second inning, an inside-the-park homer in the fourth and doubled in the sixth. The D-Backs finally got him out in the seventh, albeit on a line drive he hit over 95 mph, to keep him from completing the cycle. He’ll have to settle for “just” nine total bases in his four plate appearances. You know what? I’m not even gonna wait for winter, let’s watch this kid run: https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/898735690426441728 The Twins also got home runs from Max Kepler (16), Eduardo Escobar (11), Brian Dozier (24) and two from Miguel Sano (27 & 28) but they all hit the ones where you get to trot around the bases. Lazy. Here’s Sano’s first homer … https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/898739573479673856 … but his second blast was even more impressive ... https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/898749422523228165 You wanna see the full highlight reel from this one? You’ll basically just want to watch the condensed game, because it seemed like this was just an endless stream of awesomeness from the Twins. They scored 10 runs on 17 hits, 11 of them going for extra bases. Ervin Santana had a quality start, limiting Arizona to three runs over six innings. He gave up seven hits, walked three and had six strikeouts. Those three runs all came in the first two innings. The Twins didn't take the lead until the bottom of the sixth, when Jorge Polanco drove in Buxton with a single. Nice little come-from-behind victory. Trevor Hildenberger (0.2 IP), Taylor Rogers (1.0 IP), Tyler Duffey (0.2 IP) and Nik Turley (0.2 IP) combined to throw three perfect innings out of the bullpen. Postgame With Buxton https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/898750505383469056 Twins W-L Record Overall: 61-59 (.508) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 12-8 (.600) Last 40: 20-20 (.500) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 67-53 Minnesota 61-59 (-6.0) Kansas City (-6.5) AL Wild Card Standings WC 1: Yankees 65-56 WC2: Minnesota 61-59, Angels 62-60 Kansas City 61-60 (-0.5) Seattle 62-61 (-0.5) Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Looking Ahead SAT: Twins (Jose Berrios) vs. Arizona (Zack Greinke), 6:10 pm CT SUN: Twins (Bartolo Colon) vs. Arizona (TBD), 1:10 pm CT MON: Twins (TBD) at White Sox (TBD), 4:10 pm CT MON: Twins (TBD) at White Sox (TBD), Game 2 Question of the Day How much do you think it’d cost to fly out to New York and get a hotel in early October? Why do I ask? Oh, I dunno, just curious ... View full article
  5. Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Top 5 Twins per WPA: Buxton .302 | Polanco .213 | Hildenberger .198 One of my all-time favorite baseball quotes is this one from Rogers Hornsby: “People ask me what I do in winter when there’s no baseball. I’ll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring.” I’m pretty sure for me this winter it’ll be staring into a screen watching highlights of Buxton running around the bases or tracking down fly balls in the outfield. Buxton was incredible tonight, as he hit a triple in the second inning, an inside-the-park homer in the fourth and doubled in the sixth. The D-Backs finally got him out in the seventh, albeit on a line drive he hit over 95 mph, to keep him from completing the cycle. He’ll have to settle for “just” nine total bases in his four plate appearances. You know what? I’m not even gonna wait for winter, let’s watch this kid run: https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/898735690426441728 The Twins also got home runs from Max Kepler (16), Eduardo Escobar (11), Brian Dozier (24) and two from Miguel Sano (27 & 28) but they all hit the ones where you get to trot around the bases. Lazy. Here’s Sano’s first homer … https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/898739573479673856 … but his second blast was even more impressive ... https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/898749422523228165 You wanna see the full highlight reel from this one? You’ll basically just want to watch the condensed game, because it seemed like this was just an endless stream of awesomeness from the Twins. They scored 10 runs on 17 hits, 11 of them going for extra bases. Ervin Santana had a quality start, limiting Arizona to three runs over six innings. He gave up seven hits, walked three and had six strikeouts. Those three runs all came in the first two innings. The Twins didn't take the lead until the bottom of the sixth, when Jorge Polanco drove in Buxton with a single. Nice little come-from-behind victory. Trevor Hildenberger (0.2 IP), Taylor Rogers (1.0 IP), Tyler Duffey (0.2 IP) and Nik Turley (0.2 IP) combined to throw three perfect innings out of the bullpen. Postgame With Buxton https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/898750505383469056 Twins W-L Record Overall: 61-59 (.508) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 12-8 (.600) Last 40: 20-20 (.500) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 67-53 Minnesota 61-59 (-6.0) Kansas City (-6.5) AL Wild Card Standings WC 1: Yankees 65-56 WC2: Minnesota 61-59, Angels 62-60 Kansas City 61-60 (-0.5) Seattle 62-61 (-0.5) Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Looking Ahead SAT: Twins (Jose Berrios) vs. Arizona (Zack Greinke), 6:10 pm CT SUN: Twins (Bartolo Colon) vs. Arizona (TBD), 1:10 pm CT MON: Twins (TBD) at White Sox (TBD), 4:10 pm CT MON: Twins (TBD) at White Sox (TBD), Game 2 Question of the Day How much do you think it’d cost to fly out to New York and get a hotel in early October? Why do I ask? Oh, I dunno, just curious ...
  6. Just a few more things to share this morning ... -Sorry for the lack of a Slegers pic to go with the article, the Game 2 photos weren't available on the service TD uses when I published this. -It sounds like Grossman is expected to miss at least three weeks, but will likely return prior to the end of the season. -There are rumblings on Twitter that Mitch Garver is being called up, but no official announcement has been made. Keep an eye out on the TD homepage for more info. And lastly, I just realized that exactly one year ago today Seth invited me to become a regular contributor here at Twins Daily. I just wanted to take a moment to thank Seth, everyone else who worked hard to make this place so great long before I showed up and all of the TD community for your support.
  7. Aaron Slegers was excellent in his major league debut Thursday, helping the Twins take the second game of their doubleheader and put an ugly loss in the first contest behind them. Glen Perkins also made his 2017 debut, but the Twins unfortunately lost Robbie Grossman to a fractured thumb.This is like a choose your own adventure recap. If you wanna get to the good stuff, just go ahead and scroll down to Game 2. Otherwise, buckle up for a whole lotta ugliness from Game 1. GAME 1 Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Download attachment: WinEx817_1.png Top 3 Twins per WPA: Polanco .175, Gee .167, Buxton .088 The day didn’t get off to a good start for the Twins. Not only did they get beat handily, but they had to use five guys from the bullpen to cover five innings, thanks to another short start from Kyle Gibson. Not what you want to have happen in your first of seven games scheduled over a stretch of just five days. Gibson lasted just four innings, and it took him 97 pitches to get that far. He gave up three runs on seven hits and a walk. He also hit two batters and threw a wild pitch. Regardless, the Twins managed to stick around in this game and were trailing 3-2 heading into the eighth inning. Ryan Pressly gave up a three-run homer and a solo shot in the eighth, crushing any hopes of a Twins late-inning comeback. What that did allow, however, is a low-leverage spot for Glen Perkins to make his 2017 debut. It was a long journey back from torn labrum surgery, and Perk deserves credit just for working his way back to a big league mound, but he’ll hope for better results the next time out. He faced six batters and only got one out, surrendering two runs on a pair of singles, two hit batsmen and a walk. Below are Perkins’ velo readings from the game via Baseball Savant. He averaged 91.3 mph on his fastball. He was at 93.7 back in 2015. Download attachment: PerkinsMPH.png How about the lineup? Well, they set a team record by striking out 19 times. They got the bases loaded with no outs in the first inning and couldn’t score. And, to top it all off, they made some poor baserunning plays, too. Jorge Polanco got picked off at second base on an odd Max Kepler bunt attempt. Twins W-L Record Overall: 60-59 (.504) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 11-9 (.550) Last 40: 20-20 (.500) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 66-53 Kansas City 61-59 (-5.5) Minnesota 60-59 (-6.0) AL Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 65-55 WC2: Angels 62-59 Kansas City 61-59 (-0.5) Minnesota 60-59 (-1.0) Seattle 61-61 (-2.0) Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Bullpen817.png Looking Ahead FRI: Twins (Ervin Santana) vs. Arizona (Zack Godley), 7:10 pm CT SAT: Twins (Jose Berrios) vs. Arizona (Zack Greinke) 6:10 pm CT SUN: Twins (Bartolo Colon) vs. Arizona (TBD), 1:10 pm CT Question of the Day With Grossman injured, would you like to see as the primary DH? Click here to view the article
  8. This is like a choose your own adventure recap. If you wanna get to the good stuff, just go ahead and scroll down to Game 2. Otherwise, buckle up for a whole lotta ugliness from Game 1. GAME 1 Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Top 3 Twins per WPA: Polanco .175, Gee .167, Buxton .088 The day didn’t get off to a good start for the Twins. Not only did they get beat handily, but they had to use five guys from the bullpen to cover five innings, thanks to another short start from Kyle Gibson. Not what you want to have happen in your first of seven games scheduled over a stretch of just five days. Gibson lasted just four innings, and it took him 97 pitches to get that far. He gave up three runs on seven hits and a walk. He also hit two batters and threw a wild pitch. Regardless, the Twins managed to stick around in this game and were trailing 3-2 heading into the eighth inning. Ryan Pressly gave up a three-run homer and a solo shot in the eighth, crushing any hopes of a Twins late-inning comeback. What that did allow, however, is a low-leverage spot for Glen Perkins to make his 2017 debut. It was a long journey back from torn labrum surgery, and Perk deserves credit just for working his way back to a big league mound, but he’ll hope for better results the next time out. He faced six batters and only got one out, surrendering two runs on a pair of singles, two hit batsmen and a walk. Below are Perkins’ velo readings from the game via Baseball Savant. He averaged 91.3 mph on his fastball. He was at 93.7 back in 2015. How about the lineup? Well, they set a team record by striking out 19 times. They got the bases loaded with no outs in the first inning and couldn’t score. And, to top it all off, they made some poor baserunning plays, too. Jorge Polanco got picked off at second base on an odd Max Kepler bunt attempt. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/898340976736874496 And Eddie Rosario hit a ball high off the wall that somehow failed to score Joe Mauer from second base and only advanced Miguel Sano 90 feet. The ball hit at least halfway up the wall in right-center field, at least 10 feet up, and neither Cleveland outfielder was faking out the runners. Hard to see why Mauer didn’t get a better read. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/898341791455367168 Byron Buxton was a bright spot, as he hit his seventh homer, drew a walk and scored twice. https://twitter.com/TheRenderMLB_/status/898249012645687296 GAME 2 Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Top 3 Twins per WPA: Slegers .242, Kepler .136, Escobar .101 The Twins desperately needed a starting pitcher to provide them length, so why not the 6-foot-10 Aaron Slegers? He delivered 6.1 innings, and surely could have gone longer, but Paul Molitor decided to let him end his major league debut on a high note after just 82 pitches. The only run Slegers gave up while he was on the hill was on a solo homer, which was also one of just two hits he surrendered. He walked two men and had three strikeouts. Per ESPN Stats & Info, Slegers became the first Twins pitcher to throw at least 6.0 innings and allow two or fewer hits in his debut since Pat Mahomes in 1992. Slegers, the Twins fifth-round pick in 2013, opened up the game by setting down Cleveland 1-2-3 in both the first and second innings. He also faced the minimum in the third inning, thanks to a double play. He opened the fourth by retiring the first two batters he faced, then gave up the homer to Jay Bruce, his 30th of the year. Slegers followed that up with a four-pitch walk to Edwin Encarnacion, but just when it looked like he may be unravelling, he got Carlos Santana to ground out to end the inning. Then it was right back to where he started. Slegers again had 1-2-3 innings in both the fifth and sixth innings. Brian Dozier helped out with an web gem on a slow roller that got past the big man. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/898353541965910017 He opened the seventh by getting some revenge on Bruce, striking him out, before giving up a single to Encarnacion. That ended Slegers’ night, but unfortunately Trevor Hildenberger allowed Encarnacion to score, tacking on an earned run to Slegers’ line and costing him a shot at picking up the win. Below is some data on pitch usage and velocity for Slegers, via Baseball Savant (FF stands for four-seam fastball and FT is the two-seamer). The repertoire/usage reminds me a lot of Bartolo Colon, though it’s not a perfect comp. He throws a whole lotta fastballs even though they don’t really light up the radar gun and just enough other stuff to keep hitters honest. Here’s hoping Slegers will be back up and able to soak up some knowledge from Colon. Slegers served as the 26th man for the doubleheader, so he’ll rejoin Rochester. Mauer and Eduardo Escobar each had three hits, but Max Kepler came up with the biggest hit of the game, pounding the go-ahead homer in the seventh inning, his 15th of the season. https://twitter.com/TheRenderMLB_/status/898359812408446976 Robbie Grossman fractured his thumb in a collision with Buxton (who is just fine) in the outfield. It’s possible this will end Grossman’s season. It was also reported Nik Turley was at Target Field Thursday night, so expect a few transactions coming. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/898363484005683201 Postgame With Slegers https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/898371889663361025 Twins W-L Record Overall: 60-59 (.504) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 11-9 (.550) Last 40: 20-20 (.500) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 66-53 Kansas City 61-59 (-5.5) Minnesota 60-59 (-6.0) AL Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 65-55 WC2: Angels 62-59 Kansas City 61-59 (-0.5) Minnesota 60-59 (-1.0) Seattle 61-61 (-2.0) Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Looking Ahead FRI: Twins (Ervin Santana) vs. Arizona (Zack Godley), 7:10 pm CT SAT: Twins (Jose Berrios) vs. Arizona (Zack Greinke) 6:10 pm CT SUN: Twins (Bartolo Colon) vs. Arizona (TBD), 1:10 pm CT Question of the Day With Grossman injured, would you like to see as the primary DH?
  9. There is nothing officially listed, correct, but I heard them mention Enns starting Saturday on the radio last night, and I believe Molitor reiterated it in his postgame press conference. But obviously a lot can happen between now and Saturday.
  10. Enns is scheduled to start for the Twins on Saturday. Plans may change between then and now, but even if that is the move, there would need to be a second transaction to get a fifth starter up (unless Gee gets plugged into that spot). It'll be interesting to see what happens if tonight's game gets rained out. Since Cleveland doesn't come back here, you'd think they'd try to play a doubleheader tomorrow, but there's more rain in the forecast. Also, the Twins play a doubleheader at Chicago Monday, so that would mean they'd play seven games in five days.
  11. The Twins got manhandled Tuesday night in an impressive display of power, both on the mound and at the plate, by Cleveland. Danny Salazar was electric on the mound and Carlos Santana hit two of the team’s five home runs. On the bright side, Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano made a couple of the greatest defensive plays of their careers.Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Download attachment: WWWinEx815.png Bartolo Colon limited Cleveland to three runs over 5.0 innings, but was incredibly lucky to do so. All three runs were scored on solo homers, but Colon also walked four batters and gave up seven hits. In the first inning, Cleveland got a man on second with no outs and could not score. In the second, they loaded the bases with nobody out and could not score. They had runners at the corners and one out in the third, but Bartolo induced an inning-ending double play. Their luck turned in the seventh inning. Alan Busenitz retired the first two batters of the inning, completing 1.2 frames of scoreless work, as Buddy Boshers was brought in to face lefty Jay Bruce. Buddy got up 0-2, ever so close to closing out the inning, but ended up walking Bruce. Carlos Santana hit a swinging bunt single before Austin Jackson blasted a home run to put Cleveland up 6-1. Since returning from the DL in last July, Salazar has been one of the most dominating pitchers in baseball. He struck out 10 Twins over 7.0 innings, allowing just three hits and he didn’t walk anybody. Not much anyone could’ve done to overcome that kind of a pitching performance. Eddie Rosario and Max Kepler each had a double and Buxton had an RBI single. Those were the Twins only hits of the game. They drew no walks. Not much offense. There were, however, a couple of the best defensive plays the Twins have made all season Tuesday night. Buxton made the first Torii Hunter-esque theft of his career, robbing Edwin Encarnacion of a homer. Twins W-L Record Overall: 59-58 (.504) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 10-10 (.500) Last 40: 19-21 (.475) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 65-52 Kansas City 60-58 (-5.5)* Minnesota 59-58 (-6.0) AL Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 63-55 WC2: Kansas City 60-58*, Angels 61-59 Minnesota 59-58 (-0.5) Tampa Bay 60-61 (-1.5) Baltimore 59-60 (-1.5)* Seattle 59-61 (-2)* *Tuesday game still in progress Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Bullpen815.png Looking Ahead WED: Twins (Kyle Gibson) vs. Cleveland (Carlos Carrasco), 7:10 pm CT THU: Twins (Jose Berrios) vs. Cleveland (Mike Clevinger), 12:10 pm CT FRI: Twins (TBD) vs. Arizona (TBD), 7:10 pm CT Question of the Day Glen Perkins has joined the Twins, and it appears he’ll be activated off the DL sometime soon. Who would you remove from the bullpen to make room for Perkins? Click here to view the article
  12. Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Bartolo Colon limited Cleveland to three runs over 5.0 innings, but was incredibly lucky to do so. All three runs were scored on solo homers, but Colon also walked four batters and gave up seven hits. In the first inning, Cleveland got a man on second with no outs and could not score. In the second, they loaded the bases with nobody out and could not score. They had runners at the corners and one out in the third, but Bartolo induced an inning-ending double play. Their luck turned in the seventh inning. Alan Busenitz retired the first two batters of the inning, completing 1.2 frames of scoreless work, as Buddy Boshers was brought in to face lefty Jay Bruce. Buddy got up 0-2, ever so close to closing out the inning, but ended up walking Bruce. Carlos Santana hit a swinging bunt single before Austin Jackson blasted a home run to put Cleveland up 6-1. Since returning from the DL in last July, Salazar has been one of the most dominating pitchers in baseball. He struck out 10 Twins over 7.0 innings, allowing just three hits and he didn’t walk anybody. Not much anyone could’ve done to overcome that kind of a pitching performance. Eddie Rosario and Max Kepler each had a double and Buxton had an RBI single. Those were the Twins only hits of the game. They drew no walks. Not much offense. There were, however, a couple of the best defensive plays the Twins have made all season Tuesday night. Buxton made the first Torii Hunter-esque theft of his career, robbing Edwin Encarnacion of a homer. https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/897641735848964097 And Miguel Sano made probably the finest play of his career, featuring a loooong throw across the diamond. https://twitter.com/MLB/status/897648396680531969 Postgame With Molitor https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/897662188378357760 Twins W-L Record Overall: 59-58 (.504) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 10-10 (.500) Last 40: 19-21 (.475) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 65-52 Kansas City 60-58 (-5.5)* Minnesota 59-58 (-6.0) AL Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 63-55 WC2: Kansas City 60-58*, Angels 61-59 Minnesota 59-58 (-0.5) Tampa Bay 60-61 (-1.5) Baltimore 59-60 (-1.5)* Seattle 59-61 (-2)* *Tuesday game still in progress Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Looking Ahead WED: Twins (Kyle Gibson) vs. Cleveland (Carlos Carrasco), 7:10 pm CT THU: Twins (Jose Berrios) vs. Cleveland (Mike Clevinger), 12:10 pm CT FRI: Twins (TBD) vs. Arizona (TBD), 7:10 pm CT Question of the Day Glen Perkins has joined the Twins, and it appears he’ll be activated off the DL sometime soon. Who would you remove from the bullpen to make room for Perkins?
  13. Imagine it? That's exactly what happened last night. I basically had an article all ready to rock, then it got Justin Upton'd.
  14. Fixed, thank you. I was trying to work ahead a bit and had that typed up once he got to two strikes on Victor, moved on to something else and forgot to go back and update it.
  15. Sunday’s win over Detroit wasn’t pretty, but after what Twins Territory had to suffer through in 2016, we’ll take anything we can get. After mustering just 59 wins last season, the 2017 Twins have now hit that mark in just 116 games.Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Download attachment: WinEx813.png Brian Dozier led off the game with a home run, his sixth big fly already this month. That’s now 19 of Dozier’s 23 homers this season that have been solo shots. Miguel Sano also homered, driving a two-run shot in the third inning. In contrast, 15 of Sano’s 26 homers have been with runners on. In between those two taters was a whole lotta bunting. The Twins offense has been hotter than a furnace, but they decided to give away a bunch of outs early in this one. They bunted three times in the first three innings, one of which was a successful squeeze bunt by Byron Buxton and one was an unsuccessful sacrifice by Robbie Grossman in which the lead runner was thrown out. They were feeling awfully generous on defense, too. Twins were up 4-1 in the fifth inning, but opened that frame with a Miguel Sano missed-catch error at first base. Things got really weird from there, as Chris Gimenez had an implosion behind the plate. Four balls got by Gimenez in the inning, three were scored passed balls and the other was credited as a wild pitch to Ervin Santana. To put that into perspective, Jason Castro has just four passed balls all season. Twins W-L Record Overall: 59-57 (.509) Last 10: 8-2 (.800) Last 20: 10-10 (.500) Last 40: 19-21 (.475) Last 80: 40-40 (.500) AL Central Standings Cleveland 63-52 Minnesota 59-57 (-4.5) AL Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 61-54 WC2: Minnesota 59-57, Angels 60-58 (tied, Sunday LAA game in progress) Seattle 59-59 (-1.0, Sunday game in progress) Kansas City 58-58 (-1.0, Sunday game in progress) Defensive Lineups Here’s a look at the starting lineups from the past seven games: Download attachment: Lineups813.png Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Bullpen813.png Looking Ahead Mon: Off Tue: Twins (Bartolo Colon) vs. Cleveland (Danny Salazar), 7:10 pm CT Wed: Twins (Kyle Gibson) vs. Cleveland (Carlos Carrasco), 7:10 pm CT Click here to view the article
  16. Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Brian Dozier led off the game with a home run, his sixth big fly already this month. That’s now 19 of Dozier’s 23 homers this season that have been solo shots. Miguel Sano also homered, driving a two-run shot in the third inning. In contrast, 15 of Sano’s 26 homers have been with runners on. In between those two taters was a whole lotta bunting. The Twins offense has been hotter than a furnace, but they decided to give away a bunch of outs early in this one. They bunted three times in the first three innings, one of which was a successful squeeze bunt by Byron Buxton and one was an unsuccessful sacrifice by Robbie Grossman in which the lead runner was thrown out. They were feeling awfully generous on defense, too. Twins were up 4-1 in the fifth inning, but opened that frame with a Miguel Sano missed-catch error at first base. Things got really weird from there, as Chris Gimenez had an implosion behind the plate. Four balls got by Gimenez in the inning, three were scored passed balls and the other was credited as a wild pitch to Ervin Santana. To put that into perspective, Jason Castro has just four passed balls all season. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/896825314499842048 That fifth inning was Santana’s last, as he gave up four runs (two earned) on seven hits. He walked two batters, hit another and had six strikeouts. The score stayed knotted at 4-4 until the eighth. The inning opened with back-to-back walks. Jorge Polanco, just about the hottest hitter in baseball, bunted to move the runners up before Buxton hit the go-ahead single into center field. Ehire Adrianza followed with a sac fly to put the Twins up two runs. After a dreadful Saturday night, the bullpen got back on track. Alan Busenitz pitched a scoreless sixth. Tyler Duffey followed with 1.2 scoreless innings. He entered the game in a tie for fifth among AL relievers in most appearances recording more than three outs. Trevor Hildenberger, pitching for the third straight day, recorded the final out of the eighth and stayed out there for the ninth inning to earn his first career save. Eddie Rosario has been outstanding this season, and added two more hits today, but he also provides plenty of “what the …” moments. Sunday, he struck out on a ball that was thrown at his face. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/896820373513228288 Postgame With Hildenberger https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/896839221599641601 Twins W-L Record Overall: 59-57 (.509) Last 10: 8-2 (.800) Last 20: 10-10 (.500) Last 40: 19-21 (.475) Last 80: 40-40 (.500) AL Central Standings Cleveland 63-52 Minnesota 59-57 (-4.5) AL Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 61-54 WC2: Minnesota 59-57, Angels 60-58 (tied, Sunday LAA game in progress) Seattle 59-59 (-1.0, Sunday game in progress) Kansas City 58-58 (-1.0, Sunday game in progress) Defensive Lineups Here’s a look at the starting lineups from the past seven games: Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Looking Ahead Mon: Off Tue: Twins (Bartolo Colon) vs. Cleveland (Danny Salazar), 7:10 pm CT Wed: Twins (Kyle Gibson) vs. Cleveland (Carlos Carrasco), 7:10 pm CT
  17. The Twins fell behind 5-0 in the first inning Saturday, but stormed back to eventually build an 11-6 advantage. Then the wheels finally came falling off the bullpen. Twin relievers had been on an incredible roll, but they gave up six runs over the final three innings, including a Justin Upton walk-off homer.Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Download attachment: WinEx812.png Thanks in large part to a James McCann grand slam, the Tigers jumped out to a 5-0 lead in the first inning. This game appeared to be headed toward another one of those ugly, one-sided losses we were accustomed to seeing earlier this season, but a monster third inning put the Twins right back in it. Joe Mauer cleared the bases with a double to get the Twins on the board and Eddie Rosario crushed a game-tying homer. Twins W-L Record Overall: 58-57 (.504) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 10-10 (.500) Last 40: 19-21 (.475) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 62-52 Minnesota 58-57 (-4.5) Kansas City 58-58 (-5.0) Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 61-54 WC2: Minnesota 58-57, Angels 59-58*, Seattle 59-58* (all tied) Tampa Bay 59-59 (-0.5) Kansas City 58-58 (-0.5) *Saturday game still in progress. The Angels and Mariners are playing each other, so by the end of the night one of them will jump above the Twins. Defensive Lineups Here’s a look at the starting lineups from the past seven games: Download attachment: Lineups812.png Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Bullpen812.png Looking Ahead Sunday: Twins (Ervin Santana) at Detroit (Matthew Boyd), 12:10 pm CT Monday: OFF Tuesday: Twins (TBD) vs. Cleveland (Danny Salazar), 7:10 pm CT Click here to view the article
  18. Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Thanks in large part to a James McCann grand slam, the Tigers jumped out to a 5-0 lead in the first inning. This game appeared to be headed toward another one of those ugly, one-sided losses we were accustomed to seeing earlier this season, but a monster third inning put the Twins right back in it. Joe Mauer cleared the bases with a double to get the Twins on the board and Eddie Rosario crushed a game-tying homer. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/896541331341881344 The Twins offense continued to roll, as they built an 11-6 lead by the sixth inning. Things would tilt back in the Tigers favor from there. Detroit scratched across a run off Dillon Gee in the seventh inning before tallying three more in the eighth, as Trevor Hildenberger allowed two runners he inherited from Gee to score and let in a run of his own to make it 11-10. The Twins managed to load the bases in the top of the ninth, but Miguel Sano struck out swinging for the third out. You could feel the momentum shift at Comerica Park. Matt Belisle, who bailed out Hildy by getting the final out of the eighth inning, opened up the the ninth by giving up a leadoff single to Mikie Mahtook. Belisle then fell behind Upton and surrendered the walk-off homer. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/896559837290672129 It was too bad the pitching couldn’t hold it together, because this was a banner night for the Twins bats. Everybody in the starting lineup had a multi-hit game other than Jorge Polanco, which was pretty ironic, since Polanco entered the night with five-straight multi-hit games. Jorge still managed to extend his hitting streak to 10 games. Eddie Rosario, Byron Buxton and Joe Mauer all homered, and Joe drove in five runs for the first time since 2010. Jason Castro was 3-for-4 with a walk. Brian Dozier also had three hits. As impressive as it’s been to watch Polanco, Dozier and now Mauer break out over the past couple weeks, Rosario deserves a ton of credit for being such a consistent contributor. After getting off to a bit of a slow start, Rosie had at least an .800 OPS in May, June and July. That mark is up over 1.000 so far in August. But, again, as exciting an offensive output it was, the end result was pretty depressing thanks to a horrific night for the pitching staff. Jose Berrios gave up a grand slam in the first inning and left this one after just 3.1 innings pitched. He gave up six runs on six hits and two walks. He didn’t strike anybody out, either. Ryan Pressly entered with the Twins up 7-6, but Detroit had runners on first and second base. He retired both batters he faced to protect the lead. Gee shut out Detroit over the fifth and sixth innings before everything fell apart over those final three frames. The inning that really hurt the Twins was the eighth, and you can’t help but wonder if things may have ended up differently had they have been able to turn this double play: https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/896565240703463425 Postgame With Molitor https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/896556441154199552 Twins W-L Record Overall: 58-57 (.504) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 10-10 (.500) Last 40: 19-21 (.475) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 62-52 Minnesota 58-57 (-4.5) Kansas City 58-58 (-5.0) Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 61-54 WC2: Minnesota 58-57, Angels 59-58*, Seattle 59-58* (all tied) Tampa Bay 59-59 (-0.5) Kansas City 58-58 (-0.5) *Saturday game still in progress. The Angels and Mariners are playing each other, so by the end of the night one of them will jump above the Twins. Defensive Lineups Here’s a look at the starting lineups from the past seven games: Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Looking Ahead Sunday: Twins (Ervin Santana) at Detroit (Matthew Boyd), 12:10 pm CT Monday: OFF Tuesday: Twins (TBD) vs. Cleveland (Danny Salazar), 7:10 pm CT
  19. I know I poked fun at Rhett in the article (which was all tongue in cheek, if that wasn't obvious), but he did a really nice job going in depth on that Buxton catch. His article over at MLB.com is definitely worth your time.
  20. I don't think I understood your first question, but no, the amount the ball is slicing or hooking is not factored into catch probability. The only things factored into that are the distance the fielder had to travel and the amount of time they had to get to the ball. So really, that almost does a better job at measuring a player's speed and route efficiency than anything. Calling it catch probability is a bit misleading (and there's a reason why MLB won't allow this stuff to be brought up in arbitration cases). And you're right, while Byron may have played that into a more difficult catch by getting turned around, the TrackMan map Rhett shared shows some curvature in the path the ball traveled from home plate. I'm guessing even that little amount slice is very uncommon on a ball hit to center field. Toss in the fact it was hit nearly 110 mph, and you have a very difficult read/adjustment. It's also possible the wind could've had an impact on the ball, and that's not tracked, either. So it is far from a perfect system.
  21. I could be wrong, but I think if you have the exit velocity and the launch angle, you can pretty much calculate the horizontal angle, as well. But, either way, hit probability doesn't factor in the defender at all, and unfortunately catch probability numbers aren't available on a play-by-play basis to us common folk. You can see leader boards of who has the most five-star catches and fun stuff like that, but there's not like a game feed that has that info for all plays, unlike the hit probability. The hit probability on Kepler's double play was 49 percent.
  22. Make it six straight victories. The Twins crushed the Tigers Friday night, scoring nine runs on 16 hits. At the conclusion of the game, Minnesota was tied with Seattle for the second wild card. It’s happening!Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Download attachment: WinEx811.png The Twins lineup is suddenly a finely-tuned machine. Over their six-game winning streak they’ve scored 42 runs, an average of seven per game. The big blows tonight were home runs from Eddie Rosario and Max Kepler, who both had three hits. Joe Mauer also had three hits for the second consecutive game. And, of course, Brian Dozier and Jorge Polanco had two hits each. I suspect Polanco won’t actually hit .500 for the rest of the season, but he’s now 16-for-32 this month, has a nine-game hitting streak and multiple hits in five-straight games. He was hitting .213 at the beginning of the month, that mark is already up to .242. Along with a stellar night offensively, the Twins also had a couple nice defensive highlights. Byron Buxton made a great diving catch on the warning track in the fourth inning. Twins W-L Record Overall: 58-56 (.509) Last 10: 8-2 (.800) Last 20: 10-10 (.500) Last 40: 19-21 (.475) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 61-52 Minnesota 58-56 (-3.5) Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 60-53 WC2: Minnesota 58-56, Seattle 59-57 (tied, Mariners game still in progress) Defensive Lineups Here’s a look at the starting lineups from the past seven games: Download attachment: Lineups811.png Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Bullpen811.png Looking Ahead Saturday: Twins (Jose Berrios) at Detroit (Jordan Zimmermann), 5:10 pm CT Sunday: Twins (Ervin Santana) at Detroit (Matthew Boyd), 12:10 pm CT Next Series: vs. Cleveland Tues, Weds, Thurs. Click here to view the article
  23. Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) The Twins lineup is suddenly a finely-tuned machine. Over their six-game winning streak they’ve scored 42 runs, an average of seven per game. The big blows tonight were home runs from Eddie Rosario and Max Kepler, who both had three hits. Joe Mauer also had three hits for the second consecutive game. And, of course, Brian Dozier and Jorge Polanco had two hits each. I suspect Polanco won’t actually hit .500 for the rest of the season, but he’s now 16-for-32 this month, has a nine-game hitting streak and multiple hits in five-straight games. He was hitting .213 at the beginning of the month, that mark is already up to .242. Along with a stellar night offensively, the Twins also had a couple nice defensive highlights. Byron Buxton made a great diving catch on the warning track in the fourth inning. https://twitter.com/MLB/status/896171055429152768 Rhett (a.k.a. Wet Blanket) Bollinger pointed out that Buxton didn’t take the most efficient route, but that ball was smoked. It came off the bat at 109.2 mph, and Baseball Savant had the hit probability at 86 percent. https://twitter.com/RhettBollinger/status/896166884088741888 Later on in the eighth inning, Kepler made a nice leaping catch at the wall that resulted in a double play. https://twitter.com/cjzer0/status/896193119619829760 Kyle Gibson was rolling right along until BAM, his start was derailed, as so often seems to be the case. In the fifth inning, he walked two batters, gave up two hits and uncorked a wild pitch. Gibby was pulled with runners on first and second with two outs and Miguel Cabrera due up. Ryan Pressly came in and got Cabrera to fly out to end the inning. Pressly also pitched a perfect sixth inning, finishing the night with his sixth-straight scoreless appearance. The bullpen did give up a run tonight, it was Trevor Hildenberger in the seventh, but it was after the Twins already built a four-run lead. Taylor Rogers pitched a scoreless eighth for his MLB-best 26th hold. Tyler Duffey turned in a 1-2-3 ninth inning. Gibson has been the beneficiary of some strong run support and help from the bullpen, but it’s worth noting that the Twins are now 10-10 in games he has started. Postgame With Buxton https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/896201050692009984 Twins W-L Record Overall: 58-56 (.509) Last 10: 8-2 (.800) Last 20: 10-10 (.500) Last 40: 19-21 (.475) Last 80: 39-41 (.488) AL Central Standings Cleveland 61-52 Minnesota 58-56 (-3.5) Wild Card Standings WC1: Yankees 60-53 WC2: Minnesota 58-56, Seattle 59-57 (tied, Mariners game still in progress) Defensive Lineups Here’s a look at the starting lineups from the past seven games: Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Looking Ahead Saturday: Twins (Jose Berrios) at Detroit (Jordan Zimmermann), 5:10 pm CT Sunday: Twins (Ervin Santana) at Detroit (Matthew Boyd), 12:10 pm CT Next Series: vs. Cleveland Tues, Weds, Thurs.
  24. The Twins beat the Brewers Thursday night to win their fifth-straight game, putting them right back in the thick of the playoff picture. Dietrich Enns didn’t last long in his debut, but the bullpen was outstanding and a couple of slumping hitters busted out.Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Download attachment: WinEx810.png Now that Jorge Polanco is out of his funk, the only slumping Twins hitters are Joe Mauer (.194 average over last four weeks) and Byron Buxton (.559 OPS since returning from the DL). Well, better make that were Joe Mauer and Byron Buxton. Joe and Buxton had three hits each, Miguel Sano had a pair of hits and, of course, Polanco collected two more base knocks. Jorge is now 14-for-28 so far this month. I haven’t had the chance to fire that through my Internet machine to analyze, but that seems pretty darn good. Enns walked in a run with one out in the third inning, and that was enough to get the hook despite the Twins holding a four-run lead. He gave up two runs (one unearned, but due to his own error) on five hits and a walk while throwing just 53 pitches. The average velo on his fastball was 89.6 mph and his go-to secondary offering was his curveball, which averaged 79.8 mph, according to Baseball Savant. Enns will still be searching for his first MLB strikeout his next time out, whenever that may be, but he did cross another big milestone off the list. He got his first hit. Like, first hit ever as a professional. Enns had zero plate appearances in the minors, which was evident as he struck out trying to bunt in his first plate appearance. Things went much better his second time up. Twins W-L Record Overall: 57-56 (.504) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 10-10 (.500) Last 40: 18-22 (.450) Last 80: 38-42 (.475) Defensive Lineups Here’s a look at the starting lineups from the past seven games: Download attachment: Lineups810.png Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Download attachment: Bullpen810.png Looking Ahead Friday: Twins (Kyle Gibson) at Detroit (Anibal Sanchez), 6:10 pm CT Saturday: Twins (Jose Berrios) at Detroit (Jordan Zimmermann), 5:10 pm CT Sunday: Twins (Ervin Santana) at Detroit (Matthew Boyd), 12:10 pm CT Click here to view the article
  25. Win Expectancy (via Fangraphs) Now that Jorge Polanco is out of his funk, the only slumping Twins hitters are Joe Mauer (.194 average over last four weeks) and Byron Buxton (.559 OPS since returning from the DL). Well, better make that were Joe Mauer and Byron Buxton. Joe and Buxton had three hits each, Miguel Sano had a pair of hits and, of course, Polanco collected two more base knocks. Jorge is now 14-for-28 so far this month. I haven’t had the chance to fire that through my Internet machine to analyze, but that seems pretty darn good. Enns walked in a run with one out in the third inning, and that was enough to get the hook despite the Twins holding a four-run lead. He gave up two runs (one unearned, but due to his own error) on five hits and a walk while throwing just 53 pitches. The average velo on his fastball was 89.6 mph and his go-to secondary offering was his curveball, which averaged 79.8 mph, according to Baseball Savant. Enns will still be searching for his first MLB strikeout his next time out, whenever that may be, but he did cross another big milestone off the list. He got his first hit. Like, first hit ever as a professional. Enns had zero plate appearances in the minors, which was evident as he struck out trying to bunt in his first plate appearance. Things went much better his second time up. https://twitter.com/cjzer0/status/895815797599285249 Alan Busenitz was the first man out of the bullpen, making his first appearance since Aug. 1 and just his third outing since being recalled on July 24. Booze threw 2.2 perfect innings while striking out two batters. Sano made an excellent inning-ending double play to help him out of a jam in the third. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/895840206003339264 Ryan Pressly held Milwaukee scoreless in both the sixth and seventh innings, Tyler Duffey pitched a perfect eighth with two K's and Buddy Boshers capped off an impressive night for the bullpen with a scoreless ninth. Since the Brandon Kintzler trade, the Twins bullpen has given up just three earned runs over 31.1 innings (0.86 ERA). It’s so obvious now that trade was simply a motivational tactic by the new front office. Man, those guys are good. Both Cleveland and Kansas City lost again, putting the Twins back into second place in the AL Central, 3.5 games back. At the conclusion of the game, the Twins were just one game out in the Wild Card race, but Seattle’s game was still in progress. With all the victories lately, you’d think the Twins would loosen up a bit and have some fun. But, as evidence from this behind-the-scenes footage from FOX Sports North, the fellas have been all business: https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/895845091465543681 Postgame With Buxton https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/895850990624096256 Postgame With Molitor https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/895857350539530240 Twins W-L Record Overall: 57-56 (.504) Last 10: 7-3 (.700) Last 20: 10-10 (.500) Last 40: 18-22 (.450) Last 80: 38-42 (.475) Defensive Lineups Here’s a look at the starting lineups from the past seven games: Bullpen Usage Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days: Looking Ahead Friday: Twins (Kyle Gibson) at Detroit (Anibal Sanchez), 6:10 pm CT Saturday: Twins (Jose Berrios) at Detroit (Jordan Zimmermann), 5:10 pm CT Sunday: Twins (Ervin Santana) at Detroit (Matthew Boyd), 12:10 pm CT
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