diehardtwinsfan
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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan
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If Casilla is hurt - then what?
diehardtwinsfan replied to John Bonnes's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
which for a short DL stint isn't that big of a deal. He'd get maybe one or two starts there. If Carol or Plouffe gets hurt, you have Dozier on his way up from Rochester to fill in. -
My final Beloit Roster projections
diehardtwinsfan replied to jtrinaldi's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Harrison won't be in Beloit. He was drafted out of HS and will start in the rookie leagues after extended spring training. -
Oh it's Dave... He's put up many Derosa threads over at BYTO...
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Jim Bowden: Twins will trade Justin Morneau
diehardtwinsfan replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Not to state the obvious here, but if Morneau is productive and healthy, the odds of the Twins being sellers at the deadline is incredibly low. Likewise, it isn't as if he'd be blocking someone else either. And I would most certainly NOT trade him for a reliever. If by chance we are out of it and he's a hot commodity, getting a couple of top arms would be a must. -
If Casilla is hurt - then what?
diehardtwinsfan replied to John Bonnes's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I'm kind of hoping this is the case. Hughes certainly has earned the shot. If Lexi is hitting the 15 day DL, run Hughes out there every day and use Plouffe as the emergency backup as needed. -
.800 OPS in what would be his rookie season, that's already pretty decent. It seems like a reasonable prediction too, and over time should get better. I'm kind of excited about his development and this will mean pushing some weaker bats aside... I like it.
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See Santana, Johan.
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I didn't say it was easy... then again, grab a starter and hope that he can play a year out of the pen and be servicable.
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well, if we are updating these... Parmalee makes the roster Hendricks comes in 2nd as he's up by June with a pitcher going on the DL. I'll be on optimist and say Dozier and Benson are September callups because the baseball gods smile on our health due to last year and Hughes breaks out.
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I'm going to gloat a bit, as no one seemed to think this was possible. In all seriousness though, I'm loving this. It should be a bit of a challenge for Gardy to keep the bats in the linup daily, but at the same time, it can help the overall health too. Doumit is not a paragon of health, so giving him the occasional day off isn't bad... same goes for Morneau too. You also have the ability of doing some platooning (subbing Plouffe for Parmalee against tough lefties and that type of thing)... but with the versatility of this team, you have options. Doumit 1B/DH/C/RF Willingham LF/RF Hughes infield (though not much SS)/RF Plouffe RF/SS/2B Parmalee 1B/DH/RF Mauer C/DH/1B Morneau 1B/DH Honestly, the only positions where we have non-versatile guys is 3B with Valencia and CF with no real backup. Given the health concerns for Casilla, Hughes, Doumit, Morneau, and Mauer, having a rotation that keeps everyone fresh should work well for the long season.
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Pretty much this. Besides, Butera was worse than the average pitcher. I dont' see the big deal of losing a DH for 1 game, when the guy you bring in won't be any better than whomever happens to be on the mound.
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Should Twins have Revere play every day in Rochester?
diehardtwinsfan replied to John Bonnes's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
As I see it, the question for Revere is whether or not he can develop some gap power and keep outfielders honest. As it is right now, the guy is going to get lots of strikes simply because pitchers don't fear him. I agree he needs to take more walks, but what I don't see is opposing pitchers fearing throwing strikes constantly because they know he won't make them pay. As such, the career OBP of .371 that John mentioned is a bit misstated. In the minors, lots of pitchers are working refining secondary pitches and control issues. As such, he's going to get more walks. Despite this, the OBP John mentioned was largely driven by contact, not walks. I don't see these things happening in the big leagues... I just don't. No one is going to nibble with the guy when they know that 1/3 of his plate appearances are weak grounders to the pitcher and the bulk of the remaining ones won't make it out of the infield. Then you have to deal with his arm. I don't trust him in center or right because it's that bad. I could see an 8th/9th inning replacement/spot start where the goal is to keep guys off base to start those innings. I'd put Revere in left and dramatically upgrade the defense. So to me, it comes down to whether he can develop some gap power. If he can, pitchers will nibble more, and the idea of him taking a walk is suddenly more likely. If that's the case, I'd send him to Rochester. But at this point, I'd think the org should have a pretty good idea if it can show. I'm betting against it. He's a 4th OF (and a pretty good one). -
The problem I had with this is that there were plenty of power arms available for this pick and the Twins did their usual and went for a soft tosser. Obviously, with any rule 5 selection, the odds of keeping the guy are low, but if you are going to get someone, go for someone that could have a longer term impact. I have no problems trying it, but in terms of finding someone who can stick, I would think a power arm that could notch some Ks in a lower level situation would be ideal, especially for a pen lacking those kind of arms. That's true whether we are competing or not. Even if we have another 99 loss season, you still get a guy that you think can develop into something decent, not a mediocre at best player.
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I think people tend to forget that Hughes was pretty good up until his break out season in NB a few years back and has been injured ever since. The org has been very high on his athletic ability, but that health thing is a big deal. I know you cannot put a ton of stock in ST numbers, but what he's done this spring is certainly enough to gain consideration. Given that they have 3 middle infielders, of which 2 can play SS and all can play 2B, I think you can setup a nice 3 way platton giving hughes a good number of starts at 2nd and 1 or 2 a week at 3rd to give Valencia an occasional day off. If he continues hitting, Gardy will have no problems finding a place for him to play every day. Otherwise, he's a nice bench bat with some decent pop. If one of Carol or Casilla flops (and I think both are possible), you still aren't hurt that bad and can be looking at average production out of the other position. If both flop, Dozier is waiting on a callup. The problem, as I see it, is that none of these guys have been a token of health over their career. While I think the odds are low of all 3 seeing significant DL time, I do think it's probably higher than we'd like, and I'd say that there's a decent chance that 2 go down for a while. Hopefully though, it's at separate times. There's some decent reason for optimism here. Hughes (if he hits the potential he showed a while back) could be a dark horse that has a significant impact on the course of the season.
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Article: Good Days & Bad Days
diehardtwinsfan replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This was a good weekend in many ways... I'm hoping that Morneau is turning the corner, and I'm loving that Revere may be headed to the bench. I agree that AAA might be beneficial to him, but from what I can tell, I think he's pretty much hit his ceiling already. I'm not sure he's got much more to learn. His ceiling is a 4th OF. He'll be a very good one, but I'm really not seeing much more unless he starts taking massive numbers of walks, which will only happen if he can start driving the ball a bit more. -
I don't think giving him the job now makes the most sense for Dozier or for the Twins. He could use some AAA seasoning, and by giving it to him, it pushes back his arb clock a bit, which makes sense as he's really only a stop gap until you get Michael/Rosario/Goodrum, all of whom project to be pretty decent regulars. Even if they were to faulter, it's that much longer you get to keep him. As well, right now, he's not much of an upgrade (if any at all) over what we have, so you are essentially starting that service time and disrupting someone in the clubhouse. I just don't see the point. Better to let him work on some issues in AAA. His presence there will certainly provide a constant reminder to the middle infield that their jobs are not set in stone should they falter.
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My point was that there was a time when fans were screaming for the guy and he wasn't getting called up... that's all. Yes, 2009 was a while ago. I was more pointing out the irony.
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You can take Butera off the 40 man quite easily and replace him with Towles or Rivera. There's no reason to have a 3rd catcher to prevent a pitcher hitting when the 3rd catcher is actually worse than the average pitcher. I do think Parmalee is headed north, so I wouldn't be surprised if he gets the spot in place of a 3rd catcher.
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Contest: do you know your Twins? Game-used bat reward
diehardtwinsfan replied to Thrylos's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
The Twins went to the world series. -
With Gilioto, I think the question is whether he comes back healthy before the draft. If he does, he could still be in the mix. I think they have to be watching Zimmer right now, though I would think Houston is too. I'm in agreement with others, they need to take the best pitcher there at #2. If Gilioto isn't healthy, he could fall into the supplemental round, and I could see burning a pick on him because if he doesn't sign, they simply get that pick back next year.
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Good for Nishi... I think his biggest problem right now is confidence (as I have a hard time believing that the Twins missed thaaaaaaaaaaaaaat much on him)... If he gets that back, don't be surprised if he returns to MLB...
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What I find interesting about Burnet is that he put up some pretty ridiculous stats in the minors when he came up... it was the Twins that held him back much to the consternation of many fans. That said, at his return to AAA, he hasn't been nearly as good, so clearly they want him doing something else that he cannot seem to do well. I do agree with one option year left, he seems like a logical candidate to return to AAA to work on things. Hopefully the kid figures them out.
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I think with Lucas, you still have time to see how he rebounds from the injury. I'd certainly have scouts on hand for that. If he falls, I could see burning a supplemental pick on him and hoping he signs, but if he doesn't you'd get that pick back next year in a deeper draft. I've been reading about Zimmer quite a bit at minorleageball. In some cases, he wows and in others he looks more like supplemental material. That will be interesting. Unless he puts things together, I'm not sure you take him 2 overall. I suspect Houston takes Appel. My biggest fear is that the Twins go with a toolsy OF.
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Neal: SS Levi Michael might start at Fort Myers
diehardtwinsfan replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
To answer the question, I'm guessing Michael is the SS of the future. Dozier will likely be there within the year and will man the position for a couple of years while he is cheap and until Levi is ready (and of course to delay the arb clock). At that point, I wouldn't be surprised if he's traded for a decent prospect at another position of need. He could spend some time at 2nd as well until Rosario is ready, if the org is really high on him. With Goodrum, he's still pretty raw. If all develop nicely, the Twins will have a nice problem to have and can trade off the worst one to fill a position of need... -
I wouldn't be surprised if Parmalee and Hendricks make the opening day roster, so I'll say that's a tie for 1. Dozier gets called up in May/June if someone faulters, and Benson is a september callup again after a good season in AAA.
