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John Bonnes

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  1. It turns out that Joe Mauer isn't doing too poorly in WPA compared to the other #3 hitters in the AL. There are a lot of guys struggling a lot worse. Here each team, who has batter #3 for them the most, and their WPA through 4/27: TBR - Longoria 1.01 TEX - Hamilton 1.01 DET - Cabrera 0.86 CHW - Dunn 0.42 BAL - Markakis 0.41 MIN - Mauer 0.28 CLE - Choo 0.03 BOS - Gonzalez -0.01 OAK - Reddick -0.16 TOR - Bautista -0.18 KCR - Hosmer -0.29 LAA - Pujols -0.3 SEA - Ichiro -0.52 NYY - Cano -0.53
  2. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php?488-Gleeman-the-Geek-Ep-39-Ragged-Rotation
  3. Aaron and John talk about the Twins' terrible starting pitching, Delmon Young not going to Hebrew school, booing Joe Mauer, putting past division titles in proper perspective, Ben Revere's brief return, skipping Francisco Liriano, Ron Gardenhire's odd bullpen usage, and jinxing anything and everything. Here are: the podcasts the rss feed if you want to subscribe and the podcast on iTunes (where you can listen, rate and subscribe).
  4. Aaron and John talk about the Twins' terrible starting pitching, Delmon Young not going to Hebrew school, booing Joe Mauer, putting past division titles in proper perspective, Ben Revere's brief return, skipping Francisco Liriano, Ron Gardenhire's odd bullpen usage, and jinxing anything and everything. Here are: the podcasts the rss feed if you want to subscribe and the podcast on iTunes (where you can listen, rate and subscribe).
  5. Aaron and John talk about the Twins' terrible starting pitching, Delmon Young not going to Hebrew school, booing Joe Mauer, putting past division titles in proper perspective, Ben Revere's brief return, skipping Francisco Liriano, Ron Gardenhire's odd bullpen usage, and jinxing anything and everything. Here are: the podcasts the rss feed if you want to subscribe and the podcast on iTunes (where you can listen, rate and subscribe).
  6. Or cherry extract.
  7. Id like to see Benon master AAA before he takes on pitchers with MLB control.
  8. Lineups per La Velle Royals Getz, 4 Gordon, 7 Butler, D Hosmer, 3F Francoeur, 9 Moustakas, 5 Pena, 2 Escobar, 6 Dyson, 8 Twins Span, 8 Carroll, 6 Mauer, 2 Willingham, 7 Morneau, 3 Valencia, 5 Doumit, D Plouffe, 9 Casilla, 4
  9. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php?473-The-Deep-End
  10. It's been really hard to keep up on all the great blog entries that members have been creating the last few days. If you're ready to dive past the top stories and swim in the deep end, check these out.... [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] The New Britain Rock Cats are off to a great start, and Twins Fan From Afar blog has been all over them. The includes a great comeback, reliever Deolis Guera's fantastic start and also some research on how Joe Mauer had hit with runners in scoring position. Liriano will skip a start, but Cody Christie wonders what the next steps are and who else it would affect. Who else have the Twins drafted and not signed (similar to Clete Thomas) and how are they doing? Jnygaard gives us a list. Minneapolis does have a 3rd place team in town. It's the Gophers. Shanwahl gives us a Big Ten Update, along with his top draft prospects in the Big Ten. Fire Dan Gladden looks at how Twins have reacted to both the slow start and the last decade of winning. He wonders if our reaction might depend on whether we focus on The Ride of the Glory. Finally, shawntheroad reviews the minor league career of Wednesday night's Twins starting pitcher, Liam Hendriks.
  11. I'm really glad you pointed this out Cody. Thanks.
  12. This is great. Did you also post it in the Adopt A Prospect Forum? I hope so. It's excellent.
  13. Remember when we all wanted to give this guy a long-term deal?
  14. Pavano would certainly count. How about Denys Reyes? One could put Matt Guerrier in that list, too.
  15. OK, so for those who missed it, the falcon dive bombed and grabbed a bat out of mid air in it's talons and flew across the outfield with him. But the bat managed to escape and started flapping furiously to get the hell out of the stadium. The falcon circled, dove again, hit the bat again, but couldn't grab it this time. The bat kept flapping like hell to get out of there. The falcon took a third try, hit but couldn't grab the bat again, and it finally escaped. The crowd was watching this a lot more than the game. Even the Twins outfielders were having trouble paying attention. They kept looking up, trying to see what the crowd was watching. Eventually, there was a pitching change which stopped play for the last half of the battle. (And I think maybe the umps stopped play very briefly for the beginning of it.)
  16. But it's a valid question. If it's a given he's not going to be worth that deal, could the Twins trade him? Should they? I think the answers are No and Maybe later. No, because even if they could find a large market team desperate enough to take it on (and there are a couple) he would need to waive his no-trade clause. And "Maybe later" because I'd like to see where Herrmann and the entire franchise is in a year or so.
  17. So I have to ask - did FSN get the Falcon vs Bat battle that was going on in the 7th inning tonight? I can guarantee you, the fans (and some players) could not have been more distracted by it.
  18. You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php?468-Red-Sox-6-Twins-5
  19. I blame myself. I do. Heading to the middle of the eighth inning, I’m forced to leave my seat to pick up my kid at 10:00. By the time I walk through the stadium, I’ve heard the roar and see Jamey Carroll standing on third base with no outs and the third through fifth batters coming up. If I didn’t have to pick up my kid in 10 minutes, I SWEAR I would’ve stuck around. I mean – you know me by now. Is there anyone MORE superstitious? Four blocks away from Target Field I say to The Voice of Reason™, “Have you heard a roar yet? I haven’t.” “Nope.” Me: (Heavy sigh.) “Yep.” One can frame this game a lot of ways. I’m sure the Boston papers will frame it as a Cody Ross redemption game. And if the Twins third and fourth hitters would have managed to do anything remotely similar to what one expects from the eighth and ninth hitters, it would have been a different game, and a different column. But they didn’t. And it isn’t. Check that – SO it isn’t. I can’t talk too much about those criticat at-bats. I didn’t see them live. I saw replays of the swings. Apparently, Josh Willingham hit the ball hard but lined out to the third baseman. Joe Mauer swung weekly at an off-speed pitch and grounded out to first base. The at-bat looks worse because of how poor a hit it was – a dribbling play up the first base line. Of course, it was an off-speed pitch. On a full count, one might expect a pitcher to challenge a hitter, but with two bases open, why would he? He threw a 75-mph-pitch that Mauer had not yet seen and that was it. I want to come down on Mauer – I want to come down on everyone after this loss – but I can see what happened. A few more notes about the game… Capping Off A Loss Hey, at least Matt Capps hasn’t blown a Save (capital S) yet - just a game. Is that a cheap shot? Sure, but I don’t mean it to Capps. I mean it to the Twins, who seem to think that once a randome team sprinkles a guy with Magic Closer Dust (capital MCD), they’re forever a different guy. Capps now has four strikeouts in seven innings, which is under the league average, especially for relievers, but about average for him. To his credit, he hasn’t walked a guy. But he’s given up seven hits, which is about average for both him and your average major league pitcher. And, worse of all for a closer, he’s given up two home runs, which is about three times the average rate for a pitcher. Hey, it’s small sample size. It doesn’t mean much. Except that home runs were Capps’ soft spot last year and have been every year he’s struggled. He basically matched his career averages in all categories last season – except he gave up a couple of extra home runs. Which is what turned him from a below average closer into a really terrible closer. Which one MIGHT have anticipated, if he wasn’t all glittery with that MCD. Oooh, sparkly. The Other Story Minus that eighth inning debacle and a ninth inning home run, here’s what the game story would have included… Gardenhire took a risk I didn’t anticipate with the lineup tonight. Faced with wanting to get Chris Parmelee in the lineup instead of Clete Thomas (for which there should be wild applause), he didn’t take the safe route. Instead, he gave Willingham a rest at designated hitter and gave Parmelee a start in left field. From what I saw, Parmelee didn’t embarrass himself out there, which is REALLY nice to see. I was really happy to see this. But it didn’t pay off. Justin Morneau, who played first base, didn’t get a hit, and neither did Willingham. In fact, according to WPA, they impacted the game the most negatively of any of the Twins. Finally, Parmelee’s only hit came in the ninth, and was too little, too late. Danny Valencia should have been the hero of this game. Taking a 1-2 pitch with 2 outs to deep center? Really? I really hope this is a sign of things to come. Soon. The 6-4-3 double play that saved a run got the whole stadium excited. One can’t say enough about Carroll on that play, but it’s worth noting that the pivot was carried out by Trevor Plouffe. It’s exciting to see him make just a mediocre throw. That was phenomenal. Is manager Ron Gardenhire pulling his starters too late this year? It’s late, so I’ll let someone else crunch the numbers, but Marquis gave up that home run when he was after 100 pitches. It seems like the last week or so, I feel like the starter is having a decent outing, but by the time they’re done, they’ve given up enough runs in their last inning to inflate their ERA. It certainly happened tonight. Of course, part of that might be not having a lot of faith in the bullpen. Capps certainly furthered that concern, but did anyone else note that Glen Perkins didn’t make an appearance in the eighth again tonight? Perkins pitched yesterday, and was apparently unavailable, and that’s looking like a pattern. The thing is, he pitched yesterday when the Twins were already behind. (And then he gave up a run, so the team was further behind.) Just so we’re clear on where Perkins is so far this year: he hasn’t been particularly good, he hasn’t been available on back-to-back days, he has been hurt, and he just got a long-term deal. Everyone got all that? Good.
  20. I blame myself. I do. Heading to the middle of the eighth inning, I’m forced to leave my seat to pick up my kid at 10:00. By the time I walk through the stadium, I’ve heard the roar and see Jamey Carroll standing on third base with no outs and the third through fifth batters coming up. If I didn’t have to pick up my kid in 10 minutes, I SWEAR I would’ve stuck around. I mean – you know me by now. Is there anyone MORE superstitious? Four blocks away from Target Field I say to The Voice of Reason™, “Have you heard a roar yet? I haven’t.” “Nope.” Me: (Heavy sigh.) “Yep.” One can frame this game a lot of ways. I’m sure the Boston papers will frame it as a Cody Ross redemption game. And if the Twins third and fourth hitters would have managed to do anything remotely similar to what one expects from the eighth and ninth hitters, it would have been a different game, and a different column. But they didn’t. And it isn’t. Check that – SO it isn’t. I can’t talk too much about those criticat at-bats. I didn’t see them live. I saw replays of the swings. Apparently, Josh Willingham hit the ball hard but lined out to the third baseman. Joe Mauer swung weekly at an off-speed pitch and grounded out to first base. The at-bat looks worse because of how poor a hit it was – a dribbling play up the first base line. Of course, it was an off-speed pitch. On a full count, one might expect a pitcher to challenge a hitter, but with two bases open, why would he? He threw a 75-mph-pitch that Mauer had not yet seen and that was it. I want to come down on Mauer – I want to come down on everyone after this loss – but I can see what happened. A few more notes about the game… Capping Off A Loss Hey, at least Matt Capps hasn’t blown a Save (capital S) yet - just a game. Is that a cheap shot? Sure, but I don’t mean it to Capps. I mean it to the Twins, who seem to think that once a randome team sprinkles a guy with Magic Closer Dust (capital MCD), they’re forever a different guy. Capps now has four strikeouts in seven innings, which is under the league average, especially for relievers, but about average for him. To his credit, he hasn’t walked a guy. But he’s given up seven hits, which is about average for both him and your average major league pitcher. And, worse of all for a closer, he’s given up two home runs, which is about three times the average rate for a pitcher. Hey, it’s small sample size. It doesn’t mean much. Except that home runs were Capps’ soft spot last year and have been every year he’s struggled. He basically matched his career averages in all categories last season – except he gave up a couple of extra home runs. Which is what turned him from a below average closer into a really terrible closer. Which one MIGHT have anticipated, if he wasn’t all glittery with that MCD. Oooh, sparkly. The Other Story Minus that eighth inning debacle and a ninth inning home run, here’s what the game story would have included… Gardenhire took a risk I didn’t anticipate with the lineup tonight. Faced with wanting to get Chris Parmelee in the lineup instead of Clete Thomas (for which there should be wild applause), he didn’t take the safe route. Instead, he gave Willingham a rest at designated hitter and gave Parmelee a start in left field. From what I saw, Parmelee didn’t embarrass himself out there, which is REALLY nice to see. I was really happy to see this. But it didn’t pay off. Justin Morneau, who played first base, didn’t get a hit, and neither did Willingham. In fact, according to WPA, they impacted the game the most negatively of any of the Twins. Finally, Parmelee’s only hit came in the ninth, and was too little, too late. Danny Valencia should have been the hero of this game. Taking a 1-2 pitch with 2 outs to deep center? Really? I really hope this is a sign of things to come. Soon. The 6-4-3 double play that saved a run got the whole stadium excited. One can’t say enough about Carroll on that play, but it’s worth noting that the pivot was carried out by Trevor Plouffe. It’s exciting to see him make just a mediocre throw. That was phenomenal. Is manager Ron Gardenhire pulling his starters too late this year? It’s late, so I’ll let someone else crunch the numbers, but Marquis gave up that home run when he was after 100 pitches. It seems like the last week or so, I feel like the starter is having a decent outing, but by the time they’re done, they’ve given up enough runs in their last inning to inflate their ERA. It certainly happened tonight. Of course, part of that might be not having a lot of faith in the bullpen. Capps certainly furthered that concern, but did anyone else note that Glen Perkins didn’t make an appearance in the eighth again tonight? Perkins pitched yesterday, and was apparently unavailable, and that’s looking like a pattern. The thing is, he pitched yesterday when the Twins were already behind. (And then he gave up a run, so the team was further behind.) Just so we’re clear on where Perkins is so far this year: he hasn’t been particularly good, he hasn’t been available on back-to-back days, he has been hurt, and he just got a long-term deal. Everyone got all that? Good.
  21. I blame myself. I do. Heading to the middle of the eighth inning, I’m forced to leave my seat to pick up my kid at 10:00. By the time I walk through the stadium, I’ve heard the roar and see Jamey Carroll standing on third base with no outs and the third through fifth batters coming up. If I didn’t have to pick up my kid in 10 minutes, I SWEAR I would’ve stuck around. I mean – you know me by now. Is there anyone MORE superstitious? Four blocks away from Target Field I say to The Voice of Reason™, “Have you heard a roar yet? I haven’t.” “Nope.” Me: (Heavy sigh.) [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] “Yep.” One can frame this game a lot of ways. I’m sure the Boston papers will frame it as a Cody Ross redemption game. And if the Twins third and fourth hitters would have managed to do anything remotely similar to what one expects from the eighth and ninth hitters, it would have been a different game, and a different column. But they didn’t. And it isn’t. Check that – SO it isn’t. I can’t talk too much about those criticat at-bats. I didn’t see them live. I saw replays of the swings. Apparently, Josh Willingham hit the ball hard but lined out to the third baseman. Joe Mauer swung weekly at an off-speed pitch and grounded out to first base. The at-bat looks worse because of how poor a hit it was – a dribbling play up the first base line. Of course, it was an off-speed pitch. On a full count, one might expect a pitcher to challenge a hitter, but with two bases open, why would he? He threw a 75-mph-pitch that Mauer had not yet seen and that was it. I want to come down on Mauer – I want to come down on everyone after this loss – but I can see what happened. A few more notes about the game… Capping Off A Loss Hey, at least Matt Capps hasn’t blown a Save (capital S) yet - just a game. Is that a cheap shot? Sure, but I don’t mean it to Capps. I mean it to the Twins, who seem to think that once a randome team sprinkles a guy with Magic Closer Dust (capital MCD), they’re forever a different guy. Capps now has four strikeouts in seven innings, which is under the league average, especially for relievers, but about average for him. (Correction: He actually has two strikeouts, which is less than half of his career rate.) To his credit, he hasn’t walked a guy. But he’s given up seven hits, which is about average for both him and your average major league pitcher. And, worse of all for a closer, he’s given up two home runs, which is about three times the average rate for a pitcher. Hey, it’s small sample size. It doesn’t mean much. Except that home runs were Capps’ soft spot last year and have been every year he’s struggled. He basically matched his career averages in all categories last season – except he gave up a couple of extra home runs. Which is what turned him from a below average closer into a really terrible closer. Which one MIGHT have anticipated, if he wasn’t all glittery with that MCD. Oooh, sparkly. The Other Story Minus that eighth inning debacle and a ninth inning home run, here’s what the game story would have included… Gardenhire took a risk I didn’t anticipate with the lineup tonight. Faced with wanting to get Chris Parmelee in the lineup instead of Clete Thomas (for which there should be wild applause), he didn’t take the safe route. Instead, he gave Willingham a rest at designated hitter and gave Parmelee a start in left field. From what I saw, Parmelee didn’t embarrass himself out there, which is REALLY nice to see. I was really happy to see this. But it didn’t pay off. Justin Morneau, who played first base, didn’t get a hit, and neither did Willingham. In fact, according to WPA, they impacted the game the most negatively of any of the Twins. Finally, Parmelee’s only hit came in the ninth, and was too little, too late. Danny Valencia should have been the hero of this game. Taking a 1-2 pitch with 2 outs to deep center? Really? I really hope this is a sign of things to come. Soon. The 6-4-3 double play that saved a run got the whole stadium excited. One can’t say enough about Carroll on that play, but it’s worth noting that the pivot was carried out by Trevor Plouffe. It’s exciting to see him make just a mediocre throw. That was phenomenal. Is manager Ron Gardenhire pulling his starters too late this year? It’s late, so I’ll let someone else crunch the numbers, but Marquis gave up that home run when he was after 100 pitches. It seems like the last week or so, I feel like the starter is having a decent outing, but by the time they’re done, they’ve given up enough runs in their last inning to inflate their ERA. It certainly happened tonight. Of course, part of that might be not having a lot of faith in the bullpen. Capps certainly furthered that concern, but did anyone else note that Glen Perkins didn’t make an appearance in the eighth again tonight? Perkins pitched yesterday, and was apparently unavailable, and that’s looking like a pattern. The thing is, he pitched yesterday when the Twins were already behind. (And then he gave up a run, so the team was further behind.) Just so we’re clear on where Perkins is so far this year: he hasn’t been particularly good, he hasn’t been available on back-to-back days, he has been hurt, and he just got a long-term deal. Everyone got all that? Good.
  22. Let's break this into two evaluations... Regular Season The #1 culprit for decline is a decade's worth of success. It is damn hard to maintain excellence for a half of a decade, let alone a full decade in MLB. What other teams have done it? Yankees, Red Sox, Angels, Cardinals maybe. The Phillies and Rays, two darling franshises right now, are half are dealing with half a decade of success. Success bring low draft picks, complacency, expensive free agents, big arbitration numbers, etc. I just did a quick study of winning percentages of the Twins franchise over a 9 and 10 year period. This last decade has been as successful as any. The only period with a higher winning percentage was 1962 though 1970,1971. Postseason I don't know how one can claim a season is a failure unless one wins a World Championship. It seems silly to me to claim that 29 teams should fire their GMs and coaching staff on a yearly basis. To answer the original question, I'd say I cut them a lot of slack. I'm having more trouble cutting slack to a fan base that has grown so accustomed to success that they act like spoiled children if they don't get a World Series ring every year.
  23. I've seen reference to "The Shark" but didn't know what it was about. Thanks.
  24. The easy response is that he can't play CF, which was the primary requirements for Clete's/REvere's roster spot. But Matsui could conceivably be on the roster instead of Burroughs. (Or, a 13th pitcher, obviously.)
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