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Everything posted by Jeremy Nygaard
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Article: My Day as GM
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Phew. After my day yesterday, I probably would have slept all day today. -
Article: My Day as GM
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I would sign Cespedes and trade Rosario, personally. But while I was in the middle of writing this it sounded like Cespedes was close to signing... and I didn't want to re-write it. Sano and Cespedes the best back-to-back punch in the MLB? Arguable. -
Article: My Day as GM
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not until people get over the fact that he's not moving back to catcher first. But if that's the only qualm you have... great. -
Article: My Day as GM
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You're entitled to your opinion. I'm just not sure that firing everybody would get you more than a few minutes in the big boy seat. You still have to answer to someone. -
Article: My Day as GM
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You're probably not wrong. -
Article: My Day as GM
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Thanks for the kind feedback. It's a fun exercise. Next time, though, two (or three) parts. -
Article: My Day as GM
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I didn't trade for Duda to play him in the outfield. Joe needs to be willing to move to swing this deal. As far as your other moves... well, maybe you should title your plans "My 7 Minutes as GM." -
Article: My Day as GM
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's either going to be not enough or too much... regardless, I'm going to get him. Having a stud reliever on a brutal team is a wasted asset. They should move him while his value is so high. -
Article: My Day as GM
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Personal belief: Mauer is way more athletic and a much better bet to be at least an average outfielder. But it wouldn't hurt to give them both outfield gloves to see... if the organization thinks they can turn Sano into an average outfielder, who knows... -
Article: My Day as GM
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I probably did. I hate the idea of signing a reliever. Always have. Believe that Mejia is a buy-low guy. And TINSTAAPP or something. (Basically, the chances Gonsalves is ever as valuable as Smith is not high... and I really like Gonsalves.) -
Have you ever considered what you would do if you were the General Manager of the Twins for just one day? For 24 hours, you get to make the calls. Think you could handle it? It's one thing to be the Monday Morning Quarterback. It's another thing to actually make the calls. Then there's the in-between of saying you'd make the moves - when you can't - and letting people rip you for it. So read. And rip away.4:30 am - The alarm goes off. It’s not set for this early in the day because I enjoy the morning, but because if I had 24 hours to run this club the way I want to run it, I can’t waste my team sleeping. 6:00 am - After hurriedly getting ready and getting a two-burrito breakfast at the local McDonald’s, I navigated the early morning traffic downtown and arrived at my home for the day before the sun comes up. 6:05 am - Get myself a cup of coffee. I’m not a coffee drinker. I haven’t had caffeine in years. But I can’t imagine there is a single general manager in Major League Baseball who doesn’t caffeinate frequently during the day. I mean, look at A.J. Preller, it wouldn’t shock me if he took caffeine intravenously. 6:10 am - Study the “Big Board.” I didn’t come into the day blind; I know what I want to achieve. The bullpen isn’t good enough. It’s not as far away as everyone thinks it is, I don’t believe. But it’s not the quality bullpen a playoff contender would have. I’m not in love with how Paul Molitor is going to be forced to write the lineup every day. The big boppers - Sano, Plouffe, Park - all bat from the right side of the plate. I don’t really want to see RRR every day, but there are worse problems in the world. Now it’s a matter of finding out who matches up and what the cost is going to be. 6:30 am - Call the Mets. Leave a voicemail. I think the Mets can be a potential fit. 6:35 am - Leave a message with the Rays. Wouldn’t Jake McGee look good in a Twins uniform? I don’t think I’ll find a fit, but I don’t want to leave any stone unturned. Not today. 6:40 am - Get hold of Brian Cashman. He always seems to answer right away when the Twins call… is he serious about keeping Andrew Miller? He sure sounds like it. 6:45 am - Call the Orioles and congratulate them on winning the Powerball. I mean, how else could they afford to give Chris Davis that much money? They need some rotation help now, though. I don’t have much to offer and they never ask about Ricky Nolasco. I can’t blame them. 7:00 am - Get a return call from the Mets. During the Winter Meetings they pursued Todd Frazier and Ben Zobrist and came up empty. They added Neil Walker, but still have David Wright at third base. Most believe that, ideally, the Mets would like to move Wright across the diamond to preserve his back. They’re cool on Trevor Plouffe, or at least that’s how it comes across. Personally, I think Plouffe would be a good fit for the Mets. But I’d want the right guy or guys in return. I have my idea, but this one might take awhile. I tell the Mets I’ve got another move coming - I don’t - and that I’ll call them back. 7:15 am - Call Ron Shapiro and tell him I want to run something by his client (#7). 7:30 am - I’ve been hearing a lot of talk about the Brewers listening to offers on Jonathan Lucroy. So I’ll make that call, but I’m not real interested. I’m more curious about what types of players they like in the Twins organization. They’re a real mess, so I can’t imagine they’d be too picky about positions. They just lack talent. 7:45 am - Call the Mets back. Ask them what they’d do with Lucas Duda if they moved Wright over to the first base. (They’d obviously have to trade him and he’s been mentioned in trade rumors for quite some time.) Discuss a potential Duda-for-Plouffe swap, but neither are comfortable making the deal straight up at this time and without working through some other things first. 8:00 am - Call Seth. Ask him if there’s room for another first baseman on the team. (Because I know Seth always looks for the bright side of things.) 8:05 am - Call Jay-Z. Invite him to do a concert at Target Field this summer. (Don’t know if I have the power to make that offer, but nobody told me I didn’t.) The offer, of course, is contingent on him agreeing to let me join him onstage to do Eminem’s part on Renegade. He didn’t answer, obviously. So I left him a voicemail. I rambled until it cut me off. 8:08 am - Realize I placed the call to tell him I want to sign his new client, Miguel Sano, to a 10-year deal and I want it done in the next 12 hours. Let’s see if the Jiggaman calls back. 8:55 am - Wake up from an unplanned nap. Whoops. Check voicemail. Nothing. 9:00 am - Take a stroll around Target Field. Introduce myself to everyone I see. Everybody seemed pleasant, so that was nice. Stopped in the ticket office to see how sales are. They “aren’t up” is what I’m told. My solution for that: more bobbleheads. I also suggest looking into hosting a Kernels/Timber Rattlers weekend sometime before the draft. (I don’t remember if that was originally a Seth plan, Steve Buhr plan or something that manifested in my own brain… but it’s a good plan, so why not throw it out there?) 10:00 am - Return to my office and have messages from the Yankees, Mets and Brewers. 10:05 am - Before I can return any of the calls, I get a phone call from my current first baseman, Joe Mauer. I pick up the phone and ask him how his winter has been. You know, small talk. I tell him I caught a replay of his 1999 State Championships football game and, golly, did he have a good arm. I proceed to tell him it’s a shame that we don’t get to see “that cannon” at first base. He says, “Gee, thanks.” I ask him if he thinks he could play right field. He doesn’t respond. I tell him to give it some thought - but not too long - and I want to know for sure by noon. 10:25 am - Get Cashman on the phone. He reiterates that he is keeping all of his closers. 10:30 am - Call the Brewers back. We’re no fit on Lucroy, but they’re willing to be reasonable about left-handed reliever Will Smith. Reasonable as in three prospects. We exchange some names. They really like Stephen Gonsalves and I don’t blame them. The difficulty is going to be agreeing on the quality of the other two prospects. We agree to talk later. 10:45 am - Mauer calls back. He’s not super excited about moving to right field. I promise him that this is a necessary step to lengthen the lineup, and - more importantly - this is also a move that gets us closer to the World Series. I point out that, as a GM, I’m never made a bad trade and I don’t intend to start. He tells me all he wants is a ring. I tell him I’m in the same boat. 10:55 am - Re-engage with the Mets. They have warmed up to the idea that they’ll move Duda for Plouffe, but they want a sweetener. They’re not going to like that I also want a sweetener. I tell them I want them to give me a list of minor leaguers they like and we agree to talk again at 1:30. 11:15 am - Make a call to the Rockies. They have three left-handed hitting outfielders and just added Parra. They are going to move one of those guys. We talked about CarGo before the Winter Meetings, but didn’t seem to be in the same ballpark. They like Kyle Gibson, but let’s be honest, we need Kyle Gibson. But at the same time, I don’t hate the rotation: Santana, Hughes, Gibson, Duffey and Milone to start the year and Berrios and Nolasco in the mix as well. Could we get it done without Gibson? You might be able to convince me of that…Anyway, CarGo still has a very high price tag and I’m not going to be able to swing a deal before I turn back into a regular person at midnight. 11:30 am - I realize my time as the GM is limited; so is my time as someone who can eat at the nicest restaurants. I gather everyone who is working at Target Field and bring them all to the nicest restaurant in town - I’m not even sure what that restaurant is - and pick up the tab. I figured a prorated day at the GM salary will cover the cost. I’d do this job for free.. and now I’m putting my money where my mouth is. And if I don’t make enough to pay the bill, I’ll get some help from a Pohlad. 1:00 am - Back in the office and making a call to the Mets. They’ve come up with a list of about a dozen prospects they’re interested in. I scoff at giving up the powerful bat of Adam Brett Walker, but long-term, I don’t see him fitting in an outfield of Rosario, Buxton and Kepler. They also like the right-handed Aussie Sam Gibbons. Now it’s my turn to ask for more: Jenrry Mejia. Trading for Mejia does not come without substantial risk. He’s got 63 games of his 162-game suspension left to serve. He’s not eligible to pitch until early June and, even then, he’s one positive test from a lifetime ban. The Mets tendered Mejia a contract last month in a somewhat surprising move, but given the recent addition of Antonio Bastardo, the Mets can move Mejia without issue. We tentatively agree to a deal that will send Plouffe and Gibbons to New York in exchange for Lucas Duda, Jenrry Mejia and a player to be named later. Mejia’s suspension also opens up a 40-man spot. The “player to be named later” is insurance in case Mejia gets suspended again before the end of July. The Mets agree to send a non-prospect over in late March and if Mejia is re-suspended, that player will be sent back to the Mets in exchange for a better prospect, one that will be on a list that the teams have agreed on. What this trade did: It added a powerful left-handed bat to the middle of the order. Duda has a lot of swing-and-miss to his game and putting him in between Sano and Park is a little scary from a strikeout perspective. But his potential to put up an .840 OPS makes this lineup considerably better. Duda and Park will split first base and DH responsibilities, Miguel Sano can move to third base and Joe Mauer shifts to right field. Mejia can be a potentially dominant set-up man and has three years of control left. 2:00 pm - Both teams have received medicals on all the players. We’ll get back in touch at 5 pm. 2:15 pm - Receive a return call from Roc Nation. It’s not Jay-Z. They don’t seem (with the help of CAA) too inclined to start listening to a long-term deal for Miguel Sano. I ask about Cespedes because, let’s be real, he would be awesome at Target Field. I know I said the lineup is too right-handed, but you think he couldn’t play left field and be phenomenal? Throw him into the lineup (in place of Rosario) and I’d take that lineup in a heartbeat over what the Tigers have. Plus, Sano and Yo are good friends - it’s part of why Sano left his old agency. It sounds at this point like the Nationals have a pretty good offer on the table for him… so he’s not coming back to the Midwest. 2:30 pm - Reconnecting with Milwaukee. I’m bound and determined to acquire Will Smith. You’ll all seen it in the media lately, “The Twins like Will Smith.” I’ve been barking up the Will Smith tree since mid-summer. That’s one of the best things about Twitter… if you said something, there’s proof. It’s also one of the worst things about Twitter. (On June 24, I tweeted this, “It might be early in the morning, but one name I'd go hard after if the Twins remain in contention: Brewers LHRP Will Smith.” I then immediately followed it up with this, “Problem with Smith, who hasn't even hit his arbitration years, is that he'd come at a price. Almost guaranteed Brewers would want Gonsalves.”) I’m not thrilled about the potential of giving up Gonsalves. It make me sick, to be honest. Twitter’s also good to show how much I like him. (In fact, my first tweet after he was drafted was “LOVE IT!”) But the price for four years of Will Smith is understandably high. And the idea of Perkins, May, Jepsen, Mejia and Smith, plus the arrivals of guys like Burdi, Chargois and Melotakis makes it a little easier to swallow. This does up the ante for Tyler Jay, Kohl Stewart, and the return of Lewis Thorpe. but you have to give to get. And I end up giving Stephen Gonsalves, Oswaldo Arcia, Eduardo Del Rosario and cash to the Brewers to get Will Smith and satisfy the Neal Cotts trade. It’s a steep price to pay, but one I feel is worth it. We’ll review medicals and reconvene at 6 pm. 3:30 pm - After going into Preller Mode and completing two deals in less than two hours, I spend the next 90 minutes checking with the scouting supervisors to see how they feel about the 2016 draft. As much I’d like to go get one of the many stud free agents still available, I’m not comfortable giving up a draft pick. We’re going to make the 2016 draft count and with the scouting staff the Twins have in place, I’m confident of that happening. Look at some of the recent drafts. Impressive! 5:00 pm - After all medicals have been reviewed and given the OK, both the Twins and Mets send out a press release announcing the trade: The Twins send Trevor Plouffe and prospect Sam Gibbons to the Mets in exchange for Lucas Duda, Jenrry Mejia and a player to be named later. Neither Duda or Mejia are under contract for 2016. Duda (two years) and Mejia (three years) are both under team control and have exchanged arbitration figures with the Mets. 5:30 pm - Order Jimmy Johns. I know I can have that Gargantuan finished by the time I get back on the phone with the Brewers. 6:00 pm - Everything checks out with the Brewers and the medicals. In exchange for Stephen Gonsalves, Oswaldo Arcia, Eduardo Del Rosario and cash the Twins get Will Smith and the Neal Cotts trade is considered complete, both teams announce. 6:15 pm - I feel pretty good about the new setup of the team. I rearrange my roster and it looks like this: C - Kurt Suzuki, John Ryan Murphy INF - Byung Ho Park, Lucas Duda, Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano, Eduardo Escobar, Eduardo Nunez OF - Joe Mauer, Eddie Rosario, Byron Buxton, Danny Santana SP - Ervin Santana, Phil Hughes, Kyle Gibson, Tyler Duffey, Tommy Milone RP - Glen Perkins, Will Smith, Trevor May, Kevin Jepsen, Ricky Nolasco, Fernando Abad vs Ryan O’Rourke, Casey Fien vs Michael Tonkin SUSP - Jenrry Mejia That leaves one spot. I’d prefer to add a bopper to the bench. But I’m not sure there’s a good fit. I’m not OK with bringing Max Kepler north if I didn’t think he’d be in the lineup every day. Two of my four outfielders aren’t really outfielders. I know where I’m going with my last 40-man and 25-man roster spot. 6:45 pm - Make a phone call to the agent for free agent outfielder Will Venable. Venable is an Ivy League guy, fantastic on the basepaths and versatile in the outfield. He’ll mentor the likes of Buxton and Rosario and serve as the 4th outfielder. We quickly agree to a one-year, $4.5 million deal with some plate appearance incentives. It’s all wrapped up before 7:30 and Dustin Morse gets him to agree to come to TwinsFest before Jon Heyman can even tweet, “twins will venable agreeto one year deam.” 7:30 pm - It’s already dark outside and I feel like I’ve accomplished everything I set out to do. Part of me thinks, “Go home” but the other part of me thinks, “You’ve only got four and half hours left.” I compromise with myself and decide to make no more phone calls outside of the organization, but stick around for another half hour in case the phone rings. Only one question remains: Is Jay-Z going to call me back? 9:15 pm - Home with no return call from Jay-Z, the adrenaline hasn’t worn off. I realize it’s been a long day and that I should just go to bed. And then it hits me… “I need to go read the comments at TwinsDaily!” Click here to view the article
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4:30 am - The alarm goes off. It’s not set for this early in the day because I enjoy the morning, but because if I had 24 hours to run this club the way I want to run it, I can’t waste my team sleeping. 6:00 am - After hurriedly getting ready and getting a two-burrito breakfast at the local McDonald’s, I navigated the early morning traffic downtown and arrived at my home for the day before the sun comes up. 6:05 am - Get myself a cup of coffee. I’m not a coffee drinker. I haven’t had caffeine in years. But I can’t imagine there is a single general manager in Major League Baseball who doesn’t caffeinate frequently during the day. I mean, look at A.J. Preller, it wouldn’t shock me if he took caffeine intravenously. 6:10 am - Study the “Big Board.” I didn’t come into the day blind; I know what I want to achieve. The bullpen isn’t good enough. It’s not as far away as everyone thinks it is, I don’t believe. But it’s not the quality bullpen a playoff contender would have. I’m not in love with how Paul Molitor is going to be forced to write the lineup every day. The big boppers - Sano, Plouffe, Park - all bat from the right side of the plate. I don’t really want to see RRR every day, but there are worse problems in the world. Now it’s a matter of finding out who matches up and what the cost is going to be. 6:30 am - Call the Mets. Leave a voicemail. I think the Mets can be a potential fit. 6:35 am - Leave a message with the Rays. Wouldn’t Jake McGee look good in a Twins uniform? I don’t think I’ll find a fit, but I don’t want to leave any stone unturned. Not today. 6:40 am - Get hold of Brian Cashman. He always seems to answer right away when the Twins call… is he serious about keeping Andrew Miller? He sure sounds like it. 6:45 am - Call the Orioles and congratulate them on winning the Powerball. I mean, how else could they afford to give Chris Davis that much money? They need some rotation help now, though. I don’t have much to offer and they never ask about Ricky Nolasco. I can’t blame them. 7:00 am - Get a return call from the Mets. During the Winter Meetings they pursued Todd Frazier and Ben Zobrist and came up empty. They added Neil Walker, but still have David Wright at third base. Most believe that, ideally, the Mets would like to move Wright across the diamond to preserve his back. They’re cool on Trevor Plouffe, or at least that’s how it comes across. Personally, I think Plouffe would be a good fit for the Mets. But I’d want the right guy or guys in return. I have my idea, but this one might take awhile. I tell the Mets I’ve got another move coming - I don’t - and that I’ll call them back. 7:15 am - Call Ron Shapiro and tell him I want to run something by his client (#7). 7:30 am - I’ve been hearing a lot of talk about the Brewers listening to offers on Jonathan Lucroy. So I’ll make that call, but I’m not real interested. I’m more curious about what types of players they like in the Twins organization. They’re a real mess, so I can’t imagine they’d be too picky about positions. They just lack talent. 7:45 am - Call the Mets back. Ask them what they’d do with Lucas Duda if they moved Wright over to the first base. (They’d obviously have to trade him and he’s been mentioned in trade rumors for quite some time.) Discuss a potential Duda-for-Plouffe swap, but neither are comfortable making the deal straight up at this time and without working through some other things first. 8:00 am - Call Seth. Ask him if there’s room for another first baseman on the team. (Because I know Seth always looks for the bright side of things.) 8:05 am - Call Jay-Z. Invite him to do a concert at Target Field this summer. (Don’t know if I have the power to make that offer, but nobody told me I didn’t.) The offer, of course, is contingent on him agreeing to let me join him onstage to do Eminem’s part on Renegade. He didn’t answer, obviously. So I left him a voicemail. I rambled until it cut me off. 8:08 am - Realize I placed the call to tell him I want to sign his new client, Miguel Sano, to a 10-year deal and I want it done in the next 12 hours. Let’s see if the Jiggaman calls back. 8:55 am - Wake up from an unplanned nap. Whoops. Check voicemail. Nothing. 9:00 am - Take a stroll around Target Field. Introduce myself to everyone I see. Everybody seemed pleasant, so that was nice. Stopped in the ticket office to see how sales are. They “aren’t up” is what I’m told. My solution for that: more bobbleheads. I also suggest looking into hosting a Kernels/Timber Rattlers weekend sometime before the draft. (I don’t remember if that was originally a Seth plan, Steve Buhr plan or something that manifested in my own brain… but it’s a good plan, so why not throw it out there?) 10:00 am - Return to my office and have messages from the Yankees, Mets and Brewers. 10:05 am - Before I can return any of the calls, I get a phone call from my current first baseman, Joe Mauer. I pick up the phone and ask him how his winter has been. You know, small talk. I tell him I caught a replay of his 1999 State Championships football game and, golly, did he have a good arm. I proceed to tell him it’s a shame that we don’t get to see “that cannon” at first base. He says, “Gee, thanks.” I ask him if he thinks he could play right field. He doesn’t respond. I tell him to give it some thought - but not too long - and I want to know for sure by noon. 10:25 am - Get Cashman on the phone. He reiterates that he is keeping all of his closers. 10:30 am - Call the Brewers back. We’re no fit on Lucroy, but they’re willing to be reasonable about left-handed reliever Will Smith. Reasonable as in three prospects. We exchange some names. They really like Stephen Gonsalves and I don’t blame them. The difficulty is going to be agreeing on the quality of the other two prospects. We agree to talk later. 10:45 am - Mauer calls back. He’s not super excited about moving to right field. I promise him that this is a necessary step to lengthen the lineup, and - more importantly - this is also a move that gets us closer to the World Series. I point out that, as a GM, I’m never made a bad trade and I don’t intend to start. He tells me all he wants is a ring. I tell him I’m in the same boat. 10:55 am - Re-engage with the Mets. They have warmed up to the idea that they’ll move Duda for Plouffe, but they want a sweetener. They’re not going to like that I also want a sweetener. I tell them I want them to give me a list of minor leaguers they like and we agree to talk again at 1:30. 11:15 am - Make a call to the Rockies. They have three left-handed hitting outfielders and just added Parra. They are going to move one of those guys. We talked about CarGo before the Winter Meetings, but didn’t seem to be in the same ballpark. They like Kyle Gibson, but let’s be honest, we need Kyle Gibson. But at the same time, I don’t hate the rotation: Santana, Hughes, Gibson, Duffey and Milone to start the year and Berrios and Nolasco in the mix as well. Could we get it done without Gibson? You might be able to convince me of that…Anyway, CarGo still has a very high price tag and I’m not going to be able to swing a deal before I turn back into a regular person at midnight. 11:30 am - I realize my time as the GM is limited; so is my time as someone who can eat at the nicest restaurants. I gather everyone who is working at Target Field and bring them all to the nicest restaurant in town - I’m not even sure what that restaurant is - and pick up the tab. I figured a prorated day at the GM salary will cover the cost. I’d do this job for free.. and now I’m putting my money where my mouth is. And if I don’t make enough to pay the bill, I’ll get some help from a Pohlad. 1:00 am - Back in the office and making a call to the Mets. They’ve come up with a list of about a dozen prospects they’re interested in. I scoff at giving up the powerful bat of Adam Brett Walker, but long-term, I don’t see him fitting in an outfield of Rosario, Buxton and Kepler. They also like the right-handed Aussie Sam Gibbons. Now it’s my turn to ask for more: Jenrry Mejia. Trading for Mejia does not come without substantial risk. He’s got 63 games of his 162-game suspension left to serve. He’s not eligible to pitch until early June and, even then, he’s one positive test from a lifetime ban. The Mets tendered Mejia a contract last month in a somewhat surprising move, but given the recent addition of Antonio Bastardo, the Mets can move Mejia without issue. We tentatively agree to a deal that will send Plouffe and Gibbons to New York in exchange for Lucas Duda, Jenrry Mejia and a player to be named later. Mejia’s suspension also opens up a 40-man spot. The “player to be named later” is insurance in case Mejia gets suspended again before the end of July. The Mets agree to send a non-prospect over in late March and if Mejia is re-suspended, that player will be sent back to the Mets in exchange for a better prospect, one that will be on a list that the teams have agreed on. What this trade did: It added a powerful left-handed bat to the middle of the order. Duda has a lot of swing-and-miss to his game and putting him in between Sano and Park is a little scary from a strikeout perspective. But his potential to put up an .840 OPS makes this lineup considerably better. Duda and Park will split first base and DH responsibilities, Miguel Sano can move to third base and Joe Mauer shifts to right field. Mejia can be a potentially dominant set-up man and has three years of control left. 2:00 pm - Both teams have received medicals on all the players. We’ll get back in touch at 5 pm. 2:15 pm - Receive a return call from Roc Nation. It’s not Jay-Z. They don’t seem (with the help of CAA) too inclined to start listening to a long-term deal for Miguel Sano. I ask about Cespedes because, let’s be real, he would be awesome at Target Field. I know I said the lineup is too right-handed, but you think he couldn’t play left field and be phenomenal? Throw him into the lineup (in place of Rosario) and I’d take that lineup in a heartbeat over what the Tigers have. Plus, Sano and Yo are good friends - it’s part of why Sano left his old agency. It sounds at this point like the Nationals have a pretty good offer on the table for him… so he’s not coming back to the Midwest. 2:30 pm - Reconnecting with Milwaukee. I’m bound and determined to acquire Will Smith. You’ll all seen it in the media lately, “The Twins like Will Smith.” I’ve been barking up the Will Smith tree since mid-summer. That’s one of the best things about Twitter… if you said something, there’s proof. It’s also one of the worst things about Twitter. (On June 24, I tweeted this, “It might be early in the morning, but one name I'd go hard after if the Twins remain in contention: Brewers LHRP Will Smith.” I then immediately followed it up with this, “Problem with Smith, who hasn't even hit his arbitration years, is that he'd come at a price. Almost guaranteed Brewers would want Gonsalves.”) I’m not thrilled about the potential of giving up Gonsalves. It make me sick, to be honest. Twitter’s also good to show how much I like him. (In fact, my first tweet after he was drafted was “LOVE IT!”) But the price for four years of Will Smith is understandably high. And the idea of Perkins, May, Jepsen, Mejia and Smith, plus the arrivals of guys like Burdi, Chargois and Melotakis makes it a little easier to swallow. This does up the ante for Tyler Jay, Kohl Stewart, and the return of Lewis Thorpe. but you have to give to get. And I end up giving Stephen Gonsalves, Oswaldo Arcia, Eduardo Del Rosario and cash to the Brewers to get Will Smith and satisfy the Neal Cotts trade. It’s a steep price to pay, but one I feel is worth it. We’ll review medicals and reconvene at 6 pm. 3:30 pm - After going into Preller Mode and completing two deals in less than two hours, I spend the next 90 minutes checking with the scouting supervisors to see how they feel about the 2016 draft. As much I’d like to go get one of the many stud free agents still available, I’m not comfortable giving up a draft pick. We’re going to make the 2016 draft count and with the scouting staff the Twins have in place, I’m confident of that happening. Look at some of the recent drafts. Impressive! 5:00 pm - After all medicals have been reviewed and given the OK, both the Twins and Mets send out a press release announcing the trade: The Twins send Trevor Plouffe and prospect Sam Gibbons to the Mets in exchange for Lucas Duda, Jenrry Mejia and a player to be named later. Neither Duda or Mejia are under contract for 2016. Duda (two years) and Mejia (three years) are both under team control and have exchanged arbitration figures with the Mets. 5:30 pm - Order Jimmy Johns. I know I can have that Gargantuan finished by the time I get back on the phone with the Brewers. 6:00 pm - Everything checks out with the Brewers and the medicals. In exchange for Stephen Gonsalves, Oswaldo Arcia, Eduardo Del Rosario and cash the Twins get Will Smith and the Neal Cotts trade is considered complete, both teams announce. 6:15 pm - I feel pretty good about the new setup of the team. I rearrange my roster and it looks like this: C - Kurt Suzuki, John Ryan Murphy INF - Byung Ho Park, Lucas Duda, Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano, Eduardo Escobar, Eduardo Nunez OF - Joe Mauer, Eddie Rosario, Byron Buxton, Danny Santana SP - Ervin Santana, Phil Hughes, Kyle Gibson, Tyler Duffey, Tommy Milone RP - Glen Perkins, Will Smith, Trevor May, Kevin Jepsen, Ricky Nolasco, Fernando Abad vs Ryan O’Rourke, Casey Fien vs Michael Tonkin SUSP - Jenrry Mejia That leaves one spot. I’d prefer to add a bopper to the bench. But I’m not sure there’s a good fit. I’m not OK with bringing Max Kepler north if I didn’t think he’d be in the lineup every day. Two of my four outfielders aren’t really outfielders. I know where I’m going with my last 40-man and 25-man roster spot. 6:45 pm - Make a phone call to the agent for free agent outfielder Will Venable. Venable is an Ivy League guy, fantastic on the basepaths and versatile in the outfield. He’ll mentor the likes of Buxton and Rosario and serve as the 4th outfielder. We quickly agree to a one-year, $4.5 million deal with some plate appearance incentives. It’s all wrapped up before 7:30 and Dustin Morse gets him to agree to come to TwinsFest before Jon Heyman can even tweet, “twins will venable agreeto one year deam.” 7:30 pm - It’s already dark outside and I feel like I’ve accomplished everything I set out to do. Part of me thinks, “Go home” but the other part of me thinks, “You’ve only got four and half hours left.” I compromise with myself and decide to make no more phone calls outside of the organization, but stick around for another half hour in case the phone rings. Only one question remains: Is Jay-Z going to call me back? 9:15 pm - Home with no return call from Jay-Z, the adrenaline hasn’t worn off. I realize it’s been a long day and that I should just go to bed. And then it hits me… “I need to go read the comments at TwinsDaily!”
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Article: Top Prospects of 2017
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't disagree completely. But there's a window to compete (right now, hopefully) and replacing proven goods with unproven goods isn't the best way to guarantee a competitive team. (Neither is ignoring a bad bullpen... so you could argue this team doesn't plan to compete right now.) At the end of the day, though, you'd hope that Polanco becomes as good of a player as Dozier. And Dozier is affordable for the next couple of years. I'd start the season with Polanco at AAA (and as insurance for a Dozier injury) and if there's a piece I want to add at the end of July, float him out there. I wouldn't give him away, though, he could easily fill the Nunez role in 2017.- 27 replies
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Article: Top Prospects of 2017
Jeremy Nygaard replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I was the high guy on Palacios in the handbook, so I could get after a big jump like that. Having four SS in the top eight would be quite the turnaround from a few years ago.- 27 replies
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In the 2016 edition of the Twins Prospect Handbook, Cody, Seth and I took a look at how the team's prospect list could look twelve months from now. This is the lead-in from the book: "Since the Twins Prospect Handbook became a joint-effort four years ago, the Twins have always had a consensus top prospect. With Byron Buxton narrowly avoiding losing the “prospect” label, this winter will be more of the same. But a year from now Buxton will have shed the label. If Jose Berrios continues to pitch the way he has been the last two seasons, he’ll lose the label as well. Southern League MVP Max Kepler? It’s probably fair to say he’ll get the big-league at-bats that will prohibit him from heading up the prospect list next year as well. Fortunately for the Twins (and their fans), the cupboard is far from bare and we’re going to look into our prospect crystal ball and determine who is - or could be - finding their name on the top of the list next winter."While we don't want to give away too much of what the article talks about in the book, we do encourage you to think about what your Top 10 could look like a year from now. It's probably safe to assume that the consensus Top 3 Twins prospects who were mentioned above - Buxton, Berrios, Kepler - will graduate from prospect-status. So who fills that void? Let's take a look at the names that might top that list: Nick Gordon, SS - Gordon impressed in his first full-season and seemed to answer those that had questions about his ability to stick at shortstop. Now he heads back to his home state with a chance to ascend up national prospect lists. Jorge Polanco, SS/2B - There are still plenty of questions about Polanco's defensive home and there is increasing belief that he'll end up at second base. But his bat is for real and Twins fans have seen glimpses of that in his brief MLB stints. Out of options after the season and blocked by Brian Dozier, Polanco best chance to break into the bigs probably is in a different organization. Not a bad chip to have, though, especially when he could top this list next year. Tyler Jay, LHP; Kohl Stewart, RHP; Stephen Gonsalves, LHP - Depending on what list you're looking at, you're likely to find these three in some order in the bottom half of the Top 10. Any of them could make a Berrios-type climb up the charts. And who you think tops that list is a matter of preference. Is it Jay? Last year's first round pick who was drafted and considered the most likely of all draftees to reach the big leagues? Or maybe it's Stewart. The high-ceiling, former QB who has the potential to throw four plus-pitches, but hasn't been striking guys out? You can't forget Gonsalves, the lefty that's been dominating each level that he has pitched. Who else would you put in consideration? If you've read the Prospect Handbook, you might even notice that Seth's guess to top the list was not mentioned above. Though we love our prospects here, MLB Network's radio host (and Mets fans) Casey Stern famously said before the trade deadline last year, "Prospects are cool. Parades are cooler." Could it be that the Twins turn their attention to a parade this July and move prospects. (I think we can all agree on the likelihood of that.) Look into your prospect crystal ball. What do you see? Click here to view the article
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While we don't want to give away too much of what the article talks about in the book, we do encourage you to think about what your Top 10 could look like a year from now. It's probably safe to assume that the consensus Top 3 Twins prospects who were mentioned above - Buxton, Berrios, Kepler - will graduate from prospect-status. So who fills that void? Let's take a look at the names that might top that list: Nick Gordon, SS - Gordon impressed in his first full-season and seemed to answer those that had questions about his ability to stick at shortstop. Now he heads back to his home state with a chance to ascend up national prospect lists. Jorge Polanco, SS/2B - There are still plenty of questions about Polanco's defensive home and there is increasing belief that he'll end up at second base. But his bat is for real and Twins fans have seen glimpses of that in his brief MLB stints. Out of options after the season and blocked by Brian Dozier, Polanco best chance to break into the bigs probably is in a different organization. Not a bad chip to have, though, especially when he could top this list next year. Tyler Jay, LHP; Kohl Stewart, RHP; Stephen Gonsalves, LHP - Depending on what list you're looking at, you're likely to find these three in some order in the bottom half of the Top 10. Any of them could make a Berrios-type climb up the charts. And who you think tops that list is a matter of preference. Is it Jay? Last year's first round pick who was drafted and considered the most likely of all draftees to reach the big leagues? Or maybe it's Stewart. The high-ceiling, former QB who has the potential to throw four plus-pitches, but hasn't been striking guys out? You can't forget Gonsalves, the lefty that's been dominating each level that he has pitched. Who else would you put in consideration? If you've read the Prospect Handbook, you might even notice that Seth's guess to top the list was not mentioned above. Though we love our prospects here, MLB Network's radio host (and Mets fans) Casey Stern famously said before the trade deadline last year, "Prospects are cool. Parades are cooler." Could it be that the Twins turn their attention to a parade this July and move prospects. (I think we can all agree on the likelihood of that.) Look into your prospect crystal ball. What do you see?
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Benoit was traded to the Mariners IIRC.
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It might also be because the two biggest right-handed bats in free agency are still on the market and if teams are on the lookout for a right-handed bat, they're sniffing around those guys first. The other side of that coin is, "How many teams are in the market for a third baseman?" I don't think it's many.
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I don't like the idea of signing a relief pitcher to an extension ever, really. (Unless it's the Perkins/super team-friendly deal.) If I were to ink Jepsen to two years, I'd include a lot of incentives for games finished, which would pay him like a closer if he is the closer.
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Aside from a three-day flurry of moves in early November, the winter has largely been ho-hum for the Twins and their fans. The bullpen? Same. Plouffe and Sano?! Yep. Rotation help? Nada. Mauer back to catcher? Don't you even...This week, however, there guarantees to be news* with the team and its six arbitration-eligible players. There are two deadlines this week: Tuesday is the deadline for these players to file for arbitration and Friday is the deadline to exchange figures. As has been the case over the past handful of years, the Twins and the players will file their figures and eventually the two parties settle right around the midpoint of those figures. This can happen any time before the arbitration hearing takes place. The Twins haven't gone to arbitration with a player since losing to Kyle Lohse in 2006 and 2007. Projecting arbitration figures can be fun and frustrating. Teams and players will typically base their filed salary on players they find comparable. Teams looking for comparable players making less and players looking for comparable players making more. You can find these projections all over the place, but instead of simply making a guess, here you'll find a comparable. And for the sake of consistency, you're going to get a comparable from the team's point of view. (What that means is that this number will probably be closer to what the team files and where they settle will be a few hundred thousand dollars - give or take - higher.) Eduardo Escobar, SS Escobar narrowly missed qualifying for arbitration last year and stands to make in excess of a million dollars in 2016. While MLBTR has Escobar slotted for $1.8 million, I expect the team to file for much less. My comparison: Alexi Amarista of the Padres. While Amarista played in over 100 games in each of his pre-arbitration season and Escobar has only done it twice, Amarista and Escobar have shared a super-utility role. Going into arbitration last year, Amarista was a 2.0 bWAR player who played primarily shortstop but also second base, third base and outfield. Going into Escobar's first arbitration season? A 2.0 bWAR player who played primarily at shortstop but also second base, third base and outfield. How did Amarista make out? He signed a two-year deal that included base salaries of $1.1 million and $1.3 million and also got a $100K signing bonus. The salary I'd file: $1.25 million. I'd anticipate Escobar's camp is going to come to the table focusing on Escobar as a shortstop and using that to increase his value. Trevor Plouffe, 3B Plouffe's case has to be viewed a little differently because he entered arbitration as a Super-2, so despite being a 4+ player he's already entering his third arbitration-eligible season. He'll see the added value of getting a fourth season next year. The best recent comparison for Plouffe is David Freese. While not perfect, Freese took a leap from $3.15 million to $5.05 million to $6.425 million. The last figure came as a settlement at the midpoint after the team filed at $5.25 million and the team countered at $7.6 million. Currently, MLBTR has Plouffe down for $7.7 million. He might be a slightly better player than Freese, but getting more than Freese even filed for? That seems a bit excessive. Plouffe jumped from $2.35 million to $4.8 million last year. Where would I file? $6.25 million. Even if Plouffe files at $7.7 million, the midpoint is still a shade under $7 million. Tommy Milone, P Milone is coming off a Super-2 season where he played at replacement level. Not that the Super-2 designation is important is this situation, but the most likely comparable is Mike Minor, who was also coming off a replacement level-type season going into his 3+ season. Minor got an increase in salary of 45%. A similar increase for Milone, who MLBTR has pegged for $4.5 million, would leave my figure at $4 million. Eduardo Nunez, INF Nunez is tough to peg. Mostly because players like himself don't make it to arbitration the second time. After making $1.25 million last season, I'd make the same offer this season. Kevin Jepsen, RP Jepsen is the type of player that will likely see a large gap between the team's and player's filing figure. Jepsen's camp will view him as a closer and think he should be paid as one. The club will have a hard time arguing that he isn't - since that's basically the only role he played for them - but they will try. Jepsen also got a pretty significant raise before last season, earning $3.025 million as a middle reliever. Looking at a handful of different closer-types, I would file at $4.65 million, a far cry from MLBTR's $6.0 million. Jepsen could also be an extension candidate. Could the Twins sign the free-agent-to-be to a two-year/$11 million deal? Should they? Casey Fien, RP Fien is another one of those cases of trying to find a comparison in a situation where his best comps were non-tendered. Shawn Kelley made less than a million dollars in his first arbitration year and then nearly doubled his salary after a replacement-level season. Fien made $1.375 million as a Super-2, but shouldn't command twice that. The issue remains, though, that there isn't a good comparable that settled in the arbitration process. The Twins probably can't get by offering less than $2 million. Regardless of how and when all these cases are handled, at least there will be news* right? *It really depends on your definition of "news." Click here to view the article
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This week, however, there guarantees to be news* with the team and its six arbitration-eligible players. There are two deadlines this week: Tuesday is the deadline for these players to file for arbitration and Friday is the deadline to exchange figures. As has been the case over the past handful of years, the Twins and the players will file their figures and eventually the two parties settle right around the midpoint of those figures. This can happen any time before the arbitration hearing takes place. The Twins haven't gone to arbitration with a player since losing to Kyle Lohse in 2006 and 2007. Projecting arbitration figures can be fun and frustrating. Teams and players will typically base their filed salary on players they find comparable. Teams looking for comparable players making less and players looking for comparable players making more. You can find these projections all over the place, but instead of simply making a guess, here you'll find a comparable. And for the sake of consistency, you're going to get a comparable from the team's point of view. (What that means is that this number will probably be closer to what the team files and where they settle will be a few hundred thousand dollars - give or take - higher.) Eduardo Escobar, SS Escobar narrowly missed qualifying for arbitration last year and stands to make in excess of a million dollars in 2016. While MLBTR has Escobar slotted for $1.8 million, I expect the team to file for much less. My comparison: Alexi Amarista of the Padres. While Amarista played in over 100 games in each of his pre-arbitration season and Escobar has only done it twice, Amarista and Escobar have shared a super-utility role. Going into arbitration last year, Amarista was a 2.0 bWAR player who played primarily shortstop but also second base, third base and outfield. Going into Escobar's first arbitration season? A 2.0 bWAR player who played primarily at shortstop but also second base, third base and outfield. How did Amarista make out? He signed a two-year deal that included base salaries of $1.1 million and $1.3 million and also got a $100K signing bonus. The salary I'd file: $1.25 million. I'd anticipate Escobar's camp is going to come to the table focusing on Escobar as a shortstop and using that to increase his value. Trevor Plouffe, 3B Plouffe's case has to be viewed a little differently because he entered arbitration as a Super-2, so despite being a 4+ player he's already entering his third arbitration-eligible season. He'll see the added value of getting a fourth season next year. The best recent comparison for Plouffe is David Freese. While not perfect, Freese took a leap from $3.15 million to $5.05 million to $6.425 million. The last figure came as a settlement at the midpoint after the team filed at $5.25 million and the team countered at $7.6 million. Currently, MLBTR has Plouffe down for $7.7 million. He might be a slightly better player than Freese, but getting more than Freese even filed for? That seems a bit excessive. Plouffe jumped from $2.35 million to $4.8 million last year. Where would I file? $6.25 million. Even if Plouffe files at $7.7 million, the midpoint is still a shade under $7 million. Tommy Milone, P Milone is coming off a Super-2 season where he played at replacement level. Not that the Super-2 designation is important is this situation, but the most likely comparable is Mike Minor, who was also coming off a replacement level-type season going into his 3+ season. Minor got an increase in salary of 45%. A similar increase for Milone, who MLBTR has pegged for $4.5 million, would leave my figure at $4 million. Eduardo Nunez, INF Nunez is tough to peg. Mostly because players like himself don't make it to arbitration the second time. After making $1.25 million last season, I'd make the same offer this season. Kevin Jepsen, RP Jepsen is the type of player that will likely see a large gap between the team's and player's filing figure. Jepsen's camp will view him as a closer and think he should be paid as one. The club will have a hard time arguing that he isn't - since that's basically the only role he played for them - but they will try. Jepsen also got a pretty significant raise before last season, earning $3.025 million as a middle reliever. Looking at a handful of different closer-types, I would file at $4.65 million, a far cry from MLBTR's $6.0 million. Jepsen could also be an extension candidate. Could the Twins sign the free-agent-to-be to a two-year/$11 million deal? Should they? Casey Fien, RP Fien is another one of those cases of trying to find a comparison in a situation where his best comps were non-tendered. Shawn Kelley made less than a million dollars in his first arbitration year and then nearly doubled his salary after a replacement-level season. Fien made $1.375 million as a Super-2, but shouldn't command twice that. The issue remains, though, that there isn't a good comparable that settled in the arbitration process. The Twins probably can't get by offering less than $2 million. Regardless of how and when all these cases are handled, at least there will be news* right? *It really depends on your definition of "news."
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There are dozens - maybe hundreds - of reasons that you should click here right now and buy the Twins Prospect Handbook (or two or six). But hardly anyone would read through more than 10 reasons. And even less if it was presented in that silly slideshow format. ORDER NOW: 2016 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (paperback, $15.99) ORDER NOW: 2016 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (eBook, $10.99) 10) You need to be in the know. Can you even imagine coming to Winter Meltdown or The Touch Em All Pub Crawl and being the only person who doesn't know about Jermaine Palacios? How embarrassing would that be? Save yourself the embarrassment now. 9) Phil Miller wrote the foreword. Phil is from Utah. In fact, he made all the party houses famous that were later frequented by Keith Van Horn and current Timberwolf Andre Miller. It's super easy for Utahbuythisbook. 8) We included pictures from 16 different photographers. If you think you're not a good enough baseball player to be included in the book, you're probably right. But if you're a good at taking photographs, you can make it! Added bonus: the book is good even if you can't read! 7) The profiles are really good. Here's just one example of recently-released, Talk-to-Contact favorite Ethan Mildren. Download attachment: mildren.PNG ORDER NOW: 2016 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (paperback, $15.99) ORDER NOW: 2016 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (eBook, $10.99) 6) Seth is crazy. Did you know that while working on this book, Seth refuses to go to sleep before 2 am? Well, it's not quite a refusal as much as it's just what happens after he falls asleep on the couch while typing out numerous scouting reports, blog post and hammering out phone interviews. He's tireless. And by that, I mean, right now, Seth is really tired. Knowing you bought the book will help him sleep. 5) Brandon Warne wrote an article that is exclusive to the Prospect Handbook. And he promised to get the cover image tattooed over his entire back if we sold 1,000 copies. Help us reach that goal one book at a time. 4) We name "sleeper" and "breakout" prospects. Don't you want to know who is going to take giant steps this year? Again, save yourself that uncomfortable situation where you're surprised about the emergence of _________________. (I could fill in the blank for you, but buy the book instead.) ORDER NOW: 2016 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (paperback, $15.99) ORDER NOW: 2016 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (eBook, $10.99) 3) The Top 30s. You can make your own Top 30s and compare them to ours and then after the season you can tell us how you are a much better prospect guru than we are. 2) We need the money. This is our much more dignified way of standing on the street with a cup asking for your change. So maybe buy the PDF and the paperback. You can read the PDF right away and get the paperback signed by the next "big things." Then you turn around and sell the book for hundreds of dollars. Everybody is a winner in that scenario. 1) Harness the power of the mustache. Jason Kanzler got cut, so we're giving you his profile for free. It wasn't completely done when we removed him. But everybody loved the mustache. Download attachment: kanzler.PNG ORDER NOW: 2016 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (paperback, $15.99) ORDER NOW: 2016 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (eBook, $10.99) Click here to view the article

