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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. Capps performed as expected. Worley was much worse than I thought he'd be. I liked May, others thought he'd be a bullpen arm. I think he should be a starter. As a prospect, I think he was fine. Meyer didn't work out for whatever reason you want to make - injury, misuse by staff, demeanor etc.
  2. I'm not sure that means he's wrong here. Most reporters - all reporters - have been wrong. Of the proposed deals we've seen floated around by professional media types have been suggesting the Dodgers are asking for a 1:1 swap. That would help explain why no trade has happened yet.
  3. That last fall was fantastic
  4. I'd be very surprised if you could, actually.
  5. Another writer suggesting that the Dodgers are just offering a 1:1 swap.
  6. Kind of slipped through the cracks but a nice reminder of how fast Buxton is. A normal ground out to Lindor is nearly a hit. http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/73955164/v1216908183/clemin-buxtons-time-to-first-base-fastest-in-2016/?player_id=621439 He also had the fastest inside the park HR http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/73955164/v1200954583/mincws-buxtons-1405second-insidethepark-homer/?player_id=621439
  7. I'm fairly comfortable saying that neither the Dodgers nor the Twins are going forward on the assumption that Dozier will repeat a 6 WAR season. Maybe the Twins value him at 4.5 (closer to his avg over 4 years) and the Dodgers value him at 3 (in line with steamer). But likewise, neither team is valuing him at falling off a cliff either.
  8. Frankly, I think that's a pretty insulting strawman you're making. Fans can have different views of the state of the system based on reports from different sources. Last year, Klaw ranked the Twins system #3. This year, Sickels ranked 5 players B+ in the system. That a system can kick out 2 top 100 prospects every year for five years and still be this solid is, to me, a very strong credit to the development people. Guys like Kepler, Polanco, Berrios, Rosario and Gonsalves have already far overachieved their draft/signing likelihoods. I think Gordon is a great prospect, just a tier below the Buxton/Sano group. Jay has the stuff to be a legit front of the rotation starter and I like him more than I liked Berrios in AA. I love those prospects. Outside of the top 100 guys, you have strong depth with prospects like Mejia, Burdi, Thorpe and the polarizing Stewart on the pitching side - each having been top 100 prospects at some time. Last years draft saw the Twins sign, arguably, the second best HS pure hitter and signed several other extremely young players. Looking at each draft since 2012, it's very easy to see at least two major league regulars from each year, which is a very good return.
  9. It's true that a lot of what we as fans see is dated. Sickels has slowly been rolling out his top team prospect lists as has fangraphs and BA. But there isn't a new top 100 out yet. So we don't have a lot of new information. But even among the different sites, there's a lot of disagreement. Alvarez has some obvious flags but huge ceiling - nearly everyone agrees on that. But how you weigh those is an open question. At the end of the day, I figured Dozier would be worth a couple top 100 prospects and another piece or two - that seems comparable to the Gomez/Friers deal, the Zorbrist deal, the Giles deal. I don't think two top 100 prospects means two top 30 prospects. But I also know that I don't have an accurate read of all the prospects current valuation. The Dodgers have 6 top 100 prospects per mlbpipeline's last list + Buehler, Sheffield, Stewart and Lux. The teams should be able to come to some sort of agreement unless one side is just set on ripping off the other - which doesn't happen in real life that much.
  10. True, they aren't the same but the Dodgers did sink nearly 30m into his signing bonus.
  11. I have no idea if the Twins will get Alvarez but I'm not sure the cost of obtaining Alvarez is that relevant. He wasn't the Dodger's biggest international signing that year - Hector Olivera was. And the Dodgers traded Olivera in the Mat Latos trade.
  12. Well, probably as many as they have. The Span and Revere trades have already seen those prospects removed from the list. The 2012 draft has already been removed from the list. So really, you're complaining that the Twins have only 4 current top 100 prospects (plus at least four more that have been top 100 prospects) from four drafts where they picked 4th, 5th, 6th and 15th. Frankly, that doesn't seem out of line. From 02-05, Brewers picked 7th, 2nd, 5th, 5th and had only 3 on BA's list. From 01-04, Rangers had 5th, 9th, 10th, 10th (and 30th b/c comp) and only had 4 on BA's list. Heck, from 12-15, the Cubs had 6th, 2nd, 4th, and 9th picks and only had three in the top 100.
  13. So, essentially, you're just looking at the 2012-2016 drafts which have seen the best prospect in baseball graduate, a top 30 pitching prospect graduate, 3 others from the 2012 draft graduate. And then 4 more top 100 prospects (plus a couple more players that have been on top 100 lists). That seems pretty good, actually.
  14. Well, that would be nice.
  15. I don't follow football nearly enough to know who to name but it's pretty clear that the offensive line is the biggest problem and relying on Kalil seems dubious. They need to either draft a stud LT or trade for one. Also, why did Barr suck this year?
  16. No, even in a best case scenario - Dozier's hitting well, young players developing, etc - you don't extend him. He's not Hunter (who also left). But they shouldn't use their limited payroll for his age 32-36 years.
  17. Yeah, that might be the reason. Looking at their b-r page, their offensive players seemed pretty good and yet, meh. Just another reason to get rid of the DH.
  18. Their offense was pretty blah, actually. 7th in NL in runs, 98 OPS+ is a bit low for a playoff team. And they got some huge years from some players, too. Obviously, their home park suppresses offense a bit but I was still surprised. With that lineup, I just figured they were better than they really were.
  19. Yeah, but streaks aren't unusual for hitters.
  20. This may or may not be true; however, the Twins should not simply accept pennies on the dollar for him just because they might not be in contention next season.
  21. For whatever it's worth, Nick Cafardo of the Globe thinks Dozier stays. https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2016/12/31/red-sox-may-regret-passing-jose-bautista/YysiZpYu4A46kCafHIR0lM/story.html
  22. Maybe, maybe not. But the most innings he's managed in a season is 114 and that was two years ago. That's not a great sign.
  23. Shoulder soreness is a hell of a flaw.
  24. Apparently, there were a number of agents pushing for that but mlb didn't want to screw over owners. The money itself wasn't part of the bonus b/c it was part of the settlement process.
  25. Jacob Nix, the kid they pulled the deal on, filed a grievance with ML baseball. The Astros settled it before it went to the arbitrator by giving the kid nearly his full offer. Had they gone to arbitration and lost - which looked very possible - the arbitrator would have forced the Astros to honor the deal they gave Nix, which would have put them over the pool and they would have lost their first round pick the following year. Which is why they gave him over a million dollars to go away.
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