jimv2
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Everything posted by jimv2
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I read an article that says Cederoth wants seven figures. Someone else here may have better info, but if that's right, given that slot is 700k, we'll need to free up a lot more than most of Cutura's slot. I'm guessing, though, that the Twins wouldn't have drafted him at third if they hadn't already negotiated a rough outline of a deal and figured out how to come up with the money they need.
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Official 2014 Draft Day Thread, Day 1
jimv2 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Count me in the happy third. I'm all for BPA, but when it's not clear who that it--i.e. it's essntailly tied--then take whoever is part of that tie that fills the biggest need. And looking ahead, SS is our biggest need. -
"What they could use: better starting pitching; more offensive threats." Sounds a bit like the parent club.
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DO 10 and 5 rights have any real meaning when you already have a no-trade contract?
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This is a spectacular article. I wish there were a way to pin it to the front page of TD because it is the answer to people who keep asking why so and so hasn't been promoted given that his ERA/OPS/whatever stat you pick is so good. The answer is that's not what the Twins are measuring. They're measuring (for starting pitchers anyway) all the things Kohl is talking about, things that don't really show up in the box score and really don't show up in season-long stats. It seems clear from this that Kohl understands what it will take to succeed and where he needs to grow--at least for the first year or two. He'll be given more things to learn as he progresses up the ladder. And I really liked the emphasis on the challenges inherent in going from a high school season to a pro season, you sort of have to train your arm to deal with the far more frequent use. I imagine that not everybody's arm can make that adjustment--another risk factor in evaluating players.
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I think the Twins were quoted as saying he'd start in Ft Myers to work the rust off and they'd put him in AA once the rust is all gone.
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Kohl Stewart Reflects on the Draft & His First Year as a Professional
jimv2 commented on Steven Buhr's blog entry in SD Buhr/Jim Crikket
This is a spectacular article. I wish there were a way to pin it to the front page of TD because it is the answer to people who keep asking why so and so hasn't been promoted given that his ERA/OPS/whatever stat you pick is so good. The answer is that's not what the Twins are measuring. They're measuring (for starting pitchers anyway) all the things Kohl is talking about, things that don't really show up in the box score and really don't show up in season-long stats. It seems clear from this that Kohl understands what it will take to succeed and where he needs to grow--at least for the first year or two. He'll be given more things to learn as he progresses up the ladder. And I really liked the emphasis on the challenges inherent in going from a high school season to a pro season, you sort of have to train your arm to deal with the far more frequent use. I imagine that not everybody's arm can make that adjustment--another risk factor in evaluating players. -
Article: Twins Draft Preview: Tyler Beede
jimv2 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Given his history, signability becomes a concern at that point--if not earlier. -
Sounds like a golden opportunity.
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3 Twins Prospects Who Have Been Much Better Than Their Numbers Indicate
jimv2 commented on Boone's blog entry in Blog Boone
I agree--very good stuff. The thought occurs to me that high opposing BABIPs can be caused by poor fielding--poor range especially. When you have two pitchers with extraordinarily high opposing BABIPs on the same team, that may be a bit of indictment of the NB defense. OTOH, I'm not convinced that any of the non-pitchers on that team are in the Twins' long-term plans. -
Problem is none of the stats quoted in this thread really address the key question: Does he have a hole in his swing that major league pitchers are good enought to exploit and minor league (or at least AA) pitchers in general aren't? We don't know that, but his coaches do. If he doesn't, then I'd think they'd want to promote him up to AAA at midseason, although I can also see a possible argument that says keep him where he is so that NB isn't completely bereft of offense. And in that event and if he keeps on performing the way he has, I think there's a chance that he comes up in September just to get a taste of major league pitching and an idea of things he needs to work on to have a chance for a "permanent" promotion. But if he does have a hole, then the question becomes what environment is best for him to work on correcting the hole, and I have no idea as to the answer to that. I guess another question would be whether he's gained enough maturity that his past "troubles" won't recur when he has the freedom and money of a major leaguer. It's not just talent that allows one to be successful in the bigs--it's also self-discipline.
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THe actual Rock Cats score was 11-1, and the actual Red Wings score was 7-0. The scores shown above were presumably left over from the prior day, although the narrative is, of course, current.
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Neal: Rosario has nothing to do but wait
jimv2 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Thanks. I was going to write that, but you said it far more clearly than I would have. But as long as we're on this derailed thread, granted that interstate commerce includes almost everything, do you think that Federal law would apply in this case to a Colorado farmer who grows pot for his own personal use, and for use of other citizens of Colorado who smoke on his premises? (Really a theoretcial question, I think, since I can't imagine the Feds wasting time on a situation like this.) -
I lived in both Davenport and Des Moines, IA. Davenport is very much a National League city, with the vast majority of allegiance being to the Cubs, and most of the rest to the Cards. Not much interest in White Sox, even though they're technically the closest team, and Twins are an afterthought (and, I think) geographically more distant than those other three teams. Even back in the day when Davenport was the Twins' low A affiliate--Mauer played there, nobody really cared about the Twins. Des Moines is the long-time home of the Iowa Cubs--the AAA affiliate. Putting a AA team in CR isn't going to change their loyaties. And it may be a blip, but Drake is in Des Moines, and Drake has a much larger proportion of North SIde of Chicago residents than it does Minnesotans. Somebody mentioned HIghway 20. My expereince is that once you get NOrth of 20, there's far more interest in things Minnesota than anywhere else in the state. And I think it goes well beyond sports.
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Hmm. Sounds like bilateral arm weakness to me.
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Thanks for all your efforts, HH. Your posts are always informative and insightful.
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Doubt he'll be able to help the 2013 lineup/results. Depends on what we're offered for him. No way to answer without having some feel for that. But IMO, the only untouchables on the 25 man roster are Mauer, Gibson, Perkins, Hicks, Arcia, and probably Dozier, Pinto and Suzuki. And maybe Thielbar, given he's a successful lefty with lots of years of control left. And even with those guys, untouchable is a relative term. Everybody has a price; I just think the price on those guys will be sufficiently high to scare away any bidders. W/r/t Willingham, one could argue that it also depends on whether his performance this year will enable us to get a sandwich pick if he leaves via free agency. But that would require us to make a qualifying offer, and I doubt we'll do that unless he's tearing up the league.
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FWIW, JOhnson has a statute at the Nationals' ballpark. DC has had a few franchises here, and the focus is on guys who played here regardless of which franchise it was. I don't know of any reason why having a statue in DC would preclude one in Mpls, but I can certainly imagine Twins' mgmt deciding that they were going to focus on guys that played in MN and exclude those who have no real ties to the area.
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I'm with you, JC. WHile I don't think that Deduno will be part of that starting rotation, age 31 is not old for a reliever, He could well have 5 or 6 years left, maybe even more, and great teams have relievers with filthy stuff.
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I'm with you on almost eveerything. I only disagree with #9--I don't think we'll see Buxton and only see Meyer if we have a lot of injuries--and I'd pick a nit with #5. I think you are underrating Hicks' speed. And not sure I agree that the glove at right will be below average--I'm not even sure who will be playing there. But I agree that unless we trade for someone, it won't be better than average. And I most want to second your opinion re #1. Based on my limited time at ST, if I retire rich, I'm spending a ton of time there! I couldn't care less about autographs. But hearing what people like TK and Carew and Ryan etc etc. have to say so enhances my enjoyment of the game.
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He was a total failure as a starter in AA. He was moved to relief, and blossomed. No reason to think he'd be any better as a starter now than he was before, and even if he did improve, he has very little upside--certainly would be behind lots of guys we have now. Let him keep doing for us what he's found success at.
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Geez, get the guy a shirt already. He's done enough to deserve it!
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Alex Meyer and a question of say-so w/ ST roster decisions
jimv2 replied to jokin's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Not sure that's true for Buxton. To me, he was looking a bit lost against major league pitching. And that's entirely fair for a 20 YO guy who's never played AA. So putting him back someplace where he's challenged, but not overwhelmed, makes sense to me. And as ST winds down the coaches at the major league level need to be focused on spending time with guys who have a shot at playing on the major league team this year. For Meyer, I assume it's just that they have too many potential major league pitchers needing innings than they have innings. If we didn't have so many people with possible bullpen slots it might be different. That's the only reason I could come up with, because clearly he was handling the better competition reasonably well. -
I REALLY hope you're wrong and that Kubel/Bartlett don't have guaranteed jobs. But the bigger question is who in their right mind is walking Butera all the time? And will any pitcher doing that have a major league job? I am much higher on Butera than most people here, but this is baffling.
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Deduno isn't a control artist. His command is well below average. So he walks people, and he can't consistently put pitches where the hitter can't get it, and thus fewer swinging strikes. That causes the stats you quoted. But on the flip side, his ball has so much movement that it's really hard to square up on. So the batter is going to get a piece of it, which should translate into lots of ground balls and pop-ups. And some of those are going to find holes, which elevates WHIP but keeps HR/9 low. So I think his stats/results are a normal function of how he pitches, and that he wouldn't be ripe for regression. The risk for him is that his control worsens and he can't control strikes, or that the movement on his pitches lessens to the extent that batters can square up, and then he'll get shelled. But those typeis or risks exists for all pitchers to some extent.