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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    btw, I am really being serious here.....if someone posts WAR or some other stat, do people really want that post to have a comment, every time, about that stat's limitations? Do people not get tired of this argument every time WAR is mentioned? Do some people really think that if the model does not precisely predict the future, it is a bad model (some clearly are stating that, in thread after thread)? I have no issue with disagreeing with Buxton's defensive projection, and discussing that.....but I have an issue with saying that proves the model is stupid, and anyone that quotes it is wrong/bad/blinded by science in EVERY thread where WAR is mentioned.
  2. Mike Sixel
    Danny Valencia's appeal to the women in the crowd, and David Price's money? Like, is that an option?
  3. Mike Sixel
    What did this mean, then, since I didn't understand it in the context of is math useful: Last year the math people killed TD by telling us the Twins were over performing and they weren't a .500 team. That got old, real fast (and, of course, didn't happen).
  4. Mike Sixel
    The sooner slides whose intention is not to get to the base as fast as possible, but to hit a fielder, are gone from the game, the better.
  5. Mike Sixel
    What does "literally" mean, here? If you mean as a 100% accurate, with no error bars, number, that tells you with certainty what will happen.......who believes that?
  6. Mike Sixel
    so, every post that quotes WAR should have a footnote about it's limitations?
  7. Mike Sixel
    Because the outcome was different than predicted, the model is wrong? Might as well just shut down everything based on statistics right now. that logic, btw, is pretty much the same logic that predicted Danny Santana wouldn't repeat his performance, does that prove the model was good?
  8. Mike Sixel
    What's your alternative?
  9. Mike Sixel
    Ha, hahahaha, already laughing.
  10. Mike Sixel
    Never seen this thread before......
  11. Mike Sixel
    So, every thread I should point out that the eye test is wrong? I guess a better question is, why do the math haters think the math lovers believe the numbers with gospel, when MOST of us point out it is the most likely outcome of the outcomes, but is unlikely to be the outcome? Why do the math haters assume the math lovers believe that IS the number, when we all say it is a number, with error bars? Whatever, if people enjoy typing the same thing in every thread where math is used, go for it. This is all for entertainment purposes anyway.
  12. Mike Sixel
    You should care about his age. As he ages, he loses velocity. "prime" years are dropping, for whatever reason.
  13. Mike Sixel
    bonds hit and power. Easy. I can DH for over a decade.
  14. Mike Sixel
    Ya, because NONE of us were clamoring for a trade during the 2000s, this is all hindsight.
  15. Mike Sixel
    I have no idea what to think at this point. Good luck to him.
  16. Mike Sixel
    1. No place did I, or anyone, I think, say gut the entire farm for a 1 year rental. But, trading 1 or 2 of your top prospects, how about that part happening when they had no DH? 2. Sometimes, you get lucky because you tried to win, rather than settling for what you had.......the 91 team tried to win. Did they get lucky? Sure. Of course. But, they tried to win, and it worked. IMO, it is more likely that you get lucky and win, if you try to win, than if you don't try to increase your odds of lucky carrying you far. Not everyone agrees.
  17. Mike Sixel
    I still wash it every day......it's about using soap on it unnecessarily, imo.
  18. Mike Sixel
    No chance I would go 2 months w/o brushing my teeth. None. I don't use shampoo on my hair hardly at all. Stopped a few years ago. After a few weeks, your hair produces less oil, and it is as good as "new". Maybe 1-2 times a month I use shampoo right now. I still wash my hair with water every day, but the purpose of shampoo is to dry out your hair, so you buy conditioner. For most people (w/o "dirty" jobs), shampoo is a waste of money, and is bad for your hair.
  19. Mike Sixel
    Whichever dials we want to look at, I'm not convinced they are turned to 11 when they should be, just based on what little data we have from the outside.....
  20. Mike Sixel
    You actually have made me different here.....even if we don't likely agree on everything.
  21. Mike Sixel
    I agree, it's not the money, but what it implies for Sano, Arcia, and Vargas, imo, that is the risk here.
  22. Mike Sixel
    Still haven't answered the question, though....when they are in contention, and great, should they close an obvious gap, or keep the prospects around for the future?
  23. Mike Sixel
    His chat just completed, several Twins' questions He'd play Buxton right now, even if the bat isn't ready, for the defense alone.
  24. Mike Sixel
    I have to say....I have no idea what Rob is good at, or not. But Jack is right. If people are going to argue for the Twins to be more advanced at math.....then you will have "non-baseball" people in the org, who become baseball people. There are things I don't agree with at Twinsland, where people start their careers is not one of them.
  25. Mike Sixel
    I suggest reading this, if you want insight into FG projections: a: and how they might be different than what the people might think b: and why they often aren't as rosy as your projections are for your team c: humor in a pretty solid burn on the whole "they hate us because they don't think we'll be good" meme...... http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/why-we-hate-the-diamondbacks/
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