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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    Thanks for the updates everyone!
  2. Mike Sixel
    Foolsgold 12:13 Dozier for Jose Deleon sounds about right. Is Minn overplaying their hands? Eno Sarris 12:13 I think they see LA as needing Dozier, and if they end up keeping Dozier and flipping him at the deadline, the deadline bounce might give them enough to overcome the missing 2/3 of a season that happened in between. iron wolf 12:27 Eno: there is some talk that Matt Strahm won't be in the starting rotation for KC this year. Is that true, I have him stashed on my prospect list? It it is, can you recommend a sleeper starter prospect (all of the good ones are taken). Thx! Eno Sarris 12:27 I really like Brock Stewart. Also, Adalberto Mejia should get a shot in Minny.
  3. Mike Sixel
    No, prospects are potential future MLB starters, not hope. An organization pays scouts, lots of scouts, to analyze and asses ball players. Prospects aren't hope, they are assets, that can gain or lose value, just like Dozier. So, no, that's just not true at all. Prospects aren't about hope, they are about managing assets.
  4. Mike Sixel
    i'm just going off what BA said, bottom 10. In comparison to other systems. I'm sure if we looked at other systems, we could find really good / great prospects. I don't have time for that, and only looking at the Twins' system doesn't tell me much about how they compare to the competition. So, I just trust BA and others for their overall rankings. Maybe that's on me, but since I don't get to watch/discuss 1000 prospects, that's the path I've chose. I'm guessing, outside the Angels and couple others, I could write what you wrote almost word for word about other systems.
  5. Mike Sixel
    That player, unless they get Alvarez from teh Dodgers, is likely to be their best prospect, and a top 30 or higher ranking overall, so good point. But yes, we could look back.... I get it, for some people, the Twins should not be expected to be anything more than average at stuff. That's fine......for me, if your strategy is to refuse to sign or trade for expensive players, you have to be better at drafting and developing to be good, that's the strategy they chose. If they are merely as good as other teams at that, well, that's how you end up being awful, since you've cut off one or more avenue for acquiring talent. If people think having one of the ten worst farm systems is acceptable, that's just where we disagree. no biggie to me.
  6. Mike Sixel
    got it, we just crossed wires there some. thought I'd go more like rounds 5+ for org need to some degree.
  7. Mike Sixel
    I'll give you 4:1 odds right now, Brock, they aren't an 83 win team. PM me if interested.
  8. Mike Sixel
    12:40 Kiermaier’s Piercing Green Eyes: What kinds of players’ values go up/down now vs at the trade deadline? 12:41 Dave Cameron: Guys coming off career years who will use 25% of their pre-FA service time remaining, like Dozier, will almost certainly see their value go do down. Guys with unproven track records, health questions, or inconsistent performances (think Rich Hill) can have their values go up a lot. 12:58 Ben: Based on current personnel and trajectory, which is the last franchise to return to relevance: Reds, Padres, D-Backs, or Twins? 12:58 Dave Cameron: The Padres are so far away. So far.
  9. Mike Sixel
    12:15 YOYOma: assuming twins hold onto dozier with plans to trade him at deadline, and multiple contending teams have needs now at 2b, does he still return better than what dodgers are offering right now at de leon plus? 12:15 Dave Cameron: No. Buck: If the Twins can’t convince the Dodgers to include more pieces in a Dozier- De Leon deal, do you think they might be willing to build a trade around Verdugo instead? Could something like Verdugo, Calhoun, Buehler and Brock Stewart get it done? 12:21 Dave Cameron: That is way, way too much.
  10. Mike Sixel
    we certainly agree on that last point.
  11. Mike Sixel
    but, that's not what he said in the reply, was it.......the context of the discussion was that for a team that has been this bad, and that traded two starting CFers, they should be in the top 10, not bottom 10, in farm system rankings. Four top 100 prospects....30 teams....so an average team should have three plus, and a team that has lost 90+ games 4 of the last 5 years should have how many if they are just average at drafting?
  12. Mike Sixel
    Don't forget, Park is already 30......he was a short term play, a bet that 2015 was not luck driven.
  13. Mike Sixel
    If anyone thinks they have a 25% or 20% or 10% chance of making the playoffs, you should be in Vegas. Because they have much larger odds than that. Yes, I think if you ran 1000 simulations, they'd make the playoffs around 2-3% of the time. Maybe 5, but that seems high to me.
  14. Mike Sixel
    you keep quoting that anecdote to prove that talent evaluators have no skill.....even if they are wrong sometimes, that does not make them bad at their job. And, clearly, not everyone knew he would suck, or they would not have rated him highly. Frankly, you might want to come up with another line, or some more data. There have actually been studies done, you may be surprised to find that being a highly rated prospect and success is highly correlated.....
  15. Mike Sixel
    Of course it is part of the equation. Everything is, that's what is so hard about building an organization. LOTS of variables, many outside of your control.
  16. Mike Sixel
    So, never take a catcher? People say this all the time, but it is almost always a SS or CF or SP that is the BPA in every round that matters. Context does matter, it does. Round 1, sure, take BPA. Maybe round 2. But after that, you have to have a certain number of OFs and SPs and Cs and others in your system.
  17. Mike Sixel
    I would think TX would want ESan.....not sure why there is no steam there. Heck, Houston should want ESan also.
  18. Mike Sixel
    That team was very lucky in 2015, can luck happen again? Sure. Can every player get better and healthy? Sure. But, imo, a huge corporation shouldn't bet its future on luck.
  19. Mike Sixel
    If they sign two legit starters in FA, sure, I could maybe get behind that. I'd argue LB and maybe DT are bigger needs than RB, though. I think we largely agree on this path to success....
  20. Mike Sixel
    Well, it does cost taxpayer money, it does distract universities from caring about academics (look at HS football in TX, and the money spend on stadiums, and NOT on classrooms and teachers), and no other country ties sports and education like this....and many have passed us on education. I wonder why.....could it be because we are spending money and time and resources on sports, and not on education? Not to mention the fact a bunch of guys are getting rich off of unpaid athletes.
  21. Mike Sixel
    But the OL is, imo, a bigger hole. It has to be filled for this team to be better, but if they go into next year with McKinnon and random FA back, with a much better OL, they can still win, imo.
  22. Mike Sixel
    Agreed on all points, and a decent RB can have success behind a decent OL also....fix the OL.
  23. Mike Sixel
    20% likely to be in the playoff hunt? No chance. Wow. Based on what, and if you really believe that, you should be in Vegas betting for sure.
  24. Mike Sixel
    And three of those were acquired BEFORE the team was bad....so, so far, being bad hasn't helped. And, based on the podcast, it doesn't sound like the drafts when the teams were terrible have been all that good...... That was the point of the post you reacted to, they've been terrible, but have little to show for that...
  25. Mike Sixel
    Oh, I am sure they think this will keep bonus numbers down, it's still a stupid rule, unless your only goal is to keep bonuses down....
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