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Not sure if this has been brought up yet, but I'm going to put this out there for some context: Anibal Sanchez (2017): 8.9 K/9 2.5 BB/9 (with 28G and 17GS in the AL) Jake Arrieta (2017): 8.7 K/9 2.9 BB/9 That said, I am a big Arrieta fan. If we can get him for reasonable money that doesn't hamstring us down the road, I'd love to have him.

A lot is being made of Sano's weight during this ST, again. However, he was dealing with a stress frature in his shin. Wouldn't that make it hard to much of any cardio? If he was resting up to get healthy, even if that meant putting on some pounds, I'm okay with that so long as he's ready to go. I'd be inclined to be critical if he ended 2017 healthy but he wasn't. So given his talent, I'm inclined to give him a pass this year.

As spring draws near, it's time to reflect on the winter that was and look ahead to another season full of hope and promise. I've been thinking a lot about several things and am curious to hear thoughts from the TD community. The Twins Window (2020?) It was great to watch young Twins hitters emerge last year but with four super teams in the AL, we have to consider when is our best window? The core of our offense is still pretty young. Historically, players peak around age 27. For Sano, Buxton, Rosario, Polanco, and Kepler, that puts our offensive peak around 2020. A lot can happen between now and then, but that's 5/9 of our lineup that was very good in 2017 at ages 23-25. The offensive talent coming up in the 2019 free agent class is impressive. Rich teams like the Yankees and Red Sox may even be better in 2019, but our lineup could be very formidable from 2018 to 2023 at least. Of course, now one is punting on 2018 or 2019. We've got a chair and more than a few chips, but looking at 2020 and beyond... a mature core of young hitters could be a dominant force. Combine that with a front office who knows how to develop a pitching staff, and I'm very excited for the future of this club - I'm just not sure if that future will come as soon as we'd like. I hope success comes sooner, but realistically, we may have to wait a bit longer. So let's not get down if we continue to fall short of NYY, BOS, CLE, and HOU. Those are just very strong teams at the moment. The 2017/2018 Offseason There's been a lot of consternation about the lack of big deals handed out this offseason. Hosmer and Martinez got paid, but the exponential growth in spending definitely took a step back this year and it makes you ask what's going on? I hope the answer to this riddle is that ownership among the big market teams are simply saving their chips for 2019. I also wonder if they are maybe looking at the new tax code changes and saying, now is the time to take some profit without having to pay as much back in taxes. This seems like the most likely explanation, that and this year's class just wasn't overwhelming overall. But could there be other explanations? Remember these clubs are run by people who have way more information at their disposal than your average rube. Is this newfound austerity a signal of fear that an economic recession could be looming? The economy is doing pretty well and I think a downturn would be unexpected to many of us, but again, there's that nagging question... do they know something we don't?

Took a look back at middle infielders at AA as comps to Gordon (who posted a wRC+ of 117 in the Southern League last year and was 13/20 in SBs). Fangraphs link. One thing that really stood out was Gordon's K% versus other MI's with significant PAs. The guys that made good had a lower K%. There just isn't a precedent for a player succeeding after posting a similar OPS, wRC+, and K% as Gordon. Gordon has also benefited from a pretty high BABIP during his minor league career, likely a product of him being a fast, LH hitter. But you have to wonder if that will hold once his tendencies are subjected to the scrutiny of big league shifts. I realize that his K% was lower in previous years, but still he had nearly 600 PAs in AA last year (and was healthy all year long I believe). It's a significant sample. This is all important context, but it's past performance. There's good reason to believe he COULD become a serviceable big leaguer, but there's a lot of reason to think he may fall short of that. So, given all that, the obvious answer is to move him if we can get a good offer. If we can't, keeping him as an insurance policy for Polanco isn't a bad idea but until he shows otherwise, I don't think his name should be automatically penned into the lineup in 2019 or beyond. Again, I'm much more optimistic about some of the names further down this Top 20 list.

I'd have Gordon further down on this list too. If he can't stick at SS, that's huge. And there's questions about how much upside there is to the bat. High floor, low ceiling seems to be the label. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but those types of players are usually readily available and we (appear) to have at least a couple better internal options (Now: Polanco/Adrianza Future: Lewis). Plus, I'm always turned off by fast players who can't steal bases efficiently. Is this a skill that can be improved as players advance? I'm not sure what history says on this, but if he can't increase his success rate then that major part of his game is much less valuable. I hope the FO is shopping him for pitching unless the Twins are sky high on his intangibles, which we as fans know next to nothing about. He has the wheels, projects to be stronger than his brother, and has pretty good contact skills. If he can improve his SB%, cut his K's just a bit, and bump up the SLG, all while developing better instincts at SS, he'd probably be a top 15 SS. That's a lot of ifs, but if the Twins truly believe he can do those things before Lewis catches up to him, then fine. A little thought experiment. Forget where Gordon was drafted and about his brother's career. Would he still be as highly regarded?

Lots of FAs still out there. Admittedly, I haven't been following things as closely as most winters, but nonetheless here's my late winter FA wish list (in no particular order, if some are done then it doesn't make sense to do others): Jose Bautista Francisco Liriano Trade Rosario for pitching and sign JD Martinez Jake Petricka (south Metro rep!) Michael Saunders Tony Watson Jason Grilli Clay Buchholz Jake Arrieta (if the money is right)

A game ifs... fml.. good season.

I knew it was bad, but holy sh**.

I think they show Jays games around Canada on CSN.

Not really related to the OP, but I found this tool on baseball-reference and thought it was really cool. Here's the Twins hitters sorted by OPS through the last 45 days: https://www.baseball-reference.com/tiny/A4baZ Buxton and Dozier have been terrific. Stats over a full season or recent seasons stats are important, but that's a long term measure of how good a hitter is... not necessarily how well they are hitting currently. I'd rather face a good hitter in a slump than an average hitter who is raking. Hitting often goes in streaks. Plus, sometimes guys simply elevate or lower their performance level. Anyway, looking at the Twins best hitters over the past 30-45 days explains why Polanco and Buxton are hitting in the 3 hole. This list is sorted pretty differently than the full season stats we typically see.

Torii say how much he won at the casino last night?

Some interesting insights from Mauer's batting split data: - He far is "more productive" with men on base in terms of OPS, than with bases empty. This surprised me somewhat because he's generally posted pretty meager RBI totals for someone hitting in the middle of the order (side note: I AM NOT a guy who gets too hung up on RBI totals, but they do mean something). However, this "statistically clutch performance" is misleading, as I'll explain. - Mauer's walk rate with bases empty or with 1st base occupied is 9.7% (K/BB: 0.73). With men on but first base open: 24.9% (K/BB: 2.31). Pitchers are happy to walk him with guys on base and he's content to take the free base. Though this isn't a bad thing, it's not great either. With guys on 2nd and 3rd especially, a batted ball, a base hit, and a walk are very different things. Quite often, Mauer's at-bats with RISP result in a passing of the baton to the next hitter. But it's also a chicken/egg thing, perhaps he's being walked more because there's been less of a threat hitting behind him. Virtually all of Mauer's additional OPS with guys on base is due to him taking more walks. This underscores the problem this lineup has had for quite awhile, aside from Sano, we haven't had a big-time hitter to knock in runners behind Mauer. However, the size of Mauer's contract and his move to first has hindered the team's ability to sign/install that type of hitter. Mauer's walk rate is slightly higher than Miguel Cabrera and Mike Trout with runners on (but first base open), but it's close. So his performance isn't too unusual, but the differential is likely larger. As TD nation has said repeatedly, Mauer is better suited to the #2 hole, but the FO is paying him like a #3 hitter, so that is probably where he will remain.

Not one dab on the jumbotron, crazy... True Sunday crowd I guess.

Getting a lot of time at the ballpark today. Two guys behind us could have a comedy podcast, they probably do... Who doesn't these days.

Awesome post Parker! The Seinfeld reference is spot on. We're all sick about hearing the pilot tell us we are flying around another weather pattern, when will we get there!?

Poor contact has to do with one of the following: a poor swing plane poor timing The worse your swing plane, the harder it is to be on time with the swing. Focusing on hitting groundballs will probably make contact harder, not easier. Buxton is usually too early, I think he needs to just let the ball get deeper. I know that's not a new theory, but it's true... and it's easier said than done, takes a lot of practice and repetition. http://www.efastball.com/images/hitting-ted-williams-swing-plane.jpg

Anybody going to the game tomorrow? Berrios day!

This Pazos guy looks hard to pick up for lefties, or maybe I'm just not his type. Buh-dumdum.

Oh Eddie!!

Cy Gaviglio... Apologies if someone already went there, I just got here.

Those are valid points. It's too bad the reds didn't give him the chance to start. I suspect his value would have been much higher, but that is obviously a hypothetical at this point.

What are you talking about? He had 13.8 K/9 and just 4 walks in 28 innings. I'm not saying I want him in the field. He throws 100 mph. Just take him. How many teams wish they had paid for Aroldis Chapman when they had the chance?

For posterity, Greene was the guy I wanted at 1-1 and it wasn't even close. He will be an absolute stud.

Fun game. My bottom five would be: Tampa Cincinnati Miami Oakland Detroit

The .377 average and 4 HRs scare me. I know HS stats aren't supposed to mean anything, but they are relevant when you get over 220 ABs and go 1-1. There was a rare phenom arm and a couple really good college pitchers sitting there. In case you are wondering Jeter hit over .500 all 3 years of HS and struck out once his senior year.