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Adam

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Everything posted by Adam

  1. Adam
    Having Buxton and Sano break camp with the team, as exciting as might be for fans, is totally irresponsible stewardship of their service time. The only impact player who recently broke camp with his team and stayed up the whole season that I can think of is Jason Heyward with the Braves in 2010, and the Braves won 91 games that year and won the Wild Card before losing to the Giants in the playoffs. In that case, the Braves had a clear need in the outfield, and having Heyward up for the extra two weeks at the beginning of the season made sense for them because they expected to be competing for a playoff berth. The Twins won't be in such a position next year. Let Buxton and Sano prove they can dominate in AA and AAA first.
  2. Adam
    I echo the comments about needing a top of the rotation starter. If the Twins are as far under budget as people seem to believe, they could afford to add a high-end arm to the rotation. I realize that May and Meyer both need opportunities, but the team will need at least six starters next year because someone inevitably will get injured. The Dodgers supposedly had an embarrassment of starting pitching at the beginning of the season with Kershaw, Greinke, Ryu, Beckett, Haren, Maholm, and Billingsley (who's been hurt all year). They wound up needing to acquire Roberto Hernandez and Kevin Correia because all of those first seven pitchers have had either injury or performance concerns. Yes, the Twins have Hughes, Gibson, Nolasco, Meyer, May, Milone, and Pelfrey either under contract or under control for next season, but I'd rather those guys be making starts than Logan Darnell and Kris Johnson when someone inevitably gets hurt. Beyond that, if Nolasco isn't pitching better, I'd have no problem sending him to the bullpen to work as a long man if he isn't getting better results next season and younger, cheaper guys are putting up better numbers. Nolasco's HR rate is above both his career norm and league average, but his FIP is 4.55 and with his innings pitched totals makes him good for only 0.6 fWAR. Yes, he's been unlucky and his ERA is more than a run higher than his FIP (and nearly two runs higher than his xFIP), but his peripherals suggest he hasn't been good either. I doubt the Twins would consider moving him to the bullpen, but if they're serious about winning, they ought to think about it.
  3. Adam
    I'll add another move to the discussion--they could option Parmelee and let him develop more at Rochester as well, either by being the everyday first baseman or by rotating between first and right. I don't know the Rochester roster all that well, but maybe they could give Aaron Bates and his .359 OBP a shot as well.
  4. Adam
    Kyle Gibson would likely have been in the team's rotation plans in a big way this year. Add him to the list with Baker and Liriano. Arguably, that's two of the team's top six starters who are out for the year, and a third who's a complete mess. Ownership's decision to reduce payroll left Ryan without the money he needed to address all the holes in the roster. The minors didn't have enough talent to fill those holes either. Neither of those things fall on Ryan or Gardenhire.
  5. Adam
    I have the opposite perspective on absolute vs. relative records early in the season. I agree it'd be nice if the Twins were within 2 games of the division lead three weeks from now, but I'd rather see them win some games. I'll judge how good the team is relative to other teams based upon how many games they win against other teams, not how well they keep pace with Detroit. If the other teams in the AL Central all had crappy records and the Twins managed to go 6-14 over their next twenty games, but still be within two games of first place, I wouldn't be happy.
  6. Adam
    If I were the GM, I would decline his option and sign him to a deal that had lots of incentives based on innings pitched. I would offer him a $4 million dollar base contract, and I would give him $750,000 for pitching 100 innings and another $750,000 for each 10 innings he pitches over 100 innings. That way, if he comes back and pitches 200 innings, he'd earn $12.25 million. Maybe you could adjust the figures around a little bit, but if he could pitch the way he has in the past for 200 innings, he'd certainly be worth the $12.25 million.
  7. Adam
    I think it's nearly impossible to find players who have a sustained track record of striking people out while limiting walks in the Rule 5 draft, because those players are already protected by their current teams. The Twins have added several power arms who can't throw strikes to their system over the last several years (Lester Oliveros, Jim Hoey, and Juan Morillo come to mind) via trades and waiver claims. None of these guys have amounted to much, and Oliveros is the only one still with the organization. Terry Doyle posted a good ERA in the Arizona Fall League in a small sample size, and the Twins took a shot on him based on that. ERA isn't the best thing to use to evaluate pitchers, but unfortunately whatever evaluations an organization makes for taking a player in the Rule 5 draft almost need to be based on a small sample of data.
  8. Adam
    As a Twins fan living in the San Francisco Bay Area, I can attest that AT&T Park really is a pretty cool place. I still haven't made it back to Target Field, so that's tops on my list. Fenway Park is number two.
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