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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. Indeed. For me it just isn't time to trade good prospects for rentals or to take $100 million gambles on declining players. Yes they should add a reliever or three, perhaps a better catcher option but there is still a longer view I'm excited about.
  2. Interesting perspective. I don't agree but an interesting way to view it. I personally kind of like methodical rebuilds that result in sustained success and then strike when the moment is right. Prefer it much over say the Padres model, which is the likely result of chasing after moves like this.
  3. You'd rather the Twins fail than succeed? I don't buy this for a second. They get Tulo, doesn't get them quite over the hump, hamstrings them from making other moves, then people complain that they don't do anything. I ran this by a couple of my non-Twins fans but savvy baseball guys and they chuckled at the thought. Made no sense in their mind from any angle other than the purely emotional.
  4. Sure in that they aren't Buxton or Sano. But would have been equivalent of Berrios and May, perhaps even slightly better. I'm not sure how Reyes is valued but can't be much. Twins surely could have done it but would have clobbered their meager pitching depth.
  5. Got to admit, I didn't think the Rockies were all that serious about trading Tulo unless they were blown away. It is an OK trade for them, but certainly doesn't blow anyone away.
  6. The pitchers are good (Hoffman is way up from preseason) but the Reyes part makes me wonder. He seems to have negative value with that contract. Rockies do clear $50 mil overall though.
  7. 7th seems about right. Right on the border of getting his number retired.
  8. As good as any other agent? Boras has proven he'll take the Pohlad's money.
  9. I don't buy this reliever narrative as stated above. Perkins and Graham were locked in. Fien, Thompson and Boyer were pitching above their ability early in the season and the Twins wisely rode them. Duensing was obviously bad but it seems the patience was rewarded. Stauffer not so much but they moved on. This leaves one clear spot as well as occasional 8 man bullpen and injury replacements. Th is is where they used Pressly, Tonkin, O'Rourke, Thielbar. Just because they haven't dipped into the next tier down doesn't mean it was a mistake. They went after wins aggressively when they had the chance. It was the right move.
  10. Is there a study on effectiveness? The issue that comes up for building up innings is effectiveness later into games and later into the season, not just injuries. May is a great example, as he is building up innings he is far and away last in innings per start among Twins starters this year. And what is proven from that study is that previous injuries are the best predictor of future injuries. But of course it says nothing about what can best prevent the first injury (but in Carleton's defense no one knows).
  11. I'm not hesitant to use unproven guys if they are good. I just don't see it with the internal guys being mentioned outside of Duffey and Berrios, and I'm not calling up Berrios until late August unless he is replacing a starter. For who to replace - I would say Boyer is DFAed, and then May is either sent back to AAA or Pelfrey is flipped and May is back in the rotation.
  12. I agree with the Berrios plan. The other part is he is probably the starter that gets called up if a need arises. And keeping him as a starter might make it possible to flip Pelfrey and move May back in the rotation. It really isn't a dilemma to make space for Duffey if he is ready.
  13. Considering Oliveros is hurt, hasn't pitched in a month, and was pretty mediocre leading up to that, probably about time to stop mentioning him as an option. Duffey sure, why not, but the other two aren't exactly going to move the needle a whole lot. Rogers hasn't been all that great against righties so why replace O"Rourke and/or Duensing, and Tonkin is clearly better than Achter.
  14. To me the logical internal guys to move into that role were Tonkin and Pressly. Tonkin got some chances and didn't do much and Pressly got hurt. I just don't see the AAA guys as coming in and being overly effective. Has to come from the outside and those guys haven't moved yet.
  15. Fien has an option, Boyer isn't long for the team, and Duensing is pitching just fine recently. These aren't problems. More to the point, the reason Fien is considered a liability is that he pitches the highest leverage innings. Calling up someone from AAA to take these innings would just change who the liability is. Twins really need to bring in someone from outside the org and push Fien into more of a 7th inning role and he'll be fine. Fien is good enough for a role in an mlb pen, just not as he is used. Boyer not so much.
  16. The quotes on Suzuki struck me as the kind you say about a well-liked professional player right before you replace him.
  17. Beyond that, Walker doesn't really move on behalf of these guys - he'll be promoted when the Twins want him to take on a new level.
  18. Why is this even brought up and/or acknowledged? The Twins are trying to win, they aren't going to trade good players for prospects. If (and it's a massive if) Plouffe is traded it will be to fill another hole, like C, SS or SP.
  19. Is an OPS+ of 98 for a (ahem) limited defender at a corner even that good?
  20. And they should demand a king's ransom. Two more years of control after this year for very cheap. They could try again this offseason to compete and if it doesn't work move him at the deadline next year.
  21. I agree with this and want to add something. This does not mean either is a "bust" or should be cut immediately (which Chief is not suggesting). It also doesn't mean that they aren't the type of players that another team might want to target, but it will be for a reliever or rental, not for a core player. For a core player they might be the second or third piece of a deal, but they can't be the main pieces. The same reasons people want to have them as main trade pieces are the same reasons teams aren't going to be that interested in them.
  22. Agree. And it is highly unlikely the Giants would trade Susac (or Brewers trade Lucroy or Padres trade Norris) in the middle of the season. Good bats at premium positions with multiple years of control just don't move at the deadline.
  23. I think people on this board are really good at diagnosing problems, while the solutions leave a little to be desired (which probable explain why they remain problems). Unrealistic trades and extremely optimistic projections for minor leaguers play much better in theory than the actual mlb.
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