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kab21

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Everything posted by kab21

  1. kab21
    This doesn't make the Gio trade look any better but Beane zags when others zigs.
  2. kab21
    The thing is that Berrrios isn't Kershaw or Felix. If he's dominating at the all star break then he should be promoted. I am expecting him to be good but not great next year.
  3. kab21
    prospects need time. you don't rush a prospect because of need. Plus the Twins have Gibson, May and Meyer in AA/AAA.
  4. kab21
    There's also the difference between football and baseball. In football there is a lot of parity and teams rise and fall fast. In baseball a team like the National's is poised for a 5+ year run.
  5. kab21
  6. kab21
    He's saying that including the results in each poll would be helpful to the casual voters.
  7. kab21
    He is almost for sure going to start in low A and I would give him a <20% chance of moving up. He's good but he's not an elite HS'er or a college pitcher that is going to move fast. And the Twins do have a history of taking it slow with prospects. However if he dominates low A he could get promoted in the 2nd half.
  8. kab21
    I really don't have a problem with Saunders at 3/21. He's unimpressive but solid. I like this better than Jackson at 52+M or Sanchez at 80+M. The problem that I have is the lack of direction that Ryan took this offseason in FA. He had about 30M that he could have spent in FA. If Saunders is signed for 3/21 then he would have spent 17M this year and committed 35M to 3 pitchers that you hope can have 4-4.50 ERA's. And this trio of contact pitchers is in front of a horrible defense. There's nothing wrong with the dollar or year commitments but it's unimpressive considering that money is available.
  9. kab21
  10. kab21
    This really isn't that confusing. Niko Goodrum should be on the next list. And then there is the issue of all the RP'ers that could sneak into the top 20. I still don't know where to put them.
  11. kab21
    Your problem is not Spanish punctuation but rather awful punctuation. Everybody makes mistakes typing. I frequently forget words because my typing is slower than my thinking and I'm not a bad typer. Your problem is long, run on sentences separated by 10 commas. If you do use periods then you don't use spaces and capital letters. This is basically the equivalent of my elementary age English students in Taiwan. Or it's like a string of text messages connected by commas. Your spelling is not very good either.
  12. kab21
    I agree that spending money just to spend money is wrong. Some just like to rant about payroll being lower w/o looking at how the Twins could have actually have spent that money. Where the Twins FO have failed so far this offseason is adding a couple of players on shortish contracts where they wouldn't be blocking a young player. Other than a few exceptions (like the cubans) teams can't divert unspent MLB budgets to int'l FA's or draft picks. Bringing in an average RP'er (like Frasor or several others) adds an asset that can be traded or make it possible to trade Burton and/or Perkins. The Twins weren't even linked to a MI this offseason. I wanted them to get the best pitcher that 3/35 could have bought because the fact is that it's highly unlikely that the Twins even come close to a 100M payroll in the next couple of years. If the pitcher busts then at least the contract is off the books in a couple of years and didn't prevent the Twins from signing anyone. It's also possible that the Twins can trade that pitcher near the end and pick up a prospect. Instead they got Correia and Pelfrey.
  13. kab21
    The problem that is becoming increasingly obvious is that you know nothing about the players that you are talking about. You are so completely infatuated with Lara's 100 mph fastball that you don't even notice that he completely sucked AND CAN'T EVEN K A BALL HITTERS. there's a reason why EVERY MLB TEAM passed on him AT LEAST ONCE. There are plenty of things to criticize the Twins about but rule 5 picks are not it. I'll certainly take the Twins analysis over the some random guy on the internet that has never seen any of the talked about players EVER play. Here's an example of your analysis that is questionable and show that you don't know what you are talking about:
  14. kab21
    Diamond won't play due to his offseason surgery. Twins | Scott Diamond won't play in WBC - MLB Hot off the Wire Hendriks is out for the same reason. I wonder if Puerto Rico will need guys like Berrios and Rosario. I remember they took Gutierrez in 2009.
  15. kab21
    I'm much more concerned that nobody is pushing the MI'ers.
  16. kab21
    Most statements regarding Rosario are 'if he can stick' and not 'he cannot stick' at 2B. You basically say the same in your top 10. I give him a 50/50 chance of staying there.
  17. kab21
    It's called being realistic. He's still going to be a very good player.
  18. kab21
    Silly argument. You have a valid argument for Whitaker but Trammell was no doubt one of the top 4 SS's in the league while he played (counting Larkin). I would put him in before Sosa, Palmeiro, Raines and Bagwell and that's not an argument against those guys. I really like Trammell.
  19. kab21
    Still not the problem. It's the scheduling where a starter might get 6+ days of rest. Or they need to keep a guy available as a long man and he misses a bullpen session. Or the extra starters that don't get regular starts. In spring training a starter is assigned a specific schedule and it doesn't matter if it's the MLB game, an MiLB game or on the back field he is going to pitch on that day. That schedule is thrown out the window in the WBC.
  20. kab21
    My concern isn't overusage but rather the change to their spring training schedule when they are still building up strength. And possibly reaching back for that little extra since it's a game that matters.
  21. kab21
    That was the concern but I think that is largely myth. I still get a little concerned about starting pitchers that get knocked out of their spring training routine.
  22. kab21
    Does Mark Portugal have a team?
  23. kab21
    I'm not really concerned about a RP'er going. A starter is an entirely different matter but the Twins don't have any good ones so that isn't a factor.
  24. kab21
    You can't really use the hittrackeronline website to project guys that will hit more HR's the following year. If you wanted to do that then you would need to have a data set of 'just misses'. You can do a different analysis to project Willingham's 2013 HR's Games played - 2013 was a career high for an often injured player that turns 34 next month. Fewer games = fewer HR's HR/FB - 21.2% was a career high by a fair amount so for the same reason as looking at the hittrackeronline data you would expect a regression. He has always played in pitchers parks so that hurts his career HR/FB rates but I would still expect a regression there. One interesting thing about looking at the hittrackeronline data. Many have said that Willingham was successful at Target Field because he was more of a pull hitter than Cuddyer. Willy actually hit his HR's mostly to LC and CF just like Cuddyer. Plouffe was a definite pull hitter though last year.
  25. kab21
    Rosario is just behind the Hicks/Arcia/Meyer tier and in a tier by himself (or possibly with Gibson). If I thought for sure that he was sticking at 2B then he might move ahead of that trio.
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