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kab21

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Everything posted by kab21

  1. kab21
    I eat before the game and only get a drink if I need to at the game. Carrying snacks in works also. I find it hard to applaud Cleveland for anything. They lowered the price of a hot dog from an outrageous $4 to a still outrageous $3. it's a fricken hot dog.
  2. kab21
    I clearly stated this in response to CDog on page 2 and yet you continued to argue.
  3. kab21
    It's strange that seem to be aware of this yet think that he could handle the MLB offensively this year. If you continue to post nonsense you should expect to be called on it. Rosario would get absolutely destroyed against MLB pitching right now. Not even his bat is ready. It would be absolutely depressing to watch Rosario in the MLB this year.
  4. kab21
    I'll take the option where the Twins can have for 6.9 years (or 6.8 or 6.7) and the option to try to sign him to an extension buying out an additional if he earns it. The Twins haven't had many prospects as good as Gibson when getting called up in the last decade. I think gibson is going to stick in the majors for good when he gets called up. Hicks might need another go in the minors though. Unless an injury occurs I'm okay rolling with Diamond, Worley, Pelfrey, Correia and Hendriks and allowing gibson to be that guy that replaces the ineffective/injured one in May.
  5. kab21
    I don't even bother trying to predict lucky or unlucky seasons. Pretty much every hitter in the MLB aside butera, Dunn, Uggla and similar is capable of hitting .290. I see Hicks as a .260's hitter and would allow for a +/- 30-40 pt swing in peak lucky/unlucky BA's making it possible for him to hit anywhere from .230-.300 in any given season. Because that huge range I dislike bothering with peak projections. I'm significantly more interested in what a hitter is going to do each season.
  6. kab21
    -The scouts are mostly saying that he only has gap power (10-15 HR's and a lot of doubles) despite his great numbers so far. I will be watching very closely to see if he puts on a show in the FSL to prove them wrong. I also own him in my fantasy league...
  7. kab21
    Continue to cling to the player development exception instead of the norm. And again Torii Hunter isn't a .300 hitter because he did it (almost did it) twice in a 15 yr career. Players have lucky seasons all the time and Hunter had a .389 BAPIP (really lucky) last year. Do you also consider Kubel a .300 hitter?
  8. kab21
    I'll still pick Mauer. Maybe in a year I would pick Sano, Buxton, Meyer, Hicks or Arcia but right now there are too many question marks regarding them.
  9. kab21
    Definitely like the guy. I really hope that he gets 250 PA's every season as a reserve. I really hope he doesn't 600 PA's as a starter. I also really liked Nick Punto but people ragged on him because he was a starter out of necessity. In a different role he would have been liked much more. the same will likely be true of Mastro.
  10. kab21
    Perhaps there are special rules for Baby Jesus. Pretty awesome news though for him. And kind of perfect for the face of the franchise.
  11. kab21
    tbh - I really don't care about Parmelee's defense. I expect it to be somewhere between bad and awful in the OF and I expect a spot to open up at DH/1B by the trade deadline. Someone will be traded or injured by then. What I do care about is his bat. He needs to be in the .775-.800 OPS range to have any value as a starter. He has shown progress in the last 3 seasons cutting down on the K's and then adding the power back in but he still needs to do it at the MLB level.
  12. kab21
    I'm kind of thinking we should start a private FB group to take these discussions off here. I think I'm headed towards multiple suspensions in the future here because this place is overrun by idiots. Either that or I simply stop coming here.
  13. kab21
    If you'll notice that Hunter's 7pt BA improvement is a far cry from the 20 pt improvement that you projected by Hicks. Additionally there are dozens of examples where BA's fell by 10-30 pts. It's not like I cherry picked these examples to make my argument. If I had I wouldn't have included Hunter even though I knew you would latch onto the Hicks-Hunter without acknowledging just how rare it is for someone to do what Hunter did. Your analysis and projections continue to focus on the very unlikely scenarios while others live in a world of reality. Actually I did cherry pick the examples. I only included those that succeeded at the MLB level. That list would look far worse if I included the Restovich's and other AAA flameouts. Nobody is defending me. they are simply agreeing that your projections, analysis and thoughts are not very good.
  14. kab21
    I made my roster cuts today. Now I'm ready for an uneventful draft after the first picks.
  15. kab21
    I'm realistic in my expectations so I don't get disappointed.
  16. kab21
    The reason it bothers me is that a lot of people read the site and when they start seeing projections like this then they start believing that Hicks can be that type of player. And then they are disappointed when Hicks is hitting .265 with 14 HR's. He's a damn good player if he does that.
  17. kab21
    Based on your projections I think everyone is an elite prospect.
  18. kab21
    I now understand your comment. Ceiling doesn't equal Best season. Ceiling is what kind of player the prospect becomes for his career (or at least his 5 yr peak).
  19. kab21
    Why would I be interested in BEST MLB season? If I'm projecting someone then I'm projecting what you can expect him to do EVERY season and not just one flukey high BAPIP season. Hicks has .260's (or maybe even .250's) hitter written all over him. Luckily he walks a lot, plays great defense and has some (not 25 HR) power. Putting up a .700-.750 OPS with good CF defense is a very valuable player. Putting up mnfanforlife's numbers not only make him an all star but he's also an MVP candidate. That's how ridiculous those numbers are for a player of Hicks' track record.
  20. kab21
    Really? There is a huge difference between A+ and MLB. Rosario would get destroyed at the MLB level and I think he's actually a really good prospect.
  21. kab21
    Stuifbergen is definitely not in Twins camp like you say. I chatted with him for a minute last weekend at a WBC warm up game in Taiwan. I was hoping to see him pitch but no dice. I also saw Blyleven but barely. He was in the 'get to the bus as fast as possible' mood. After all there was a mob of at least 20 Taiwanese that he had to plow through and it's likely that none of them had any idea who he was.
  22. kab21
    So what's everyone think of the extremely lightweight Lake Show T-shirt material? I like the appearance but I'm not sure if there is enough shirt there to last for awhile. The red '91 T-shirt material feels perfect.
  23. kab21
    It's pretty clear that you haven't followed hardly any prospects from the minors to the majors. BA usually drops and it usually drops a lot. Throwing out a projection that is 4 pts higher than his best season ever is WAY over optimistic. Why is Sano's scouting report at all relevant to Hicks? Sano has struggled to hit for average for one season and he actually is a special prospect. Hicks has struggled to hit for average for 3.5 seasons and that is a relevant sample size. At the very least do you have a scouting report that suggests that Hicks will hit for average? Here are career MiLB and MLB BA's of most of the Twins that have succeeded at the MLB level in the last decade. I hope I don't need to tell you what the trend is. Mauer MiLB BA = .330 and MLB BA = .323 Kubel .320 - .268 Cuddyer .291 - .271 Morneau .311 - .280 Span .286 - .284 Hunter .270 - .277 - the only player whose average went up Koskie .288 - .275 Bartlett .299 - .271 Jones .295 - .277 Lecroy .290 - .260 Ortiz .310 - .285 Guzman .278 - .271 Hicks career MiLB .271 Do you have any idea how much of a statistical outlier it would be for Hicks to hit .290 in the majors? Like I said before .260's is what Hicks will likely hit and it could be much worse based on how much BA typically drops for MLB hitters.
  24. kab21
    .290 isn't a reach despite the FACT that he has NEVER hit .290 in full season ball? Your projections are nothing more than looking at a players ultimate upside and then adding some to it. The only time that Hicks has posted halfway decent BA's were in seasons where he had high BAPIP's. Typically those high BAPIP's go away in the majors due to better defenders and field conditions. Hicks is more likely a .260's hitter since BA's in the majors are typically lower than the minors. This year I'm just hoping he hits .250 and I'm not very optimistic.
  25. kab21
    I think you just make stuff up when you do your projections. Hicks is a .271 career hitter with 30 HR's in 3.5 full season ball seasons.
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