PseudoSABR
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Everything posted by PseudoSABR
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This guy Claude Taylor might be interesting to follow on twitter, he had the GJ subpoenas story a couple weeks ago, and is now reporting that Trump and Kushner families are moving money offshore. He also suggests Comey will still testify, though in a closed hearing
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Grand Jury has begun issuing subpoenas related the Russian investigation. I imagine this fact has more to do with Comey's dismissal than Clinton's email investigation.
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I think it backfires. The odds are at all time high for a special prosecution/investigation of some sort.
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Wow. Bad day for Comey who fudged the actual facts on the Clinton email saga, and now he gets fired. Did Comey not lie enough for you, Mr. Trump? Edit: The more that I think about it, Comey's recent fumbles with the Clinton emails provided Trump a lot of cover, as Comey's firing is likely not to generate much backlash from the left. Yet, it's hard to imagine that a Trump appointee will be any more independent than Comey was. I wonder how this will effect the logistics or directives of the Russia investigation. The need for an independent investigation, with security clearance, is perhaps at an all time high.
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I think in order to get to the reconciliation, the Senate would have to first pass a bill that would survive a legislative veto; thus, Republicans would need Democrat votes to even get to that step. I may be incorrect on this, but if that's the case, the Democrats should not support any version, because if they do, it will allow for reconciliation to take place, after the House has altered whatever protections Democrats demanded. Of course if the choice is to have bill that lets people die and one that doesn't, the Democrats should get involved, but I don't think that will be the choice. To be clear, my recommendation wasn't motivated by political optics for Democrats, rather to prevent the bill from going into reconciliation, and thus retaining Obamacare.
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Twins Acquire LHP Kevin Chapman For Danny Santana
PseudoSABR replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Let's give Hicks some more at bats before he becomes the standard of bad trades. He was really awful last year. -
Twins Acquire LHP Kevin Chapman For Danny Santana
PseudoSABR replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I like acquiring a non-40-man pitcher with experience. It gives the Twins flexibility and a low-end arm to potentially fill out the bullpen should it come to that without the use of a roster space. -
I guess DanSan had some value. Link.
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A conservative case for single-payer health care Let's hope this kind of rhetoric actually takes hold with conservative circles.
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Adrianza and Rucinski added to 25 man roster, DanSan DFA'd
PseudoSABR replied to Danchat's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Can people keep their Danny Santana pitchforks in the closet from now on? That'd be great.- 84 replies
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- ehire adrianza
- drew rucinski
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My worst case scenario: IIRC, reconciliation in the Senate will only require 50 votes. So the GOP game plan may very well be: pass some reasonable version in the Senate with 60 votes, goes back to the House and they add all their lunacy, comes back to Senate for reconciliation and they'll only need 50 votes, and we end up with much of the House lunacy. Dems can't play ball at all; they must support no version of any bill in the Senate.
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Passed by one vote. Don't see how it goes through the Senate. The legislative filibuster is still around (I think). The Republicans don't even know what they voted on; I look forward to them learning about it over the next several weeks of really bad press. As others have suggested in the other thread, I think this is the noose that will be tied around Republicans necks come 2018. That's the only tangible result of this bill, beyond Trump's good feels.
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It's a new regime. There may be problems with executing directives from Falvey/Levine by holdovers, but rest assured those directives, esp. in regard to pitching, have changed since TR. IIRC, Falvey/Levine talked about having a specific plan for every player in the organization. I just don't understand the cynicism regarding whether the new regime is really new. The expectation that they should have cleaned house was never realistic. Everyone within the organization likely realizes their jobs are on the line, if they--as you say--are stubbornly holding onto the old philosophy. (Maybe their communicating Terry Ryan even now through a back channel; what has Michael Flynn been up to since his dismissal as NSA?)
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Sorry to crop your post (thanks for actually bringing stats to the discussion), but I don't think there's a lot of basis for this assertion. I think the whole point coming from Molitor is that there are things Berrios can do to at AAA to learn to get ML hitters out. Whatever Berrios needs to show, probably can't be found in the boxscore.
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No worries. I wanted to clarify, as others may have read it the same you did. As for the assumption of positive intent...well, I wouldn't do that, it is the internet.
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This takes my comment out of context; I was responding to the assertion that too much success can affect development. Thus a player, here Berrios, would need to be motivated to be successful beyond what shows up in the AAA boxscore. It was not slight against Berrios, as you seem to suggest.
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It's what winning does to this place. It's all we have.
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You may be right, and it could come to firing Clipburn in the offseason. But Clipburn might be now given far more precise directives, and told to disregard results and focus on the Berrios ability to execute on those specific directives. I tend to think that the new regime is not as tolerant of the coaching autonomy that took place under TR. There's no excuse for Clipburn saying he doesn't know why Berrios succeeded at AAA yet not at ML, if Berrios wasn't locating his fastball... Let's hope for the time being, that someone has informed him why.
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Now that you mention it, I remember reading something like that too (in the specific case of Berrios; I know there was a disconnect between the minor leagues generally and the front office--can anyone source such a report?). If that's the case, isn't there hope that the new regime and the minor league coaches are on the same page, and we should give them more time to execute whatever plan they have?
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Unfortunately, I think Berrios would need to demonstrate ML success after his awful showing last year in order to fetch something of equitable value. I think the Twins like him plenty. He's 22; he's had just 33 innings this year at AAA--he'll be up within 6-8 weeks regardless of what he shows at AAA.
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So we ignore Berrios actual failure at the ML level because Tepesch has had so few opportunities? Look, I'd rather watch Berrios too, because he has such promise. But why not situate the guy for the best success? Why not defer to the people who see him for what he is beyond the boxscore? I'm sorry but you're arguments for why Berrios deserves a shot have nothing to do with what Berrios has done differently since 2016, and have only to do with how unappealing/unexciting the other options are. Give me some facts about Berrios that demonstrate improvement from 2016, and I'll concede he deserves a shot. This whole, well Gibson/Tepesch is horrible argument is a strawman. There's an unfortunate reality where Gibson, Tepesch and Berrios are all awful in 2016, and this is precisely the reason why you are cautious with the one that shows promise and might have a huge role in the future.
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What? It's not as if he's Alex Meyers, over 25, seeing his third or fourth time in the league. I think it says more about the former regime's lack of development prior to and within those 200 innings, than it does about hitting some innings threshold at AAA as a matter of rule.
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In the past, I've described the phenomenon as the pitching prospect's paradox. 1) If upon promotion, a pitching prospect succeeds, it means that the team kept him down too long, holding him back. 2) If upon promotion, a pitching prospect fails, it means the team let him fester in AAA too long and/or didn't properly develop him. The cynics are right no matter the case. This is the way conversations played out with Gibson and his initial failure, May and his initial failure, and Berrios just last year (not to mention Alex Meyers). I imagine the attitude was inherited from frustrations over Johan Santana being held out of the rotation when we signed Kenny Rogers that one Spring Training.
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What evidence do you have that Berrios deserves a second shot other than repetition and time? (He destroyed AAA last year too). Where's your firm ground, where's your solace? (Pointing to how bad the other parts of the rotation are does not support that Berrios stands a better shot of success). This is the throw-it-against-the-wall-and-see-if-it-sticks-rationale. And there is evidence that he will be worse than Tepesch. We seem to put out of our minds last year's line: ERA: 8.02, GS: 14, IP: 58.1, HR: 12, BB: 35, K: 49, ERA+ 52, FIP: 6.20, WHIP: 1.869. The innings are only low because of how poorly he performed. He started 14 games last year. And performed historically poorly. Give the guy more than a month to work on what's between AAA success and abysmal ML performance.
