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DaveW

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Everything posted by DaveW

  1. DaveW
    Nunez should not be playing SS at the major league level, for any time, frankly he shouldn't even be on a contending teams roster all together.
  2. DaveW
    500+ PA 5 years. And yeah, the injury concern is why the price for him isn't super sky high, if he was a 100% sure thing to play 162 games a year, then the asking price likely starts at Buxton PLUS Berrios and more.
  3. DaveW
    I don't care about the rest of the Rockies, I care that Tulo and his .819 road OPS makes him one of the best 3 hitting SS each of the last 5+ years., often times being tops overall!
  4. DaveW
    He is only 30, there are plenty of SS that are still effective into their mid 30's, I would say 5-6 years tops, with 4-5 years more likely.
  5. DaveW
    Negative 15.1 UZR/150 at SS in 2015, I mean, I guess if you wanna argue that Escobar who has no range, has a negative WAR, a terrible UZR this year at SS is the answer, then that's your right. I guess that makes you a more knowledgeable baseball mind then Molitor who clearly knows that Escobar isn't an every day SS answer.
  6. DaveW
    Lol, comparing him to Walker who played like 10 years ago.... I will mention again, his .819 OPS (road) still makes him the 2nd best hitting SS this year, and top 1,2 or 3 in pretty much each of the last 5 years as well. That also doesn't assume that the majority of all players hit better at home then on the road, so his target field splits could be expected to actually be a bit higher than an already great .819.
  7. DaveW
    At the end of the day you are talking about a guy who is on his way to the hall of fame as a SS who isn't that far removed from his prime (he doesn't turn 31 til after the season), if you are going to take a risk on anyone, he is the one to do it for. The odds that any of Polanco, May, Berrios, Vargas, Kepler ever play at a hall of fame level are so incredibly small that the risk is more than worth it. (I absolutely wouldnt give up Sano or Buxton, the two guys that do project to be potential hall of fame types if all breaks right)
  8. DaveW
    I would agree if Tulo was a rental, but trading for Tulo also makes him a significant part of the future (likely as one of your top 3 bats in the lineup for the next 4-5 years) The Twins have an abundance of corner OF/1B/DH types in the system and at the majors who are cost controlled, losing Kepler isn't going to hurt. Berrios is a nice prospect but he is far from perfect, his height alone and its effect on his fastball keeps him from being an "ace" type IMO. He likely ends up somewhere between a May and Gibson in terms of talent.
  9. DaveW
    Uh actually no it doesn't Brock not even close. Unless you claim that Suzuki is a negative 2.0 WAR player or something, which he isn't, even with his garbage year at the plate he is only on pace for -0.5. Meanwhile: Santana is currently a - (negative) 0.8 WAR player Escobar is currently a -(negaivte)0.5 WAR player So really a 5 WAR SS would have a net effect of a 6 WAR player. So yeah, next time you are going to make things up try for something a tad less preposterous.
  10. DaveW
    Trading for Tulo doesn't effect the Twins chances of signing Sano/Buxton long term. The Tulo contract would be done by the time Sano and Buxton would reach Free agency. Also by that time the Nolasco, Santana, Mauer, etc contracts would be off the books as well, most of them would be up by the time Dozier hits free agency as well.
  11. DaveW
    Mauer's current contract will likely be up by the time Gordon would be ready. The more likely scenario would be that Sano only sticks at 3rd for a few years before being moved to 1B or RF and Tulo moving to 3rd in 4 or 5 years.
  12. DaveW
    I don't understand why you even bring that up, its abundantly clear the Twins aren't going to trade one of Buxton or Sano for Tulo. Berrios shouldn't be in the same sentence as Buxton and Sano anyways. He is a nice prospect, but no where near what Sano and Buxton is/were/are.
  13. DaveW
    A .819 OPS would still make him the 2nd best hitting SS in the majors this year. That is the definition of "great"
  14. DaveW
    Gibson, Hughes, May could be a halfway decent playoff rotation. How do they have a huge question at DH? Have you not seen that Sano kid they called up? OF, I wouldn't call those huge question marks, if one of Hicks or Rosario start to struggle you have Arcia and Buxton ready to step in. Catcher can be fixed by trading a PTNBL type for AJ.
  15. DaveW
    Getting Tulo not only helps compete in 2015, but in 2016-2020 as well Brock... He likely adds 2-3 wins on his own in 2015 over the current SS solutions the Twins have, if they don't include Gibson in the trade I don't see how you can say they are making their holes worse and the team worse.
  16. DaveW
    if you have Tulo and Dozier for the next several years there isn't really a place for Polanco on the roster anyways.
  17. DaveW
    Also while I would love for the Twins to pull off the trade, I think the mets are the more likely destination, they desperately need some bars and have an absurd amount of young pitching and prospects that could be traded.
  18. DaveW
    Fwiw his career and 2015 road splits would be the twins 3rd best OPS in the lineup right behind Sano and Dozier. Considering he is a 5 WAR a year player and the combo of Escobar, Santana and Nunez is about a 1 WAR player you instantly have a much better team.
  19. DaveW
    Milone doesn't have any real value on the trade market, Santana won't get traded 3 starts into his Twins career and the Rockies already have one of the best 3rd baseman in the game, Plouffe is of no interest to them. They aren't giong to take a bunch of current AAAA types like Santana, Walker and Meyer for him, and Stewart is just too far away to headline a deal.
  20. DaveW
    Even with his injury in 2014 he still put up a 5.4 WAR. Tulo WAR numbers: 2009: 5.4 2010: 5.6 2011: 5.2 2012: 1.2 2013: 5.3 2014: 5.3 His K rate and BB rate this year are a bit concerning, but I think he can rebound, nad also that may be the reason why the Twins can get him at a bit of a discount now instead of having to give up a Sano like prospect. At 30 years old he very likely still has another 3-4 elite seasons in him before the real decline happens.
  21. DaveW
    Hughes would be a poor fit for that stadium, and the Twins aren't going to trade Hughes after signing him to two contracts in the last two years, that would be poor form/business practices. Hughes is going to be a Twins for at least the next couple years at the very least.
  22. DaveW
    Escobar isn't good enough defensively to be the everyday SS, that single on his "diving" catch is a perfect example, Santana or any other good defensive SS has the range to make that play and throw the runner out. If Escobar was ever good enough to stick defensively at SS the White Sox wouldn't have traded him in the first place. Escobar is good enough to stick defensively at 2B or 3B but his bat isn't big enough (plus he is big time blocked on the Twins anyways) Escobar is what he is: a decent Util guy, basically a poor mans Nick Punto with a little more pop, less defensive value and sub par head first slides into first skills.
  23. DaveW
    You have to give up someone of value, the list of takers for Tulo would be quite long and someone would offer something of value. None of those guys listed are good enough to be a centerpiece for a true game changer.
  24. DaveW
    Here are mine: Twins Wins: 37.5 Over Mauer's OPS: .815 Over Dozier HRs: 14.5 Over Sano HRs: 9.5 Over Hicks: .350 OBP Over Sano OPS: .900 Under (slightly) Hunter HR: 8.5 Under Perkins Saves: 22.5 Over Gibson ERA: 3.25 Over (Slightly) Santana ERA: 3.50 Over (slightly) Hughes ERA: 3.75 Under Arcia PA: 150 Over Buxton PA: 150 Under Trevor May Starts: 5.5 Over Mike Pelfrey Starts: 5.5 Under Alex Meyer IP: 6.5 Under Jose Berrios IP: 15.5 Over Kurt Suzuki OPS: .600 Over RP acquired via free agency and trade: 1.5 Over Catchers acquired via trade: 0.5 Over Trevor Plouffe OPS: .775 Over Brian Duensing ERA: 3.80 under Blaine Boyer ERA: 3.80 under Casey Fien ERA: 3.80 over
  25. DaveW
    Damnit, I meant to have the Twins wins at 37.5 wins. Can you first two guys go ahead and edit your response?
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