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Everything posted by stringer bell
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Article: Everything Old Is New Again
stringer bell replied to Steven Buhr's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Parker was a large human being, much like Sano. His listed weight was 230, but I'll bet by the late 80s, he was at least 250, if not more. He last played outfield regular in '87 at 35 years of age. Fifteen years ago, another large man played tried to be the biggest ever to play his position. His name was Duante Culpepper, who played in three Pro Bowls and was an All-Pro twice before suffering career-diminishing injuries. Finally, on to Buxton. I agree with theJacKemp, what is best for Buxton and the team long-term is what should be done. It may be best to start Buxton in Rochester, it may be best for him to start in center for the Twins. One mistake learned from Aaron Hicks would be to hit him down in the order to start. -
Article: Trevor May Should Be In The Rotation
stringer bell replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'll say it again--why the hue and cry to trade Tommy Milone? He is the most consistent starter the Twins have (worst ERA+ 90), he's experienced, under 30 and under team control. I get that we all want to see Nolasco gone, he's been ineffective and injured for two years, he's 33 and he makes three times as much money as Milone will next year, but Milone is decent and will continue to have value as long as he's decent. Every team goes through starters in the course of a year. Unless the Twins could get something substantial back that can help them this year, they should hang on to Tommy Milone. -
Article: Like It Or Not, May Is Bullpen Bound
stringer bell replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Burdi couldn't handle AA last year. Nolasco has been a successful pitcher in the majors and actually threw the ball fairly well in May of last year. If Burdi succeeds and Nolasco struggles, sure make that move, but that move won't be made until some time in the season. As I've said about the position players, it is true of the pitching staff, there are very few sure things for a team with postseason aspirations. May could implode too. -
Article: Regression Candidates in 2016
stringer bell replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Hicks-Rosario discussion is interesting since they are such different hitters. Hicks is more patient, but despite being the bigger man, he doesn't drive the ball as often. Rosario is spooky aggressive, but I loved the results last year. One thing to remember Hicks was "rushed" to major leagues at 23 years of age. Rosario made his debut at the same age and he missed a half season of development with a suspension. Eddie did a lot more in his age 23 season than Aaron. -
Article: Like It Or Not, May Is Bullpen Bound
stringer bell replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"arguably"-in this thread a lot of numbers and projections have been thrown out there. FIP makes May's best case, ERA his worst. If you are a slave to one advanced stat or another, then there is no argument. I know this--the Twins have a member of their staff who has always had a lower FIP than his ERA-Ricky Nolasco. He's 33 year old and has logged 1500 innings. It happens that guys don't meet their FIP, it also happens that guys have tendencies that make FIP unreliable for them-BA with RISP is a good example. As was noted earlier, xFIP shows something altogether different. It is no cinch May would be better than Milone or Nolasco for that matter. Without May, the rotation is deep, more qualified starters than spots in the rotation. The bullpen isn't as deep and adding May at the end with Jepsen and Perkins helps a lot. There is still room for another power arm in the 'pen, even if May is sent there. -
Article: Like It Or Not, May Is Bullpen Bound
stringer bell replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I've liked the move of May to the BP since it happened. He had several outstanding outings in the 'pen and would add another quality arm to the end of the game. I'd still like to see one more quality arm (preferably a lefty) to have four options for the last innings. Choosing the stats puts May somewhere between the top and the bottom of the heap amongst the starters. I am of the opinion that he just another one of the #3-#5 starters, of which the Twins have an excess. In my opinion he translates best to high-leverage duty in the bullpen. The decision can be revisited later if the situation changes. I would submit that one more change in role should be it for Mr. May. I see pretty good value, but pretty big expense for the two veterans (Hughes and Santana) and I see better value due to lower cost for Gibson and Milone. I think Milone is the surest bet of prospective starters and with a projected salary of less than $5M, he would be worth much, much more on the open market. Perhaps someone will give up value to acquire Milone, but if not he belongs in the rotation. -
Article: What Holes Still Must Be Filled?
stringer bell replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Both Mastro and Benson should be considered organizational depth. If they got a chance with the Twins it would be a Cinderella story, particularly Benson. In my limited contact with both those guys, they seem like good people. I shook both their hands in spring training a few years back. Mastro was pretty nice on what had to be a bad day--the day he was sent to minor league camp and Benson mingled well with the fans looking for autographs -
Article: Nearing The End Of An Era
stringer bell replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Cuddy got recalled for the first time on or about 9/11. He had to wait for days to join the team because games were postponed and teams were stranded with no planes flying. His debut was September 23 in Cleveland. He started as the DH and was 1-2 (a double) with a walk.- 40 replies
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- michael cuddyer
- torii hunter
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Ryan--I'm sure the Twins expect him to take the reins as the starting catcher or at least share the position with the more well-rested Suzuki, but they aren't going to diss their starter already under contract and put pressure on the younger player. At the very least, Ryan is a good upgrade over last year's disaster of backup catchers. If the comparison is between Bethancourt and John Hicks, remember that Bethancourt is out of options. It is great to have a defense-first guy with options available if a catcher gets nicked and Hicks has a glimmer of upside to boot. I am of the opinion that Aaron Hicks will never hit enough to be a full-time regular at any position other than center field and that wasn't going to be the case in Minnesota, perhaps as soon as Opening Day. Maybe they could have gotten more for him, but in my opinion, they got fair value and at a position of need.
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I'm no expert with defensive numbers, but it looks to me that BBRef has Santana's defense in center field as comparable to Hicks (SSS). My recollection of the 2014 season was that Santana was raw and uncomfortable out there the first half of his season, but was more than adequate later in the year. If he can hit closer to his 2014 numbers (yes, that's a big if), I don't think Danny Santana's defense in the outfield will hurt the Twins much. He has accumulated basically a full season of plate appearances in two years and he has an OPS of .710. I would accept that for a fourth outfielder, sometimes infielder or stopgap center fielder for less than half a season.
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Twins First Winter Meetings Trade
stringer bell commented on jorgenswest's blog entry in Blog jorgenswest
Pepé was a fine player and very versatile. He didn't play much shortstop as a major leaguer. I'm not much for stunts like a player manning all nine positions (and position players pitching), but Tovar had a fine career with the Twins. -
Article: Let The Sano-Buxton-Park Era Begin
stringer bell replied to Steven Buhr's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think it is pretty close to 50-50 that Buck starts the season in center field with the Twins. Far less than 50-50 that he is the leadoff hitter in Baltimore to start 2016. I wouldn't be totally surprised if Santana starts the season in center flanked by Rosario and Arcia (or Sano if Plouffe isn't traded).- 13 replies
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- byong ho park
- byron buxton
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Article: Twins Winter Meetings Preview
stringer bell replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
A fourth OF and what type of player he is depends on Byron Buxton. If he's going to be ready at the start of the season or by Memorial Day, the key thing is to get someone to serve as a defensive replacement for the starting RF (most likely either Sano or Arcia) and sub occasionally for Buck. I like David Lough for that role. If the Twins want a RH corner OF because their two major offensive departures--Hunter and Hicks--hit lefties well, that is another story. For the season last year, the Twins handled lefties much better than righties. Mauer had modest reverse splits, and almost all of the HR power came from right handed hitters, which should still be the case in 2016, unless Arcia finds and spot and recovers his stroke.- 32 replies
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- terry ryan
- paul molitor
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Making The Twins Bullpen Great
stringer bell commented on Ted Schwerzler 's blog entry in Off The Baggy
I have not been impressed by Darnell in his SSS with the Twins or from his numbers at AAA. I know he did well at the end of 2015 for the Red Wings, but I don't think he's got enough stuff to get out big league hitters. I'd rather have Rogers, Cotts, Sipp or Bastardo, or Melotakis (in that order). Otherwise, I think the projected composition of the bully is about right. Fien doesn't really fit for me, but what's done is done. -
Twins Tender Fien, And It's Not Fine
stringer bell commented on Ted Schwerzler 's blog entry in Off The Baggy
I was in favor of non-tendering Fien. As noted above, he's a big league pitcher, but he is on the wrong side of 30 and his peripherals are slipping. Maybe the single salvation could be that he still can be optioned, so he can provide depth without standing in the way of a higher-upside setup guy. -
Article: To Tender Or Not To Tender
stringer bell replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
mlbtraderumors.com has Milone pegged at $4.5M, not $7M. I would submit that what Milone provided to the A's and what he provided to the Twins last year is worth far more than $4.5M. The argument isn't about money, it's about consistency and quality. Milone's worst season ERA+ was a 90 where he stunk it up for the non-contending Twins in 2014. Hughes, Santana, and Nolasco each have at least two seasons where they were worse. Unless he somehow becomes Jamie Moyer, I get that what the Twins got from Milone last year is about as much as they can expect in any year, but his numbers are beyond passable, he is a good pitcher. We don't know if Duffey will come close to duplicating his SSS performance of 2015, we don't know which of the veterans will step up in 2016, we don't know if Berrios is ready. We can assume that at least one of the guys will disappoint or be injured. With so many uncertainties, having a more sure thing (Milone) as the fourth or fifth starter more than makes sense.- 68 replies
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- trevor plouffe
- kevin jepsen
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Article: To Tender Or Not To Tender
stringer bell replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Mega-concur! That was my point about the Royals getting more than fifty starts from the likes of Vargas, Guthrie and Young. The Twins don't have one or two or three guys who we can be certain will be better than Milone. Milone is arguably the most consistent and proven starter in the Twins stable. On Fien, he's 32 and best utilized in the sixth and seventh inning. I'd much rather give those innings to Pressly, Alex Meyer or one of the AFL guys.- 68 replies
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- trevor plouffe
- kevin jepsen
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Article: To Tender Or Not To Tender
stringer bell replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Milone is a better pitcher than Happ, 88 mph fastball and all. The World Champions gave 24 starts to Jeremy Guthrie, 18 to Chris Young and nine more to Jason Vargas. I would take Milone over all of them. He has value. Too much to let go for nothing.- 68 replies
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- trevor plouffe
- kevin jepsen
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The Twins Sign a Centerfielder
stringer bell commented on Thrylos's blog entry in Thrylos' Blog - select Tenth Inning Stretch posts
That's a .288 OBP, .302 Slugging and .590 OPS. -
The Twins Sign a Centerfielder
stringer bell commented on Thrylos's blog entry in Thrylos' Blog - select Tenth Inning Stretch posts
Just a clarification--Benson signed with Miami and played for their AA team where he hit .264. Joe's only major league experience was the "cup of coffee" that he got with the Twins. Further, his success has been only as high as AA--his AAA numbers are a slash line of .288/.302/.590 in over 400 PAs. I think the chances of him making the Twins are pretty slight. That said, maybe just maybe, what he needs is to be fully healthy and fully comfortable and he could reach his considerable potential. I always liked Benson and wish him the best. -
Thanksgiving in New York, with a Twins twist
stringer bell posted a blog entry in stringer bell's Blog
I spent Thanksgiving in New York City, visiting my son and his fiancée and seeing some sites. No, I didn't find Dave W, I guess I didn't look. Anyway, I did attend my first, and probably only, Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade. We arrived early and found a place to stand across from Fox News. We saw the parades, floats, minor celebrities and Santa. A women standing next to me asked me if I was from Minnesota, since I was wearing a coat that said "Mayo Clinic" on it. She said that she had grown up in Hinckley and then moved to Scottsdale. We chatted for awhile and finally starting talking about children. She said that her son played for the Twins. I said "oh really" and shared with her that i was a Twins fan for life and that I often contributed to Twins Daily. She said her son was Aaron Slegers and that he was the tallest player in the Twins system--6'10". I remembered Slegers, but couldn't recall which Big Ten school he attended. She said he went to Indiana and that his catcher was Kyle Schwarber, who has made a name for himself. Aaron made it to AA in 2015, after having a nice season at High A Fort Myers. I really don't know if how highly regarded he is, but it does highlight the many players in the minors--how hard they work and the odds against any but the premium prospects to make it to the majors. After a 160 inning regular season, Aaron Slegers works out every day, but hasn't done any throwing and won't for a while. There were more events and a great turkey dinner put on by my son and his fiancée, but it is cool to have met someone with a connection to the Twins a long way from home.-
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Article: THANK YOU From Twins Daily!
stringer bell replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Thanks to all-contributors, owners, even lurkers. -
The way I see it is that the starting rotation without Trevor May still has depth and that May wouldn't improve that rotation that much. OTOH, May working in a late-inning role markedly improves the bullpen. Fair to the young player? Probably not, but the idea here is to help the club. In addition, May was dominant on several of his relief appearances, as his stuff played up in relief appearances. Much like the much-anticipated outfield of Rosario-Buxton-Hicks, I like to see a healthy combo of Perkins, Jepsen and May to close out games. I think it could border on elite. Add in hard throwers like Tonkin and Alex Meyer and another capable lefty and the bullpen looks improved and much more capable of strikeouts.
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- trevor may
- glen perkins
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Gilmartin had a good year in a new role and the Twins could have used his production in 2015, but I doubt he'll be a significant performer going forward. I don't think the Twins would trade either Graham or Pressly for Gilmartin today.
- 179 replies
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- adam brett walker
- taylor rogers
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