Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

ashbury

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    42,491

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    471

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Both PseudoSABR and jokin clicking "like" on my little attempt at humor gives me hope that this site isn't doomed. Good sports, both of you - I'm not sure I'd be as big.
  2. ashbury
    Interesting. Another observation I had, at the game in Oakland last August, was that DH Seth Smith crowded the plate like I don't remember seeing in a while. I was sitting there begging (quietly, as a visitor) any of the pitchers to brush him back until he behaved. It was just Smith though, as I don't remember anyone else doing it to Hendriks - but small differences could easily escape my eye.
  3. ashbury
    I must not understand the form of park factor you're referring to. What I've seen is that if Halladay posts a 2.50 ERA at home and a 2.00 on the road, and if his staffmates have similar experiences and the batters likewise have inflated stats at home, and taking into account that there usually is some advantage to the team playing at home, then the computation should come out that the Phillies' park has a higher park factor than somewhere like Dodger Stadium. Halladay and the others are being compared to themselves, not to AAAA pitchers like Deduno. How does having a good pitching staff skew a park's factor? (Feel free to point to a link that explains rather than invest much time reinventing some wheel.)
  4. ashbury
    He's an average major league centerfielder, all things considered. A player has to be damn fine to achieve that. You do not trade one lightly, and Ryan didn't. I don't know what kind of sendoff would be appropriate, especially since the Nationals don't visit in 2013.
  5. ashbury
    Depends on how they felt about blowing the lead in that one game 9-8. I feel sure someone with a bit more know-how than I have must have designed a pitching statistic by now to measure the variance in earned runs, as a supplement to the mean (ERA). A starter with an ERA of 3.00 but high variance might not be as valuable as someone with the same ERA but steadier; a guy with a 6.00 but high variance might be more valuable than he seems.
  6. ashbury
    I don't accuse Ryan of that, but I do think it is along the right lines. When Smith was fired^H^H^H^H^Hre-assigned Jim Pohlad was quoted concerning "philosophical differences", and at that point I jumped to the conclusion Smith had asked for $20M more in budget, was turned down, re-iterated that he couldn't deliver a winner under those conditions, and Pohlad said if that's how you feel we'll find you another position in the organization. Ryan then agreed to the budget limit and was given the old job back. All supposition on my part, beyond the quote which I do still find archived here.
  7. ashbury
    The bell curve is shaped the way it is for a reason. Yes, someone will likely be a one-year wonder; the odds that it's specifically Deduno are not so "easily" seen. Saying Deduno could easily be the one to break out is along the same lines as saying the Twins either will, or won't, win the World Series in 2013, therefore the odds must be 50-50 on either outcome.
  8. ashbury
    If the nabobs are right, a quick revisit at the end of May could be long enough to wait.
  9. ashbury
    Yeah, but if you make that argument, then there's a mirror image argument that pins the blame right back on Doumit. At the moment Doumit was signed - no, at the moment the rumors surfaced that the Twins might make him an offer - it was clear, "they're gonna carry three catchers, namely Butera as the defensive specialist". Sign Doumit, detract from your bench, simple as that. At least, Gardy's bench.
  10. ashbury
    At least, the guy is honest: I did not attend any minor league games this past year, nor do I claim to have any professional scouting experience. Rightly or wrongly, I have the mental image of a kid with OCD living in his parents' basement apartment. I give his list less credence than anybody's on this forum, probably.
  11. ashbury
    Definitely worth not giving up on him. OTOH, if you take out the worst 10% of a pitcher's innings, we'd have a lot more Cy Young candidates; and removing their 10% worst plate appearances would leave some guys hitting above .400.
  12. ashbury
    I hope it's not taken as pejorative that I point out that neither you nor Pseudosabr seems to know that the word has only one 'r'.
  13. ashbury
    That is my recollection as well, from watching him in his game at Oakland, the one where Coco Crisp had a big game. And ya know... the box score at baseball-reference.com doesn't back me up on this particularly. The innings where the runs scored, there weren't a bunch of foul balls. And the at bat I do remember, of Pennington fouling off 7 consecutively, he ended up striking out. Reddick did draw a walk after fouling off 4; but all in all, my anecdotal evidence doesn't hold up. Not as a major explanation along the lines of not being able to put batters away, at least.
  14. ashbury
    The quoted article seemed to equate "pitcher-friendly" with "home runs". The ESPN park factors page does show Target Field to be less of a home run park than Citizens Bank Park, but both are above average in that metric so any projected improvement in HR/9 just on account of the home park for Worley is pretty close to statistical noise.
  15. ashbury
    Still seeing the problem intermittently. I'll click on an article on the main page, where I know for sure I posted a reply, and when the page comes up there will be only 7 or so comments, none of them recent. I do not understand why it's been so difficult for the QA team to reproduce this. I'm using Firefox 17.0.2, but I see no change in behavior when I switch to IE.
  16. ashbury
    Yeah, Harper's home plate collision when it mattered is my #12 memory for sure.
  17. ashbury
    When I listened to the audiocast, it seemed clear what he meant by "settled" the first time he used the word, and then the second usage was kind of off-the wall, wait, let me rephrase, out of left field, no never mind, anyway, it seemed like he was referring to some off-microphone exchange when he brought up the word "concrete". The effect was somewhat old-man ramble-ish, but I did not get the idea he was bringing up concrete to explain anything at all. More like he was referring to an inside joke, which is not usually a good idea. So, kind of dumb portion of the interview, but nobody speaks in public without eventually messing up. I give him a complete pass on this one.
  18. ashbury
    Pal-Ya-Rool-Yo is my recollection of it.
  19. ashbury
    This coming from a Correia-apologist dating back almost a year now: http://twinsdaily.com/archived-game-threads/635-spring-training-game-32-3-31-vs-pittsburgh.html#post6576 "Valencia double off the wall. Safe to say that Kevin Correia isn't exactly at the top of his game today, like he normally is." I keed, I keed.
  20. ashbury
    Kevin Correia has seen some tragedy in his life: Jerry Crasnick article . Losing a brother at a young age puts things in perspective.
  21. ashbury
    I'm sure the stick-banging about Correia is inappropriate in the threads where the subject is why Nick Punto is an abysmal hitter. But when the thread title is "Mason: Correia expects to eat a bowl of di^H^H^H^H^H^H^H up innings for the Twins", what else do you really expect?
  22. ashbury
    Sorry. I would, but I'm ignoring you.
  23. ashbury
    After I hit "Post" I remembered I had meant to add "I realize I may be replying to a troll," but then was glad I had not, since when is it ever wise to knowingly reply to a troll? I'll pretend I didn't realize, though it implies I'm not too bright. Wait, if I'm saying this, it's in hopes you will know I'm not actually stupid. Where is that Cancel bu-
  24. ashbury
    Probably. Then there are other minor trades than just him, that would still be an even swap while being an upgrade to the roster by adding someone of Saunders' ilk, and better than just losing someone via waiver claim if that's the concern about signing anyone. While the waiver claim is still the fall-back position if need be.
  25. ashbury
    Mike Pagliarulo has the game of his life in Game 4 of the 1991 World Series, going 3 for 3 including a homer, accounting for both RBI in an eventual 3-2 loss, and in the top of the ninth he ... is pinch-hit for by Scott Leius who lines out. Imagine if he had been left in, to hit the go-ahead homer with two outs, so that they can then turn the gave over to Aguilera for the save. Arguably no need for Game 7 heroics by Morris, Knoblauch, Gladd... uh, never mind. 3-for-3 is good enough. Good game, Pags.
×
×
  • Create New...