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ThejacKmp

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Everything posted by ThejacKmp

  1. ThejacKmp
    I feel like when the arguments are that you're good at covering first and you can hold on the runners you put on, that's a bad thing. No Gibson on three days rest. Get Mejia to do a short start with Gee behind him. Gibson isn't good enough to be on short rest.
  2. ThejacKmp
    Yeah, saw that. I never posted on TD for that. I send out MLB predictions every year to my buddies. The Twins are my surprise team in the AL (who saw that coming!) They’ve got a great lineup and Buxton is going to be a breakout star. The pitching is not amazing but with some young depth coming up (Berrios, Mejia, Gonsalves) and some reclamation projects in Gibson, Santiago and Hughes, I think they piece together enough to be a game under .500. Compared to most years (in 2015 I missed all five AL playoff teams) I did okay this year. Got all the division winners right. Got Yankees as WC and then had the Jays (overreaction to Stroman's WBC feats). Had Pirates and Mets as WC in NL (not so good). Seven out of 10 is a passing grade!
  3. ThejacKmp
    I'm also very glad to see that Molitor at least pulls off the bunt sign when the count works in the batter's favor. That's a step.
  4. ThejacKmp
    Man, Cabrera really dogged it on that error. He stood there for a full two seconds before going after the ball. You have to know where the OF are etc. Could've held Dozier to third.
  5. ThejacKmp
    Pour it on Twins fans, pour it on . . .
  6. ThejacKmp
    80%. That seems low. 99%. I thought I was wildly optimistic predicting they'd finish within a game of .500. I thought they'd compete but just finish off cuz they unloaded Dozier, Santana etc. at the deadline. Instead, those two are both going to start Game 7 of the World Series,
  7. ThejacKmp
    Missed the game because drinking. Is Kepler OK? He's been heating up recently, wanna see him keep hitting.
  8. ThejacKmp
    Meh, I don't care what happens in the wild card game, getting there is enough. The Twins go in a heavy underdog, if they lose still an incredible season. I'd really only feel pain if they blew a big lead or something. we're playing with house money.
  9. ThejacKmp
    I'm with you on liking watching Kyle Gibson pitch well but I think the issue is that he doesn't do this for a whole season. That's why he's not starting the Wild Card game. He'd certainly start an ALDS game and deservedly so.
  10. ThejacKmp
    Either Mejia or Colon will be skipped to line Santana up for the Wild Card Game. So game three in that series will be Santana. Molly has talked about doing that. And we're getting CLE pitchers #3 through #5 so that's decent. No Kluber, no Corrasco. 100% agreed on Colon. I'd like to see him skipped in CLE and he can make his last start against the Tiggers that last weekend when this thing will hopefully be sewn up. Mejia is flawed but at least interesting, Colon is just garbage.
  11. ThejacKmp
    I come from a Magic the Gathering family. There's tension with D&D . . .
  12. ThejacKmp
    That's a good point. Though I still think it's more complicate than that and I think coaches there can have sense when the other team hasn't seen a guy very well or when a guy has a wrinkle he can throw in to keep them off balance (e.g. he's been setting things up with fastballs and then going breaking balls and he can flip those). I don't think anyone would say "Third time through, pull him overtime." You'd be pulling pitchers when they're cruising through at 60 pitches and those same people would be screaming about pulling the starter too early. weirdly, I've been looking at a lot of pitchers splits and third time through isn't always bad. Mejia for instance sees his OPS jump the second time through the order and then the third time, it settles back down to about the first. He's the guy I remember but kind of interesting. Points to a reason Molly may have a quick pull with him and also is indicative that he may be better used going once through the lineup and then handing it off to a RH like Gee.
  13. ThejacKmp
    4 for 6 is an incredibly small sample (though not good). You use predictable wrong and you're creating a certainty out of hindsight. A bigger sample is Cabrera's performance this year. He has a .928 OPS vs LH and a .671 OPS vs. RH. I have no issue with Molly pulling Mejia. You could argue that Gee isn't the guy but again, the sample is small and Gee has been pitching really well lately. I don't think that's a great example of awful bullpen management.
  14. ThejacKmp
    Provide some evidence? Some concept that isn't "my opinion from watching?" Is he leaving starters in too long? Pulling them? Using a bullpen arm he shouldn't? I just think that we fall into traps of confirmation bias when it comes to this stuff. He's not regularly leaving in guys when the platoon edge isn't with them. He's doing the best with a motley crew of pitchers. Sometimes Boshers has to pitch, that's life. Occasionally Colon gets to try the 4th, that's having bad middle relief.
  15. ThejacKmp
    You can question a manager. Question overall trends like sacrifice bunting in the 3rd inning - that's a basic strategy that we can get into. Question lineup construction - another thing that the layman can have an informed opinion on. Question leaving the starter in against the platoon advantage - there's good stats on this. But when its something like "when is this pitcher tired" and you're saying "Molitor either leaves guys in too long or too short" and then going back and forth with people, you're officially just complaining. There's a level of knowledge and access that make it impossible for a guy watching on TV to know more than someone right there. Molitor and co. have a chat with the pitcher every inning, they're talking to the catcher, they're watching from 90 feet away - there's just a whole mountain of knowledge. The average fan brings "well, he gave up a hit so they should have pulled him." That's not particularly useful or valid. That make sense?
  16. ThejacKmp
    You base this on watching TV? I'm sorry, it is basically impossible to determine when too early and too late is for a pitcher. I'm 100% certain that Molitor is better at this than you are. I'm not saying there's not a better person for the job next year but there's no way you can magically know that a guy was in too long or not long enough. Your original point was to get Mejia the win. That's been pretty clearly shown to be ludicrous (made up stat, rested bullpen, pennant race, pitch count etc.) Perhaps time for you to let it go.
  17. ThejacKmp
    DrJim was saying that when the bullpen is short, Molly leaves a guy in. That means he doesn't have bullpen arms and the best use of his pitching staff may be to leave a tiring starter in rather than go to an even worse reliever. I feel like the criticism of Mauer has gotten way too intense.* I'm not sure he's the guy going forward but this team is vastly outperforming its potential. Multiple young guys have taken steps and Molitor was cobbled together decent results from a bullpen and starting rotation that is bereft of impact arms. He's got the Twins in the driver's seat a year after losing 100+ games. That's pretty dang good, let's not overreact to every single small thing he does. * Except the bunting. Enough with the sacrifice bunting. If he loses his job I hope they say, "It was only because of the bunting."
  18. ThejacKmp
    Or perhaps the guy in the dugout knows more than you do sitting on your couch. He's not rolling a dice to see what to do like it's dungeons and dragons.
  19. ThejacKmp
    Ridiculous. Wins are increasingly not used in evaluating pitchers, even in arbitration. Mejia didn't lose anything with this - he has an equal place in the Twins plans, his salary won't change, he'll still be in the mix for the rotation next year (and likely a front runner). Molly's job is to win games not to get Mejia a made up stat. Gee was a better choice than Mejia, especially with the swollen bullpens of September. You're looking for a reason to hate Molly here.
  20. ThejacKmp
    No way. More impressed by a game like this where they don't take their foot of the Tiggers throat. The dominated them through and through.
  21. ThejacKmp
    Not enough
  22. ThejacKmp
    God I love Joe Mauer. I'm so glad I never abandoned him over the years. I often thought, "You're an idiot and probably wrong" while defending him but man, this has been sweet. Joe Freaking Mauer. Hall of Fame. Hall of Fame. I'm not overreacting. I never overreact.
  23. ThejacKmp
    We don't like him that much.
  24. ThejacKmp
    Lets get him a Twins win and an Angels loss.
  25. ThejacKmp
    It also appears that the Twins will miss Kluber and Corrasco when they play the Clevelanders. That should make winning a game or even two more doable. I really hope they skip Colon on Tuesday against Cleveland. That would set him up to make only one more start (against the Tigers - he does okay against bad teams but good teams tee off on him by the 3rd) and would set the Twins up to have Gibson in a Game 163 and Santana in a WC game. That's ideal, weird as that first part seems.
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