Hello, and welcome to today's game thread. I'm going to use the time-honored five-point format. 1.) Wednesday and Thursday in Detroit provided us with two very disheartening losses. But after last night https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CIZUS5rBtFE I think many of us have renewed hope. There is still plenty of time for us to catch and pass Cleveland. 2.) I'm not a stat-head, but in recent years I've come to look at WPA (Win Probability Added) as one of the most important ways to measure how good a player is because it places a higher importance on performance in key situations. However, I have come to think that this needs to be refined. Players who play for very good teams and players who play for very bad teams will come out undervalued using this statistic. If a player's team is often very far ahead or very far behind it becomes more difficult to generate a large WPA. A better way to determine a player's value is to determine the highest possible WPA and the lowest possible WPA for each situation and measure the actual outcome relative to those benchmarks. I suppose you could call it marginal WPA or something like that. I haven't done enough research to know whether anyone is generating such a statistic but I have to believe somebody else must have thought of this already. 3.) At this juncture there will be those who say they were told there would be no math. If someone has said that to you that person was either in denial, ignorant, or just plain lying. There was, is, and ever shall be math. I'd like to recommend the Numberphile videos on YouTube. I find them to be quite accessible to those of us with an interest in the subject. 4.) Today's Joe M. conversation: For those of you who think nothing was there, please do research on virtual particles. Or, alternatively, watch this:
5.) I want to express my admiration for journalists and others who work on deadline. As today's deadline for posting this intro was starting to draw near I received a text message from my editor wondering where it was. That little bit of added pressure provided inspiration for me to think of this, my fifth point for today's intro. So thank you to that person for inadvertently becoming my muse for today. Starting pitchers: Minnesota: Fernando Romero ®, 3-2, 3.92 Cleveland: Carlos Carrasco ®, 8-4, 3.90 Lineups and batting orders: Minnesota: 1. Joe Mauer (L) DH 2. Eddie Rosario (L) LF 3. Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B 4. Logan Morrison (L) 1B 5. Brian Dozier ® 2B 6. Robbie Grossman (S) RF 7. Max Kepler (L) CF 8. Ehire Adrianza (S) SS 9. Bobby Wilson ® C Cleveland: 1. Francisco Lindor (S) DH 2. Michael Brantley (L) LF 3. Jose Ramirez (S) 3B 4. Edwin Encarnacion ® 1B 5. Jason Kipnis (L) 2B 6. Yan Gomes ® C 7. Lonnie Chisenhall (L) RF 8. Tyler Naquin (L) CF 9. Erik Gonzalez ® SS Expected game time weather conditions: Partly sunny, 80F, 64F dew point, west wind at 7mph, 0% precipitation probability